Russian sources insist fighting is ongoing in Tetkino. Added a small Russian claimed area
Russian sources claim, without evidence, that Gordeevka is occupied. We moved Viktorovka and Gordeevka to Russian claimed (see yesterday's thread about Viktorovka)
Kursk 3/n
Russian sources claim, without evidence, Kucherov, Milaevka, and Goptarovka are Ukrainian occupied. We expanded Russia claimed to Milaevka and Goptarovka
Russian claims, without evidence, Kolotilovka and Bezymeno (Belgorod) are occupied
Kursk 4/n
We have 4 independent reports that Snagost is occupied, and Rybar (meh) has it mapped since August 7. Based on the reports we changed from Russian claimed to Ukrainian occupied.
Three independent claims Krasnooktyabrskoe is occupied. Also mapped.
Kursk 5/n
Russian strike on Ukrainian positions south of Olgovka and southwest of Kremyanoe. Multiple Russians claim that in the last 48 hours, Olgovka occupied and fighting in/near Kremyanoe and near Korenevo. Expanded Ukrainian occupied from Zelenyi Shlyakh.
Kursk 6/n
Russia claimed that Martynovka was cleared of Ukrainian troops yesterday, now multiple claims of fighting in the settlement. Russian troops visually confirmed on the eastern edge. Map was adjusted.
Kursk 7/n
Multiple Russian claims that Ukraine has captured Plekhovo and multiple geolocations of Ukrainian forces in Guevo, west of the Psel River.
Changed Plekhovo to Ukrainian controlled.
Kursk 8/n
Is Ukraine setting conditions near Tetkino? A Russian 2S43 Malva 152mm self-propelled howitzer was destroyed near Kalinina, and a Russian military truck was destroyed in Vesseloe. This is in addition to the 10 August 2024 reports of communications knocked out.
Kursk 9/n
In Rylsk, the E-38 Highway Bridge over the Seym River was damaged by a munition. Damage is on the edge of the bridge, and it is still passable. Unclear what munition was used.
Kursk 10/n
Russia has started building static defenses south of the E-38 Highway near Rassolovo and the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant. Construction on Unit 2 is suspended. Yes, both operational reactors are RBMK-1000s built before Chornobyl, but they have added safety upgrades.
Kursk 11/n
Our resources and channels:
09 August 2024 Russia-Ukraine War Report Podcast (produced in Kyiv)
09 August 2024 Situation Report
Are They Federal Agents or Federally Appointed Goon Squads
Equipment, training, and tactics used in Newark and Worcester raise serious questions about who has been empowered by the federal government to enforce immigration law.
🧵
1/15
The video showing the arrest of Newark Mayor Ras Baraka is only 72 seconds long, but it raises many questions about who is enforcing the law.
Baraka has since been released, and new videos show that Congresspersons didn't "storm" Delaney Hall, and were granted peaceful access. This video happens outside of the Delaney perimeter.
2/15
At the start of the video, Mayor Ras Baraka is being held by an unknown individual not wearing a federally designated DHS/ICE uniform. The man behind him (blue jacket, American flag) has been identified as a Department of Homeland Security Investigations officer and the man who signed the arrest papers for Baraka.
Most of Russia's territorial gains were in the Toretsk-Niu York area of operation, capturing a handful of smaller settlements and villages and advancing using treelines into some fields.
203 casualties per sq km is brutal.
It's worth noting that Russia lost territory south and southwest of Pokrovsk, and we maintain that the area around Sribne is a giant gray area. Russian forces have not been observed west of the village since 10-12 April, and anything that was geolocated was obliterated.
It also appears that Ukrainian forces have finally stabilized new defensive lines in the Vremivka Ledge (Velyka Novosilka) area.
1/5
Coming into May, the areas that concern us the most include:
1️⃣The Russian bridgehead over the Oskil River north of Kupiansk - we maintain this should have been dealt with in February
2️⃣The Russian advance west of Terny/Yampolivka in the direction of Lyman and/or Borova
3️⃣Russia's reprioritization of capturing Kostiantynivka
2/5
In our assessment, the announced evacuation of families with children from several villages in the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast is more likely related to artillery and drone attacks and airstrikes.
Russian logistics in the Solone salient are FUBAR due to Ukrainian drones. We don't see a large-scale attack at Udachne and a Russian push to the west. Almost everything Russia is moving north of the Solona River is by foot, using the treelines and gullies.
The Port of Seattle shows a tariff-created consumer Armageddon coming?!?!
Not so fast, because the truth lies in the middle, and part of the story is being misrepresented.
1/6
You've probably seen this picture as proof that the Port of Seattle has no ships or containers left. Trucking has stopped, and the last ship from China arrived today.
This is Terminal 46, the closest to the Coleman Dock Ferry Terminal.
2/6
And the cranes were shut down in 2019 because they are outdated and don't have enough load capacity.
By the summer of 2023, the cargo containers at Terminal 46 were gone, and the 88-acre facility is now used to store new cars.
Since mid-March, Russia has carried out numerous multi-company and battalion-size daylight zerg rushes using cobbled-together Russian mechanized infantry formations. These attacks have not resulted in anything more than marginal gains. Repeated attacks by small groups of light infantry continue to be far more successful.
1/19
For the mechanized assaults, most don't even make it to the line of conflict, and what little does get past rarely consolidates any gains. In April, we noted two cases where not only did large mechanized assaults fail, but Russian forces ended up losing positions.
2/19
As soon as the localized Russian offensive goes sideways, light infantry and dismounts have no NCO corps to guide them. Videos show a lot of panic. Some run for cover in the treelines while others just rush across open fields. But there is no coordination. Drones pick them off. There is almost no close combat with small arms because they never reach the Ukrainian FLOT.
Israeli forces, police, national guard, internal security, Mossad, and the IDF are internationally known for their, shall we say, low tolerance.
Thousands arrested and held without charges for up to 5 months on sometimes questionable terrorist charges, a long list of accusations of human rights abuses.
Please don't mistake me for a pro-Palestinian. I'm anything but, and I am still embittered by the number of, ehem, "allies," that abandoned me on 8 October 2023 simply because they knew I am Jewish. No other reason. No, "hey tell me your thoughts on," just outright ended what I thought were friendships.
Sorry, I digressed. What's the cautionary tale?
1/10
In 2017, Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu was charged with corruption, and he has done everything in his power to drag out that trial while working to gut the power of the judicial branch.
Wait, this sounds familiar.
In 2023, Netanyahu and his far-right supporters were pushing to change the Israeli Constitution to raise the legal standard for Supreme Court decisions, which would essentially gut the court.
2/10
Israelis responded furiously to what they saw as a slide into authoritarianism and Netanyahu's attempt to avoid prosecution altogether.
In the summer of 2023, there were massive daily protests across Israel and general strikes, and something funny started to happen.
It's true! Zelenskyy does not have any cards because he's not playing poker. He just won a game of 3D chess.
The U.S. and Ukraine agree to immediately restore military aid and intelligence sharing and to a 30-day ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine War. Negotiations on the "mineral deal" will be restarted.
1/14
Over the weekend, President Trump, Secretary of State Rubio, Vice President JD Vance, and Elon Musk made inflammatory statements and false accusations directed at Ukraine. Zelenskyy and his team didn't take the bait.
Hours before today's negotiation, 337 drones attacked Russia, and according to the Russian Ministry of Defense, at least 91 targeted Moscow. 🧂🧂
Drones and missile and drone debris rained down across Moscow, closing airports, rail lines, and highways and killing and wounding dozens.
That was part of Zelenskyy's 3D chess.
2/14
Publicly and on the record, Zelenskyy is ready to accept a 30-day ceasefire. This undercuts the Trump administration and their surrogates talking points.
The U.S. responded by restoring military aid and intel sharing. This undercuts Trump administration critics talking points.
State Duma deputies are already saying there will be no ceasefire; Ukraine will use it to rearm/reconstitute its force in a month and attack us!