The Kursk offensive, situation update.
The operation continues. Ukrainians have expanded their area of control, pushing north towards Lgov and east towards Belitsa.
We had to modify some map visualization styles to better represent the situation. 1/
The operation continues. Ukrainians have expanded their area of control, pushing north towards Lgov and east towards Belitsa.
We had to modify some map visualization styles to better represent the situation. 1/
Part of the Ukrainian focus seems to have shifted to the southeastern part of the AO, to the Belitsa direction.
Ukrainians have likely entered several villages between Belitsa and the state border. There are some uncertainities, as there's very little material from here. 2/
Ukrainians have likely entered several villages between Belitsa and the state border. There are some uncertainities, as there's very little material from here. 2/
A Ukrainian APC detachment managed to go as far as to the village of Giri, next to Belitsa.
However, they suffered significant losses and likely had to retreat. Belitsa and the immediate surroundings are most likely still under Russian control. 3/
However, they suffered significant losses and likely had to retreat. Belitsa and the immediate surroundings are most likely still under Russian control. 3/
The town of Sudzha is likely mostly, if not completely, under Ukrainian control.
In Korenevo and the nearby villages, the Russians are still actively defending. Ukrainians are close, but there's no indication they would have entered the town with a larger force. 4/
In Korenevo and the nearby villages, the Russians are still actively defending. Ukrainians are close, but there's no indication they would have entered the town with a larger force. 4/
Ukrainian groups are also maneuvering on the northern side of the AO. It's unclear how deep they are able to penetrate, but the Russians don't seem to have a very solid defence line there yet.
Still, Lgov is a very long way to go, if Ukraine wants to capture it. 5/
Still, Lgov is a very long way to go, if Ukraine wants to capture it. 5/
Ukraine holds the initiative. There's still a possibility Ukraine opens up a new direction to support the current effort.
There have been various attacks over the border in several places in Kursk and Belgorod oblasts, but nothing very major yet. 6/
There have been various attacks over the border in several places in Kursk and Belgorod oblasts, but nothing very major yet. 6/
Even though Ukraine has made tactical progress in many places, the general situation in Kursk hasn't changed very much in the recent days. Battles are still being fought in the area of the tactically important towns of Sudzha and Korenevo. 7/
While the Russians don't seem to be very organized yet, they have been able to somewhat control the situation. Ukraine should have the ability to gain more ground, especially if it's ready to tolerate heavier risks and commit more troops to the fight. 8/
In the near future, I'll analyse the possible goals and scenarios more, as the Kursk offensive progresses.
Our team at @Black_BirdGroup continues to monitor the situation. Our interactive map can be found here. 9/9
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/The-…
Our team at @Black_BirdGroup continues to monitor the situation. Our interactive map can be found here. 9/9
scribblemaps.com/maps/view/The-…
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
