Emphasizing that part of this WH fallacy is the idea there is a "Russia" at all on a strategic decision-making level. It’s a one-man dictatorship. There are no core interests except for Putin's. Only when he sees leaving Ukraine as better for his survival than war will he stop.
https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1829182651355591091
You cannot negotiate out of a crisis with someone whose survival depends on the crisis continuing. Either Russia destroys Ukraine with massive material and strategic gains, with NATO next, or continuing becomes a threat to Putin’s grip on power so he declares victory & leaves.
This piecemeal support from the West drags it out. Putin is happy to continue the war at this level and escalate opportunistically. He couldn’t care less about Russian lives or the Russian economy or anything else "Russia". Only the threat of an undeniable defeat will stop him.
Eventually the weight of the war & targeted and broad sanctions may cause enough hardship among elites or the people to tip Putin’s risk evaluation. But the best way to accelerate that is to let Ukraine obliterate the Russian forces that are murdering its people.
Time is not on Ukraine's side for the simple reason its people are dying every day while the masterminds in the White House and the German chancellery play diplomatic games. Russia's allies Iran, North Korea & China, plus the sanction-breakers in the free world, will continue.
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