Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 7, 2024 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
While russian 🇷🇺 forces are nearing #Pokrovsk city in western Donetsk oblast, ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces managed to hold this advance.

At the same time, ukrainian forces are reinforcing their 3rd and 4th lines of defense.

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Here is how ukrainian defensive system was organized after Avdiivka fell in late february.

The 1st and 2nd line fell between june and august. If the first one was very useful, the second line was mainly abandonned. Image
This happened for one main reason, russian forces managed to push on foot along the railway. They first took Ocheretyne in late may, then Prohres in july, then Zhelanne at the end of july and Novohrodivka at the end of august. Image
After retreating during 2 months of summer, ukrainian brigades are now defending the 3rd line of defense stopping russian progress for more than a week.

At the same time, engeneering troops are upgrading the 4th line in front of Pokrovsk. Image
Based on ©Planet Imageries from yesterday, I found a lot of new defensive work for the last 10 days.

Here is a look north of Novohrodivka where the main ukrainian vulnerability is present : the railway. Image
Russian artillery and FABs air strikes are beginign to pound Pokrovsk and its neighbouring city Myrnohrad.

At the same time, new ditches are being dug between the twin cities. Image
Yesterday, russian strikes set the fields between the two cities on fire. The fact russian artillery is more present is a proof of ukrainian "controll" over the situation on Pokrovsk axis. Image
The 3rd line south of the city has been extended to the railway.

For the first time, the ditch does not stop before the railway treeline. This is exactly what cost the loss of Novohrodivka. Image
A bit north of this position, the 4th line is currently being upgraded at the southern entrance of Pokrovsk city. Image
Ukrainian forces also dug a long ditch all along the eastern entrance of Myrnohrad. This ditch can't stop infantry infiltration but it can stop russian mecanized assaults.

We can also see some artillery strikes. Image
On the T0504 Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka highway crossing, the ukrainian armed forces continued to dig new positions.

However, I'm still asking myself why they arn't finishing existing ditches like these ones... Image
Here is a map of where all the Planet images are located. I choose to show the direct Pokrovsk direction. The next image is from the town of Ukrainsk, south of here. Image
Now, the russian army is trying to move southwards in the direction of Kourakhove. Since a few days, they are trying to enter Ukrainsk from the south-east, while bypassing the town on the road to Hrynk. Image
Ukrainian forces are now trying to push back russian infantry from Selydove.

New ukrainian units helped holding back the russian advance for the last week on the Pokrovsk direction, while russian army is launching new attacks on the Kourakhove-Vulhedar direction.
According to @UAControlMap new units have been deployed to stop the advance :

2nd "Kara Dog" offensive brigade of the national guard, 93rd mechanized brigade.

And in the last month, 117th and 151st mechanized brigade, 14th NG, 71st Jager replaced other units. Image
Finally, after 2 months of Russian advances, (13km at least) in a highly fortified area, ukrainian brigades managed to hold the advance.

However, there are still large vulnerabilities on the defensive system : russian forces may advance along the railway to Pokrovsk and russian progress is still ongoing near Ukrainsk where the ukrainian are currently retreating from Nevelske.

16/16Image

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More from @clement_molin

Dec 8
La République Démocratique du Congo 🇨🇩 est-elle coupable d'héberger et d'armer les FDLR, des rebelles qui nourrissent l'ambition d'envahir le Rwanda 🇷🇼?

Entre mythes et réalités, la question des FDLR est au cœur de la guerre dans l'est de la RDC.

🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️Image
Après avoir perpétré le génocide contre les tutsis (et les hutus modérés) en 1994 (800k à 1 million de morts), les Forces Armées du Rwanda et les génocidaires interahamwe ont pris la fuite avec 2 millions de Hutus vers le Zaïre. Image
Contrairement à ce qui a souvent été dit, l'Armée Zaïroise et les forces de l'ONU/françaises, n'ont pas eu ni la volonté ni la capacité de désarmer entièrement et efficacement les hutus fuyant le Rwanda.

Ainsi, dans l'est du Zaïre, de nombreuses armes lourdes sont arrivées. Image
Read 23 tweets
Dec 7
Au Yémen 🇾🇪, le coup de force des Emirats-Arabes-Unis 🇦🇪 pour contrôler le sud du pays

Les forces du Conseil de Transition du Sud (STC), un proxy pro-émirats, ont lancé une vaste offensive militaire, s'emparant d'une grande partie du sud du pays.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️Image
Le STC s’appuie sur un réseau armé sudiste fortement soutenu, équipé et entraîné par les Émirats Arabes Unis, et ancrées dans un puissant sentiment identitaire sudiste pro-sécession.

Ils contrôle le sud du pays. Image
Les forces du gouvernement se composent d’un ensemble hétérogène : Armée nationale (ANY), brigades du MOD, unités tribales et islamistes, appuyées par l’Arabie saoudite ; elles disposent d’effectifs théoriquement importants mais fragmentés, sans cohésion stratégique forte et dépendants du soutien extérieur.Image
Read 16 tweets
Dec 6
Analysis of Russian 🇷🇺 airstrikes north of Sumy in 2025

This year, I've closely followed russian airstrike campaign.

In Sumy, I mapped around 4 000 strikes. With recent satellite images of a small 153 km2, I found 1641 airstrikes impact !

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️Image
I found very recent sattelite images from May or June 2025.

What they are showing is really crazy. Multiple airstrikes impacts and wiped out villages, it helps to understand russian strategy. Image
Thus, I have decided to cover this small area of 153km2 with airstrikes visible on the high resolution images of june in white and the ones on mid resolution from october and november in pink.

1641, it's 10.7 per km2 ! Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 6
Pourquoi la RD Congo 🇨🇩, le Rwanda 🇷🇼, le Burundi 🇧🇮 et l'Ouganda 🇺🇬 sont ils tous en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

Depuis 1994, les trois Etats organisent ensemble le pillage des ressources minières congolaise, changeant régulièrement d'alliance, CARTE :

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
Le principal Etat impliqué est le Rwanda. Mais pourquoi est-il en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

Lors de la guerre entre le FPR (tutsis) et l'Etat Rwandais (Hutu) entre 1990-1994, le FPR est soutenu et armé par l'Ouganda 🇺🇬, la Grande Bretagne 🇬🇧 et les Etats-Unis 🇺🇸 Image
Battant les forces armées rwandaises (hutus) pendant le génocide, le FPR prend le pouvoir, avec à sa tête Paul Kagame.

Il devient dès lors la vitrine anglo-saxone en Afrique, recevant armes et financements. Les USA organisent via le Rwanda la chute du dictateur Mobutu au Zaïre. Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 28
The use of unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs): the new revolution in the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 war.

Replacing infantry, UGVs fulfill several roles: combat support, troop evacuation, mine-laying, or logistics...

The revolution of ground drones in Ukraine 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 :

🧵THREAD🧵1/17⬇️Image
Like images from the future, ground drones are becoming increasingly visible on the ground in Ukraine.

While the arrival of aerial drones and their variants, as well as naval drones, has been well covered, the arrival of ground drones has been almost forgotten.
Multiple videos from the last few weeks are showing a wider use of ground drones for various missions.

Even if they are often targeter by aerial drones, they are still being very useful.
Read 17 tweets
Nov 27
« La Russie n'est pas mon ennemie… 🇫🇷🇷🇺 »

📸Tchasiv Yar, Ukraine 🇺🇦

🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
📸Vovchansk Image
📸Marioupol Image
Read 25 tweets

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