THREAD Putin has removed Army's Gerasimov from command over Kursk operation, installed FSB's Portnikov. This is great. Let me explain: 1) Russian system of power always set on the secret police over the Army. The Secret Police was over-financed over-empowered for centuries /1
1.1) In 16th century, Moscovy's tyrant Ivan the Terrible has created Moscovy's first Secret Police: "Oprichnina" (literally: the special ones), letting them arrest, torture, kill, rape any opposition, and seize their property. Ivan's opponents were destroyed. But in 1570... /2
1.2) ...Ivan the Terrible sent the Oprichnikis against free people of Revel (Tallinn), in a war of conquest. The Oprichnikis were beaten. In 1571, the Oprichnikis were called to fight back Tatar Devlet-Girei khan. They have not even come to the battle (see Kadyrovtsy today) /3
2) Still, Moscow continued providing any secret police with privilege. Moscow Tsars feared local opposition more than a foreign threat, so a well-funded secret police was of a higher value, while army wasn't trusted. In 1803, Emperor Nikolai I founded a "secret police regiment"/4
2.1) Which was practically a top-armed army-style unit of the "His Emperor Majesties Own Chancellory's 3rd dept.", or a Russian Gestapo. Of course, this regiment, lavishly funded, has never recorded any significant victory besides oppressing uprisings. It existed until 1861 /5
3) Under Stalin, "The NKVD troops" were created (what was an oxymoron, as NKVD stays for "People's commissariat for internal affairs"), best armed, with personal loyalty to Stalin. Their best operations? Scorching Ukrainian, Lithuanian, Latvian, and Estonian towns after WWII. /6
4) This played bad for the NKVD. After Stalin's death in 1953, Khrushchev organised a coup against NKVD-top Beria, and the Army, humiliated often enough by the NKVD, gladly took over Moscow and executed Beria. Watch "Death of Stalin" comedy (which is not a comedy) for this /7
5) In early 2000s, it was FSB (Russia's modern secret police) which provided Putin with final pacification of Chechnya, what looks like an FSB's victory. But before the FSB was able to kidnap, torture, rape, execute Chechens, it was the Army which burnt Chechnya down. /8
6) So now the FSB takes the task of repelling a foreign invasion, because the Army is not good enough for this (which is true). But what can the FSB do? They can only pacificate (with a lot of terror) already occupied territories. Good luck with that with your black SS uniforms.
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And: The FSB will probably get Ukrainian uniforms and demonstratively execute local Russians, to create "evidence of Ukraine's brutality". This is what NKVD/MGB/KGB did in the West of Ukraine to undercut support for the Resistance, and later FSB did in Ichkeria. That's why FSB.
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I see many people post their wishful thinking ideas about NATO supremacy in a future war against russia. They mention air dominance, technological dominance, and other myths. In this thread, I explain why they are wrong. /1
(And plz donate for 🇺🇦 drones: )paypal.com/donate?campaig…
First, many people believe, drones are a weapon of weak/poor nations. Like terrorism is. It is not true. Drones are new machine guns, creating incredible firepower potential for lowest level units. Approaching a drone battalion like approaching a machine gun team having rifles./2
Second: many believe, air dominance of the West solves drones problem. It does not. No NATO country has enough air force (and ammo!) to evaporate thousands of miles of a frontline amid at least minimal enemy air defense. “But we won the Gulf war!” - yes, 35 years ago. /3
As a person who was born and socialised in russia, I tell you what Putin and russia think about having a Putin-Trump meeting in Alaska.
It means Putin goes to... russia. Let me explain why - in this thread.
First, you need to know that the "Alaska myth" is essential for russia /1
In my school in a town close to Moscow, I was taught in geography class in 1990s, that russia has never sold Alaska to the U.S., but leased it for 100 years. That the U.S. have later forged the contract and broken the original one. That Alaska is russian. /2
In 1991 already, russian band "Lyube" has composed a chauvinist song "Don't be silly America" with a call "give us back Alaska, our native russian land". "Lyube" was one of putin's favourite bands. Note how they sing in military uniforms from the WW2, a common style in 2020s. /2
Tu-95 strategic bombers, destroyed en mass today by Ukraine's FPV drones, are not only a backbone of russia's aviation. Tu-95 was designed in 1950s, with its NK-12 engines created by a Nazi SS colonel Ferdinand Brandner, a POW in the USSR. It is a flying diesel punk Nazi crap ⬇️
Brandner was a Nazi engine designer, taken by the Soviets. He started to work for another genocidal regime, and has created the NK-12 engine, until today the largest turboprop engine. After his release in 1955, Brandner worked for antisemitic Egypt and for communist China. ⬇️
Tu-95 remains the only reliable plane for the russians, as it can carry a necessary payload of multiple cruise missiles (as many missiles fail by start, and 70-80% get shot down by Ukrainian AirDefense, russia depends on massive launches, so Tu-160 or Tu-22M cannot do this job)⬇️
A brilliant Ukrainian scholar Valery Pekar nails it: as @realDonaldTrump says, #Putin went crazy, smth happened to him, he started killing people, this marks a core Western delusion about russia: "they are organically democratic and good, the current war is just a deviation". ⬇️
Too many Western decision takers, thinkers, multiplicators believe that russia is basically a democratic culture with great culture, and any terror phase is a sort of a "mental disease", a deviation which can be healed (for instance, by removing Putin and installing Navalny).⬇️
In reality, the opposite is true: being a genocidal empire is a natural, healthy condition for russia. The concept of russia was created in the 1700s exactly as a borderless, perpetually expanding body, built on terror. It can mimic democratic institutions but never adopts them⬇️
THREAD What we witness now from the White House, is a clear smearing campaign aimed not only at @ZelenskyyUa but on Ukraine at whole. Zelensky is being used as a target, but with a goal to weaken Ukraine in whole, and to strengthen Moscow. Let me explain: 👇
President @ZelenskyyUa was verbally attacked by President Trump many times, with the following four main accusation lines:
a) Zelensky is ungrateful
b) Zelensky is corrupt
c) Zelensky is a dictator
d) Zelensky has started the war / is interested in war.
Nothing is true. 2/x👇
@ZelenskyyUa President Zelensky has thanked the U.S. people dozens of times for the help provided. "Corruption" is a typical russian lie, used also by russia-friendly voices, who claimed with no proves that Ukraine-delivered arms were "stolen". But let us address other accusations 3/x👇
Some thoughts on recent russian missile attacks on Ukrainian cities 1) russia is facing a huge and growing problem with its offensive slowing down, unsustainably high losses, and even some Ukrainian counter-offensive in Pokrovsk region; 2) russia uses two tactics to counter it:👇
3) First, russia starts "negotiations". The goal is to slow Ukraine down, to limit Ukrainian striking freedom (ban Ukrainian strikes on the Black Sea navy, on russian oil refineries etc.), while accumulating military power; 4) Second, russia increases PsyOps against Ukraine. 👇
4.1) russia's missile strikes on Ukraine's cities are demonstratively brutal: ballistic missiles with cluster munition warheads aiming civilians' gatherings, incl. children playgrounds;
4.2) at the same time, russia spreads false info that they have targeted military personnel👇