A large number of genuine Ukrainian accounts I follow on different social media (and in many cases I personally know people behind them) are looking positively towards Trump's presidency, and see him as a hope for any true action. This shows how much Biden has pissed off Ukraine. I stress: I don't say if Trump is good or bad. I say: many Ukrainians who risk their life daily, many at the front, are glad that Biden's team leaves the stage. They are well aware of Trump's ambiguity, and of what he & his team said about 🇺🇦 or Putin. Still they are relieved.

THREAD The real problem in communication btw Ukraine and its allies is the total lack of a common post-war world vision ➡️ the lack of a common goal. 🇺🇦 goal is to guarantee survival of the 🇺🇦 state AND of 🇺🇦nation, AND to achieve sustainable security for them in the future. 1/8 This goal is impossible to achieve without a full military defeat of Russia, and either significant demilitarization of Russia, or a significant increase of Ukraine’s military capacities, including gigantic long-range strike capacities (cruise missiles and Air Force). 2/8

I have just return from a very interesting NATO conference in Yerevan, Armenia. As much as the conference was amazing, the contrast to practically Russia-occupied country was grotesque. Lots of signs of Russia’s dominance: from cinema Moscow to purely Russian advertising /1


Russian plates on luxury cars, Russian announcements regarding the Eurasian Economic Union in the airport, Russian business lounges, tasteless Russian ad of “Crude Oil Vodka” /2

The event at Germany’s army academy @FueAkBwHH has started. Ukraine‘s honorary consul Iryna Tybinka: Ukrainians are tired, but everyone understands: we have no choice but to fight. Those who demand a sort of cease fire, or stop of arms delivery, demand our death. /1

Marcus @MarcusFaber: Ukrainians defend us all with their fight, we need to be thankful. I visit Ukraine regularly, have been five times in Ukraine, and speak with civilians and NGOs, they know why they fight. /2

A marvelous explosion of a Russian ammunition depot in Toropets, Tver region, north-west from Moscow, after a Ukrainian drone has hit it last night. More video from this morning in Russian #Tver region where an ammunition depot has been demilitarized by a Ukrainian drone.

Why does the @POTUS administration effectively support Russia in this war? It’s not because they like Putin (like Trump does). The reason is different (but makes no difference in the result)
1) Biden’s team thinks in categories of red lines. This means, a superpower has core… /1 …interests. Everything outside of them is just spare change. But core interests may not be violated. If they do, the very existence of the superpower is threatened, and it goes into survival rage mode.
2) Biden’s delusional team thinks, Ukraine is not a core thing for Russia /2

THREAD Putin has removed Army's Gerasimov from command over Kursk operation, installed FSB's Portnikov. This is great. Let me explain:
1) Russian system of power always set on the secret police over the Army. The Secret Police was over-financed over-empowered for centuries /1 1.1) In 16th century, Moscovy's tyrant Ivan the Terrible has created Moscovy's first Secret Police: "Oprichnina" (literally: the special ones), letting them arrest, torture, kill, rape any opposition, and seize their property. Ivan's opponents were destroyed. But in 1570... /2

Some thoughts on Ukraine's #Kursk offensive (THREAD):
1) The operation is a clear surprise for the Russian. It demonstrates Ukraine's capacity to prepare a large-scale attack in secrecy. White House was not informed for a reason
2) First time Ukraine's mech brigade is involved /1 2) This is a clear sign of Ukraine's upscaling and confidence that Russia has no resources to "escalate back". Putin's "it is just a provocation" reaction confirms this assessment;
3) Ukraine reaches several goals. First, Russia's need to pull troops from Pokrovsk turns urgent /2

A fact which many ignore: Kyiv was a capital city already in the 9th century at least, with Ukrainian trident being used as a coat of arms by Volodymyr the Great in the same century. This makes Ukrainians one of the oldest nations in Europe with the same capital and emblem. More on history of Ukraine's Trident:
istpravda.com.ua/articles/2010/…

Germany's intelligence agency BfV says, islamist terrorists had entered Germany under cover of Ukrainian passports, pretending to be Ukrainian refugees. These terrorists can attack soft targets amid the EURO football cup. Most probably, this is a Russia-run operation. THREAD: /1 Amid Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Russia has seized thousands of authentic Ukrainian passports. The seizure was so massive, even Russian private persons were selling Ukrainian passports online stressing that this helps to enter the EU. Of course, the GRU used them too. /2

The Ukraine-US security agreement is not a mutual defense agreement (see the title). It's a security agreement, and as such, it creates very broad fundament for cooperation in all possible fields: from intelligence to weapons development. Let me elaborate in this short THREAD: /1 The mutual defense mechanisms are clearly linked to the NATO future of Ukraine, as reaffirmed in the Preamble. The same Preamble stresses the goal of restoration of Ukraine's full control of its territory and a right for self-defence in accordance to the Art. 51 UN Charter. /2

Social Democrats' top candidate for the European Parliament @katarinabarley enjoys a clear parallel to "Catharine the Great" ('Katarina die Große' in German), a Russian tyrant of German origin, @EFDavies points out. Putin's Merkel was also Catharine-obsessed. More in this THREAD:



Catharine II, self-named "the Great", was a Russian-German tyrant. Catharine was a murderer, usurper and authored the the most cruel slavery laws for Russia. She was also admired by both Angela Merkel, who had her portrait on her table, and Putin. /2
faz.net/aktuell/feuill…

New drone fundraiser, together with @BrennpunktUA & @frontlinekit to defend #Kharkiv 🇺🇦 launching now‼️

German 🇩🇪 developers together with "Achilles" 92nd", & Ukrainian 🇺🇦 production created a "custom made drone", & now they need your help.🫶

PayPal 🔗 .paypal.com/donate?campaig… Over 10% raised within less than one hour.

Ok, I observe Varwick at a panel discussion in Hamburg (will debate with him later today). Within the first 30 minutes, he manages to say that:

1) Russia has legitimate security interests, and the West hat massive violated these interests;
2) There is nothing bad in German economic cooperation with Russian high-tech companies which develop surveillance device in Russia, because economy. International trade with dictatorships is necessary. Otherwise Russia buys it from China anyway;
3) NATO with all its 10-times higher military resources comes closer to Russia's borders, "invaded Kosovo against Russia's will", bombarded Lybia etc.

And this looks to be just an appetiser. 4) praised Nord Stream 2 as a tool of mutual dependencies and improved climate policy;
5) smears opponents as "activists" and names himself an expert and a scientist;

A destruction of a multi-storeys building in Russia-controlled #Bilhorod (#Belgorod) could not be a Ukrainian hit. It is either a Russian attack (deliberately or not), or a Russian false flag operation (most probably). Let me elaborate on this. THREAD: 1) This could not be a Ukrainian attack. Until now, Ukrainians have not attacked civilian buildings in Russia. If it was a missile or a dropped bomb, it came from the north-east, i.e. from deeper Russia's territory. For the same reason, it was not "a 🇺🇦 intercepted missile". /2

A Russian male murdered two Ukrainians in Germany yesterday. Before, reportedly a Russian couple killed a Ukrainian mother to kidnap her baby - in Germany. Before, two Ukrainian teenager were stabbed in Germany allegedly out of anti-Ukrainian hate. German politicians keep silent. Early this full-scale invasion, one obviously Russia-staged “arsonist attack” in the night at a Russian school - with one door damaged - was enough for our federal politicians to make a public statements on how they support the Russians in Germany. But not this time. Priorities.

In Russia, May 9th is coming, a holiday of the most disgusting death cult. Russia does not celebrate the WWII end, as many believe, but suffering and death, as their slogan says "we can (gladly) repeat it" (можем повторить). On this day, they dream of death for their children. /1 Since years, Russians paraded their children, even toddlers, in WWII military uniforms and let them play suffering and death. Russian mothers enjoyed seeing their children playing suffering. It is a sadistic dream of sacrificing even their own children, not speaking of others. /2

THREAD The West still does not understand, why Ukrainians are insulted by the Western flirt with Navalnists. The problem is not only Navalnists' imperialistic mode, but the fact, that they repeatedly spoke against arming Ukraine. Navalny himself and his team did it. /1 After calling not to send weapons to Ukraine in 2015, in 2021, from his prison cell, Navalny criticised sending Javelines to Ukraine instead of financing his YouTube channel. Addressing the Russians via YouTube (which can easily be blocked) is more important, he said. /2

Some thoughts on #IranAttackIsrael:
1) #Iran has launched 185 drones and 36 tonight. This is comparable to what Ukraine faces during large Russian attacks
2) Many drones+missiles were intercepted by jets, with UK and US help
3) Ukraine has no jets, few AD, and no allies helping 4) Ukraine faces the same drones, and more sophisticated missiles from the same enemy alliance of Russia and Iran. In the eyes of Moscow and Teheran, it is a part of the same world war they fight against the West. Just give Ukraine jets and air defence, if we don’t send troops.

THREAD Sorry, I cannot stop posting this. Russia commits horrific crimes on both occupied territories AND along the front line, deliberately bombing civilian population. Russia's goal is genocide of Ukrainians. Let me elaborate on this in the following thread: /1

https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1777390939943608398

2) Beyond attacks on Ukrainian civilians, Russia systematically violates Geneva conventions, torturing and executing Ukrainian POWs (more in the linked thread): /2

https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1777660640917680279

THREAD Russian soldiers executed three Ukrainian POWs in Krynky, Kherson region, recorded the execution and published it. This is by far not the first execution of Ukrainian POWs, and clearly a part of Russia's strategy. Let me address it in this thread. /1 In March 2023, Russians have forced a Ukrainian POW Oleksandr Matsiyevsky to dig his own grave, and videorecordered it. As he exclaimed "Slava Ukraini" (Glory to Ukraine), he was executed by several bullets from an assault gun. /2