Okay let me just help people's brains out a little bit:
1) "common cold" viruses.
- Rhinovirus, Human coronavirus (HCoV-229E, HCoV-OC43, HCoV-NL63, HCoV-HKU1), Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), Human parainfluenza viruses (HPIV-1, HPIV-2, HPIV-3, HPIV-4),
Adenovirus, Enterovirus, Human metapneumovirus (hMPV).
2) "flu" viruses - Influenza A H1N1, Influenza A H2N2, Influenza A H3N2, Influenza A H5N1, Influenza A H7N9, Influenza B Victoria, Influenza B Yamagata.
3) "covid-19" - SARS-CoV-2.
These are three broad categories of respiratory viruses rank from generally least severe to most severe. Don't intermix them, treat them as separate categories.
* BTW, that last influenza virus looks to have actually been eliminated because of measures taken during the pandemic. 🎉🎉
Also, here is a possibly abbreviated list of the viruses considered "endemic" in Canada. Hopefully you will note, that we don't choose to pretend that most of them don't exist.
Human papillomavirus (HPV), Herpes simplex virus (HSV), Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV),
Hepatitis B virus (HBV), Hepatitis C virus (HCV), Influenza A virus, Influenza B virus, Rhinovirus, Human coronavirus (HCoV-229E, HCoV-OC43, HCoV-NL63, HCoV-HKU1), Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), Human parainfluenza viruses (HPIV-1, HPIV-2, HPIV-3, HPIV-4),
In the USA, you would need to add west nile & zika to the above list. (At least)
* okay I just want to be clear that I'm not trying to minimize any of these viruses, they can all cause complications, I simply am trying to help people understand what is being spoken about when people group things under ambiguous names.
Also want to be clear that the list of endemic viruses I provided is not complete & it changes. Climate change is actually creating endemic viruses in places where they didn't used to exist.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
It's pretty interesting how the same patterns keep presenting themselves with covid:
1) Invoke magical thinking to justify promotion of disease spread. (Hybrid immunity, long covid is a psychological problem, children are magical beings, etc)
2) As evidence mounts that magic isn't real, attack the source, produce methodologically flawed doubt pieces, in other words gaslight.
3) As gaslighting fails, claim that it's impossible to do anything different & collectively ignore those that have succumbed to the above.
4) Invoke cone of silence and shame so that no one can talk about it, while secretly hoping the problem spontaneously resolves.
5) Rinse and repeat for all affected groups, which is basically everyone.
One of the things that has shocked me during this pandemic is how it often seems like the real fight we are having is that diseases should not be resisted. That resisting disease somehow interferes with some "natural" process. This argument in various forms some subtle,
some not so much has been presented by everyone from conspiracy theorists to actual scientists and doctors. In the end it actually has won, we now embrace this disease. 🤯
It has completely upended my view of the world. Like all really bizarre things it makes you start to
question reality & your understanding of basic fundamental things. This led me to do some research on disease & our absolutely bizarre relationship with it. Which has led me to understand that part of the problem is that we fundamentally struggle to even define
Okay I don't think math actually matters or risk matters or anything really matters besides feels at this point, but I've seen a few people trying to figure out how to gauge what a 3.5% per infection risk of covid looks like. Here's the way I do it. Rare disease is are often
classified as having a 1 in 2000 lifetime risk. Let's say you are 30 and looking at a lifetime of infections with SARS2. Let's say you're going to get it on average 1.5 times a year & you will live to be 70. That's 60 infections over your remaining lifetime.
In order for this to have the same risk as a rare disease, the per infection risk of long covid can be calculated like this.
Cumulative risk is calculated using this formula:
CR=1−(1−p) ^n
Where p is the per infection risk & and n the number of infections.
Since "panic" seems to be such a large concern of people that don't want to actually talk about the reality of non-stop sars2 infections, I've been reading a lot about panic & basically it's 🐂💩. Panic has been well studied for many events from terrorism, to war, to fires, etc
The overwhelming findings are that people don't actually panic. There seems to be almost no evidence to support people panicking in the face of large events. Quite the opposite, people tend to work together in meaningful solutions.
This is the overwhelming finding of everything that I've read. Panic simply isn't an issue, you know what is an issue? People actually doing the right thing. People behaving in logical ways. That's what is really being fought against.
I've been accused a few times by anti-vaxxers of not considering the risks of vaccinations. This couldn't be further from the truth, I actually keep a pretty close eye on reported adverse reactions. Let me walk you through a few charts from health Canada.
First let's have a look at the actual risks averaged across the dosages. The per dose risk of a serious adverse reaction is 0.011% that is well within acceptable percentages for me.