Artur Rehi Profile picture
Aug 19 15 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Vladimir Putin is unlikely to announce mobilization, but will continue to use conscripts to replenish the army. A survey in Russia showed that the level of public anxiety after Ukraine's entry into Kursk increased less than it was when mobilization was announced.
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Putin considers mobilization even more dangerous for the government than the loss of the Kursk region, even in its entirety. The problems of the Kursk region in the eyes of Russians remain regional problems, and they will even survive the loss of the region as a whole.
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Mobilization will come to almost every home. There are still enough regions in Russia, but mobilization violates the unspoken agreement that was formed under Putin - the people turn a blind eye to the theft of the government, and in exchange, the government does not touch
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the citizens. Putin avoids mobilization, especially since there will be another call-up in October. Most likely, he will wait for it. Conscripts are another system of slavery in Russia. They have almost no rights, they obey the will of those above them. If they do not obey,
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they are given such a life in the barracks that they change their minds. They are beaten, morally abused. They completely belong to the system. They were sent to Chernobyl to eliminate the consequences of the reactor explosion without proper protection and equipment, to
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eliminate the consequences of other disasters. Along with prisoners from prisons, conscripts were used as free labor. Most often, they were sent to construction sites and field work. So, most of the facilities in Tallinn for the 1980 Olympics in the USSR were also built
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using conscripts. The quality of such construction is, of course, very low. By the way, the City Hall building, which was the location of the Kiev Opera in Christopher Nolan's film "Tenet", was also built, including conscripts for the Olympics. Then it was called the "Palace
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of Culture and Sports named after V. I. Lenin". Now it has completely fallen into disrepair and it is unprofitable to renovate it. There are discussions about its fate. Little has changed since the USSR. Only the service life has been reduced from 2 to 1 year. Instead of
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training, recruits are most often busy with construction, cleaning, loading and unloading, and other chores for unit commanders. They are a kind of enslaved peasants, and he is the master. Structure of Russian army is a huge topic and needs to be analyzed separately. It is
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a vertical hierarchy, closely connected with the government, state construction projects, the military industry, and everything is built in such a way as to steal as much as possible from the state budget, and in return provide models and Potemkin villages. If a big guest
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comes to town, along with municipal services, these will be conscripts who will be forced to paint the grass green and hide garbage. In general, inventing useless tasks for soldiers is a long-standing tradition in the Russian army. Rolling a square, plucking grass with
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bare hands, sweeping with crowbars. This is how commanders "instill discipline" and it is believed that if a soldier is not busy with anything, it is imperative to come up with a task for him. Therefore, the Russian army was never conceived as a normal army in function.
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Its main strength has always been simply the number of "peasants" that it could afford to throw at embrasures with machine guns, regardless of losses. But Russia is not the USSR. Its resources are much more modest, mostly left over from the times of the USSR. Deliberately
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keeping the population in poverty the Russian government found those who were ready to sign a contract, but now even payments of 2 million are not attractive. In addition, there was no Internet or communications in the USSR. Now people know a little more about what is
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happening. This is why people are not very eager to join the army. Conscripts also do not have to be paid. Before the Kursk, conscripts were pressured to sign a contract and so that is how they ended up at the war. In Kursk region they are now simply sent to the front.
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More from @ArturRehi

Aug 20
Ukrainian military, explaining the difficult situation in the Pokrovsk and Toretsk directions, point primarily to the mistakes of their command and the lack of normal communication between units. In his Telegram channel
Stanislav Bunyatov writes -
1/13 t.me/stanislav_osman
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"Battalion commanders do not present the actual situation even to adjacent units in order to absolve themselves of responsibility in the future. Some battle formations are disoriented. There are no clearly coordinated work plans between brigades, sometimes even battalions.
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The policy of commanders with crowns on their heads: "I have my own area of ​​responsibility, I am not interested in the rest", "who are you to teach me". The Commander-in-Chief reports to Zelensky that the situation is under control, they report to Syrsky that the
3/13 Image
Read 13 tweets
Aug 20
1/8 Getting a taste of their own medicine: Ukraine is increasingly targeting russians with their own glide and rocket-assisted bombs. Image
2/8 Recently, several videos have surfaced showcasing Ukrainian strikes on russian troops and infrastructure using glide bombs and rocket-assisted bombs. The bridges in the Kursk region serve as a notable example. Image
3/8 Ukraine has integrated JDAM-ER, GBU-39 Paveway IV, and Hammer bombs into its MiG-29 fleet. The introduction of the F-16 is expected to enhance these missions as well. Additionally, Ukraine is working on developing its own glide bombs. Image
Read 8 tweets
Aug 19
The Ukrainians destroyed the third bridge over the Seim River. Now, the supply of Russian troops in the Glushkovsky district is possible only through pontoons and by boats. In this direction, Russian troops are commanded by General Alexander Lapin, who led the crossing of the
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Siverskyi Donets River near the villages of Bilohorivka and Dronivka in 2022. Then, the losses during the failed operation became one of the largest one-time losses of Russian troops during its war with Ukraine. The advancing Russian forces lost more than 80 tanks and
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armored vehicles and about 485 soldiers killed. Now that Russian troops are cut off, Ukraine can completely capture the Glushkovsky district. Putin is ignoring the problem in the Kursk region with all his might and is in no hurry to transfer forces from the Donetsk region of
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Read 7 tweets
Aug 19
1/8 Ukraine's allies need to enhance their overall military support, particularly by providing more air defense systems and missiles for the current systems before winter begins. Take by @joni_askola Image
2/8 When russia faces setbacks on the front lines, it tends to retaliate against civilians. Over the coming months, russia is expected to deploy numerous ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and kamikaze drones to target Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure. Image
3/8 To continue its operations on the front, Ukraine will need increased assistance from the West, along with enhanced air defense to survive the forthcoming winter. Image
Read 8 tweets
Aug 18
The Pokrovsk direction remains one of the hottest on the front. The Russians are storming Ukrainian positions around the clock, sometimes even without breaks at night. The number of assaults in the Pokrovsk direction is consistently high. The Russians are managing to put
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pressure thanks to new tactics. Ivan Sekach, press officer of the 110th separate mechanized brigade named after General-ensign Mark Bezruchko, told in more detail about it. Active combat operations are underway in the Pokrovsk direction, in the
2/11 24tv.ua
https://novynarnia.com/2024/04/29/isekach/
Myrnohrad area. Russian troops do not give up their attempts to break through the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and are looking for weak spots in it. The front is ablaze. Assaults are happening constantly. On the night of August 18, 12 units of equipment stormed us.
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Read 11 tweets
Aug 17
Russia advances in the Pokrovsk direction and Putin is clinging to this success and is in no hurry to transfer contract soldiers from these directions to the Kursk region. He has already withdrawn some forces from the Zaporizhzhia region and the Kharkiv direction,
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but first of all, the Russian army is sending conscripts to resolve the situation. Reports of conscripts being sent come from different regions of the country - Murmansk, Irkutsk, Tyumen, Samara, Belgorod, Leningrad and Moscow regions. Many immediately after only completing
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basic training. This leads to the fact that conscripts surrender in large numbers. Meanwhile, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to advance, although the pace is expectedly slowing down. Sudzha is completely under the control of Ukraine and it organizes a commandant's
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Read 14 tweets

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