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🕷Dante Atkins🕷 Profile picture
@DanteAtkins
Aug 21 • 8 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
REDO FOR TYPOS: per @rpyers, the Trump v Harris fundraising numbers are an absolute bloodbath for July. Harris took in $204.5 million, while Trump took in $47.5 million. But the underlying numbers are even worse for Trump than that. 1/x
2/x of Trump's money, only $8.35 million was direct to the campaign. Usually, direct to campaign money is small dollar donors, while big money donors contribute to Joint Fundraising committees that split contributions between the campaign (max allowable) and other committees.
5/x The FEC doesn't require itemization of contributions under $200. Harris received $48 million in UNITEMIZED CONTRIBUTIONS ALONE. That's more than Trump raised cumulatively throughout the whole month. That is an absurd statistic.
6/x Now let's look at the spending and cash on hand. In July, Harris spent four times as much on media compared to Trump, and still has a $70 million cash on hand advantage as of the reporting period--and that's before Harris' fundraising boosts from the VP pick and the DNC.
7/x Meanwhile: ActBlue has had only 3 days since 7/21 where total receipts were under $10 million--outside of big spikes, it has usually been $12 million or so a day, and about 90 percent of that is going to either Harris 2024 or the Harris Victory Fund. Again, absurd.
8/x it means that the Harris campaign raises more money direct to the campaign every day than Trump has been raising direct to campaign in an entire month, with no signs of slowing down. Trump will be entirely dependent on SuperPACs to try to fill the media gap, but...
9/x SuperPACs are far less efficient because it costs them at least 3x as much to buy TV time (campaigns get a guaranteed lowest rate, IE's pay market price.) And that's not even getting into field, staffing, infrastructure, and everything else that goes into a big campaign.
10/10 my bet is that when the August numbers roll out, it's going to be even worse for Trump. All the enthusiasm is with Team Harris right now, and the numbers prove it.

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More from @DanteAtkins

🕷Dante Atkins🕷 Profile picture
Aug 23
I listen to a lot of focus groups among undecided voters, less-informed/less frequent voters, and self-identified non-partisan voters, and I'd like to share with you the ideas and values I hear most often from them. 1/x
2/x this is in no particular order: 1) reducing costs for groceries and housing, and raising wages. 2) a well-regulated immigration system. 2a) that includes a pathway to citizenship for people who have built lives here. 3) police that do what their supposed job description is.
4) currently, an end to the war in Gaza (especially among younger participants). 5) addressing climate change. 6) reversing abortion bans. 7) support for democracy abroad.
Read 9 tweets
🕷Dante Atkins🕷 Profile picture
Aug 17
I can't think of a more ludicrous double standard than what WaPo is doing. Trump's campaign brought out props of groceries to discuss high prices, and then he just...didn't talk about them. When asked specifically, his answer to bring down prices was to DRILL FOR OIL. 1/x
2/x but for some reason, there's no editorial about how marginally increasing the amount of hydrocarbons available on the global market years from now will do nothing on prices now, and do essentially nothing years from now.
3/x nor is there an editorial about how Trump can't even read from a piece of paper long enough to give the remarks he was supposed to give, or demands to provide even the most basic explanation about how whatever it is he's proposing is supposed to help anything.
Read 5 tweets
🕷Dante Atkins🕷 Profile picture
Jul 23
It is perfectly okay to have had concerns about Biden stepping down based on procedural uncertainties. What isn't okay is not understanding what a lot of us did, which is, how much pent up energy there was for someone different--especially MVP Harris. 1/x
2/x anyone who had looked at any polling, or listened to the opinions of voters in qualitative settings, would have understood just how much pent up yearning there was for something, anything, different--especially young voters and VoC.
3/x further, it wouldn't have taken much knowledge of Democratic Party institutions to know that the party would quickly coalesce around Harris as the most visible, viable, vetted change agent we had.
Read 5 tweets
🕷Dante Atkins🕷 Profile picture
Jul 19
I'm actually profoundly angry at the Biden campaign because they're lying to us, they know they're lying to us, and they expect us to just go along. Here's what I mean by that (small thread.) 1/x
2/x The campaign has known for a long time that Biden has been losing his abilities. Appearances with Congress have been increasingly controlled. He's forgetting the names of longtime friends. Members of Congress, even. They knew, and hid it.
3/x They've also known that the public has perceived (whether rightly or wrongly) his age issue as a close to fatal liability, and to address that, they made a big play to have an early debate to address those perceptions and convince people he was actually fit. What happened?
Read 9 tweets
🕷Dante Atkins🕷 Profile picture
Jun 13
Generally, I think that leftist activists have taken a turn toward having their self-perceptions of moral superiority outweighing what their actions signify to "normies" about what their goals, intentions, and values are. 1/x
2/x if you say "this was a shitty thing to do, people don't like it, and it doesn't help" then you either get called a sympathizer for whatever the opposition is (Israel, big oil, whatever it is), or a concern-trolling moderate at best. In either case...
3/x the discussion of whether any specific action helps the cause--any methodological consideration at all--is one you're not really allowed to have because "all publicity is good" and the cause the action is designed to support becomes evidence de facto of the action's value.
Read 8 tweets
🕷Dante Atkins🕷 Profile picture
Jul 13, 2023
The tankies absolutely can't stand that Eastern Europe immediately turned West after the collapse of the USSR because, amazingly, they wanted personal, political and economic freedoms. They were counting on Russia to punish Ukraine for making that same choice.
They absolutely cannot stand the fact that the people of Eastern Europe chose the US and NATO instead. They want that to be undone. They have to characterize it as US imperialism as opposed to what it actually was, because otherwise, it represents the victory of liberalism.
I, personally, am not offended by the people of Eastern Europe having freedoms as opposed to, say, the Stasi, even if I don't like the choices they sometimes make (see: Poland). The choice to end someone's self-determination has to cross a really high bar to be legitimate.
Read 5 tweets

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