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Aug 22 19 tweets 14 min read Read on X
On 22 August 2024, a Ukrainian Armed Forces carried out a massive OWA UAV strike on the Marinovka Air Base, Volgograd Oblast, Russia. This should be a reasonably short thread.

Image from the account of @Dmojavensis
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Let's start with the obvious losses. A Sukhoi Su-34 was completely destroyed here 48.638819, 43.777684.

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This one is a little less obvious. In the sat photo from 25 April 2024 a Su-24M or MR is parked here 48.638739, 43.778199. On 19 August it seems to be still there (@MT_Anderson can you please post a zoom in). On 22 Aug there is a burn mark and debris, I think it was destroyed.

Sat imagery taken on 25 April 2024 (via Google Earth).
Planet Labs sat imagery taken on 19 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
This area was previously used to store decommissioned Su-24 airfames, likely destined for spare parts. The destroyed Su-24 was almost certainly retired and not airworthy.


Maxar sat imagery from 28 September 2023.
Maxar sat imagery from 16 October 2022.
Sat imagery from 2 November 2021 (via Google Earth).
Sat imagery from 10 November 2020 (via Google Earth).
A light aircraft shelter was substantially damaged here 48.638207, 43.778135, apparently there was no aircraft inside. But we can see that at least some of the OWA UAVs were fitted with warheads filled with ball bearings.


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Between November and December 2023, the Russians erected 12 light aircraft shelters on the apron in the eastern part of the base. Thanks to Airbus DS sat imagery from 22 August 2024 published by @MT_Anderson we can see the aftermath of the attack.


Sat imagery taken on 25 April 2024 (via Google Earth).
Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
Photo taken by the Russians soon after the attack.
Shelters 1 and 2 were completely destroyed. Almost certainly there were no aircraft inside as 19 August imagery show lots of crates blocking the entrances and taxiway. These are most likely UMPK kits and bombs, the explosions of which destroyed both hangars.

Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
Planet Labs sat imagery taken on 19 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
To be continued in an hour or two.
Shelter 3 was destroyed by the detonation of bombs that were stored nearby. There is obviously a Su-34 underneath all the rubble. Judging by the shape of the shelter the aircraft inside will never fly again.


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Shelter 4 was also destroyed by the explosion of bombs stored nearby. The back wall fell of and whole structure collapsed to half of its original height. It's hard to be sure but I think there is nose of a Su-34 or Su-24 visible inside. If true the aircraft was surely damaged.


Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
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Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
Shelter 5 was severely damaged by the explosion of bombs stored nearby. Here too, the back wall fell off and whole structure collapsed significantly decreasing its height. There is a Su-34 parked inside, certainly damaged (hard to say to what extent).


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Shelter 6 was also seriously damaged. The back wall fell off and something pierced the roof, presumably an OWA UAV. A Su-34 is parked inside, certainly damaged (hard to say to what extent).


Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
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Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
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Shelter 7 was damaged. Here the back wall fell off too. A Su-24 is parked inside, hard to say but possibly damaged.


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Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
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Shelters 8 and 9 were slightly damaged. The blast partially ripped off the back walls. There is a Su-24 parked in 9, and it's hard to say, but perhaps a Su-34 in 8. Damage to both aircraft was probably minor, if any at all.


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Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
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Apparently, shelters 10, 11 and 12 remained intact. There is a Su-34 parked in 10.

Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
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Airbus DS sat imagery taken on 22 August 2024 (via @MT_Anderson).
To sum up:
Su-34 destroyed in maintenance and repair area
Su-24 (retired) destroyed in maintenance and repair area
Su-34 destroyed/damaged beyond repair in shelter 3
Su-34 damaged in shelter 5
Su-34 damaged in shelter 6
Su-24 possibly damaged in shelter 7
And depending on whether there was an aircraft in shelter 4, a Su-24/Su-34 damaged or damaged beyond repair.
No signs of destroyed aircraft on the apron. Check out the Su-24 decoy painted on the first parking spot on the right. A truck tows a real Su-24 on a taxiway.
Another Su-24 decoy is painted here 48.642348, 43.798334. There is a curious pile of debris visible on the tarmac.


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More from @MarcinRogowsk14

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Interestingly, both airframes shown on the ground during the ceremony have IFF "bird slicer" antennas of the older type used on F-16As with ADF modification. My bet is that these two airframes are not airworthy and were obtained from the US to be used as decoys. Image
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On 1 July 2024, the Russians carried out multiple missile attacks on the Myrhorod Air Base, Poltava Oblast. Two Ukrainian AF Su-27 fighters were completely destroyed, and up to four more were damaged (some likely beyond repair).
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Around 10 June 2024, a Ukrainian Air Force Sukhoi Su-27 (likely UB variant) was damaged (possibly beyond repair) in a Russian missile attack on Myrhorod Air Base, Poltava Oblast. It is unclear whether this was an operational or retired airframe.



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The aircraft was parked here: 49.930813, 33.627451. Thanks to Sentinel-2 low-res sat imagery we know that it wasn't there on 7 June 2024. Image
Since before 2009 well over a dozen retired Su-27 airframes have been stored in this part of the base. Since then, some of them have almost certainly been restored to airworthy condition and some have been used for spare parts. Click ALT on photos for captions.


Su-27 fighters stored at Myrhorod Air Base in August 2010 (src. Yaroslav Petrukhno).
DigitalGlobe sat imagery taken on 20 June 2009.
Maxar sat imagery taken on 8 June 2019.
Maxar sat imagery taken on 12 November 2021.
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Today I found this photo that immediately reminded me of the Su-34 from 11 Sept 2022. It was described as the Su-34 that crashed in Yenakiieve on 3 March 2023, but in all the other pics from that crash site, the trees aren't so dense and there are lots of hay bales in the field. Image
So I shared my doubts with @duke_garland_2 and @1986_ivankiv. They send me this video which was also erroneously described as the Su-34 from Yenakiieve. vk.com/wall-203161127…
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