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Aug 10 11 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Kursk Offensive Day 5 Update 10 AUG 2024 16:45 PDT

Retweet appreciated

Breach: 58.9 km
Depth: up to 28.0 km
Ukraine control: 536 sq km (high confidence🟧)
Gray area: another 320.7 sq km (🟨)
Total area: 856.7 sq km

🏁= Ukrainian presence visually confirmed

1/n


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Russian sources claim, without evidence, that Ukrainian forces occupied Krasnooktyabrskoe and reached the eastern edge of Korenevo. No change at Korenevo. Russian claim extended from Snagost to Krasnooktyabrskoe.

Kursk
2/n Image
There was a small argument on the team that Russian info about fighting in Viktorovka was both the one by Mala Loknya and near Uspenovka - info was getting conflated. (e.g. Myrne vs Myrne)

We did not adjust the map, but the area by Uspenovka is lit up on NASA FIRMS.

Kursk
3/n
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Russian claimed Iskander-M missile strike on Ukrainian position west of Semenovka. In our assessment, Ukrainian forces traveled on side roads from Zelenyi Shlyakh.

Russian video did not provide adequate ISR or BDA. We marked the area and route as Russian claimed.

Kursk
4/n Image
We pulled back the Russian claimed advance to Shagarovo after geolocating WarGonzo's Seymon "three-toed" Pegov larping north of Bolshoe Soldatskoe at a B-21 Grad MLRS.

Kursk
5/n Image
Russian sources are in disagreement on the status of Marynovka. It's occupied. Ukrainian forces were defeated. It's partially occupied. There's been no evidence of Ukrainian troops in Martynovka. We split the difference and put a small salient in the southern part

Kursk
6/n Image
Ukrainian forces were visually confirmed in Makhnovka, and multiple Russian sources report that the settlement is under full Ukrainian control. Map updated.

Kursk
7/n Image
Several geolocations of Ukrainian forces south of Oleshnya, Melovoi, and Kurilovka. We are now confident the area west of the Psel River to the Russian-Ukrainian border is under Ukrainian control.

Russians claim, without evidence, Plekhovo is Ukrainian occupied.

Kursk
8/n Image
Russians claim, without evidence, fighting is ongoing in Kucherov. Russians also claim, without evidence, that Ukraine has occupied Giri, where the Russian Railways Psel Train Station is located.

Russian government ordered Belitsa evacuated.

Marked Russian claimed.

Kursk
9/n
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Russians claim that Tetkino was heavily shelled and that communications and cellular infrastructure were destroyed.

If it's true, it's going to be hard to verify because communications and cell service are allegedly knocked out.

Kursk
10/n Image
Our resources and channels:

09 August 2024 Russia-Ukraine War Report Podcast (produced in Kyiv)

09 August 2024 Situation Report

Our Russia-Ukraine War Map


Retweets appreciated

Kursk
11/11 FINlink.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
patreon.com/posts/russia-u…
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…

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More from @MalcontentmentT

Aug 11
Kursk Offensive
Day 6 Update 11 AUG 2024 12:45 PDT

Retweet appreciated

Breach: 63.6 km
Depth: up to 28.0 km
Ukraine control: 611 sq km (high confidence🟧)
Gray area: another 337 sq km (📷)
Total area: 948 sq km

🏁= Ukrainian presence visually confirmed

1/n


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If you missed our 10 AUG 2024 16:45 PDT Update, you can find it here.


You can also visit our war map


Kursk
2/n
google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie…
Russian sources insist fighting is ongoing in Tetkino. Added a small Russian claimed area

Russian sources claim, without evidence, that Gordeevka is occupied. We moved Viktorovka and Gordeevka to Russian claimed (see yesterday's thread about Viktorovka)

Kursk
3/n
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Read 12 tweets
Aug 9
Kursk Offensive Day 4 🧵
Update: 09 AUG 2024 13:15 PDT

Yellow Zone is Russian-claimed

Breach: 56.8 km
Depth: up to 21.2 sq km
Ukraine control: 528.4 sq km (moderate confidence)
Gray area: another 246 sq km
Total area: 776.4 sq km

🏁= Ukrainian presence visually confirmed

1/n


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We noticed that the media is quoting our work (with attribution). Thank you, and hello. There is more about us at the end of the thread.

We pulled back the Ukrainian advance in the direction of Snagost because, after multiple Russian claims, there's no evidence.

2/n Image
Ukrainian forces announced the capture of Sudzha and are visually confirmed in the village of Dmitriukov, 4.82 km from where Ukrainian troops made their capture claim at the Gazprom offices in Sudzha

Ukrainian forces also confirmed in southern Goncharovka

3/n Image
Read 9 tweets
Jul 1
Presidential Immunity

My wife was born, went to university, and started her career in a country where the government collapsed.

Years ago I asked her, what were the warning signs? What was going on in the months, weeks, and days before the government failed?

1/12
Her answer stunned me.

"Nothing."

You ate dinner, cleaned up, went to bed, woke up in the morning, and the news tells you the government failed.

No warning signs.

Nothing.

It just happened.

Yes, the news talked about the problems before, but collapse? Never.

2/12
In the immediate days that follow, you wake up, get dressed, make your tea, eat some bread and sausage, and get on the bus to go to work - or walk if it is a nicer day.

People talk about what's happening, but life goes on.

Until it doesn't.

3/12
Read 12 tweets
Apr 20
The attempt to add amendments to HR 8035 exposed the pro-Putin Fifth Column in Congress. 12 congresspersons submitted 24 amendments that were based on or were pure Kremlin propaganda.

Say hello to the US House of Representatives Fifth Column.

🧵1/14 Image
Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia led with 10 of the 24. She touched on almost every Kremlin talking point and submitted at least 13 additional amendments.

Nazis, Christian persecution, biolabs which not even the Kremlin pushes anymore, Transcarpatha, Zelenskyy legitimacy

2/14
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Coming in second place was Andy Ogles, a Republican from Tennessee. Ogles submitted 3 amendments based on pure Russian propaganda, Nazis, and more Nazis, and fed the narrative that the US is providing direct military support in amendments 2, 3, & 73

3/14 Image
Read 14 tweets
Apr 11
Three questions.

1) Does the Geneva Conventions/International Humanitarian Law consider oil refineries a civilian target?

2) Does established US Military doctrine consider refineries civilian targets?

3) Has The Hague or the UN ever considered the question?

A 🧵 1/11
The @ICRC is the keeper of International Humanitarian Law (IHL) and is assigned by the Geneva Conventions as the international watchdog. IHL is published online, with the doctrine of dozens of miliaries and previous case law. Here is the link.

2/11

ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-i…
Rule 8 of IHL defines a military target. The original 1907 language was clear, but the Geneva Conventions added ambiguity by changing "military works" to "military objective" without definition.

3/11

ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-i…


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Read 11 tweets
Oct 29, 2023
The amount of disinformation circulating on TikTok about Israel-Hamas is astounding.

We're also seeing clear signs of paid disinformation campaigns that started between October 15 and 20 that are well-funded and sophisticated.

A very short 🧵

1/8
Troll farms and "oppositional marketing firms" will hack, create and store, and buy real social media accounts to use for their purposes. Yes, there is a secondary market for people who decide they don't want their Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, etc., and sell them.

2/8
With election and COVID disinformation, TikTok was too new of a platform for this tactic. Not anymore.

We're seeing a growing number of accounts that went dormant in 2020-2021, with totally new creators talking only about Israel-Palestine, a subject not previously covered.

3/8
Read 8 tweets

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