1/9 Lessons learned: On day 10 of the Kursk operation, russia is still struggling to stabilize the front, while Ukraine continues to advance. It is clear that Ukraine has incorporated many lessons from its previous counteroffensives and incursions.
2/9 Ukraine has evidently learned from its past counteroffensives and incursions. Being able to analyze mistakes and rectify them is crucial, and this serves as a prime example of that.
3/9 The Kursk operation is in several ways reminiscent of the Kharkiv counteroffensive. The atmosphere is similar, as both were unexpected and rapid offensives that took the russians by surprise when they were not anticipating an attack.
4/9 In comparison to the Kharkiv counteroffensive, which was quite successful but executed with limited equipment and manpower, the momentum faded quickly. It will be intriguing to observe whether a similar outcome occurs in Kursk.
5/9 In contrast to the 2023 counteroffensive, this one was much less anticipated, featured significantly better operational security, was more surprising, and took place in more favorable terrain. Overall, it simply makes much more sense.
6/9 Electronic warfare has greatly aided Ukraine in countering russian FPV drones in this instance, unlike during the summer offensive in 2023.
7/9 This was also evident in Krynky, where russia claimed it was unable to deploy drones due to Ukrainian electronic warfare when the Ukrainians crossed the river. The experiences from Krynky and the rapid incursions into russia are also benefiting Ukraine now.
8/9 Ukraine has assessed what was effective and what was not in the past, applying those insights to initiate the operation in Kursk. The initial phases have been highly successful. Let's hope that the current and upcoming phases continue to perform equally well.
1/4 What could a US-Israeli strike campaign on Iran’s nuclear program actually look like?
It wouldn’t be a single air raid.
It could be a complex, multi-layered operation—ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, bombs, cyberattacks, sabotage, and more.
Here’s how it could unfold:
2/4 Israel has stuck Iran before using air-launched ballistic missiles. It also possesses other air-launched weapons, such as cruise missiles and smart bombs—but a sustained campaign would likely require US support
3/4 The US brings tankers—and serious firepower: Tomahawks, JASSMs, GBU-57 ”bunker busters,” and bombs like the JSOW. Some of Iran’s key nuclear facilities are buried deep, requiring heavy payloads to reach
1/5 Are Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure imminent?
Signs are emerging—but it wouldn’t be the first time.
Netanyahu’s government and the IDF have been preparing, but the timing likely hinges on US-Iran talks.
Israel can act alone—but prefers US backing
2/5 Talks between the US and Iran are ongoing, but time may be running out amid rumors of a breakdown. Israel sees Iran nearing nuclear capability and won’t wait forever. Past strikes show its readiness to act
3/5 US moves suggest preparation: guidance systems meant for Ukraine are being redirected to the Middle East, and the US embassy in Iraq is reportedly preparing for evacuation. Two American THAAD batteries are already deployed to Israel