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Chris Cillizza Profile picture
@ChrisCillizza
Aug 22 • 5 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
🧵
1/ I didn't really *get* the Tim Walz thing before last night.

I knew of him when he was a Congressman. And when he got elected governor.

But the political world never touted him as a rising star. Not "someone to watch."

So, I underestimated him...
2/ When Kamala Harris picked Walz, I thought it was a mistake.

Josh Shapiro made much more sense in terms of raw political considerations.
3/ But what Walz has -- and it's rare in politics these days -- is that he's totally comfortable in his own skin. He knows who he is. He's authentic. And he doesn't try to be someone else.

And authenticity is the coin of the realm. He oozes it.
4/ Do I think that Walz is going to get Harris elected? No. She will do that. Or she won't.

People vote on the top of the ticket.

But I totally SEE why Walz made sense as the pick now.

I guess Kamala Harris knew what she was doing more than I did 😂😂😂
5/ I talked about Walz, the power of authenticity and why I underestimated him in a video I just posted in my newsletter.

Watch it for FREE. Just subscribe via the link in my bio!

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More from @ChrisCillizza

Chris Cillizza Profile picture
Aug 14
🧵
1/ I wanted to distill my thoughts on Kamala Harris’ no-media strategy into a single piece.

The essence: Democrats are engaged in a massive game of whataboutism on the issue. Harris should talk to the media because it’s the right thing to do for democracy.

Let me explain. Image
2/ The first response from any Democrat when you mention the fact that Harris has done ZERO media interviews and held ZERO press conferences as the presidential nominee is something like:Trump is way worse!

They note, rightly, that Trump has worked to undermine the press. That he mostly gives interviews to friendly outlets. And that he lies all the time.
3/ I don’t dispute ANY of that.

But, Democrats have insisted since Trump emerged on the scene that the way he behaves – including how he treats the media – is a threat to democracy. And that their party is better and more committed to democratic ideals than Trump and Republicans.
Read 7 tweets
Chris Cillizza Profile picture
Aug 10
🧵
1/ If I told you that:

* The incumbent president’s approval rating has been stuck in the high 30s for more than a year

* The Democratic presidential nominee has been vice president for the last 3+ years

* The two most important issues to voters are immigration and the economy — and polls suggest that on both of those more people trust the Republican nominee than the Democratic administration to effectively handle them

* Two thirds of the voting public believe the country is headed off on the wrong track

* Republicans have a larger electoral college advantage — solely based on the political underpinnings of the map — than at any time in the last 25 years

* The Republican nominee survived an assassination attempt

Who would you say was going to win the election?
2/ The answer is, of course, the Republican. Because the political environment on almost every measure points you in that direction.

And yet, Donald Trump is, at best, an even-money bet to beat Kamala Harris this fall.

Which is evidence of just how weak a candidate he is
3/ So, why? Because people do not like Trump. And from his rambling-and-at-times-incoherent convention acceptance speech to his latest antics about Harris’ racial identity and his ad hominem hits on popular Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, he is proving why every single day.
Read 6 tweets
Chris Cillizza Profile picture
Aug 9
🧵
1/ I have been tweeting a bunch this week about how Kamala Harris continues to almost entirely ignore the media. (She took a few questions yesterday for the 1st time since emerging as the nominee.)

I decided to write something longer about it.

A few reflections: Image
2/ The facts are these: a) Harris has been the de facto nominee for 3 weeks b) she has taken less than 5 total questions from the media during that time c) she has not sat for ANY media interviews and d) she has not held any sort of press conference
3/ The reactions on the left to these facts fall into 3 broad categories:

1. She's busy!
2. She's winning!
3. Cry more!

Let me break down each one.
Read 8 tweets
Chris Cillizza Profile picture
Aug 5
🧵
1/ We will know Kamala Harris' VP pick in the next 12-18 hours.

By the numbers, the pick should be a no-brainer: Josh Shapiro makes BY FAR the most electoral sense.

Consider: Image
2/ Harris almost certainly HAS to win Pennsylvania. You can make the case for her to get to 270 electoral votes without it. But it’s a very TOUGH case to make.

There’s no other swing state – not Arizona, not Michigan, not Wisconsin – with that same sort of power of Harris’ electoral prospects.
3/ Shapiro has won three statewide races in PA. He was elected governor by double digits in 2022. A May NYT/Siena College/Philly Inquirer poll put him at 57% approval/25% disapproval. Four in ten(!) Republicans approved of the job Shapiro was doing.
Read 7 tweets
Chris Cillizza Profile picture
Jul 24
🧵
An adviser to Kamala Harris told @playbookdc that "the Midwest is not where the opportunity is for her...The opportunity with her … is going to be Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania."

Which 👀

I went through a bunch of map scenarios.

Here's a few:
1/ If Harris can make Georgia and North Carolina -- both states with large black populations into toss ups, the map starts basically even between she and Trump: Image
2/ Here's a map -- maybe close to best case scenario for Harris -- where she wins Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan Image
Read 10 tweets
Chris Cillizza Profile picture
Jul 18
🧵
The last few days have revealed a NUMBER of very scary facts for Joe Biden.

I picked out 8. Let's go through them: Image
1) Biden’s inner circle appears to have shrunk to his wife, his son and his sister. Never a good sign.
2) Biden has STILL not watched the June 27 debate
Read 10 tweets

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