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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Aug 14, 2024 • 6 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Well well, the Russian railway system collapse I've been talking about since October 2022 has arrived.

True, less because of rail truck cassette bearing shortages than the fact Ukraine's Kursk offensive has collapsed the Russian railway monopoly's administrative controls...

1/
...but it is here nonetheless.

RuAF military trains are heading in every direction in Western Russia and occupied Ukraine at the same time.

We are here😈⬇️


2/
Ukraine's Kursk offensive made a Russian economy suffering from rail transportation double pneumonia to do a 400 meter sprint in winter.

Now it is collapsing😈

3/
What I said about the real logistical objective of Ukraine's Kursk offensive was a week ago, causing the systemic collapse of Russian railways, is here.

4/
And, of course, the systemic collapse of the Russian railway monopoly is a "Surprise" or "Intelligence Failure" for the senior empty suits running Western logistical intelligence in the three letter agencies in various Western capitol's.

5/5 End
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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 28
The Russian Legioner armored vehicle is an interesting reinvention of the 1940's Red Army BTR-152 or US M3 Scout car.

It says a great deal about the defense industrial infrastructure limitations of the Russian Federation.

1/ Image
The three 6x6 BTR-152 photos and drawings and one 4x4 M3 scout car photo will give you an idea of what is available to the 2025 Russian defense industrial base.

2/2 Image
Image
Image
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H/T to Dylan Malyasov of Defense Blog.

defence-blog.com/russia-develop…
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 28
This is a lesson for the US Navy which will be soundly ignored. ⬇⬇️

The US has generation of counter insurgency or "COIN-centric" Flag officers who have zero experience and training in peer competitor warfare.

1/2
The US Flag rank's "COIN-centric" mindset is why their minds are too inflexible to deal with the rapid technological change represented by drones.

They are 1930's UK "Empire officers" who knew how to "wog bash" and got their heads handed to them by the Germans and Japanese.

2/2
P.S.

This recent @WW2TV stream with the naval historian John Parshall titled:

"Percival and Yamashita - Malaya and Singapore 1942"

...captures the UK 1930's "Empire Officer" mentality that current US Flag ranks are infected with.

Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 23
The Ukrainian language version of this article has a great deal more on the design philosophy behind the FP-5 Flamingo.

A philosophy is utterly alien to the Big/Expensive/Few Western Flag Ranks & Defense contractors.

Production & Systems engineering🧵
1/
"According to Terekh, the design process for the Flamingo was the same as for other products: the rocket went through filters — can we mass-produce it? Will it be cost-effective? Will it be effective on the battlefield?

2/
"You can use anything. The main thing is that it works well on the battlefield, and not that it looks beautiful on paper or in advertising booklets. This is the main criterion."

3/
Read 18 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 23
Ukraine just confirmed my analysis of their FP-5 engine supplies:

"Before the start of mass production, Fire Point bought a large stock of old aircraft engines with a residual life of up to 10 hours.

1/4
They can no longer be used on aircraft, but their operating time is sufficient for the necessary tests after repair and the real flight phase – 3.5 hours.

The purchased engines are being repaired and modified:

2/4
...some of the structural elements are being simplified, and cheaper and easier-to-produce alternatives are being used instead of titanium parts that are resistant to wear. All this is necessary to reduce the cost and speed up the restoration work."

3/4
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 19
What most people miss about the Ukrainian oil campaign is that each Russian refinery was built to support certain local & international markets with certain types of crude oil.

This makes the entire Russian energy market "logistically brittle."

Russian Oil Market Logistics🧵
1/
Russia's oil refinery's locations and local/international markets were built by the Soviet Union.

They each were fed specific grades of crude oil, and the Soviet/Russian state railways fuel tank car fleets were scaled for just-in-time deliveries to & from those refineries.

2/
Ukraine's One Way Attack drone strategic bombing campaign hasn't been aimed to simply reduce Russian refinery output.

It was aimed to DESTABILIZE THE ENTIRE RUSSIAN ENERGY SUPPLY CHAIN for export, civilian economic and Russian military operations.


3/
Read 10 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Aug 28
Remember all the professionally incompetent yo-yo naval officers & hangers on claiming FPV drones were not a threat to naval warships in 2023 WHEN I TOLD THEM THEY WOULD BE?

Reality just kicked them one and all in the 'nads...

...HARD⬇️

1/2
I told these professionally incompetent US navalists accounts on X/Twitter in 2023 that both containerized drones and FPV drones were a deadly threat to every naval vessel on the water they were ignoring to their crew's peril.

2/
Those professionally incompetent yo-yo US navalists accounts didn't listen because of their Dunning-Kruger group think delusions.

They refused to accept the reality that surprise FPV attacks happen because the enemy always gets a vote...FIRST!

This is where I laugh at them⬇️
3/3
Read 4 tweets

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