Thread by @MalcontentmentT

Kursk Offensive Day 7 Update
12 AUG 2024 17:00 PDT

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Breach: 73.4 km
Depth: up to 28.0 km
Ukraine control: 689 sq km (high confidence🟧)
Russian claimed/gray area: 273 sq km (🟨)
Total area: 962 sq km

🏁= Ukrainian presence visually confirmed

1/n

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2/n
Kursk

https://x.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1822721351712743501

link.chtbl.com/rusukrwar
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Korenevo AO

There are conflicting reports about Snagost and Krasnooktyabrskoe. Reports on Snagost cover the spectrum from Ukrainian liberated, ongoing fight, and Russian control. We split the difference.

We moved Krasnooktyabrskoe back to Russia claimed

3/n
Kursk

Korenevo AO

Rybar claimed (we know, but few sources) that there is ongoing fighting in Tolpno. There are multiple reports of fighting in the area of Olgovka. We mapped Tolpno as Russian claimed using terrain analysis but are skeptical. DRG doing recon?

Kursk
4/n

Lgov Direction

Several geolocations show Ukrainian troops and armor in the area of Semenovka. Russians claim an attempted advance in the direction of Kauchuk. We still don't know how to map this area - remains Russian claimed. Which GLOC is Ukraine using?

Kursk
5/n

Lgov Direction

Russian claims of Ukrainian control in the area of Kromskie Byki and fighting near Durovo-Bobrik. On August 7, it was claimed Ukrainian DRG reached Kromoskie Byki. We're inclined to believe the new reports, but again, how did they get there? Which GLOC?

Kursk
6/n

Sudzha AO

Continued Russian claims of Ukrainian forces in or near Bolshoe Soldatskoe. Which GLOC?

Ukrainian forces are fighting in Cherkasskoe Porechnoe, and Russian claims of fighting in Kosita. Small adjustments to the map.

Kursk
7/n

Sudzha AO

Ukrainian IFV drove through the center of Sudzha, which appears abandoned, with dead Russian troops in the street.

You can't convince us that Russian troops are in the open marshes east of the geo.

Sudzha liberated.

Kursk
8/n

https://x.com/Harri_Est/status/1823021565371437160

Sudzha AO

Russian claims that Ukraine liberated Agronom and controlled Bondarevka. Another reason why we are convinced Sudzha is liberated.

We had previously assessed Bondaervka under Ukrainian control and moved Agronom to Russian claimed.

Kursk
9/n

Belaya AO

Ukrainian forces visually confirmed in eastern Plekhovo. Ukraine claims Borki was liberated, and Russian sources claim Ukraine controls Spalnoe. Using terrain analysis, we believe that Russian forces fell back north of the Psel River in that region.

Kursk
10/n

Belaya AO

Significant fighting in Giri with multiple geos. Ukrainian forces are experiencing the first documented heavy resistance. At least 3 BTR-4Es and a Senator lost.

Based on Ukraine's control of Spalnoe, terrain analysis was used to determine GLOC.

Kursk
11/n

Krasanaya Yaruga, Belgorod AO

Russians report fighting continues in Kucherov, and Ukraine controls Milaevka and Goptarovka. We believe these reports because we don't see Governor Gladkov announcing mandatory evacuation of the Krasnoyaruzhsky District...

Kursk
12/n

Krasanaya Yaruga, Belgorod AO

...only because of a Ukrainian attack on Kolotilovka. Ukrainian border raids are a day that ends in "Y" in the Belgorod region. But if Ukrainian forces reached the Belgorod-Kursk border at Milaevka and Goptarovka...

Kursk
12/n

Krasanaya Yaruga, Belgorod AO

...that puts Ukrainian forces behind the second echelon of the Prigozhin Line (the Kursk-Belgorod-occupied Kharkiv-Luhansk equivalent of the Surovikin Line). Now, a publicly disclosed mandatory evacuation order makes sense.

Kursk
13/n

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