Zhao DaShuai 东北进修🇨🇳 Profile picture
Aug 25 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The Kursk invasion exposes some very serious issues within the Russian military.

That is the lack of quick reacting air-support from fixed-wing fighters.

The main issue is the lack of precision guided munitions like the American GBU-53 or the Chinese YL-14.
1/5.
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Those type of small diameter glide bombs are equipped with advanced seeker modules, IIR and MM wave radar, which enables them to hit moving targets

Su-34s can easily carry dozens, and release it at an safe distance of ~80km away, recreating the highway of death for Ukraine.
Crucially, the lack of C4ISR coupled with the lack of responsive smart munitions, caused the slow reaction from Russia.

Russian command became way to comfortable with their pace of combat (partly restricted by their arsenal of weapons).

The change of pace caught them off-guard.
War is about industry and its ability to use available components to create the most suitable weapon for your doctrine.

Russia in this regard is not fighting against Ukraine, it's fighting the entire industrial might of NATO.
The UMPK glide bomb kits helps with the rolling thunder type of push against fixed position, which is a good start.

But they are of little use against pop-up and moving threats, such as the surprise invasion of Kursk.

For Russia, this war must be won on the factory floors too. Image

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More from @zhao_dashuai

Aug 25
China's flying wing super-stealthy combat drone, GJ-11, listen to its engine roar.

The GJ-11 is very significant for China, it's the first deployed flying wing stealth combat drone in the world.

With it, the PLA air force and dominate any air space.
Its significance.
1/6
There are 2 components to an air campaign.

🔴One is to gain air superiority.

ie denying the enemy the ability to use its air force to target your ground force.

This is the air-to-air component, or ground-to-air by denying an air space for the enemy with anti-air missiles.
🔴The other component, is the utilization of air superiority gained.

This is the multi-role aspect of the air campaign, mostly involving:

Precision ground strikes.
Close air support.
Suppression of enemy air defense.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 24
The Western narrative is to pit Xi Jinping against Deng Xiaoping.

Why is that?

Long thread to understand Chinese politics
1/15🧵 Image
The orthodox narrative came out of the US state department regarding Xi, is to portray him as the "precedence breaker".

Breaking the rule set by Deng, who they wrongly portrays as an example of a socialist turned capitalist.

First, there were no rules to break.
Deng's politics was famously Machiavellian and pragmatic, there were no rules, the guy didn't even hold the highest office of the state.

Preferring to use political proteges to influence things from behind the curtain.

How is this in anyway a system suitable for China today?
Read 15 tweets
Aug 9
Measuring medals per capita is ldiotic.

1️⃣Each country has limited athlete quotas in each event.
2️⃣At the elite level, there is no difference between an athlete picked from a larger population vs a smaller population.
3️⃣Sports participation population is more relevant factor
1/5 Image
If the sport participation percentage is high, and the country has a large population, then it'll only affect the base talent of the athletes.

To win gold at the Olympics, the differences lies in the training, infrastructure and human resources like good coaching.
Having a racially diverse population also helps.

Whether you like to admit it or not, some ethnicities are naturally more gifted than others in certain sports.

Afro-Caribbeans in short distance sprints, East Africans in long distance running.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 4
The maneuver units of a PLA heavy Combined-Arms Division.

Within the PLA, there are intense discussions about the inadequacies to the Brigade structure exposed by the Ukraine war.

Although not applicable to our doctrine and the types of war we train to fight.
1/6 Image
In 2016, PLA went through an almost full Brigadization, turning Divisions into brigades.

But Divisional structures were maintained in some units of the PLA deployed in the Western Theatre Command, due to the vastness of the areas it covers. Image
China's overall strategic situation requires force deployment across bodies of water, which prefers the leaner brigade structure.

The current debate is:
How would the Brigade structure be quickly bulked up into divisional sized formations if the wars we fight becomes attritional Image
Read 6 tweets
Jul 31
The recently concluded CPC 3rd plenum has major implications for China

🔸Transfer of wealth from state to individual.
🔸Tax reforms that gives local government more autonomy and income.
🔸Major Stated Owned Enterprise reform.

Did President Xi concede many of his beliefs?
1/16🧵 Image
The front and center declaration from the plenum was the stated goals of:

"...to ensure the growth of disposable income of Chinese citizens rises ABOVE the rate of GDP growth"

How to achieve this?
🔸One of the main method is to improve state funded social welfare, lowering the cost of living and increase equal opportunity.

The main issue with previous and current Chinese welfare system is that it's Hukou based
Read 16 tweets
Jul 21
Western media uses different definitions of poverty to confuse readers and dismiss China's achievement.

There are
1️⃣Absolute poverty
2️⃣Relative poverty
3️⃣Circumstantial poverty
4️⃣Systemic poverty

🧵thread on the types of poverty & how western media uses them to confuse you
1/8 Image
Absolute poverty is the minimum a human being needs to sustain a dignified life.

Relative poverty, is a threshold relative in each country, depending on the level of wealth of said country.

A person in relative poverty in wealthy Country A, may be the middle class of Country B
China's 2020 elimination of poverty was the elimination of:

"Systemic absolute poverty".

Systemic absolute poverty are a type of poverty caused by the local environment, that are systemic to the local community.
Read 8 tweets

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