Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 7, 2024 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
While russian 🇷🇺 forces are nearing #Pokrovsk city in western Donetsk oblast, ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces managed to hold this advance.

At the same time, ukrainian forces are reinforcing their 3rd and 4th lines of defense.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Image
Here is how ukrainian defensive system was organized after Avdiivka fell in late february.

The 1st and 2nd line fell between june and august. If the first one was very useful, the second line was mainly abandonned. Image
This happened for one main reason, russian forces managed to push on foot along the railway. They first took Ocheretyne in late may, then Prohres in july, then Zhelanne at the end of july and Novohrodivka at the end of august. Image
After retreating during 2 months of summer, ukrainian brigades are now defending the 3rd line of defense stopping russian progress for more than a week.

At the same time, engeneering troops are upgrading the 4th line in front of Pokrovsk. Image
Based on ©Planet Imageries from yesterday, I found a lot of new defensive work for the last 10 days.

Here is a look north of Novohrodivka where the main ukrainian vulnerability is present : the railway. Image
Russian artillery and FABs air strikes are beginign to pound Pokrovsk and its neighbouring city Myrnohrad.

At the same time, new ditches are being dug between the twin cities. Image
Yesterday, russian strikes set the fields between the two cities on fire. The fact russian artillery is more present is a proof of ukrainian "controll" over the situation on Pokrovsk axis. Image
The 3rd line south of the city has been extended to the railway.

For the first time, the ditch does not stop before the railway treeline. This is exactly what cost the loss of Novohrodivka. Image
A bit north of this position, the 4th line is currently being upgraded at the southern entrance of Pokrovsk city. Image
Ukrainian forces also dug a long ditch all along the eastern entrance of Myrnohrad. This ditch can't stop infantry infiltration but it can stop russian mecanized assaults.

We can also see some artillery strikes. Image
On the T0504 Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka highway crossing, the ukrainian armed forces continued to dig new positions.

However, I'm still asking myself why they arn't finishing existing ditches like these ones... Image
Here is a map of where all the Planet images are located. I choose to show the direct Pokrovsk direction. The next image is from the town of Ukrainsk, south of here. Image
Now, the russian army is trying to move southwards in the direction of Kourakhove. Since a few days, they are trying to enter Ukrainsk from the south-east, while bypassing the town on the road to Hrynk. Image
Ukrainian forces are now trying to push back russian infantry from Selydove.

New ukrainian units helped holding back the russian advance for the last week on the Pokrovsk direction, while russian army is launching new attacks on the Kourakhove-Vulhedar direction.
According to @UAControlMap new units have been deployed to stop the advance :

2nd "Kara Dog" offensive brigade of the national guard, 93rd mechanized brigade.

And in the last month, 117th and 151st mechanized brigade, 14th NG, 71st Jager replaced other units. Image
Finally, after 2 months of Russian advances, (13km at least) in a highly fortified area, ukrainian brigades managed to hold the advance.

However, there are still large vulnerabilities on the defensive system : russian forces may advance along the railway to Pokrovsk and russian progress is still ongoing near Ukrainsk where the ukrainian are currently retreating from Nevelske.

16/16Image

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More from @clement_molin

Jun 29
L'échec de la construction des fortifications et tranchées ukrainiennes 🇺🇦

Trop grandes, sans positions de tirs, sans camouflage ni cachette, les tranchées ukrainiennes de 2014-2024 sont toutes obsolètes aujourd'hui.

Une nouvelle ligne de défense les remplace

🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️ Image
En 2024, l'armée ukrainienne a construit d'immenses fortifications défensives sur toute la ligne de front pour ralentir l'armée russe.

Pourtant, ces défenses présentent des vulnérabilités majeurs et étaient déjà à l'époque obsolètes. Image
Sur mes cartes des fortifications, vous pouvez observer ces immenses réseaux de tranchées au milieu des champs, de parfois 300, 400, voire même plus, jusqu'à 800 mètres de long.

Ces tranchées n'ont eu aucun intérêt défensif. Image
Read 20 tweets
Jun 27
In the Sahara desert in Northern Sudan 🇸🇩, the Rapid Support Forces united with Haftar alignated forces of Libya 🇱🇾 in a joint offensive.

Fightings also continue to rage in the Kordofan region, especially in Babanusa, El Obeid and Dilling.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️Image
It is a new escalation of the war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support forces in Sudan.

One month ago, SAF troops managed to cut the RSF Darfur base from the Libyan border, but all this progress has been overthrown. Image
The RSF is a pro United Arab Emirates militia fighting for the power in Sudan.
The UAE are sending drones, munitions and money to the militiamen through 3 main countries, that are also supporting the RSF, the LNA (eastern and southern Libya), Chad and South Sudan.
Read 13 tweets
Jun 17
In #Iran 🇮🇷, #Israel 🇮🇱 achieves full air superiority

While the war between Iran and Israel has only been going on for a few days, the Israeli Air Force enjoys complete air superiority over Iran, which is struggling to retaliate.

Will the USA 🇺🇸 step in ?

🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️Image
For years, Tehran has been sowing terror across the Middle East.

The axis of resistance to Israel, the only one opposing the increasingly powerful Hebrew state, is Hamas in Palestine, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Assad's Syria, Shiite militias in Iraq, and the Houthis in Yemen. Image
Tehran was supplying this axis with missiles and drones for its wars against Israël and the arabic kingdoms (United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia mainly).

However, Tehran lacked one thing, air force and air defense. Image
Read 22 tweets
Jun 16
L'Ukraine 🇺🇦 fait-elle face au danger d'une percée majeur de l'armée russe 🇷🇺 ?

Depuis plusieurs semaines, l'armée russe a accéléré sa progression sur le sol ukrainien et ce, en utilisant bien moins de blindés que précédemment.

🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️ Image
C'est une constance de ces dernières semaines, l'armée ukrainienne recule et de plus en plus rapidement.

Mettons de côté le front de Soumy et concentrons nous dans un premier temps sur le Donbass. Image
Alors que l'armée ukrainienne poursuit la construction massive de 3 lignes de défenses à l'arrière du front, elle manque cruellement d'hommes pour occuper la première ligne. Image
Read 22 tweets
Jun 15
Au Mali 🇲🇱 depuis le départ de l’armée française 🇫🇷, la guerre s’est intensifiée et l’intervention de l’armée russe 🇷🇺 n’a pas empêché l’expansion des groupes djihadistes et rebelles

La situation sécuritaire continue de se dégrader dans tout le Sahel.

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️
Le second coup d’Etat du général Assimi Goïta en 2021 a mis fin à la présence de l’armée française (depuis 2013) au Mali.

Ce départ a entrainé un vide sécuritaire dans tout le Sahel. La France a aussi été chassé du Niger, du Burkina et a décidé de partir du Tchad. Image
L’armée française disposait jadis de la suprématie des opérations militaires dans les états formant le G5 SAHEL (Mauritanie, Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger et Tchad), contre les groupes djihadistes. Image
Read 25 tweets
Jun 13
#Israël 🇮🇱 frappe massivement l'#Iran 🇮🇷 et son programme nucléaire☢️

L'attaque israélienne a d'abord visé à paralyser Téhéran (attentats ciblés, destruction de la défense aérienne...) avant de viser des cibles stratégique.

L'Iran riposte actuellement

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️
Contexte :

-> Des négociations en cours depuis plusieurs semaines entre USA et Iran sur le nucléaire
-> Guerre entre Israël et les proxy Iraniens (Hezbollah et Hamas, largement affaiblit, Houthis du Yémen, milices chiites d'Irak).
-> Chute du régime de Bachar Al Assad en Syrie
-> Volonté israélienne de mettre fin au programme nucléaire Iranien par la force
-> Feu vert probable de l'administration américaineImage
Alerte américaine :

Ces derniers jours, les Etats-Unis ont mis en alerte leurs ambassades et évacués les personnels non essentiels et les familles des bases du Moyen-Orient.

D'après des officiels américains, une attaque était attendue. Image
Read 25 tweets

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