Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 7, 2024 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
While russian 🇷🇺 forces are nearing #Pokrovsk city in western Donetsk oblast, ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces managed to hold this advance.

At the same time, ukrainian forces are reinforcing their 3rd and 4th lines of defense.

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Here is how ukrainian defensive system was organized after Avdiivka fell in late february.

The 1st and 2nd line fell between june and august. If the first one was very useful, the second line was mainly abandonned. Image
This happened for one main reason, russian forces managed to push on foot along the railway. They first took Ocheretyne in late may, then Prohres in july, then Zhelanne at the end of july and Novohrodivka at the end of august. Image
After retreating during 2 months of summer, ukrainian brigades are now defending the 3rd line of defense stopping russian progress for more than a week.

At the same time, engeneering troops are upgrading the 4th line in front of Pokrovsk. Image
Based on ©Planet Imageries from yesterday, I found a lot of new defensive work for the last 10 days.

Here is a look north of Novohrodivka where the main ukrainian vulnerability is present : the railway. Image
Russian artillery and FABs air strikes are beginign to pound Pokrovsk and its neighbouring city Myrnohrad.

At the same time, new ditches are being dug between the twin cities. Image
Yesterday, russian strikes set the fields between the two cities on fire. The fact russian artillery is more present is a proof of ukrainian "controll" over the situation on Pokrovsk axis. Image
The 3rd line south of the city has been extended to the railway.

For the first time, the ditch does not stop before the railway treeline. This is exactly what cost the loss of Novohrodivka. Image
A bit north of this position, the 4th line is currently being upgraded at the southern entrance of Pokrovsk city. Image
Ukrainian forces also dug a long ditch all along the eastern entrance of Myrnohrad. This ditch can't stop infantry infiltration but it can stop russian mecanized assaults.

We can also see some artillery strikes. Image
On the T0504 Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka highway crossing, the ukrainian armed forces continued to dig new positions.

However, I'm still asking myself why they arn't finishing existing ditches like these ones... Image
Here is a map of where all the Planet images are located. I choose to show the direct Pokrovsk direction. The next image is from the town of Ukrainsk, south of here. Image
Now, the russian army is trying to move southwards in the direction of Kourakhove. Since a few days, they are trying to enter Ukrainsk from the south-east, while bypassing the town on the road to Hrynk. Image
Ukrainian forces are now trying to push back russian infantry from Selydove.

New ukrainian units helped holding back the russian advance for the last week on the Pokrovsk direction, while russian army is launching new attacks on the Kourakhove-Vulhedar direction.
According to @UAControlMap new units have been deployed to stop the advance :

2nd "Kara Dog" offensive brigade of the national guard, 93rd mechanized brigade.

And in the last month, 117th and 151st mechanized brigade, 14th NG, 71st Jager replaced other units. Image
Finally, after 2 months of Russian advances, (13km at least) in a highly fortified area, ukrainian brigades managed to hold the advance.

However, there are still large vulnerabilities on the defensive system : russian forces may advance along the railway to Pokrovsk and russian progress is still ongoing near Ukrainsk where the ukrainian are currently retreating from Nevelske.

16/16Image

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More from @clement_molin

Apr 18
After 4 months of failed offensive in 2025, russian 🇷🇺armed forces renewed large scale assaults

This is the main russian plan for 2025, battle for northern Donetk oblast. Russia failed to encircle Pokrovsk 🇺🇦 and advance instead in less strategic areas.

🧵THREAD🧵1/12⬇️ Image
Chasiv Yar and Toretk should have fallen long ago, allowing Russia to follow the terrain into Kostiantynivka and disturb ukrainian logistics in central Donetsk oblast.

Both cities are still partly into ukrainian hands, allowing significant fortification job behind. Image
For the first time since 2023, Kramatorsk is being fortified again, with new anti-tank ditches and positions on the eastern part.

More significant, on the western part of the city, a three layered anti-tank ditch is being dug. Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 17
Sur le front de Zaporizhia, l'armée russe 🇷🇺 pousse aux deux extrémités du système défensif ukrainien 🇺🇦.

Pour la première fois depuis juin 2022, l'opération offensive russe à Zaporizhia a repris, notamment aujourd'hui avec un important assaut mécanisé.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Image
Depuis la prise de Velika Novosilka fin janvier 2025, l'un des 4 bastions ukrainiens sur le front sud, l'armée russe poursuit sa progression au nord de cette petite ville de campagne.

Elle avance par ailleurs à Kamianske, l'autre bastion au bord du Dniepr.
L'armée russe a par ailleurs réactivé le front d'Orikhiv, lançant un large assaut mécanisé à l'est de la ville, dans le faubourg de Mala Tokmachka au prix de lourdes pertes.
Read 16 tweets
Apr 10
Point de situation - Front de Kherson/Mer Noire 🇺🇦🇷🇺

Le plus inactif des fronts ukrainiens, entre la mer Noire et le Dniepr, mérite une analyse des enjeux et des mouvements.

1er thread d'une série de points de situation couvrant la reprise offensive russe.

🧵THREAD🧵1/18 ⬇️ Image
Depuis la fin des opération ukrainiennes sur la rive gauche, à Korsunka ou Krinky, les opérations amphibies ont été largement réduites à des opérations locales de sabotages et d'infiltration, principalement sur les iles du Dniepr, entre Kakhovka et Kherson.
Côté ukrainien, le dispositif défensif s'organise autour de 3 brigades de défenses côtière (ex-mécanisée ou territoriale) ainsi que plusieurs bataillons et brigades ayant différentes mission, drones, artillerie, défense territoriale, défense aérienne, forces spéciales... Image
Read 18 tweets
Mar 27
L'armée ukrainienne 🇺🇦 a largement renforcé ses lignes de défense

Dans l'est de l'Ukraine, d'immenses lignes de défenses sont creusées chaque jour à une vitesse jamais atteinte, couplée à une nouvelle stratégie pour stopper l'armée russe 🇷🇺

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Image
C'est une nouvelle stratégie de défense que l'armée ukrainienne met au point depuis plusieurs mois, à l'oeuvre partout dans le pays.

Une réorganisation générale de l'armée, une nouvelle stratégie défensive et une construction plus rapide de fortifications. Image
This is more and more common in Donbass. Three anti-tank ditches next to each other to stop any russian assault.

We shoulkd thus remember Russia has less and less tanks and armour vehicles, and no vehicle can go though this. Image
Read 17 tweets
Mar 26
🔴DIRECT LIVE🔴

The Sudanese armed forces launched the final offensive to liberate Sudan's 🇸🇩 capital city from the Rapid Support Forces, Khartoum.

Army bases, public administration, trapped civilians in populated neighbourhoods are being liberated.

🧵THREAD🧵1/x⬇️ Image
Two Sudanese army soldiers raise the Sudanese flag on the tarmac of Khartoum International Airport, nearly two years after it was captured by the Rapid Support Forces paramilitary militia.

2/x
Since they liberated the presidential palace in central Khartoum, the Sudanese Army is advancing into long occupied neighbourhoods where hundred of thousands of civilians may still be trapped.

They help the public administration to take back controll of the institutions.

3/x Image
Read 11 tweets
Mar 22
En #Somalie 🇸🇴, le groupe terroriste Al Shabab a lancé une vaste offensive sur la capitale Mogadiscio et levé l'encerclement d'une partie de son territoire.

Le président Hassan Cheikh Mohamed a échappé à une tentative d'assassinat il y a quelques jours.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Ces dernières années, l'armée Somalienne, soutenu par un important contingent de casques bleus de l'ONU, des forces américaines et de forces de l'Union Africaine avait réussi à repousser Al Shabab de la capitale et des principales villes du pays.

Mais le groupe n'a pas disparu.
Celui-ci a poursuivi ses attentats meurtrier face à une vaste coalition, capitalisant sur les tensions ethniques, la pauvreté et le rejet de la présence de troupes étrangères (Kenyanes, Ethiopiennes, Ougandaises...).

Le président a tout fait pour renforcer ses forces. Image
Read 10 tweets

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