Giorgi Revishvili Profile picture
Aug 31, 2024 12 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Ukraine's OpSec in planning the Kursk operation has been spectacular. WSJ obtained new details of the operation:

CinC Syrskyi gathered senior officers for a secret meeting in late July where he disclosed an audacious plan to revive the country’s flagging war effort. 1/10⬇️ Image
Syrskiy had evidently drawn conclusions from Ukraine’s failed counteroffensive during the summer of 2023, when Ukraine consulted with the U.S. and other Western partners, deployed newly formed brigades and telegraphed its plans with videos and public comments. 2/10
Only a small number of senior officers took part in the meetings, led by Syrskiy, to thrash out detailed plans for the incursion. Syrskiy tapped battle-hardened units, such as the 80th and 82nd Air Assault Brigades, to lead the incursion and didn’t inform the U.S. of plans. 3/10
“The strong point of Syrskiy is that he is a general who can act unusually, suddenly, unexpectedly for the enemy" Serhiy Cherevatiy, Syrskiy’s former communications adviser. “He knows we don’t have parity and can’t go head-to-head, so he uses cunning and any advantage we have.”
Before Syrskiy’s July meeting with senior officers from units selected for the operation, troops from the 61st Brigade had spent months training in the east for what officers assumed would be another defensive engagement. 5/10
Even after the general’s disclosure that they would be going into Russia, Kholodkevych, the brigade’s chief of staff, thought it might simply be a bluff, meant to deceive the Russians. 6/10
The transfer of the 61st Brigade from the east was accompanied by a disinformation campaign indicating they were headed for Vovchansk, a northern city under assault since May, when Russia launched its own cross-border incursion. 7/10
Ukraine is using new tactics and equipment to gain an upper hand where Russian defenses are weaker, including using small explosive drones to strike down helicopters and Russian surveillance drones. 8/10
The commander of a drone unit, call sign Aristarkh, said that was allowing Ukrainian artillery to move more freely and hit more targets as the threat of discovery is lower. 9/10
Aristarkh’s teams operate strike drones with a range of 30 miles that can drop aerial bombs on high-value targets such as artillery guns. 10/10
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More from @revishvilig

Feb 15
Colonel Ants Kiviselg, Estonian Military Intelligence Chief:

There are no signs that Russia seeks peace. 1/10 Image
At the political level, Russia continues to maintain rhetoric rejecting Western security guarantees for Ukraine and persists in its aim to annex what it calls “historical Russian lands.” 2/10
Russia’s actions to block the Telegram and WhatsApp messengers and force citizens to use the state-controlled Max application, demonstrates autocratic governance and a repressive policy aimed at controlling and restricting communication across the entire population. 3/10
Read 10 tweets
Feb 13
Important observations by Oleh Shyriaiev, Commander of Ukraine's 225th Separate Assault Regiment:

Systematically targeting Russian tactical-level commanders and their drone units — disrupting the entire drone operator network — would yield a far greater battlefield impact. 1/9 Image
Eliminating the commander of a Russian field army would not significantly alter the situation on the battlefield. Wars are driven at the tactical level — by battalion and company commanders, by those directly commanding forces on the ground. 2/9
Strikes at the strategic level — targeting the adversary’s defense-industrial base, fuel infrastructure, and logistical networks — remain both necessary and effective. These efforts degrade the opponent’s overall warfighting capacity and should continue uninterrupted. 3/9
Read 11 tweets
Feb 12
Ukrainian Defense Minister Fedorov:
In December, Russia suffered record losses — 35,000 troops killed and severely wounded. All of these figures have been verified. Ukraine’s strategic objective is to inflict at least 50,000 confirmed enemy casualties per month. 1/8
Russia cannot win this war on the battlefield, which is why it continues to wage war against the civilian population and critical infrastructure. Today, Russia carried out one of the most massive ballistic attacks against Ukraine, employing more than 20 ballistic missiles. 2/8
The most effective means of countering ballistic missiles are PAC-3 interceptors for the Patriot system. We critically need additional interceptors to shoot down ballistic missiles, as Russia seeks to destroy our critical infrastructure this winter. 3/8
Read 10 tweets
Feb 11
General Andriy Biletsky, Commander of Ukraine's 3rd Army Corps:

Peace, in practical terms, means forcing Russia into a strategic stalemate — a dead end in which further advances are either impossible or achievable only at completely unacceptable losses. 1/14 Image
Only then does it make sense for them to sit down at the negotiating table.
if the winter is endured and Russian advances are fully halted in the spring, making it evident that Moscow’s objectives in the Donbas are unattainable, the situation would change fundamentally. 2/14
Should it become clear that even 2026 is unrealistic for achieving these aims, genuine and serious incentives for the Russian leadership to enter negotiations are likely to emerge. 3/14
Read 15 tweets
Feb 6
General Syrskyi’s Key Statements to the Media

The active front line stretches about 1,200 km; the kill zone extends 15–20 km in depth.

Enemy strength is around 712,000 personnel, but casualty levels exceed Russia’s ability to replenish forces. 1/6 Image
Kupiansk: Russian diversionary groups of up to 40–50 fighters remain in the city. Russia is actively using fiber-optic drones at distances of 30 km and beyond.

In Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, measures are underway to improve the tactical positions of Ukrainian forces. 2/6
Work continues to increase the effectiveness of drones in air defense. Plans include redistributing functions between surface-to-air missile forces and a new branch of forces responsible for protecting critical infrastructure. 3/6
Read 7 tweets
Feb 5
Putin’s war economy is under real strain:

The Russian economy has entered one of its weakest years in 2026 since the launch of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. 1/12 Image
Russia’s energy revenues fell by about one-fifth last year compared with 2024. High interest rates and a heavy debt burden are squeezing corporate profitability, pushing up the number of financially distressed firms, while lower oil prices and the absence of meaningful growth are further undermining budget revenues. 2/12
As Russian businesses were still adjusting to a VAT hike, officials quickly turned to raising new and existing taxes to patch a budget gap made worse by the collapse in oil and gas revenues in early 2026. 3/12
Read 13 tweets

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