Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 7, 2024 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
While russian 🇷🇺 forces are nearing #Pokrovsk city in western Donetsk oblast, ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces managed to hold this advance.

At the same time, ukrainian forces are reinforcing their 3rd and 4th lines of defense.

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Here is how ukrainian defensive system was organized after Avdiivka fell in late february.

The 1st and 2nd line fell between june and august. If the first one was very useful, the second line was mainly abandonned. Image
This happened for one main reason, russian forces managed to push on foot along the railway. They first took Ocheretyne in late may, then Prohres in july, then Zhelanne at the end of july and Novohrodivka at the end of august. Image
After retreating during 2 months of summer, ukrainian brigades are now defending the 3rd line of defense stopping russian progress for more than a week.

At the same time, engeneering troops are upgrading the 4th line in front of Pokrovsk. Image
Based on ©Planet Imageries from yesterday, I found a lot of new defensive work for the last 10 days.

Here is a look north of Novohrodivka where the main ukrainian vulnerability is present : the railway. Image
Russian artillery and FABs air strikes are beginign to pound Pokrovsk and its neighbouring city Myrnohrad.

At the same time, new ditches are being dug between the twin cities. Image
Yesterday, russian strikes set the fields between the two cities on fire. The fact russian artillery is more present is a proof of ukrainian "controll" over the situation on Pokrovsk axis. Image
The 3rd line south of the city has been extended to the railway.

For the first time, the ditch does not stop before the railway treeline. This is exactly what cost the loss of Novohrodivka. Image
A bit north of this position, the 4th line is currently being upgraded at the southern entrance of Pokrovsk city. Image
Ukrainian forces also dug a long ditch all along the eastern entrance of Myrnohrad. This ditch can't stop infantry infiltration but it can stop russian mecanized assaults.

We can also see some artillery strikes. Image
On the T0504 Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka highway crossing, the ukrainian armed forces continued to dig new positions.

However, I'm still asking myself why they arn't finishing existing ditches like these ones... Image
Here is a map of where all the Planet images are located. I choose to show the direct Pokrovsk direction. The next image is from the town of Ukrainsk, south of here. Image
Now, the russian army is trying to move southwards in the direction of Kourakhove. Since a few days, they are trying to enter Ukrainsk from the south-east, while bypassing the town on the road to Hrynk. Image
Ukrainian forces are now trying to push back russian infantry from Selydove.

New ukrainian units helped holding back the russian advance for the last week on the Pokrovsk direction, while russian army is launching new attacks on the Kourakhove-Vulhedar direction.
According to @UAControlMap new units have been deployed to stop the advance :

2nd "Kara Dog" offensive brigade of the national guard, 93rd mechanized brigade.

And in the last month, 117th and 151st mechanized brigade, 14th NG, 71st Jager replaced other units. Image
Finally, after 2 months of Russian advances, (13km at least) in a highly fortified area, ukrainian brigades managed to hold the advance.

However, there are still large vulnerabilities on the defensive system : russian forces may advance along the railway to Pokrovsk and russian progress is still ongoing near Ukrainsk where the ukrainian are currently retreating from Nevelske.

16/16Image

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More from @clement_molin

Mar 8
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🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️
Depuis la prise de pouvoir d'Hayat Tahrir Ash Sham à Damas en décembre dernier, la guerre en Syrie s'est poursuivie, partout dans le pays, engageant différentes factions rivales.

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Il est donc très difficile de contrôler cette armée.
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La Russie 🇷🇺 est l'ennemie de la France 🇫🇷 et de l'Europe 🇪🇺

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Comment Zelensky a battu indirectement la République Oligarchique.

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Celle-ci a désormais quasi-disparu

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L'indépendance des 14 Etats de l'URSS a ouvert la voie à un capitalisme débridé et sauvage dans tous les pays, sauf les pays baltes.

L'Ukraine a été le plus touché et en subit encore aujourd'hui les conséquences.
En Russie, après 10 ans de capitalisme sauvage, Poutine prend la main et fait disparaître l'oligarchie concurrente. Il garde ses proches, l'oligarchie russe n'a donc pas disparu, elle est juste bridée.
Au Bélarus: pas d'oligarches, dictature de Lukashenko. Image
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Mar 2
La poursuite de la guerre en Ukraine favorise-t-elle la Russie 🇷🇺 plus que l'Ukraine 🇺🇦 ?

Il est souvent admis que le temps long joue avec Moscou, mais je ne suis pas d'accord, pour plusieurs raisons.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Image
Si on regarde l'historique de la guerre, on remarque que Poutine ne s'était pas vraiment préparé à une guerre longue.

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🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ Image
Jamais dans l'histoire nous avons vu un tel manque de diplomatie et de respect de la part d'un chef d'Etat envers son invité, qui plus est venant d'un pays en guerre depuis 3 (11) ans.

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Feb 27
The year 2024 in Ukraine 🇺🇦 : from Pokrovsk to Kursk

In 2024 the Russian 🇷🇺 war against Ukraine saw significant developments, particularly in the area of Pokrovsk in the Donbas Kursk region in Russia.

The front line, however, has changed only little.

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️ Image
You can find the entire article in German on Ukraine Analysen or in english on @atummundi 's website.

German 🇩🇪 laender-analysen.de/ukraine-analys…
English 🇬🇧 atummundi.fr/clement-molin/…
In October 2023, after 5 months of Ukrainian initiative in the south and on Bakhmut flanks, Russian armed forces launched a large offensive in the whole south-Donetsk direction.
Thus, most of the active fighting of 2024 occurred there, from Avdiivka to Pokrovsk.
Read 25 tweets

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