Thread by @MalcontentmentT

Kursk Offensive Day 4 🧵
Update: 09 AUG 2024 13:15 PDT

Yellow Zone is Russian-claimed

Breach: 56.8 km
Depth: up to 21.2 sq km
Ukraine control: 528.4 sq km (moderate confidence)
Gray area: another 246 sq km
Total area: 776.4 sq km

🏁= Ukrainian presence visually confirmed

1/n

We noticed that the media is quoting our work (with attribution). Thank you, and hello. There is more about us at the end of the thread.

We pulled back the Ukrainian advance in the direction of Snagost because, after multiple Russian claims, there's no evidence.

2/n

Ukrainian forces announced the capture of Sudzha and are visually confirmed in the village of Dmitriukov, 4.82 km from where Ukrainian troops made their capture claim at the Gazprom offices in Sudzha

Ukrainian forces also confirmed in southern Goncharovka

3/n

This is why the total area under control didn't change from the 03:00 PDT update. There was a reduction near Snagost but the confirmed advances from Sudzha.

We know more but are withholding to support OPSEC. We only share what is in the public domain or with permission.

4/n

South of a line from Oleshnya to Melovoi to the Psel River, we assess this as a no-man's land with little to no presence of either combatant.

We are confident Russian forces withdrew across the Psel River on August 7. We have no other information.

5/n

Operationally, Ukrainian forces are bringing in artillery and engineering equipment (visually confirmed). This isn't a raid or incursion. Ukraine has every intent of holding territory.

There has been no visible resistance by the local population.

6/n

We have high confidence that Moscow's attempt to control the information space is damaging Russian forces' ability to mount an organized defense. Confiscation of smartphones, blocking Signal, throttling WhatsApp bandwidth.

Secured tactical comms are non-existent

7/n

We assess the lack of new advances in depth as operationally sound. Ukraine is expanding its bridgehead and reinforcing its new ground lines of communication. They are bringing up the second echelon to defend their gains. We expect another forward push in the next 48 hours.

8/n

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