The 5th day of the Kursk Incursion According to open sources
Tactical Analysis
Thread🧵
August 10th or Day 5 of the operation was a relatively quite day where both sides managed to achieve some tactical gains
Overnight a Ukrainian element of the 80th Air assault brigade conducted a raid towards Anastasevka through the countryside, after being struck the group apparently retreated.
Meanwhile on the eastern flank the Russians continued to bring up more reserves including units from Kharkiv.
The eastern front by now has started to become more static as both sides consolidate.
The Russians for August 10th put their focus on the Isolated Ukrainian position at Martynovka aiming to open the R200 highway.
Indications show that the Ukrainians in the early morning tried to take back lost positions near Kruglik and most likely succeeding in dislodging them.
Soon after the Russian Marine units most likely of the 155th Brigade launched a series of counter attacks onto the Ukrainian positions.
The differences from yesterdays counter attacks is the avenue of attack and the lack of heavy equipment which worked out to their favor as the Ukrainians were not able to use tank and mortar support at such distances.
The first Russian assault unit (which could have acted as a reconnaissance element) was repelled in the morning without much hustle as the Ukrainians were pretty well dug into the village.
A couple hours later the Russians assaulted the village focusing on the southern height, this time more successfully and by the evening the Ukrainian troops would be forced to withdraw north and out of the village
Inside Sudzha both sides further consolidated, the Ukrainians gained more control over Central Sudzha and secured the localities to the south by crossing the Suzhda Psel river with Svoboda Rusiya elements.
In the morning the village of Plekhovo was assaulted by Svoboda Rusiya elements, the attempt was unsuccessful but later in the day the Ukrainians would assault it again more successfully.
In kerenevo inactivity persists, only rotations and regrouping has been observed during Day 5
I have heard the news of the "Breakthrough" in Belitsa but I haven't received any information so I'm not going to comment on it today.
Thanks for reading.
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The Fourth day of the Kursk Incursion According to open sources
Tactical Analysis
Thread🧵
As of the 9th of August the Russian Intelligence perplexed by the situation on the first days and unable to properly identify enemy formations would start to be more efficient
The previous day reserves started to form up in the towns of Bol'shoe Soldatskoe and Belitsa, the Ukrainians didn't expect them to be engaged so soon instead they expected them to wait for a higher concentration but they would be proven wrong.
The Third day of the Kursk Incursion According to open sources
Tactical Analysis
Thread🧵
During such operations every minute matters and speed is of the essence. Currently Ukraine is in a race against time trying to secure their operational goals before a Russian response is possible.
During the last thread I got shuttle criticism about the fact that I don't properly cover the Russian forces, which is valid but tracking ragtag groupings formed the same day combined with troops from multiple units is not the easiest thing to do.
But I'll try to anyways.
The Second day of the Kursk Incursion According to open sources
Tactical Analysis
Thread🧵
On August 6th the Ukrainians launched a new cross-border operation inside Russia's Kursk Oblast, this time with actual UGF units equipped with western equipment
Day 1 of the operation has already been covered by me yesterday
I want to say for the more sensitive chaps reading this that no information that is not already known to the Russians has or will be shared all these analysis are 1 day late and covering the events of the previous day.
The Kursk Incursion According to open sources
Tactical Analysis
Quick Thread🧵
Yesterday a Ukrainian Mixed BTG from the 82nd Air Assault brigade crossed the border into Kursk Oblast with the objective of breaching the border's minefields and destroying the weak Russian Border Guard elements there.
The BTG would be have all battalion CSS assets such as POL and Ammo trucks, Field Kitchens etc
Engineering assets would also be attached such as the M1132 Stryker Minefield Breaching vehicle the specific vehicle we saw was using Mine rollers.
I want to talk about this video from @MilHiVisualized and address certain things using some Velika novosilka engagements.
Thread🧵
First, I want to talk about ISR and staging areas.
After the Counter offensive units finished their training in late may, they got deployed into their rear staging areas around Pokrovske specifically chosen because they had Large Towns and forested areas. 1/2
These areas failed to conceal the Ukrainian Grouping.
It's unclear if the Ukrainians made attempts to further conceal their elements on the battalion to Plt levels but still, it was very clear that the operation was gonna happen at this specific sector.
the French AASMs will be a direct contributor to the Russian FAB250 with a Conversion kit for guidance.
This cheap conversion has allowed the Russians to fire 10s if not 100s of Bombs a day from 70kms away
The French AASMs are technologically superior in many ways to the Russian UMPK FABs but they cost more than 20 times extra.
Of course the Russian don't just use Glide bombs, they also use KABs which have a shorter range but are more technologically advanced