Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 7, 2024 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
While russian 🇷🇺 forces are nearing #Pokrovsk city in western Donetsk oblast, ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces managed to hold this advance.

At the same time, ukrainian forces are reinforcing their 3rd and 4th lines of defense.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Image
Here is how ukrainian defensive system was organized after Avdiivka fell in late february.

The 1st and 2nd line fell between june and august. If the first one was very useful, the second line was mainly abandonned. Image
This happened for one main reason, russian forces managed to push on foot along the railway. They first took Ocheretyne in late may, then Prohres in july, then Zhelanne at the end of july and Novohrodivka at the end of august. Image
After retreating during 2 months of summer, ukrainian brigades are now defending the 3rd line of defense stopping russian progress for more than a week.

At the same time, engeneering troops are upgrading the 4th line in front of Pokrovsk. Image
Based on ©Planet Imageries from yesterday, I found a lot of new defensive work for the last 10 days.

Here is a look north of Novohrodivka where the main ukrainian vulnerability is present : the railway. Image
Russian artillery and FABs air strikes are beginign to pound Pokrovsk and its neighbouring city Myrnohrad.

At the same time, new ditches are being dug between the twin cities. Image
Yesterday, russian strikes set the fields between the two cities on fire. The fact russian artillery is more present is a proof of ukrainian "controll" over the situation on Pokrovsk axis. Image
The 3rd line south of the city has been extended to the railway.

For the first time, the ditch does not stop before the railway treeline. This is exactly what cost the loss of Novohrodivka. Image
A bit north of this position, the 4th line is currently being upgraded at the southern entrance of Pokrovsk city. Image
Ukrainian forces also dug a long ditch all along the eastern entrance of Myrnohrad. This ditch can't stop infantry infiltration but it can stop russian mecanized assaults.

We can also see some artillery strikes. Image
On the T0504 Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka highway crossing, the ukrainian armed forces continued to dig new positions.

However, I'm still asking myself why they arn't finishing existing ditches like these ones... Image
Here is a map of where all the Planet images are located. I choose to show the direct Pokrovsk direction. The next image is from the town of Ukrainsk, south of here. Image
Now, the russian army is trying to move southwards in the direction of Kourakhove. Since a few days, they are trying to enter Ukrainsk from the south-east, while bypassing the town on the road to Hrynk. Image
Ukrainian forces are now trying to push back russian infantry from Selydove.

New ukrainian units helped holding back the russian advance for the last week on the Pokrovsk direction, while russian army is launching new attacks on the Kourakhove-Vulhedar direction.
According to @UAControlMap new units have been deployed to stop the advance :

2nd "Kara Dog" offensive brigade of the national guard, 93rd mechanized brigade.

And in the last month, 117th and 151st mechanized brigade, 14th NG, 71st Jager replaced other units. Image
Finally, after 2 months of Russian advances, (13km at least) in a highly fortified area, ukrainian brigades managed to hold the advance.

However, there are still large vulnerabilities on the defensive system : russian forces may advance along the railway to Pokrovsk and russian progress is still ongoing near Ukrainsk where the ukrainian are currently retreating from Nevelske.

16/16Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Clément Molin

Clément Molin Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @clement_molin

Sep 9
A Pokrovsk et Soumy, l'armée russe 🇷🇺 stoppée par les contre-attaques ukrainiennes 🇺🇦 change de stratégie.

Echouant à exploiter la percée de Dobropilla, l'armée russe pousse à Lyman et Pokrovsk'e, alors qu'elle est encore loin de ses objectifs de 2025.

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
Si 2023 fut une année à deux objectifs, mettre un terme aux perspectives offensives ukrainiennes et sécuriser le nord de Donetsk avec Bakhmout, 2024 fut l'année de la dernière bataille de Donetsk, permettant de repousser les ukrainiens loin de la ville, jusqu'à Pokrovsk. Image
Image
Pour 2025, même si nous ne pouvons pas le confirmer avec certitudes, le principal objectif russe était de préparer le terrain pour la "libération" finale de l'oblast de Donetsk, "prévue" pour 2026

Pour cela, il faut sécuriser Pokrovsk et Kostiantynivka, les deux principaux buts. Image
Read 25 tweets
Sep 8
From Poland 🇵🇱 to Moldova 🇲🇩 stretches the longest Ukrainian 🇺🇦 defensive line, 2 800 km !

The biggest fortification system is in the east, in Donbass, but we can also find massive fortifications near Belarus, Kharkiv, or Odessa.

Let's analyse what is new :

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
Since 2014, ukrainian forces have been fortifying the frontline, primarly with trenches, dugouts and bunkers.

In 2022, 2023 and 2024, they also added new defensive lines everywhere, with anti-tank ditches and open-air trenches, which are now obsolete. 2025 saw a new program : Image
Previous trenches and fortifications were obsolete, no dugouts, no firing positions, no cover against drones and too large for small infantry teams.

Thus, since the first months of 2025, we have seen a new strategy of trench and fortification building. Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 25 tweets
Sep 4
For only 3 weeks, russian 🇷🇺 airforce launched 1 500 airstrikes between Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka, more than the previous monthly count.

Up to 40% of all russian airstrikes are happening in Pokrovsk in preparation for a larger offensive which may soon happen.

🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️Image
I've never documented that much airstrikes in this area since I'm counting them. I started on june 11th, counting may and until june 11th.

From july 11th to august 11th, I mapped 1 400 airstrikes in 4 weeks, from august 11th to september 3, I mapped additional 1 500 airstrikes. Image
This graph from @M0nstas shows the large increase in the use of airstrikes "bombs".

From 1 000 a month in 2024 to an average of 3 000 to 5 000 a month, especially in april with more than 5 000.

This month of august, 4 400 ! I estimate ~1 800 are from Pokrovsk, 40% ! Image
Read 20 tweets
Aug 29
Some interesting new findings 🇺🇦🇷🇺 :

-Around 36 airstrikes just behind Kramatorsk
-Work ongoing for the prolongment of "New Donbass Line" to Sumy oblast
-Trench work : on the 1st line of New Donbass line (2nd and 3rd ditch) + parallel ditch.
-Airstrikes, old and new ditch

⬇️ Image
Image
Image
Image
Burned down area around Velika Novosilka, captured in late january by russian forces. Image
A lot of FAB impacts on treelines and around in Sumy oblast. Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 29
En Hongrie 🇭🇺, le pion de Moscou 🇷🇺 dans la tourmente

En pleine crise diplomatique avec Kyiv 🇺🇦 et Varsovie 🇵🇱, Orban fait aussi face à une importante défiance interne, menée par Peter Magyar

La Hongrie, entre affaires de corruption, noyautage et répression

🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️Image
J'ai passé 6 mois en Erasmus 🇪🇺 en Hongrie. De manière générale, j'ai été frappé par ce côté très revanchard de la population hongroise envers le traité de Trianon il y a plus de 100 ans.

A part à Budapest, seule ville plus progressiste, et encore, la gauche n'existe presque pas Image
La droite et l'extrême droite forment environ 70% du paysage politique hongrois.

Le leader actuel est Viktor Orban, réélu premier ministre depuis 2010, son principal opposant est un ancien allié, Péter Magyar. Image
Read 22 tweets
Aug 27
Russian 🇷🇺 airforce launched 700 NEW airstrikes near Pokrovsk 🇺🇦 in 2 weeks, with more than 80% in the Pokrovsk-Dobropilla direction.

To sustain its offensives operations, Moscow also launched 800 strikes at Lyman and Siversk and 2 800 at Sumy !

🧵THREAD🧵1/19 ⬇️Image
1- Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka

Since may, I'm mapping most of russian airstrikes betwee, the two key cities of Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka.

The frontline is 50km long and I mapped around 3 800 airstrikes there in 4 months ! Image
Here, you can find 3 different colors.

I've used red for may to june 11th. I also use red for non dated airstrikes elsewhere (Sumy, Lyman, Siversk).

Orange is for june 11th to july 11th, blue from july 11th to august 11th and finally yellow, just bellow. Image
Image
Image
Read 19 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(