Artur Rehi Profile picture
Sep 3, 2024 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The FSB has allowed the largest data leak. It's not just about the electronic documents that were published by "Important Stories" and "Ukrainian Truth", but the Ukrainian side has also gotten its hands on the documentation of all Russian structures in the Kursk region.
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The fleeing Russians left everything behind, including top secret documents. According to the leadership, they were supposed to burn the most sensitive documents to prevent them from leaking, but they didn't. Most of the documents were handed over to journalist Dmytro
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Karpenko, who is publishing them in parts on his Telegram and YouTube channels. What's more interesting is not the facts associated with them, but the lies they contain. The Russian leadership has long relied on the FSB, just as the USSR relied on the NKVD, the KGB, and
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everything before and after. The security forces have always served as the main lever of influence on both the people and intra-party relations. Throughout the years of their existence in Russia, the security agencies, in order to justify their existence, their work and
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usefulness, are constantly busy looking for external and internal enemies. The atmosphere of paranoia in these structures is the fundamental driving force. The documents obtained reveal the network of lies in the FSB and how it spreads from the very bottom of the chain from
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the officer's report to the very top on Putin's desk. Agent messages, questionnaires of recruited agents, denunciations and reports - they are all united by a common tendency to lie in those who prepared these documents. In an attempt to get a medal or a prize for uncovering
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a secret chain of foreign agents, FSB officers conduct investigative activities, creating the appearance of vigorous activity. However, relying on the false reports of his special services, Putin at some point decided that he would be met with flowers in Ukraine. Putin
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really believes the information that is reported to him up the chain. He believes in anti-Russian conspiracies of the Anglo-Saxons and the incredible successes of Russia, crucified boys, NATO mercenaries and other nonsense because this is what the FSB agent networks report
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to him. Thus, one of the reports said that Ukraine is recruiting children under 16 and pensioners over 65 into its "volunteer units" in order to later present them as victims of the conflict. The training of these units is conducted by an English-speaking instructor from
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Wales. Another agent wrote about the "Azov children's camps". The atmosphere of paranoia is the main feature of the FSB. A normal, healthy person could never work in the Russian security forces. They recruit a certain type of people. If there is no external and internal
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enemy, there is no point in the security forces. Therefore, they invent one for themselves and "take him into development", writing crazy reports, based on which Putin runs the country. He seriously believes in hordes of neo-Nazis marching through Ukrainian cities,
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secret NATO bio-labs and conspiracy theories. Based on these reports, Putin did not expect to encounter resistance in Ukraine and did not know the real state of his army. He probably does not know the real state of his nuclear forces either.
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More from @ArturRehi

Sep 11
The discussed cancellation of tourist visas for Russians in the new package of European sanctions has caused a wave of outrage among the so-called Russian opposition. Yulia Navalnaya and her team submitted a petition to Brussels, calling to distinguish between “ordinary
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Russians” and the “regime.” The Russian opposition should have long ago stopped being taken seriously. They are not concerned with the fate of Ukraine and they have no sense of responsibility for what is happening in their own country. The only thing that worries them is
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the loss of the ability to live in Europe and enjoy the benefits of the civilized world. Alexei Navalny, it should be reminded, was not against the occupation of Crimea. In fact, the main regret of the Russian opposition is that it is not they who are in power. They are not
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Read 15 tweets
Sep 9
The Russian army is facing a gasoline shortage in the occupied regions of Ukraine. About two weeks ago, a shortage of gasoline at gas stations began, and sales to private individuals were restricted. However, the Russian army in these areas often uses civilian gas stations,
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frequently even refueling at its own expense. The reason is constant Ukrainian strikes on logistics. When a fuel truck arrives at the rear, a rush and crowd form, which Ukrainian reconnaissance drones detect and coordinate strikes on. On top of this, there are frequent cases
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of fuel theft and resale on the black market. Resellers take advantage of the gasoline shortage and sell “under the table” for more than 200 rubles per liter, while the usual price at gas stations is 60–70 rubles per liter. The occupation authorities happily integrated into
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Read 10 tweets
Sep 8
The economic crisis in Russia is worsening. The budget deficit already amounts to 5 trillion rubles for the first seven months of the year, or 3.4% of GDP. This figure is twice the planned value for the entire year, 1.7% of GDP. Today or tomorrow, data for August will be
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published, and the number will be even higher. The main reason is the decline in oil and gas revenues. For the second month in a row, revenues remain at a record minimum of about 500 billion rubles per month, while 1 trillion rubles are needed to cover planned expenditures.
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The problem for Russia is that they have nothing to cover this deficit. There is increasing talk about the need to lower the key interest rate to revive the economy. Proposals are being made to reduce it to 16%. However, lowering the rate never happens without consequences -
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Read 11 tweets
Sep 4
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit has shown that a power capable of posing an economic challenge to the US and the EU has taken shape in the world, and it is directed from Beijing. Putin arrived in China for a four-day visit. Such a long trip by the Russian
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dictator is called, on the one hand, a triumph after his return from Alaska, where US President Trump solemnly welcomed him on the red carpet and did not impose sanctions. On the other hand, relations between Beijing and Moscow are not equal: China benefits from preventing
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rapprochement between Putin and Trump, but Xi also does not want Russia to grow stronger. The SCO is seen as China’s attempt to contain the US in the Indo-Pacific region and as Russia’s response to NATO expansion. However, experts acknowledge that this is not an alliance or
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Read 16 tweets
Sep 2
Europe once again demonstrates its toothlessness towards Russia. The incident with von der Leyen’s plane is a serious event, where the lives of everyone on board were put at risk. An excellent comment on this matter was written by Former Foreign Minister of Lithuania
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Gabrielius Landsbergis: "Deeply concerned to hear about the deeply concerning GPS interference that diverted @vonderleyen 's flight. Europe stands united in expression of deep concerns and must commit to the deployment of ever-deepening concerns moving forward." Expressing
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deep concern is the main tactic of the EU in times when decisive action is needed. I feel like a parrot repeating the same phrase – a tough response to Russia is needed. It understands only the language of force, and if this force is demonstrated, Russia will retreat. It is
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Read 11 tweets
Sep 1
Russia’s budget deficit has surged to around ₽5 trillion (about $62.5 billion). That’s 130% of what was planned, and there are still four months left in the year. Another round of inflation is expected this autumn. The central bank’s decision to cut the key interest rate
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in June has triggered a new problem—a sharp increase in household debt. Russian consumers typically lack financial literacy, and in hard times they don’t cut back or save; instead, they live day to day, as if it’s their last, without thinking of the future. It’s the classic
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Russian “avos’” mentality. Once the key rate fell from 21% to 18%, people snapped up new loans without much concern about how they’d repay them later. Everyone irrationally hopes that it’s temporary and will somehow resolve itself. This is all before even accounting for the
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Read 12 tweets

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