Joni Askola Profile picture
Aug 15 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/9 Lessons learned: On day 10 of the Kursk operation, russia is still struggling to stabilize the front, while Ukraine continues to advance. It is clear that Ukraine has incorporated many lessons from its previous counteroffensives and incursions. Image
2/9 Ukraine has evidently learned from its past counteroffensives and incursions. Being able to analyze mistakes and rectify them is crucial, and this serves as a prime example of that. Image
3/9 The Kursk operation is in several ways reminiscent of the Kharkiv counteroffensive. The atmosphere is similar, as both were unexpected and rapid offensives that took the russians by surprise when they were not anticipating an attack. Image
4/9 In comparison to the Kharkiv counteroffensive, which was quite successful but executed with limited equipment and manpower, the momentum faded quickly. It will be intriguing to observe whether a similar outcome occurs in Kursk. Image
5/9 In contrast to the 2023 counteroffensive, this one was much less anticipated, featured significantly better operational security, was more surprising, and took place in more favorable terrain. Overall, it simply makes much more sense. Image
6/9 Electronic warfare has greatly aided Ukraine in countering russian FPV drones in this instance, unlike during the summer offensive in 2023. Image
7/9 This was also evident in Krynky, where russia claimed it was unable to deploy drones due to Ukrainian electronic warfare when the Ukrainians crossed the river. The experiences from Krynky and the rapid incursions into russia are also benefiting Ukraine now. Image
8/9 Ukraine has assessed what was effective and what was not in the past, applying those insights to initiate the operation in Kursk. The initial phases have been highly successful. Let's hope that the current and upcoming phases continue to perform equally well. Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Joni Askola

Joni Askola Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @joni_askola

Aug 17
1/14 Hard to see the Big Picture: Many frontline units are so stretched thin that it is difficult for many soldiers and officers to see beyond their own mission and perceive the larger context. Image
2/14 On the evening of July 28, soldiers from the 80th Brigade reached out to Ukrainska Pravda with an urgent request for us to publish an appeal in support of their commander at the time, Colonel Emil Ishkulov, who was facing dismissal. Image
3/14 The only information available regarding this command decision was that Ishkulov had declined to execute a task assigned by Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi, stating that it was disproportionate to the brigade's human resources. Image
Read 14 tweets
Aug 16
1/8 A Very Special Military Operation: How Long Can russia's Economy Last at the Current Pace? Image
2/8 The Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT) forecasts that russian economic growth will begin to slow this year. Growth is expected to be about 2% in 2024, with an annual rate of around 1% for 2025 and 2026. Image
3/8 A 1% growth rate is very low for a country at war that has significantly boosted its public spending and maintains full employment. Image
Read 8 tweets
Aug 16
1/11 Under pressure: Time is not on russia's side, as it faces multiple challenges simultaneously. The only two factors that could save russia are increased support from china or a display of cowardice from the West. Image
2/11 russia is grappling with multiple challenges in addition to the humiliating situation in the Kursk region involving Ukraine. It is unlikely that Putin is getting much sleep at the moment. Image
3/11 The initial phases of Ukraine's operation have been surprising and highly successful. russia has yet to stabilize the situation and continues to anticipate possible further actions by Ukraine in the future. Image
Read 11 tweets
Aug 16
1/7 Day 11: russia continues to struggle in halting Ukrainian advances in the Kursk region as Ukraine strengthens its buffer zone. Image
2/7 russia has yet to succeed in halting Ukrainian advances or preventing Ukraine from capturing a significant number of russian prisoners each day. Image
3/7 Observing the statements of Ukrainian officials and their recent advances, it increasingly appears that Ukraine is aiming to establish a buffer zone that could also serve as leverage for potential negotiations. Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 15
1/9 UNO Reverse: Will Ukraine establish a 'sanitary zone' in russia to shield its citizens from russia? Image
2/9 According to Minister of Internal Affairs Ihor Klymenko, a "buffer zone" in russia's Kursk region will provide protection for Ukrainian communities near the russian border from daily shelling. Image
3/9 Since the start of the Ukrainian operation in the Kursk region, the military objectives have largely remained unclear, despite numerous educated guesses being proposed. Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 15
1/9 He is so back! Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi deserves recognition for the initial phase of the Kursk operation. Image
2/9 The first 10 days of the Kursk operation have been highly successful for Ukraine. Their planning, execution, and OPSEC have been nearly flawless. Although the future is uncertain, Syrskyi deserves commendation for the progress achieved so far. Image
3/9 When Syrskyi took over from Zaluzhnyi, many analysts quickly criticized the decision. Syrskyi was known as a micromanager who frequently spent time on the front lines, instilling fear in many officers and being prepared to accept high losses if necessary. Image
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(