Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 7, 2024 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
While russian 🇷🇺 forces are nearing #Pokrovsk city in western Donetsk oblast, ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces managed to hold this advance.

At the same time, ukrainian forces are reinforcing their 3rd and 4th lines of defense.

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Here is how ukrainian defensive system was organized after Avdiivka fell in late february.

The 1st and 2nd line fell between june and august. If the first one was very useful, the second line was mainly abandonned. Image
This happened for one main reason, russian forces managed to push on foot along the railway. They first took Ocheretyne in late may, then Prohres in july, then Zhelanne at the end of july and Novohrodivka at the end of august. Image
After retreating during 2 months of summer, ukrainian brigades are now defending the 3rd line of defense stopping russian progress for more than a week.

At the same time, engeneering troops are upgrading the 4th line in front of Pokrovsk. Image
Based on ©Planet Imageries from yesterday, I found a lot of new defensive work for the last 10 days.

Here is a look north of Novohrodivka where the main ukrainian vulnerability is present : the railway. Image
Russian artillery and FABs air strikes are beginign to pound Pokrovsk and its neighbouring city Myrnohrad.

At the same time, new ditches are being dug between the twin cities. Image
Yesterday, russian strikes set the fields between the two cities on fire. The fact russian artillery is more present is a proof of ukrainian "controll" over the situation on Pokrovsk axis. Image
The 3rd line south of the city has been extended to the railway.

For the first time, the ditch does not stop before the railway treeline. This is exactly what cost the loss of Novohrodivka. Image
A bit north of this position, the 4th line is currently being upgraded at the southern entrance of Pokrovsk city. Image
Ukrainian forces also dug a long ditch all along the eastern entrance of Myrnohrad. This ditch can't stop infantry infiltration but it can stop russian mecanized assaults.

We can also see some artillery strikes. Image
On the T0504 Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka highway crossing, the ukrainian armed forces continued to dig new positions.

However, I'm still asking myself why they arn't finishing existing ditches like these ones... Image
Here is a map of where all the Planet images are located. I choose to show the direct Pokrovsk direction. The next image is from the town of Ukrainsk, south of here. Image
Now, the russian army is trying to move southwards in the direction of Kourakhove. Since a few days, they are trying to enter Ukrainsk from the south-east, while bypassing the town on the road to Hrynk. Image
Ukrainian forces are now trying to push back russian infantry from Selydove.

New ukrainian units helped holding back the russian advance for the last week on the Pokrovsk direction, while russian army is launching new attacks on the Kourakhove-Vulhedar direction.
According to @UAControlMap new units have been deployed to stop the advance :

2nd "Kara Dog" offensive brigade of the national guard, 93rd mechanized brigade.

And in the last month, 117th and 151st mechanized brigade, 14th NG, 71st Jager replaced other units. Image
Finally, after 2 months of Russian advances, (13km at least) in a highly fortified area, ukrainian brigades managed to hold the advance.

However, there are still large vulnerabilities on the defensive system : russian forces may advance along the railway to Pokrovsk and russian progress is still ongoing near Ukrainsk where the ukrainian are currently retreating from Nevelske.

16/16Image

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More from @clement_molin

Jan 11
Turkiye 🇹🇷, Chad 🇹🇩, UAE 🇦🇪, Kenya 🇰🇪, Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦... who supports who in the Sudan war ?

The Sudan 🇸🇩 war opposing SAF and RSF is no longer a local war for power but rather a regional confrontation between multiple countries.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️Image
Disclaimer : mapping which country supports the RSF and FSR does not mean everything is correct. Russia and Ukraine are not allied, Ethiopia is closed to Turkiye and Saudi Arabia and multiple countries are barely involved or neutral so I kept them in white.

The borders you can see is not the recognized border map but the actual control lines. In black stands djihadist groups, in green SAF allies and in red RSF allies.

Feel free to give me informations on the countries that I mapped as "neutral".Image
Countries supporting the Sudanese Armed Forces :

The SAF was during a long time without serious allies, but the situation recently changed after they liberated the capital Kharoum.

Here, we'll see the main SAF allies and foreign proxies : Image
Read 24 tweets
Jan 8
The United-Arab-Emirates 🇦🇪 foreign policy : divider of countries, ally of Israel and the Western world, resolute fighter against Islamism...

Today, let's dive into the UAE foreign policy to understand why it is that much aggressive and contested ?

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️ Image
They lost in Yemen during these last days, but it was previously a victory for the UAE :

-created a pseudo separatist state of South-Arabia
-took control of Aden city in 2018
-invaded and occupied the strategic and touristic Socotra island
-annexed other islands Image
Let's get back to the history of the UAE foreign policy :

After gaining independence in 1971, the UAE pursued a foreign policy that was:

▪️Discreet and defensive
▪️Closely aligned with Saudi Arabia and the United States
▪️Focused on the survival of the young federal state Image
Read 24 tweets
Jan 6
C'est passé inaperçu mais l'Arabie Saoudite 🇸🇦 vient de mettre un coup à la stratégie séparatiste des EAU 🇦🇪 au Yémen 🇾🇪

En quelques jours, le gouvernement pro-saoudien a refoulé les séparatistes qui avaient atteint la frontière saoudienne en décembre.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Carte de @Vista_CEO
Les tensions entre l'Arabie Saoudite et les Emirats ne font que s'intensifier ces dernières années.

MBS et MBZ, jadis proche alliés, notamment lors du blocus du Qatar ou de l'intervention anti-houthiste au Yémen, sont désormais en pleine confrontation. Image
L'Arabie Saoudite désapprouve en plus haut point la stratégie séparatiste menée par les Emirats en Libye (soutien d'Haftar), au Soudan (soutien des FSR), en Somalie (soutien du Somaliland) et au Yémen (soutien du STC). Image
Read 10 tweets
Jan 5
Les nouvelles lignes de défenses ukrainiennes 🇺🇦 sur une carte simplifiée :

Elles sont au cœur de la nouvelle stratégie défensive 🛡️ukrainienne, robustes, nombreuses et préparées devant les villes, elles devraient entrer en action cette année sur le front 🪖

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️ Image
Je ne vous les présente plus, évidemment, les idiots utiles en commentaires vont continuer de les décrier alors même qu'on a déjà vu leurs résultats, ces lignes sont des lignes d'OBSTACLES, pas des lignes pour y mettre l'infanterie... Image
Par exemple à l'ouest de Pokrovsk, on compte 3 lignes de type New Donbass Line (NDL), en jaune, ainsi que d'autres lignes anciennes ou récentes en blanc (pas NDL). Image
Read 13 tweets
Jan 4
THE WORLD IN 2026 : MULTIPLE WARS ONGOING

From Yemen 🇾🇪 to Ukraine 🇺🇦 passing through Sudan 🇸🇩, Mali 🇲🇱, Haiti 🇭🇹 and the DRC 🇨🇩, war is still ongoing in multiple countries.

Here is what you need to know about it, where are wars and what happened in 2025 :

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️Image
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Summary :

-Yemen 🇾🇪
-Israel/Palestine 🇮🇱🇵🇸
-Lebanon 🇱🇧
-Syria 🇸🇾
-Iran 🇮🇷
-Ukraine/Russia 🇺🇦🇷🇺
-Sudan 🇸🇩
-Ethiopia 🇪🇹
-Somalia 🇸🇴
-DRC/Rwanda 🇨🇩🇷🇼
-Mozambique 🇲🇿
-Central Africa 🇹🇩🇳🇪🇳🇬🇨🇲🇸🇸🇨🇫
-Sahel 🇲🇱🇳🇪🇧🇫🇸🇳🇬🇳🇨🇮🇬🇭🇹🇬🇧🇯🇳🇬
-Afghanistan/Pakistan 🇦🇫🇵🇰
-Myanmar 🇲🇲
-Thailand/Cambodia 🇹🇭🇰🇭
-Indonesia/Philippines 🇮🇩🇵🇭
-Cartel Wars 🇲🇽🇻🇪🇨🇴🇪🇨🇭🇹
-Others...
Yemen 🇾🇪: South Arabia's Independence, the Saudi-UAE War, Anti-Houthi Bombardments

It had been on hiatus for several years, but the war in Yemen has resumed, within the Arab coalition.

In early December, the Southern Transitional Council (STC), a pro-Emirati southern militia, launched a lightning offensive across southern Yemen. On January 2nd, the STC announced the start of the South Arabian independence process. At the same time, supported by significant Saudi reinforcements, the Yemeni National Army and pro-Saudi militias regained control of a large portion of the country that had fallen to the separatists, aided by an anti-Emirati coalition blockade in the Arabian Sea and substantial airstrikes.

In response, the United Arab Emirates withdrew its forces from Yemen, while tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE are escalating, particularly in Sudan, Yemen, and Somalia, where Abu Dhabi's pro-separatist stance is causing discontent.

For their part, the Houthi rebels have ceased their attacks on ships in the Gulf of Aden, although their movements are still being monitored by Israel, which regularly bombs them.Image
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Read 24 tweets
Dec 28, 2025
En ces derniers jours de 2025, l'armée russe 🇷🇺 s'est emparée de la cité d'Houlialpole dans le sud de l'Ukraine 🇺🇦

La prise de la ville ouvre la voie à une course contre la montre pour Zaporizhia, entre fortifications ukrainiennes et progression russe.

🧵THREAD🧵1/18 ⬇️Image
C'est le coup d'éclat de cette fin d'année, après avoir été un point fort du front ukrainien pendant 4 ans, la petite ville d'Houlialpole est tombée en 1 mois de combats.

Comme le montre la carte d'@AndrewPerpetua, la majorité de la ville est désormais sous contrôle russe. Image
La chute de la ville conclue une année de progression inarrêté de l'armée russe depuis Kourakhove dans les faubourgs ouest de Donetsk, poussant d'environ 75km vers l'ouest, sur un front large de 20 à 30km, principalement en élargissant la ligne de contrôle du front sud. Image
Read 18 tweets

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