Ukraine's advance in the Kursk region is slowing down. This is expected because the element of surprise is now missing and Russia has begun to concentrate troops in these areas. Ukraine is gaining a foothold in these territories and Russia will now bomb its own cities in an 1/8
attempt to recapture the regions. Ukraine has transferred the war to Russian territory. Such events play a very important role in the morale of both Ukrainians and Russians. They just affect it differently. Russia's use of conscripts also causes indignation among their 2/8
mothers and reduces Putin's support from them as well. Although in Russia it is not the mood of the people that plays a role, but the mood in the army and special services. And Putin is cursed there. Ukraine is digging in and bringing up equipment, including long-range 3/8
artillery. A 203-MM Pion was spotted crossing the border with the Kursk region. Most likely, the pace of the offensive will slow down and Ukraine will try to advance along the border with Russia. For Ukraine, going to capture large cities does not make tactical sense and does 5/8
not save the lives of soldiers, but forcing the Russians to grind down their forces for another Russian village with a population of three grandmothers, while causing damage on their territory and getting hit in the head by FPV drones is a very real scenario. The exact number
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of Ukrainian reserves and how many troops were brought into Kursk is unknown. Ukraine's plans are also unknown. There are reports of a concentration of troops near the border with the Belgorod region. However, Russia is also making progress and they are approaching the border 7/8
of the city of Toretsk. In the New York area, the Russians are leveling the front. Apparently, Ukrainian forces are leaving the zone to avoid being surrounded. The fighting continues also in Vovchansk in Kharkiv region and near Kupiansk Russia has some advances. 8/8
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In Russia, a ban on gasoline exports is being introduced again. In the Telegram channel of the Russian government - "From September 1 to December 31, 2024, a temporary restriction on gasoline exports will again be in effect in Russia. A decree on this has been signed.
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The decision was made to maintain a stable situation on the fuel market during the period of ongoing seasonal demand and scheduled repairs carried out at oil refineries." Of course, they call "scheduled repairs" the recovery after the Ukrainian drones hit. Russia has not
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published data on gasoline production for several months. What is happening on the Russian market can only be understood from indirect reports. There is a shortage. Russian propaganda naturally does not talk about the attacks as the cause of the crisis. It calls it a "price
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One of the main achievements of the offensive in the Kursk region is how the situation affects the mood in the West. Ukraine is using Western weapons in the offensive and there has been no escalation from Russia. On the contrary, apart from whining about the attack at the UN, 1/7
there is no talk of a nuclear response. After a visit to Kiev, Senators Lindsey Graham and Richard Blumenthal is reported to have suggested during after trip to Kyiv this week that retired U.S. pilots could fly Ukraine's Western-donated F-16 fighter jets. "Additionally, 2/7
President Zelensky told us both that he would be looking to supplement his Air Force by establishing a program to enlist retired NATO F-16 fighter pilots. We support this effort." - statement says. Also in Kyiv, Graham praised the operation and called on the West to lift all 3/7
At the recent operational meeting with Putin, Acting Governor of the Kursk region Alexey Smirnov, Ukraine captured 28 settlements, but apparently these figures are greatly understated. Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi reported to Zelenskyy about the capture
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of 1,000 sq. km. Most likely, these are also slightly more optimistic figures. If Syrskyi's words are true, the territory captured by Ukraine in a week is comparable to what Russia has captured since the beginning of the year and only 131 sq. km less than Russia has captured
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since the beginning of its latest offensive, which began on October 10, 2023, reports Agentstvo news In any case, the advance continues, although Ukraine also has difficulties in the Pokrovsk direction. The Russians are approaching Hrodivka. But at the same time, evacuation
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1/6 china's statements and requests regarding the war in Ukraine should be ignored, given china's direct involvement in the war and its clear alignment with russia. Take by @joni_askola
2/6 china has commented on the situation in Kursk, indicating that it is closely monitoring the unfolding events in russia's Kursk region and urging all parties to de-escalate. This does not matter one bit.
3/6 china has clearly chosen a side and is deeply involved in the conflict, offering substantial support to russia. It is evident that china plays a significant role as russia's primary enabler in the conflict.
Russian Human Rights Commissioner Tatyana Moskalkova demanded that the UN condemn Ukraine's attack on the Kursk region. And not a word about the nuclear bomb. This situation in Kursk is an excellent example for the West that if Russia is dealt a serious blow, talk of
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escalation and the Red Button ceases. During the offensive on the Kursk region, the Ukrainian Armed Forces threw their most combat-ready units into battle, choosing the weakest point of the Russian border for the attack. A source in the Ukrainian General Staff told
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The Economist about this. Ukrainian vehicle have already been spotted near the village of Gir'i of the Kursk region, but it was possibly captured. At this time, Putin is recording a video address on the occasion of the opening of the International Military-Technical Forum
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1/8 Exactly what was needed: Do not underestimate the morale boost that the Kursk operation is bringing to Ukraine and its allies! Opinion by @joni_askola
2/8 We can speculate about many of Ukraine's potential political and symbolic objectives in the ongoing Kursk incursion, as well as some of the military objectives, but we are still far from having a complete understanding of the situation.
3/8 The planning, execution, and OPSEC of the operation on Ukraine's side have been impressive thus far. We can only hope for the same level of success to continue in the coming days and possibly even weeks of the operation.