Artur Rehi Profile picture
Sep 10, 2024 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The Ukrainian drone strikes on Moscow once again demonstrate the futility of weapons restrictions and the Kremlin's lack of red lines. This is the largest drone attack on Moscow from Ukraine. Drones hit Ramenskoye, Domodedovo, and Zhukovsky. Several drones hit residential
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buildings. This may be due to the work of Russian air defense. Ukraine is aiming at military targets because bombing civilians does not improve the situation at the front. Drones do not cause much destruction since their warhead is about 10 times smaller than that of Russian
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FAB-500 bombs, but they have a psychological effect. Russia is not going to stop. The loss of part of the Kursk region, huge losses of personnel, a declining economy - Russia is not going to withdraw its troops from Ukrainian territory. In this case, the aggressor can only
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be stopped by moving the war to Russian territory and destroying the Putin regime. The Kremlin will survive the loss of Kursk, but the landings in Moscow are very close to the work of many propagandists and the Russian leadership. And this worries those on whom Putin's
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regime relies. Drone attacks become commonplace and will only happen more often. However, threats to Putin's regime do not only come from Ukraine. Internal ethnic conflicts with residents of the Caucasus are becoming more frequent, and on September 3, another fight on this
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basis took place in the city of Anapa. As the Anapa Media portal wrote, on the night of September 3, on Pionersky Prospekt, a girl refused to meet a representative of one of Russia's neighboring republics and received a portion of insults. When other guys stood up for her,
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a crowd of Caucasians attacked them and began to beat them up. Later, the commander of "Akhmat" Apti Alaudinov stood up for them, blaming the girl for everything. Russia is losing strength, and this is felt by representatives of those peoples who have been humiliated and
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discriminated against throughout their coexistence with Russia. Tensions are growing between Akhmat and Russian troops. If Russia starts to fall apart, it will be because of the war in Ukraine, but it will start with Chechnya and Dagestan. Russia is still trying to advance,
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but the advance in the Pokrovsky direction has slowed. "Agency" published the size of the territories captured by Russia from August to September based on DeepState data and it is clear that the advance has slowed. Russia is starting to show signs of resource problems, but
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Ukraine in turn has also transferred additional forces and more experienced brigades, like Azov, to stop the advance. The intensity of the offensive remains high, but the attacks are repelled more successfully. Ukraine is having a very hard time. Every day. Two and a half
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years. The length of the entire front line is more than 3 thousand km. The line of active combat operations is more than 970 km, but Ukraine is not defeated and it is obvious that Russia cannot win. However, how much longer the war will continue, no one can say.
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More from @ArturRehi

Oct 29
In mid-October, Putin introduced a moratorium on the cancellation of the fuel damper. This mechanism provides that if the export price of gasoline and diesel fuel is higher than the conditional domestic one, the state compensates companies for part of this difference.
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It is intended to curb fuel prices, but prices continue to rise and have reached record highs not seen in the last 30 years. In September alone, oil companies received more than 30 billion rubles in compensation despite failing to keep their promises not to raise prices.
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The reason is that Putin himself is also a beneficiary of oil companies through various schemes. These companies are the main source of his personal wealth and the financial backbone of Russia’s war machine, and he will keep them afloat at any cost. These payments are an
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Read 8 tweets
Oct 20
The new talks between Trump, Putin, and Zelensky are likely to end in yet another deadlock. This time, Putin has softened his illegal demands and is now “ready to give up” the Zaporizhzhia region in exchange for a ceasefire and control over the rest of Donetsk region. These
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“concessions” have probably signaled to Trump that Putin is ready for negotiations, and that maybe, finally, he can strike a peace deal and get his long-coveted Nobel Prize - since it didn’t work out with Israel, where Hamas opened fire again. The White House rhetoric has
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once again shifted sharply, from “Tomahawks are already on their way to Kyiv” to “Donbas should be Russian.” It’s the same old Kremlin ploy - when things go badly, start pushing for negotiations. All this commotion began after Putin’s call with Trump and has now turned into
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Read 16 tweets
Oct 15
In Russia, a new wave of hatred toward Chechens is flaring up - and this time, the reason seems surprisingly harmless: a Central Bank vote to choose the image for a new 500-ruble banknote. Yet another attempt by the authorities to distract from economic and social problems
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has unexpectedly exposed deep-seated interethnic tensions that have been smoldering in the country for decades. Two options emerged as frontrunners in the online voting: Mount Elbrus and the Grozny City business center - a symbol of the modern Chechen capital. In the region
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itself, the campaign has taken on the character of a national project: authorities, schools, hospitals, and military units have been organized to participate. The process is personally supervised by Ramzan Kadyrov and his administration. This activity provoked a stormy
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Read 12 tweets
Oct 14
The Russian Ministry of Defense has drafted a bill to involve Russian citizens in the Armed Forces reserve in performing tasks during peacetime, RBC reports, citing a copy of the document. The government approved the initiative on October 13, according to a source familiar
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with the matter. The bill proposes that reservists can be called up for special training sessions by presidential decree. These “special sessions” are described as military gatherings aimed at fulfilling specific defense-related tasks in cases of armed conflict,
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counterterrorist operations, or the deployment of forces abroad. According to Andrei Kartapolov, head of the State Duma Defense Committee, the bill expands the ability to use reservists in various circumstances. He noted that it introduces broad legal definitions that would
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Read 9 tweets
Oct 13
Russian Uralvagonzavod - the country’s main manufacturer of railway cars and also tanks (since Soviet times, Russia has had a tradition of dual-purpose factories, where the producer of metal buckets might also make artillery shells) - is switching its civilian workforce
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to a four-day workweek. The change will affect only employees in the railcar production division. They were offered to transfer to “other divisions with active orders,” since the situation is quite different in tank production. Uralvagonzavod, part of the Rostec corporation,
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is Russia’s largest tank manufacturer. After the start of the war, the plant switched to a three-shift schedule, and since August 2022 has been operating around the clock. Russia’s economy is increasingly shifting to a war footing, while its civilian sector is rapidly
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Read 7 tweets
Oct 10
Another sign of growing problems in the Russian economy. Next year, Russia will cut spending on the production and repair of aircraft by one and a half times — from 139.6 billion to 85.7 billion rubles. This was reported by The Moscow Times. “The Russian government plans
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to reduce funding for the federal project ‘Production of Aircraft and Helicopters’ by 1.6 times in 2026 - from 139.6 billion to 85.7 billion rubles,” the report says. According to the draft of Russia’s new budget for 2026–2028, spending will also decrease in 2027 compared to
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previously planned figures - from 109.7 billion to 86.9 billion rubles (a 21% drop). Funding is expected to slightly increase only in 2028 - to 89.3 billion rubles. The publication notes that the most significant cuts will affect state support for Russian airlines renewing
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Read 9 tweets

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