Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 7, 2024 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
While russian 🇷🇺 forces are nearing #Pokrovsk city in western Donetsk oblast, ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces managed to hold this advance.

At the same time, ukrainian forces are reinforcing their 3rd and 4th lines of defense.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Image
Here is how ukrainian defensive system was organized after Avdiivka fell in late february.

The 1st and 2nd line fell between june and august. If the first one was very useful, the second line was mainly abandonned. Image
This happened for one main reason, russian forces managed to push on foot along the railway. They first took Ocheretyne in late may, then Prohres in july, then Zhelanne at the end of july and Novohrodivka at the end of august. Image
After retreating during 2 months of summer, ukrainian brigades are now defending the 3rd line of defense stopping russian progress for more than a week.

At the same time, engeneering troops are upgrading the 4th line in front of Pokrovsk. Image
Based on ©Planet Imageries from yesterday, I found a lot of new defensive work for the last 10 days.

Here is a look north of Novohrodivka where the main ukrainian vulnerability is present : the railway. Image
Russian artillery and FABs air strikes are beginign to pound Pokrovsk and its neighbouring city Myrnohrad.

At the same time, new ditches are being dug between the twin cities. Image
Yesterday, russian strikes set the fields between the two cities on fire. The fact russian artillery is more present is a proof of ukrainian "controll" over the situation on Pokrovsk axis. Image
The 3rd line south of the city has been extended to the railway.

For the first time, the ditch does not stop before the railway treeline. This is exactly what cost the loss of Novohrodivka. Image
A bit north of this position, the 4th line is currently being upgraded at the southern entrance of Pokrovsk city. Image
Ukrainian forces also dug a long ditch all along the eastern entrance of Myrnohrad. This ditch can't stop infantry infiltration but it can stop russian mecanized assaults.

We can also see some artillery strikes. Image
On the T0504 Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka highway crossing, the ukrainian armed forces continued to dig new positions.

However, I'm still asking myself why they arn't finishing existing ditches like these ones... Image
Here is a map of where all the Planet images are located. I choose to show the direct Pokrovsk direction. The next image is from the town of Ukrainsk, south of here. Image
Now, the russian army is trying to move southwards in the direction of Kourakhove. Since a few days, they are trying to enter Ukrainsk from the south-east, while bypassing the town on the road to Hrynk. Image
Ukrainian forces are now trying to push back russian infantry from Selydove.

New ukrainian units helped holding back the russian advance for the last week on the Pokrovsk direction, while russian army is launching new attacks on the Kourakhove-Vulhedar direction.
According to @UAControlMap new units have been deployed to stop the advance :

2nd "Kara Dog" offensive brigade of the national guard, 93rd mechanized brigade.

And in the last month, 117th and 151st mechanized brigade, 14th NG, 71st Jager replaced other units. Image
Finally, after 2 months of Russian advances, (13km at least) in a highly fortified area, ukrainian brigades managed to hold the advance.

However, there are still large vulnerabilities on the defensive system : russian forces may advance along the railway to Pokrovsk and russian progress is still ongoing near Ukrainsk where the ukrainian are currently retreating from Nevelske.

16/16Image

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More from @clement_molin

Mar 9
After 10 days of war between Iran 🇮🇷 and the USA/Israel 🇺🇸🇮🇱, the economical situation is worsening

Here is a new MAP UPDATE with the military situation, the economical situation, some analysis and some prospects :

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
The war has been going on for now more than 10 days and the repercussion are felt worldwide.

Iran held despite constant strikes which obliterated its navy and airforce and still continues to launch important drone and missile strikes across the region.
The death of Ayatollah Khamenei which was quickly replaced within ten days by his son didn't have the expected results.

The Iranian president and part of the leadership is still alive, while the IRCG individuals now understood that their bases are not safe. Image
Read 25 tweets
Mar 8
Ukrainian fortifications under construction around the town of Shakhtarske in Dnipropetrovsk oblast

🧵Some images of recent fortifications in Ukraine + some pictures of big cities ⬇️ Image
Ring fortifications around Vassylkivka Image
Multiple fortified lines around Novomykolaivka Image
Read 12 tweets
Mar 8
Quelles implications pour chaque Etat du Moyen-Orient dans la guerre ?

Chacun des ~19 Etats de la région est touché de manière plus ou moins profonde par la guerre, voici un petit résumé Etat par Etat.

🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️ Image
(Partenariat qui peut vous servir) :

L'histoire et la géopolitique de la région étant complexe, pour ceux qui n'ont pas eu de cours dessus ou veulent se remettre à niveau, voici une formation :



Code promo : CLEMENTMOLIN-IEGA pour -15% dessus.institut-ega.org/inscription-fo…
🇹🇷 Turquie :

La Turquie a abattu un missile iranien au dessus de son territoire, des débris sont retombés dans le Hatay.

🔹Armée : Ankara a massé des troupes à sa frontière sud-est, non pas pour intervenir en Iran, mais pour empêcher un afflux massif de réfugiés et surveiller les mouvements kurdes qui pourraient profiter du chaos.

🔹Politique : Erdogan adopte une posture de condamnation de l'offensive américaine, tout en laissant les radars de l'OTAN sur son sol fournir des données cruciales aux alliés. Il joue la médiation pour ne pas perdre son influence sur le marché énergétique.

🔹La Turquie est dans une mauvaise posture. La guerre pourrait créer une crise des réfugiés massive à sa frontière, sa politique basée sur l'entente entre les pays musulmans se voit impactée et le renforcement d'Israël est un mauvais signal pour Ankara. La Turquie surveille de près les kurdes d'Iran (qu'elle considère comme une menace) et les azéris d'Iran, de potentiels alliés turciques.

🔹En cas de chute du régime, Ankara perdra le rôle qu'elle joue actuellement dans la région, notamment sur l'aspect commercial et sécuritaire. La Turquie n'a aucun intérêt à avoir un Iran pro-américain et puissant à sa frontière.Image
Read 20 tweets
Mar 7
After 8 days of war between Iran 🇮🇷 and the USA/Israel 🇺🇸🇮🇱, here is a new MAP UPDATE

In total, the US and Israel conducted around 4 500 strikes across Iran, while Iran retaliated with 3 500 vectors, including ~905 missiles.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️Image
Despite facing significant challenges due to Israeli-American air supremacy over Iranian territory, Iranian retaliatory strikes continue across the Middle East, while the United States continues to accumulate damage to its bases. Image
After initial strikes that had few results (except in Bahrain and Kuwait), Iran used more precise missiles to strike four AN/TPY-2 (THAAD) radars, blinding the region's air defenses and limiting response time.

The massive consumption of Patriot missiles also raises concerns about a potential shortage.Image
Read 25 tweets
Mar 5
NEW MAP UPDATE - IRAN - MIDDLE EAST 🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸 DAY 6

After 6 days of war, military escalation is increasing. Iran hit 2 new countries, Azerbaijan 🇦🇿 and Turkiye 🇹🇷while massive airstrikes continue.

Europeans 🇫🇷🇬🇧🇮🇹🇪🇸🇩🇪🇳🇱🇬🇷 are sending reinforcements to Cyprus.

🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️Image
This morning, yet another country sustained at least 2 drone strikes. This time, Iran attacked Azerbaijani 🇦🇿 enclave of Nakhitchevan.

At least two drones impacted the city and an airport. Yesterday, missiles were destroyed 2 times while en route for the Incirlik base in Turkiye.
Since the start of the Israelo-American operation to topple the regime in Tehran, thousands of air and missile strikes happened in Iran.

After gaining total control of the air, US and Israeli fighter jets are constantly flying in from the Syrian and Irakian territory.
Read 20 tweets
Mar 3
French 🇫🇷 president Emmanuel Macron is currently speaking on National TV about the situation in the Middle East and the implication of french armed forces to defend the region.

Everything he says about the situation will be here ⬇️

🧵THREAD🧵1/⬇️ Image
"The Islamic Republic of Iran bears primary responsibility for this situation, through the continuation of its nuclear program.

It is Iran that has armed and financed terrorist groups in neighboring countries and supported Hamas and the objective of destroying Israel." Image
"The US and Israeli strikes have been conducted outside the bounds of international law." Image
Read 10 tweets

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