@marcveld.bsky.social Profile picture
Aug 31, 2024 10 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Population immunity. Yes, that again. A very difficult concept for many. So much so that some claim it does not exist or, at least, doesn't for SARS-COV-2.
But it does, of course. It is misunderstood, bc it is not how many understand it should be working.
1/10 Image
Again: immunity reduces the risk of disease as a consequence of a particular infection.
Risk of infection (and disease) depends on the host (antibody waning) and the pathogen (mutations, variants location and speed).

(For disease: pathogenicity, speed, load, genetics)
2/10
This causes confusion with many thinking that immunity prevents infection: it can, but during a limited time.
Yet, this is often used to explain group immunity. It is not incorrect, however, think about the pathogen side!

3/10
Many can think of pathogens like measlesvirus, and think they have not been infected bc they were vaccinated or had the infection. But you do, but clear the virus before symptoms or transmission. You protect others.


4/10
For a fast respiratory virus ithere is still group immunity. Yes, it reduces disease and also infections. The infection reoccures more frequently and you notice them more. The pathogen is very fast and can transmit.

?
5/10
This means that protection of those around us is less. But it still matters!

Our rapid response may not stop infection or new virus generation. But, it does reduce transmission. It does this by killing infected cells: less virus production. And by coating the virus
6/10
with antibodies. Many will be neutralising and thereby reduce transmission. Other will make the particle more immune visible and ensure rapid clearance. The total means: less risk of transmission and less infectious virus when transmission does occur.
This matters a lot!
7/10
It matters a lot when you think about exponential growth. Even reducing that with 10% makes a big impact.

But there is more. Synchronised immunity does mean many of us are not or with more difficulty susceptible to infection for several months. The classic group immunity.
8/10
Yes, true, that will wane. But it pushes the virus into a wave pattern, and with immunity strong, the infection rate will be more determined by human behaviour: the virus strikes when antibodies have waned sufficiently and we are closer together with less ventilation.
9/10
This is seasonality. Ensuring we do not have a high risk of infection the whole year round.
This is how it works for all viruses, why we have higher risk of infection at some points of the year over others. SARS-COV-2 is no exception. But, it does take a bit of time
10/10

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More from @Marc_Veld

Dec 16, 2024
Autism is a prenatal disorder: Evidence from late gestation brain overgrowth

Autism is a neurodevelopmental disorder. Late gestation is identified as a critical period for atypical brain development underlying autism symptoms.



1/6onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/au…
Prenatal Origins of ASD: The When, What, and How of ASD Development

ASD is highly heritable. Most ASD risk genes are expressed in prenatal life and fall into two major groups, broadly expressed regulatory genes and brain-specific ones.


2/6cell.com/trends/neurosc…
Fetal brain growth and infant autistic traits

Prenatal brain growth is associated with toddler autistic traits and this can be ascertained via ultrasound starting at 20 weeks gestation.


3/6molecularautism.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…
Read 6 tweets
Nov 25, 2024
Elon Musk Is Now Cyberbullying Government Employees

Elon Musk is so excited to start his new gig ruining the federal government that he’s getting an early start by goading his millions of followers to cyberbully government employees.

It is going well, very well........
1/6
Former Pal Claims Elon Musk Is Battling Tweet Addiction

Elon Musk’s former pal, philosopher Sam Harris, claimed the billionaire is in the throes of social media addiction, “snorting ketamine and tweeting at all hours of the day and night,”


2/6thedailybeast.com/former-pal-sam…
A study found that X’s algorithm now loves two things: Republicans and Elon Musk

Freedom of speech much? Only if one person agrees with it ....


3/6theverge.com/2024/11/17/242…
Read 6 tweets
Nov 10, 2024
RFK Jr. lacks a medical or life sciences background, and it shows in his persistent obsessions.

As scientists, we understand that wanting a hypothesis to be true doesn’t make it so.

Vaccines do not cause or contribute to autism.

1/9 Image
There is extensive data and decades of studies, repeatedly reviewed, and the link between vaccines and autism has been definitively disproven.


2/9
The information is out there, for anyone to see. Scientific studies and good explanations of the studies.

chop.edu/vaccine-educat…

Including directed at parents,
parents.com/health/autism/…
3/9
Read 9 tweets
Nov 8, 2024
When people are repeatedly told something is harmful or wrong, even if the evidence says otherwise, many eventually start to believe it.

The argument here is that if it's not vaccines or WiFi, then something must be making us all unhealthy. But are we actually less healthy?
1/7 Image
Some of us are less healthy—just look at rising rates of overweight and obesity, which bring many secondary health issues. But the cause isn’t vaccines, WiFi, or 5G. It’s largely due to diet and lack of exercise. And no, there are no quick fixes for this.
2/7 Image
The reason lies in how food is made to taste so good and is so plentiful that it’s easy to overeat. Economics plays a huge role—tasty foods with often limited nutrition are frequently the cheapest options, making them more accessible than healthier alternatives.
3/7
Read 7 tweets
Nov 7, 2024
This clip and public pronouncements are used to claim that RFK jr. does not want to ban vaccines. But that largely misses the danger of what is being portrayed here.

It is the sinister sowing of doubts with disinformation that is the issue.

Part 2.
1/10 Image
In part 1 I discussed the incorrect statements, based on misunderstanding how vaccines work, what they are, that they are preventative, that there is no precise time, that all have been tested in clinical trials, and that they should be given to healthy children. Why them?

2/10
A communicable (transmitted) disease requires a community response.

In other words, we can only fight infectious diseases collectively. Why?
As the name infectious implies, they are transmitted from person to person. That is very important to understand.
3/10
Read 10 tweets
Nov 7, 2024
This clip and public pronouncements are used to claim that RFK jr. does not want to ban vaccines. But that largely misses the danger of what is being portrayed here.

It is the sinister "art" of sowing doubt with disinformation and tropes that is the issue.

Part 1.
1/10 Image
He claims it needs to be based on "good science." No vaccine offered is not based on good science. They are all based on detailed knowledge of how our immune system and its cells work, and they were all tested in pre-clinical models, clinical trials, and post-authorisation.
2/10
The claim "if you are not sick, you should not be required to take a product" misses two points. There is no obligation, and vaccines are preventative products. They work by keeping you healthy and are given to you when you are healthy. If already ill, they will not work!
3/10 Image
Read 10 tweets

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