1/9 Lessons learned: On day 10 of the Kursk operation, russia is still struggling to stabilize the front, while Ukraine continues to advance. It is clear that Ukraine has incorporated many lessons from its previous counteroffensives and incursions.
2/9 Ukraine has evidently learned from its past counteroffensives and incursions. Being able to analyze mistakes and rectify them is crucial, and this serves as a prime example of that.
3/9 The Kursk operation is in several ways reminiscent of the Kharkiv counteroffensive. The atmosphere is similar, as both were unexpected and rapid offensives that took the russians by surprise when they were not anticipating an attack.
4/9 In comparison to the Kharkiv counteroffensive, which was quite successful but executed with limited equipment and manpower, the momentum faded quickly. It will be intriguing to observe whether a similar outcome occurs in Kursk.
5/9 In contrast to the 2023 counteroffensive, this one was much less anticipated, featured significantly better operational security, was more surprising, and took place in more favorable terrain. Overall, it simply makes much more sense.
6/9 Electronic warfare has greatly aided Ukraine in countering russian FPV drones in this instance, unlike during the summer offensive in 2023.
7/9 This was also evident in Krynky, where russia claimed it was unable to deploy drones due to Ukrainian electronic warfare when the Ukrainians crossed the river. The experiences from Krynky and the rapid incursions into russia are also benefiting Ukraine now.
8/9 Ukraine has assessed what was effective and what was not in the past, applying those insights to initiate the operation in Kursk. The initial phases have been highly successful. Let's hope that the current and upcoming phases continue to perform equally well.
1/10 Why does Hungary still maintain an army after surrendering its sovereignty? Orbán's chief aide recently acknowledged that Hungary would not resist a russian invasion.
2/10 If Hungary were in Ukraine's position, it wouldn't have fought against the russians, stated Balazs Orbán, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's chief aide.
3/10 “We probably wouldn't have done what President Zelensky did two and a half years ago, because it's irresponsible,” the political director and coward said.
1/15 France, Germany, the UK, Italy, and Spain do not fully grasp the existential danger posed by russia's invasion of Ukraine. Still, Ukraine's future relies on their backing as the US gradually steps back.
2/15 Europe has greatly exceeded the US in its support for Ukraine, and rightly so. While any assistance from the US is certainly welcome, Europe should take on the bulk of the responsibility, as Ukraine is located in Europe and has the capacity to provide substantial aid.
3/15 Regardless of the outcome of the US elections in November, the US will likely reduce its engagement with Ukraine and Europe to some extent, as it is stretched thin in Asia and the Middle East.
1/25 In a world where Realism has been compromised by the deceitful and treacherous views of scholars like John Mearsheimer, there is an urgent need for more Neo-idealism.
2/25 Realism today has been largely co-opted by figures like Mearsheimer. Although a respected scholar, Mearsheimer has made increasingly questionable statements that contradict his own theory to defend russia. He also aligns more with neorealism than classical realism.
3/25 Neorealism has surpassed classical realism in prominence. It suggests that countries—particularly great powers—operate as black boxes, each seeking to increase their strength relative to others in an anarchic world devoid of a higher authority to resolve conflicts.
1/12 DAJA: Destroy American Jobs Again! Trump's isolationist policies would not only lead to global destabilization and a decline in American power, but they would also negatively impact the US economy by destroying jobs.
2/12 Over the years, Trump has increasingly adopted isolationist views and has surrounded himself with others who share this perspective. However, these isolationist policies are not only diminishing US influence but are also detrimental to the economy.
3/12 Trump has even suggested the possibility of withdrawing from NATO if he is elected president. This would be a catastrophic move for the entire West and a significant advantage for adversaries like russia and china. It would also hurt the US defense industry.
1/9 What would a russian victory in Ukraine mean for the world? It would signify the end of the international order, initiate a new phase of imperialist expansion, and trigger a new nuclear arms race.
2/9 Yuval Noah Harari, the famous author of “Sapiens,” has shared his views in several interviews about russia's war in Ukraine, offering insights that I agree with. The most interesting points concern what a russian victory would mean.
3/9 One of his simple yet effective points is 'If russia wins, no state, and no border would feel secure. And the world would enter a new era of imperialist wars of conquest.'
1/15 Controversial View: The large prisoner swap with russia in August was considerably more beneficial for the West than for russia
2/15 The largest prisoner exchange between russia and the West since the Cold War occurred earlier in August, involving a total of 24 individuals. Eight people were sent to russia in exchange for 16 who were released to the West.
3/15 I recognize that this is a controversial perspective that many in the pro-Ukrainian community may disagree with, and that's perfectly okay. Nonetheless, I believe that the agreement was actually quite favorable for the West.