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Shashank Joshi Profile picture
@shashj
Aug 10 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Kommersant reports from Kursk. General sense being chaos & abandonment by Moscow. “I want to understand where our state is at all? Where is the administration? I wish they could talk to us. We don't know anything at all… there's no one.” kommersant.ru/doc/6890223
“Why wasn't there a fucking evacuation? Everyone ran away as best they could - under fire, under kamikaze drones! Why did they lie on TV to the last? They said that the situation was stable” kommersant.ru/doc/6890223?fr…
“Tell the state that we want to see them. Let the state tell us the truth - what should we expect? Will we return to our homes or can we say goodbye to them? Well, at least some crumb of honest information from the state!” kommersant.ru/doc/6890223?fr…
‘I think we don't have Zhukov or Rokossovsky in the Ministry of Defense. It turned out that we only have crazy corruption there.."Are you going to win the war with such people?" Well, these are not toys, not tank biathlon!’ kommersant.ru/doc/6890223?fr…
“We had such a sincere rise of patriotism in 2022…then we saw that everything was not going as it should be. And they began to wonder - who made these plans at all? Maybe you shouldn't have thrown the guys to Kiev right away? Maybe we should have liberated Donbass first?”
“why have the Khokhly [Ukrainians] prepared for ten years … They showed their face at the Olympics—Satanists & faggots. Why complain now that they deceived us. Ordinary people look and do not understand how such people could be trusted at all.” kommersant.ru/doc/6890223?fr…
‘And we also don't understand why we are not told the truth. The enemy entered our territory, and on TV they said, "This is an emergency." What an incident when other people's tanks are on our land! This war is already concrete!’ kommersant.ru/doc/6890223?fr…

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More from @shashj

Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Aug 8
Struck by the fact that we can barely work out with confidence which Ukrainian brigades & what proportion of them are properly in in Kursk, let alone if anything is in reserve & what precisely is happening. OSINT can be absolutely magical, and sometimes incredibly limiting.
And so beware wild evidence free speculation however enjoyable it feels. Image
This seems to have been taken as a complaint. It is not. It is a comparison between the relatively high levels of battlefield transparency we have become used to, esp. when front lines are static, to when they become fluid & when Ukr prioritises surprise.
Read 4 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Aug 4
“The son of immigrants.” For these people, we’ll never really be British.
Image
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A couple of other lines in that which stand out. Goodwin cites: “The creeping sense of lawlessness.”
Reality: “Crime in England and Wales has fallen to its lowest level on record…Incidents of violent crime have dropped by 28% in the year to June 2023.” bbc.co.uk/news/uk-671619…
Image
“ONS reported that victimisation rates shown by the CSEW have been decreasing in the long term. They peaked in the year ending December 1995, when 4.7% of adults were a victim of violent crime. Rates have remained below 2% since the year ending March 2014” lordslibrary.parliament.uk/trends-in-viol…
Read 5 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Jul 25
🧵 While I am going through notes, there is also a good discussion here between @StaciePettyjohn & @NarangVipin, the US' Secretary of Defense for Space Policy (and an MIT professor). Some interesting bits on nuclear policy/strategy incl. NATO nuclear posture.
Narang says scenario "flipped" from cold war, where NATO planned nuclear first use. "NATO is the conventionally superior [one]. And so the muscle memory we have from the Cold War is not actually not as applicable...the central challenge is how do we deter Ru first employment "
Narang: "we are [now] developing that muscle memory, how do we deter Russian first employment, particularly non-strategic nuclear weapons, or I like to refer to them ... as treaty unaccountable nuclear weapons". Says NATO has made major progress in two years on this.
Read 24 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Jul 23
Important from @DanWBlack. "Mounting evidence" from early 2023 on "indicates that multiple Russian cyber units have shifted their sights away from strategic civilian targets toward soldiers’ computers & mobiles endpoints" for "tactical military objectives" rusi.org/explore-our-re…
"This change in operational focus has been cross-cutting, with Russian military intelligence (GRU) and the domestic security service (FSB) – long renowned for rivalry and mistrust – unifying their earlier disjointed cyber efforts" rusi.org/explore-our-re…
"the [Ukrainian] military’s dependence on free encrypted messaging applications (EMAs), such as Signal for secure operational communication, has made the ability to eavesdrop on these devices of paramount importance for both the GRU and the FSB." rusi.org/explore-our-re…
Read 7 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Jul 12
A thread on the new RUSI report on tactical lessons from the IDF in Gaza principally in Gaza City in 2024. ("Hamas commanders were not accessible for interview", they note)

(PDF of report)rusi.org/explore-our-re…
static.rusi.org/tactical-lesso…
On Oct 7, RUSI notes that although Hamas combat groups "had been instructed to train and equip for the assault and capture of Israeli villages & IDF outposts for some time, these small-scale exercises by individual Hamas units had become somewhat routine." static.rusi.org/tactical-lesso…
On Hamas' operational and communications security: "The original [Hamas] breaching force also operated with effective communications discipline, with very little use of mobile phones or other communications systems until they were engaged by the IDF." static.rusi.org/tactical-lesso…
Read 17 tweets
Shashank Joshi Profile picture
Jul 12
Cable security, Norway style. 'He and his brother, who’s a year younger, have never seen anyone suspicious, but if anyone did try to break in, they’re prepared: “We’d shoot them,” he deadpans, “with harpoons.”' bloomberg.com/features/2024-…
"Last year the Norwegian military released videos showing Russian nuclear attack subs patrolling off Norway’s coast and following the routes of undersea gas pipelines and telecommunications cables." bloomberg.com/features/2024-…
"But one ship, a 197-foot-long, Russian-flagged trawler called the Saami, had behaved differently. Traveling at about 10 knots, it had passed back and forth over the LoVe cable at least four times." bloomberg.com/features/2024-…
Read 5 tweets

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