🧵/ link in the last post. Andrey Averyanov, ex-head of GRU sabotage unit 29155, visited Israel twice before the war in Ukraine, including Feb 10, 2022, when Israeli PM Naftali Bennett urged the EU not to renew the Iran nuclear deal. Averyanov then began frequent trips to Iran.
A leaked Russian border database shows Averyanov, linked to Skripal's poisoning, Vrbetice explosions, and Khangoshvili's assassination, visited Israel for just one day on Feb 8 and 10, 2022, ruling out 'tourism' was a purpose.
Right after, Averyanov began frequent trips to Iran. The first was on June 1st, 2022, 25 days before Josep Borrell’s visit to Tehran, where he tried to revive the Iran nuclear deal. reuters.com/world/eus-borr…
The deal was never revived. Instead, Iran became one of the largest suppliers of armor for Russia’s war efforts in Ukraine.
Andrey Averyanov's next visit to Iran was on Oct 1, 2022, followed by another on Oct 6. Two weeks later, The Washington Post reported Iran planned to send missiles, not just drones, to Russia. washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
In Dec 2022, WH National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said Russia was offering Iran 'an unprecedented level of military and technical support,' turning their relationship into a full-fledged defense partnership.’ apnews.com/article/putin-…
Worth noticing that it was 2022 when Averyanov was promoted to become deputy head of the GRU. static.rusi.org/SR-Russian-Unc…
In this new role, Averyanov continued to travel to Iran in 2023. The next trip was on February 26th. On March 11th, the Iranians claimed that the deal to buy Russian Su-35 jet fighters was being finalized. smarturl.click/RVlW
Averyanov's next trip to Iran occurred on July 12 and 16, 2022. In the same month, he publicly appeared at the Russia-Africa forum in Moscow.
Since then, he’s mostly been known for traveling around Africa, helping the Russian Ministry of Defense take over Prigozhin’s business there, and expanding Russia's presence in the region.
Interestingly, none of his trips to Africa can be seen in the leaked database. After July 2022, only one trip by Averyanov appears there – to Uzbekistan (he travelled to Uzbekistan often).
It’s hard to say how significant his role was in establishing the Russia-Iran military partnership, but these trips convince me that he did have a role.
And trips to Israel are really intriguing. Why would a high-ranking, infamous GRU general-major travel there? Not really sure it was related to the Iran deal, though I personally don’t think the deal had much chance of revival, with or without any efforts.
Read the full story here (please translate with Google or ChatGPT for your language): svoboda.org/a/telj-aviv-mo…
1/4 🌉The Russian army constructed a 4th pontoon bridge across the Seym River in the Kursk oblast, near Zvannoye, 1.8 kilometers from the damaged main bridge (51.382030, 34.528200 @GeoConfirmed). It can be seen on @planet satellite image taken yesterday, on Aug. 26th
2/4 This @planet HR satellite image shows both the new pontoon bridge and the old stationary bridge, which was damaged by Ukraine earlier.
3/4 Ukraine has already targeted two Russian pontoon bridges across the Seym River: one between Zvannoye and Glushkovo, and another east of Glushkovo.
A high-resolution @planet satellite image taken on Aug. 17th shows the pontoon bridge across the Seym River, constructed by the Russians between Aug. 15 and Aug. 16, east of Glushkovo village in Kursk Oblast (51.35109, 34.67668), after Ukraine began targeting bridges in the area.
Yet another pontoon bridge across the Seym river build built by Russians east of Zavannoe (51.376050, 34.612800). Satellite image by @planet taken on August, 17th.
A screenshot from our dynamic Kursk Offensive map (), showing destroyed/damaged bridges (bridge icons) and pontoon bridges (shark icons) across the Seym river in Kursk oblast, Russia: smarturl.click/O0Xla
🧵/ Link in the last post. There are increasing reports in Russia about conscripts being sent to Kursk for reinforcement after the Russian army failed to push back Ukrainian forces there. Together with @pustota, we decided to take a deeper look into this issue.
First of all, this is not the first case of using conscripts in combat during this war. The most infamous one dates back to June 2022. themoscowtimes.com/2022/06/07/rus…
Second, legally, Russia can send its conscripts to war after 4 months of service and proper training. However, what we (and other journalists) have found is that those conscripted in the spring and being sent to Kursk most had served less than 4 months.
🧵I created an interactive Google Map showing all 15 vehicles (14 trucks and 1 rescue 'Bukhanka') from the Russian military convoy destroyed by Ukraine last night near Rylsk, Kursk Oblast. Multiple dead bodies can be seen inside the trucks. google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…
The Yandex.Mirrors dashcam snapshots collection from 2021 was used for geolocation, which I tried to make as precise as possible. However, I may have missed a few meters here and there – apologies in advance for any inaccuracies. yandex.ru/maps/-/CDcoa4JD
🧵Today, the Ukrainian military intelligence, HUR, claimed a strike on the Russian National Helicopter Center Mil & Kamov in Tomilino, Moscow Oblast, on July 21. I found the initial source for the videos they published and geolocated one of them. See the next posts for details🔽
The geolocated video. Source: 'Overheard in Tomilino' VK group (), posted at 8AM on July 21. Geolocation: POV 55.657014, 37.921943. This pretty much confirms the fire in the heli center premises, also confirmed by many people who commented on that post. archive.is/oO8gH
🧵1/7 New Pantsir-S1 on a tower has been recently installed just 3.7 kilometers from Vladimir Putin's residence on Valdai Lake, according to updated Google Earth imagery dated May 6th, 2024. 57.979219, 33.302010
2/7 A bigger picture:
3/7 The previous 'Pantsir' near this residence was reported back in January 2023, 6 km away in the village of Yascherovo: .