wanye Profile picture
Sep 11 3 tweets 1 min read Read on X
There’s a very sophisticated kind of pro-immigration argument that goes like, “immigrants to the United States perform very well on a number of important key metrics — they have high incomes and commit less crime than natives — because they are from a select group of people who have navigated the difficulties of our immigration process, which is why we need to make that process much easier and allow in many times more people, thereby destroying the very selection effect I’ve just used to argue that immigrants do well here”
This is sort of like noticing that an elite university is full of kids with high test scores, so you should let in a bunch of people with low test scores on that basis
To be clear, people also make earnest arguments for low-skilled immigration, but the arguments that appeal to statistics showing that immigrants do particularly well here are probably just arguing from selection effects.

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More from @wanyeburkett

Aug 23
Just in the first 10 minutes of this he puts the video interviews of suspects in the park that night up against footage from the Netflix show. In the show, the kids are playful and laughing. They are a little aggressive with some cyclists, patting them on the back as they bike past. They come upon some older guys robbing someone and stand back, mouths agape, surprised and perhaps even horrified by what they're seeing.

Meanwhile, in the real life interviews they all admit that they entered the park to do violence -- to beat on people and rob them -- and, further, that this was a favorite pastime, something they'd done many times before.

It's shameful.Image
In the show, they stumble upon other people doing a robbery and are horrified. In their testimony they admit that they entered the park to rob and beat people.

It's just so completely shameful. How do you make such straightforward propaganda and live with yourself?
He cuts to an interview with the director who says that she wanted to humanize the boys, to ask the viewer to "interrogate" all that they think they know about supposed criminals like them.

I mean, sure; you can just lie about what happened. It's true that they're more sympathetic characters if you lie about what they did.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 23
This kind of stuff has pretty negatively polarizing effect on somebody like me. I think if you just broke it down to its most base level, you'd find that not many issues have a bigger gap between what normie liberals think and I what I do.
Even where we have disagreements, my views on, say, abortion or immigration or welfare remain consistent (if not perfectly so) with mainstream normie liberalism. But I just cannot understand knowing anything about this case and nevertheless choosing to feature these men specifically in the party's biggest night.
You could conclude in your mind that they probably didn't do the rape in question and I wouldn't think less of you, but I still wouldn't celebrate them, feature them in the party's biggest moments.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 22
Observe that countries around the world have wildly diffferent customs and cultures. Observe that I rather quite like our culture and customs just the way they are. Observe that culture is in some sense zero sum. Are you still baffled? Is this chain of reasoning really so hard to follow?
Just do a kind of reductio ad absurdum. Replace every American with somebody from a Muslim country. Do things get better here for women and gay people? Do any laws regarding religious freedom change? People around the world believe different things! They have wildly different views on American-style freedom. They can change the law!
Liberals sort of imagine that everybody around the world wants exactly the same things in life, desires the same freedoms Americans enjoy, and that their countries only ever have governments in opposition to those freedoms because of a few autocrats who subvert the will of their people.

But, you know, that’s just a thing they assert without evidence. In fact, it appears that people around the world *genuinely* disagree about a lot of stuff.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 13
This exact conversation appears in city and urban planning subs ad naseum and it's always this same fight about whether it was the decline of manufacturing or the darkly malevolent hearts of white people that led to urban decline.

No mention of crime or riots. Image
Also no mention of technology, of the baby boom, of the pollution in cities before the Clean Air Act. No mention of the automobile, which is probably *alone* enough to explain a significant portion of suburbanization.

They only know dumb race and class arguments.
We're like 3 or 4 generations into the view that this is what smart people think it *means* to be smart. The explanation is race and class. And by "race" we of course just mean that white people are malevolent. Completely incurious people repeating cliches about redlining.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 9
In an every day sense, people who live in bad urban neighborhoods in the United States are less affected by actual violence than they are by young men who have hardened themselves to violence. The issue is one of the almost constant implicit threat of violence. If you’re paying attention, what you notice in nicer neighborhoods or in suburbs is that nobody in your every day life is posturing in a way that’s designed to indicate to that they are ready for physical violence if necessary.
I have a theory that men are more sensitive to this than women, which might explain why some conservative men appear to liberals to be more, “afraid” of big cities. I think what’s happening is that these are men who are especially attuned to implicit threats of violence and who are correctly picking it up everywhere they go in urban areas.
When my wife and I are out in a city I will often clock a guy doing this and then it will distract me for as long as he is present in my environment and my wife can sometimes get kind of annoyed because I seem distracted and she’s not sure why.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 2
As usual, the problem here is that people do not understand insurance as a concept and intuitively believe that it’s unfair to be asked to pay extra for something that involves large tail risks for the payee when they don’t think they’ll personally contribute to those higher costs
We knew that the previous owner of our house had cats and we could smell an odor when we were looking at the house, but what we hadn’t totally realized until we moved in is that the cats had been urinating in the eaves. I have expended considerable effort since moving in trying to eliminate that smell and the truth is that it will probably never totally go away. I just have to close that area off. You’re being asked to pay additional rent not because your specific cat will cost the landlord exactly $500 per year, but because allowing cats over the long-term introduces significant additional risk for the landlord.

It’s a big problem for society that large shares of the population are completely incapable of following this straightforward logic and they nevertheless have broad collective political power to enact absurd laws that correspond with their childish intuitions about fairness.
What these people also fail to understand is that the alternative of course is not that it will be no additional cost for your pet. The end result will be higher rents for everybody or, more likely, fewer landlords will allow pets at all.
Read 5 tweets

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