Joni Askola Profile picture
Aug 15, 2024 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/9 Lessons learned: On day 10 of the Kursk operation, russia is still struggling to stabilize the front, while Ukraine continues to advance. It is clear that Ukraine has incorporated many lessons from its previous counteroffensives and incursions. Image
2/9 Ukraine has evidently learned from its past counteroffensives and incursions. Being able to analyze mistakes and rectify them is crucial, and this serves as a prime example of that. Image
3/9 The Kursk operation is in several ways reminiscent of the Kharkiv counteroffensive. The atmosphere is similar, as both were unexpected and rapid offensives that took the russians by surprise when they were not anticipating an attack. Image
4/9 In comparison to the Kharkiv counteroffensive, which was quite successful but executed with limited equipment and manpower, the momentum faded quickly. It will be intriguing to observe whether a similar outcome occurs in Kursk. Image
5/9 In contrast to the 2023 counteroffensive, this one was much less anticipated, featured significantly better operational security, was more surprising, and took place in more favorable terrain. Overall, it simply makes much more sense. Image
6/9 Electronic warfare has greatly aided Ukraine in countering russian FPV drones in this instance, unlike during the summer offensive in 2023. Image
7/9 This was also evident in Krynky, where russia claimed it was unable to deploy drones due to Ukrainian electronic warfare when the Ukrainians crossed the river. The experiences from Krynky and the rapid incursions into russia are also benefiting Ukraine now. Image
8/9 Ukraine has assessed what was effective and what was not in the past, applying those insights to initiate the operation in Kursk. The initial phases have been highly successful. Let's hope that the current and upcoming phases continue to perform equally well. Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Joni Askola

Joni Askola Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @joni_askola

May 21
1/12 russia launches political party in Norway, using local collaborators/traitors to undermine support for Ukraine through an expensive ad campaign. Beware—this could happen in your country too! Image
2/12 On Norway’s most patriotic day of the year, something unexpected stirred controversy on the Oslo metro. Passengers heading to Constitution Day celebrations were met with bold political ads calling to stop Norwegian support for Ukraine Image
3/12 As expected, it turned out to be a russian propaganda campaign—fronted by local collaborators. The new party behind it? The Party for Peace and Justice—a textbook name for a pro-Kremlin pro-war operation Image
Read 12 tweets
May 20
1/7 From 24 hours to 4 months: Many of us believed Trump wanted a peace deal at all costs and as quickly as possible—but in reality, he seems determined to save russia at all costs, no matter how long it takes Image
2/7 Trump has been back in the White House for four months, and despite his promise to negotiate peace in 24 hours, we are no closer to peace in Ukraine today than we were four months ago. He lied and failed! Image
3/7 Many analysts believe that Trump is somehow compromised and promotes russian interests. Still, many of us believed he would try to secure a peace deal as soon as possible to fulfill his promise, regardless of the deal’s content Image
Read 7 tweets
May 19
1/6 Despite dramatic headlines, Putinist populism is far from winning everywhere in Europe. Putin’s envoys have lost many recent elections, but the danger remains Image
2/6 Romania’s second round once again showed the world that Putinist populism—despite heavy disinformation, many russian assets, and significant control over social media platforms—does not always win in Europe. Far from it Image
3/6 Putinist populists are rising in many countries, but they failed to win in the 2024 UK elections, the 2024 French elections, the 2025 German elections, and now also in Romania. Meanwhile, the Italian government has also failed to deliver on Putin’s expectations Image
Read 6 tweets
May 17
1/4 Putin’s strongest asset? Despite Putin repeatedly rejecting a ceasefire and Ukraine having accepted an unconditional one two months ago, Trump continues to blame Zelensky and refuses to hold russia accountable—just like a russian asset would Image
2/4 In a recent Fox News interview, Trump once again blamed Zelensky and Ukraine, while refusing to hold Putin and russia accountable. He still claims Ukraine ’doesn’t have the cards’ and avoids blaming russia—even as it kills civilians and rejects ceasefires. Weak and traitorous Image
3/4 If russia had sent an asset to run the US, they couldn’t have done a better job sabotaging the country and its allies without getting caught. Trump acts as the perfect bad-faith actor—consistently undermining US interests at every turn. Putin must be happy! Image
Read 4 tweets
May 16
1/8 Don’t expect much from the ’negotiations’ in Istanbul—russia is losing the war it started, won’t achieve its strategic goals, and can’t afford to end it as a result. Putin is just playing for time and trying to deceive the West Image
2/8 Ukraine and russia have both sent delegations to Istanbul for their first direct talks since 2022. russia wants to base the discussions on the 2022 Istanbul talks, but that only proves they are not serious about negotiations and can’t afford to end the war Image
3/8 In March 2022, when talks took place in Istanbul, russia occupied 30% of Ukraine, and it looked like Kyiv might fall. Today, 900,000 russian casualties later—after three years of total war and massive aid from its allies—russia only occupies 19% of Ukraine Image
Read 8 tweets
May 15
1/5 Death Unlimited: 6,000 russian officer deaths have been confirmed by @KilledInUkraine, showing that russian losses far exceed what most people realize Image
2/5 With over 6,000 russian officers confirmed dead—and many more unconfirmed—we should not be surprised by estimates such as those from the UK Ministry of Defence, which suggest over 900,000 russian casualties Image
3/5 Officers are generally less likely to be placed in the most dangerous front-line positions, and they typically make up less than 10% of a military’s total personnel—and often an even smaller share of casualties Image
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(