Correct, and @AndrewPerpetua's tweet yesterday about visually confirmed Russian daily casualties vs. the number of attacks supports our February 26 analysis that Russia's combat potential has peaked and is entering a slow decline.

A 🧵🔽

1/n

https://twitter.com/ABarbashin/status/1931037870908641419

Neither combatant can do anything "big," but Ukraine has been forced to think outside the box (Operation Spiderweb).

2/n

Are They Federal Agents or Federally Appointed Goon Squads

Equipment, training, and tactics used in Newark and Worcester raise serious questions about who has been empowered by the federal government to enforce immigration law.

🧵

1/15 The video showing the arrest of Newark Mayor Ras Baraka is only 72 seconds long, but it raises many questions about who is enforcing the law.

Baraka has since been released, and new videos show that Congresspersons didn't "storm" Delaney Hall, and were granted peaceful access. This video happens outside of the Delaney perimeter.

2/15

Most of Russia's territorial gains were in the Toretsk-Niu York area of operation, capturing a handful of smaller settlements and villages and advancing using treelines into some fields.

203 casualties per sq km is brutal.

It's worth noting that Russia lost territory south and southwest of Pokrovsk, and we maintain that the area around Sribne is a giant gray area. Russian forces have not been observed west of the village since 10-12 April, and anything that was geolocated was obliterated.

It also appears that Ukrainian forces have finally stabilized new defensive lines in the Vremivka Ledge (Velyka Novosilka) area.

1/5 Coming into May, the areas that concern us the most include:

1️⃣The Russian bridgehead over the Oskil River north of Kupiansk - we maintain this should have been dealt with in February
2️⃣The Russian advance west of Terny/Yampolivka in the direction of Lyman and/or Borova
3️⃣Russia's reprioritization of capturing Kostiantynivka

2/5

The Port of Seattle shows a tariff-created consumer Armageddon coming?!?!

Not so fast, because the truth lies in the middle, and part of the story is being misrepresented.

1/6 You've probably seen this picture as proof that the Port of Seattle has no ships or containers left. Trucking has stopped, and the last ship from China arrived today.

This is Terminal 46, the closest to the Coleman Dock Ferry Terminal.

2/6

Since mid-March, Russia has carried out numerous multi-company and battalion-size daylight zerg rushes using cobbled-together Russian mechanized infantry formations. These attacks have not resulted in anything more than marginal gains. Repeated attacks by small groups of light infantry continue to be far more successful.

1/19 For the mechanized assaults, most don't even make it to the line of conflict, and what little does get past rarely consolidates any gains. In April, we noted two cases where not only did large mechanized assaults fail, but Russian forces ended up losing positions.

2/19

A cautionary tale:

Israeli forces, police, national guard, internal security, Mossad, and the IDF are internationally known for their, shall we say, low tolerance.

Thousands arrested and held without charges for up to 5 months on sometimes questionable terrorist charges, a long list of accusations of human rights abuses.

Please don't mistake me for a pro-Palestinian. I'm anything but, and I am still embittered by the number of, ehem, "allies," that abandoned me on 8 October 2023 simply because they knew I am Jewish. No other reason. No, "hey tell me your thoughts on," just outright ended what I thought were friendships.

Sorry, I digressed. What's the cautionary tale?

1/10 In 2017, Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu was charged with corruption, and he has done everything in his power to drag out that trial while working to gut the power of the judicial branch.

Wait, this sounds familiar.

In 2023, Netanyahu and his far-right supporters were pushing to change the Israeli Constitution to raise the legal standard for Supreme Court decisions, which would essentially gut the court.

2/10

Analysis of Jeddah Talks Between Ukraine and U.S.

It's true! Zelenskyy does not have any cards because he's not playing poker. He just won a game of 3D chess.

The U.S. and Ukraine agree to immediately restore military aid and intelligence sharing and to a 30-day ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine War. Negotiations on the "mineral deal" will be restarted.

1/14

Over the weekend, President Trump, Secretary of State Rubio, Vice President JD Vance, and Elon Musk made inflammatory statements and false accusations directed at Ukraine. Zelenskyy and his team didn't take the bait.

Hours before today's negotiation, 337 drones attacked Russia, and according to the Russian Ministry of Defense, at least 91 targeted Moscow. 🧂🧂

Drones and missile and drone debris rained down across Moscow, closing airports, rail lines, and highways and killing and wounding dozens.

That was part of Zelenskyy's 3D chess.

2/14

The White House is setting conditions in the information space to justify a land invasion of Canada.

Someone needs to say it. The messaging is undeniable.

Unless the adults reenter the room, it will happen.

1/9 A) Questioning NATO loyalty and if the Alliance would support the US. Wrapped in a tasty sandwich of what if China attacked! That's not the real reason he is questioning the loyalty. Trump wants a coalition of the willing to help isolate Canada.

2/9

We will learn how far down the authoritarianism slide the U.S. is going on 14 March, when the continuing resolution expires.

The FY2025 budget will reveal the priorities, which agencies and cabinets Congress will defund, and which groups are receiving "classified" dollars.

Today, a YouGov poll found that 41% of the over 4,000 Americans surveyed believe Donald Trump is a "dictator." The remaining 45% don't, and the rest are unsure.

1/10 This weekend, expect a Russian-grade purge to start in the Pentagon. All of the "bad" actions happen over the weekend because that's where bad news goes to die.

Next weekend (or the one after) expect a similar purge in Justice and the FBI to start.

Congresscritters are receiving death threats at an unprecedented level to comply. Those who are giving in should look to Belarus, Georgia, and Hungary to see that complying only delays the inevitable.

There is no reason not to believe the FBI and Justice will start arrests of investigators, Senators, and Congresspersons. It was said aloud. It's in Project 2025. Kash Patel promised it.

The so-called Proud Boys' getting the band back together in Washington, D.C., today, less than 24 hours after the U.S. Marshals deputized Elon Musk's private security detail, was not a coincidence.

They have a plan and a playbook, and it was published. Remember all those "Project 2025 is not real" comments? Those were the same people posting about World War III will be tomorrow, too.

Didn't Putin talk about Oreshnik today?

2/10

The sharp dropoff in glide bomb strikes on Ukraine coincided with four events. A 🧵1/8

👉🏼Ukraine developed the capability to provide near nationwide GPS/GLONASS jamming and spoofing
👉🏼The US, UK, and France lifting restrictions on deep strikes within Russia's 1991 borders using allied-provided weapons
👉🏼The arrival of winter weather conditions
👉🏼Coupled with the targeting of key industrial alcohol plants in the Russian Federation 2/8

With almost 3 weeks of data showing a sharp decrease in sorties conducted by the VKS and the number of glide bombs being used daily falling to summer 2023 levels, a lot of people are asking, why?

The team considered several theories, and we caution you to avoid reaching a causation fallacy.

Kursk Counter-invasion Day 14 Update
19 AUG 2024 18:30 PDT

Retweet appreciated

Total area: 1,564² km
Breach: 86.6 km
Depth: up to 36 km
🟧Ukraine control: 1,148² km
🟦Russian claimed/gray area: 416² km
🏁Ukrainian presence
💥Reported fighting
🔴Russian presence

1/n





Did you miss our last update on 18 AUG 2024?


The Russian Ukraine War Report Podcast for 16 AUG 2024

You can use our interactive war map

15 AUG 2024 SITREP

Kursk
2/n

https://x.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1823877077558550890

link.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…
patreon.com/posts/russia-u…

Kursk Counter-invasion Day 13 Update 18 AUG 2024 18:30 PDT

Retweet appreciated

Total area: 1,556² km
Breach: 86.6 km
Depth: up to 36 km
🟧Ukraine control: 1,143² km
🟦Russian claimed/gray area: 413² km
🏁Ukrainian presence
💥Reported fighting
🔴Russian presence

1/n





Did you miss our last full update on 16 AUG 2024?



The Russian Ukraine War Report Podcast for 16 AUG 2024


You can use our interactive war map

15 AUG 2024 SITREP

Kursk
2/n

https://x.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1823877077558550890

link.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…
patreon.com/posts/russia-u…

Kursk Counter-invasion Day 11 Update
16AUG 2024 20:00 PDT
Retweet appreciated

Total area: 1,419² km
Breach: 86.6 km
Depth: up to 36 km
🟧Ukraine control: 1,121² km
🟨Russian claimed/gray area: 298² km
🏁Ukraine presence
💥Reported fighting
🔴Russian presence

1/n





Did you miss our last update?



The Russian Ukraine War Report Podcast for 16 AUG 2024


You can use our interactive war map

15 AUG 2024 SITREP

Kursk
2/n

https://x.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1823877077558550890

link.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…
patreon.com/posts/russia-u…

Kursk Counter-Invasion Day 9
Update 14 AUG 2024 17:00 PDT

Retweet appreciated

Total area: 1,265 sq km
Breach: 85.6 km
Depth: up to 36 km
🟧Ukraine control: 883 sq km
🟨Russian claimed/gray area: 289.8 sq km
💥Reported combat
🔴Russian presence

We know more, OPSEC 🤐

1/n





Did you miss our last update?


The Russian Ukraine War Report Podcast for August 14, 2024, is live


You can use our interactive war map

August 13, 2024, SITREP


Kursk
2/n

https://x.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1823529101938057329

link.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…
patreon.com/posts/russia-u…

Kursk Counter-Invasion Day 8 Update
13 AUG 2024 17:30 PDT
Retweet appreciated

Total area: 1,059.3 sq km
Breach: 73.4 km
Depth: up to 28.0 km
🟧Ukraine control: 769.5 sq km
🟨Russian claimed/gray area: 289.8 sq km
🏁Ukrainian presence
💥Claimed fighting
🔴Russian presence

1/n





Did you miss our last update?

The Russian Ukraine War Report Podcast for August 13, 2024, is live


You can also use our interactive war map

Kursk
2/n

https://x.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1823150525816393789

link.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…

Kursk Offensive Day 7 Update
12 AUG 2024 17:00 PDT

Retweet appreciated

Breach: 73.4 km
Depth: up to 28.0 km
Ukraine control: 689 sq km (high confidence🟧)
Russian claimed/gray area: 273 sq km (🟨)
Total area: 962 sq km

🏁= Ukrainian presence visually confirmed

1/n





Did you miss yesterday's update?


The Russian Ukraine War Report Podcast for August 12, 2024 is live


You can also use our interactive war map:


2/n
Kursk

https://x.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1822721351712743501

link.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…

Kursk Offensive
Day 6 Update 11 AUG 2024 12:45 PDT

Retweet appreciated

Breach: 63.6 km
Depth: up to 28.0 km
Ukraine control: 611 sq km (high confidence🟧)
Gray area: another 337 sq km (📷)
Total area: 948 sq km

🏁= Ukrainian presence visually confirmed

1/n





If you missed our 10 AUG 2024 16:45 PDT Update, you can find it here.


You can also visit our war map


Kursk
2/n

https://x.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1822419599272661192

google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…

Kursk Offensive Day 5 Update 10 AUG 2024 16:45 PDT

Retweet appreciated

Breach: 58.9 km
Depth: up to 28.0 km
Ukraine control: 536 sq km (high confidence🟧)
Gray area: another 320.7 sq km (🟨)
Total area: 856.7 sq km

🏁= Ukrainian presence visually confirmed

1/n





Russian sources claim, without evidence, that Ukrainian forces occupied Krasnooktyabrskoe and reached the eastern edge of Korenevo. No change at Korenevo. Russian claim extended from Snagost to Krasnooktyabrskoe.

Kursk
2/n

Kursk Offensive Day 4 🧵
Update: 09 AUG 2024 13:15 PDT

Yellow Zone is Russian-claimed

Breach: 56.8 km
Depth: up to 21.2 sq km
Ukraine control: 528.4 sq km (moderate confidence)
Gray area: another 246 sq km
Total area: 776.4 sq km

🏁= Ukrainian presence visually confirmed

1/n





We noticed that the media is quoting our work (with attribution). Thank you, and hello. There is more about us at the end of the thread.

We pulled back the Ukrainian advance in the direction of Snagost because, after multiple Russian claims, there's no evidence.

2/n

Presidential Immunity

My wife was born, went to university, and started her career in a country where the government collapsed.

Years ago I asked her, what were the warning signs? What was going on in the months, weeks, and days before the government failed?

1/12 Her answer stunned me.

"Nothing."

You ate dinner, cleaned up, went to bed, woke up in the morning, and the news tells you the government failed.

No warning signs.

Nothing.

It just happened.

Yes, the news talked about the problems before, but collapse? Never.

2/12

The attempt to add amendments to HR 8035 exposed the pro-Putin Fifth Column in Congress. 12 congresspersons submitted 24 amendments that were based on or were pure Kremlin propaganda.

Say hello to the US House of Representatives Fifth Column.

🧵1/14 Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia led with 10 of the 24. She touched on almost every Kremlin talking point and submitted at least 13 additional amendments.

Nazis, Christian persecution, biolabs which not even the Kremlin pushes anymore, Transcarpatha, Zelenskyy legitimacy

2/14