unbanksy(real) Profile picture
Aug 13 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
So @OlympusDAO has started buyback-n-burn of $OHM, using DSR yield generated from $181M treasury. That's $83K per week.

But this isn't your typical buyback-n-burn: OHM can access its DAI backing by borrowing from itself at 81% LTV.

This creates a **leveraged** buyback: a single $1 of bid translates to $5.22 in leveraged bid. That's a very efficient buyback program!

Below I go into detail how a single week's worth of buyback moves the price +27% (many assumptions in there) 👇Image
First, you can track buybacks here:

$165K in DAI represents 2 weeks worth but I use a single week in my calcs = $83K

To find how much OHM you can buyback, we know that protocol has $4.5M in OHM-ETH liquidity. Most of $83K bid pressure will go through this LP.debank.com/profile/0xf7de…
There are 3 parts to the buyback:

1. Buy OHM from LP
2. Collateralize OHM in native lending facility to access backed DAI
3. Use borrowed DAI to repeat Step 1

Things to keep in mind: Step 1 routes through pool and impacts market price. Step 2 takes OHM supply off-market permanently.

If you repeat this 20 times, you would move price from $13.24 to $16.88 (+27%) while taking 19,646.24 OHM out of circulation!Image
But this example is contrived and assumptions need to be clarified:

1. As price increases, sellers wanting to exit will take profits, pushing price down
2. Third-party LPs absorb some of the buy pressure, depressing price appreciation.
3. Slippage reduces OHM received, reducing overall leverage.

On (1), sellers exiting the system is bullish as it reduces sell pressure long-term and brings in new capital with no overhang. On (2), 3rd party LPs are basically first in line to sell, experiencing IL and exiting the system for good at a low premium. Sucks to suck.
This buyback program also has a net positive impact on $OHM backing.

Whereas previous strategy was to add DSR yield to reserves, the buyback strategy keeps reserves constant but reduces supply *on leverage*.

This has 2.4x impact on backing increase vs status quo. Image
ok so TLDR:

- $181M treasury yielding $83K/week for buybacks
- $1 in buyback is actually $5 bc OHM is backed
- market price moves +27%, supply shrinks by 19K per week. However, true market price must be adjusted for old holders exiting
- Backing grows 2.4x more efficiently

$OHM is dead. Now let's watch it burn.

Math here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

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More from @unbanksyETH

Mar 4
It's only 24 hours and more people are learning about @BaselineMarkets and its mechanics. Some developments i've seen:

- How it works
- Incorrect market cap
- Smart money flows
- Looping as emerging activity
- Memecoin tooling positioning
- Comeback arc

👇 Image
Incorrect market cap: @0xShual correctly points out that most of supply sits in discovery position, which is protocol-owned and NOT circulating. If someone can help us get in touch w @dexscreener , we can correct.

Read 7 tweets
Nov 10, 2022
Something interesting is starting to happen with $OHM. Supply has become deflationary.

Why? With APY now at 7.33% & inverse bonds active below backing, there's *way* more $OHM burned than minted.

Supply has been decreasing every single day since Oct 6
The only other time we saw deflation was during market volatility of May and Jun. BUT... on a much smaller scale. Collectively, those deflationary days burned only 28% of what has been burned since Oct 6!

What does this mean for liquid backing?
We know supply deflation impacts liquid backing of $OHM. Extrapolate this market volatility for next 3 weeks, we expect another 320K reduction in $OHM floating supply, equivalent to an increase of 1.52% in liquid backing (from $10.42 to $10.59)
Read 4 tweets
Apr 14, 2022
Since I discovered $BEAN one month ago:

* Supply expanded by 64%
* Liquidity grew 7.5x!
* Leverage shrunk by 38%
* Unmet demand grew to 6% of supply

Let's review below 👇
1/n Supply expanded from 42M to 69M, representing a 64% growth. Most of this is attributed to a 23% expansion in just two days 👀

What's causing this? 4x increase in demand. Volume pre-Apr 9 averaged $2M while post-Apr 9 averaged $8M.

More demand = more mint ImageImage
2/n Liquidity grew from $6M to $45M, representing 7.5x growth. To move price by 2%, you now need $1M 💪

What's causing this? Increased demand mints $BEAN which increases staking APY which attracts liquidity providers.

(notice the elegant design btw emissions and liquidity) Image
Read 8 tweets
Apr 7, 2022
Q1 is behind us. @OlympusDAO just went through its toughest quarter to date but...

1. We're alive
2. We're shipping consistently
3. We have a busy Q2 ahead of us

This is a thread on what we accomplished in Q1 👇
1/n Olympus lost narrative during peak bubble in Nov. 100+ forks, Wonderland claiming they invented us, simps valuing us as a hedge fund.

With forks crashing left and right, market concluded OHM mechanics, and therefore Olympus, has failed. Image
2/n The DAO responded decisively: we are not a fork, we are not a hedge fund, we are a reserve currency.

To that end, we released Olympus12 action plan that details how we get there.

Read 11 tweets
Mar 15, 2022
$OHM price is falling. Liquid backing is falling.

People comment that Olympus has failed to "defend the price". That's not true and needs to be clarified.

I'll explain why the backing is going down and what we can do about it. Let's jump in 🧵👇
1/n What is liquid backing? By definition:

Liquid backing = (ETH + stables + DAI in liquidity) divided by circulating $OHM supply

Practically, this is where treasury steps in to provide a backing, demonstrating to Ohmies that it's using reserves to protect their investment
2/n Treasury "protects the price" using Inverse Bonds, which will turn on 5% *below* backing price (currently at ~$22.65)

But as we've seen, liquid backing has continually trended down, never activating Inverse Bonds.

What's causing this downtrend?

Read 16 tweets
Nov 3, 2021
Venture capital is broken.

VCs create unequal power structures, have misaligned incentives and make cost of capital high relative to value they provide.

DeFi redefined outdated financial systems.

@OlympusDAO will redefine VC. Here's how 🧵👇
1/ Modern VC started in 70s. Semiconductors were labor and capital intensive. Factories had to be built, r&d worked on multi-year roadmaps and go-to market required heavy investment.

VC capital was king and risk/reward justified equity exchange VC asked for.
2/ Post-2000s, advances in tech + globalism + internet reduced labor and capital costs. Instead of multi-year roadmaps, apps were built in a few months and marketed to millions thanks to the internet.

Value of VC capital diminshed.
Read 14 tweets

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