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Larry Schweikart Profile picture
@LarrySchwe94560
Sep 11 • 8 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
1) I will repeat what I said a couple of days ago:
Cackles needed a Grand Slam/total knockout of Trump. She lost by a small margin. At very best it was a draw. (I think she lost big).

2) Polls/smolls, the CAKE IS ALREADY BEING BAKED in both registration numbers, . . .
2) contd . . . which are skyrocketing for Rs across the board (30/30 states see R gains; AZ off the charts---Maricopa Co alone now has 2x the margin of fraud/margin of Mcturdites for Trump to win & keeps gaining daily---FL may hit 1 m R advantage today, PA thanks to . . .
2) contd . . . @ScottPresler has utterly slashed the D lead and flipped entire counties; and NC has cut the D lead in half and remember Trump won this state 2 times when they HAD that lead.).

3) Equally important indicator are the early ballot requests.
@ScottPresler 4) These are looking HORRIBLE for Ds especially in GA (down 90%), NC down 11 points/blacks down 3/whites UP, and PA where Ds are down 131,000.

5) I have to remind you: a poll is someone saying what they may intend to do some time in the future. These are REAL results of . . .
@ScottPresler 5) contd . . . of what people have ALREADY DONE.

6) This is why, along with the persistent Trump underpolling of 2 points as Baris admits, I believe . . .

7) . . . this election is essentially over. Trump will win AZ, FL, GA, TX, NC, PA, NV, and probably MI and WI.
@ScottPresler 8) IF Cackles really lost in the eyes of the DNC/donors (i.e., if she did not get the grand slam she needed---and she didn't), I think very quickly (within this week) you'll see money quietly move from her campaign to the senate, where currently the Ds will lose 51-49.
@ScottPresler 9) I believe they know they are in heap big trouble in the Senate, and MUST prevent Lake, Moreno, McCormick, and Hogan from winning. The first two especially will negate Susan (Tom) Collins and MurCowSki, leaving only the new Utah version of Minion to contend with--BUT . . .
@ScottPresler 9) contd . . . we will have tiebreaker Vance.

10) This is how big of trouble the Ds are in and why I think they are outta time with Cackles. She didn't deliver, and now they have to circle the Moloch-wagon-traing.

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More from @LarrySchwe94560

Larry Schweikart Profile picture
Sep 7
1) You are watching the Cackles campaign go up in smoke. The vote by mail requests from NC are DOWN for Ds, UP for Rs (and remember Trump will get more D votes by far than Cackles will get R votes.

2) It's even worse-whites now comprise 70.6% of ballot requests blacks only 11.7%
2) So the electorate is MUCH more white and MUCH more R (again even assuming many Ds will actually vote Trump, as NC has done in 2 previous elections.

3) The White share is the same as 2022, but black share is DOWN more than 3 points. (Again, higher % blacks will vote Trump).
3) These lower D ballot requests are WAY down from both 2020 and 2022:
2020: D 51%
2022: D 49%
NOW: D 40%

YIKES. Talk about falling off a cliff. And, for the 3d time, remember some % of Ds will vote Trump (higher than T McTurds/Cheneys who vote Cackles).
Read 9 tweets
Larry Schweikart Profile picture
Sep 4
1) So getting freaked out emails that some doomer said the Dems "registered 500,000 illegals in every state." Seriously, bro?

2) If someone is registered (even an illegal) they show up as registered. They would (in AZ show up either as an R, D or "other."
3) There has been NO surge whatsoever (and I mean AT ALL) in DemoKKKrat registrations. The little growth they did have (natural cuz our pop is exploding) has been WAY offset by an R explosion. Rs now have a quarter million lead.
4) Wait, you say. Those Wascawwy DemoKKKrats are weally smart. They register the illegas as independents/other.

5) Really? Why has there been no change in "other" registrations (actually fell in the last year).
Read 5 tweets
Larry Schweikart Profile picture
Sep 3
1) Now, because a couple of fecalwrapped, chode-smoking, analblister DemoKKKrats were too stupid to know this, let me again give you a brief history of where the DemoKKKrat Party came from.

2) It is the brainchild of a northerner, a former slave-holder (whose slave ran away) . .
2) contd . . . New Yorker Martin Van Buren. "Personally" pro-emancipation, he nevertheless had an epiphany in 1820 with the passage of the Missouri Compromise.

(This is all in Brown's great article "Slavery, the Missouri Crisis . . ." & in Remini's "Election of 1828).
3) At the time of the MO Comp passage, there were roughly not only the same # of slave & free states (senators), but pretty close to the same # of congressmen from free & slave states.

4) Van Buren (as did Jefferson) feared that the MO Comp's requirement that no new slave . . .
Read 18 tweets
Larry Schweikart Profile picture
Sep 3
1) VERY good "Inside the Numbers" with @barnes_law and Richard Baris @Peoples_Pundit :

2) Multiple insiders are beginning to think Cackles is gonna lose big. Mark Halperin, on one show, between the lines said Trump is ahead in PA and can surge ahead in MI and WI & has sunbelt.
@barnes_law @Peoples_Pundit 3) He essentially hinted that Cackles will be about where Rutabaga was in a couple of weeks.

4) Barnes said that the polling just isn't picking up Trump's strength in WI & MI--as IT FAILED TO DO in 2016 & 20, and that's he's already ahead & should win by a couple in each.
@barnes_law @Peoples_Pundit 5) Halperin saying what WE ALL said at the time they ditched Rutabaga, which is Cackles brings very little new to the table while losing a lot (particularly in the midwest.)

6) People do not trust the GOP. This is why Lake, Moreno, Brown, McCormick are struggling.
Read 6 tweets
Larry Schweikart Profile picture
Aug 29
1) I shouldn't have to do this but there is apparently confusion about what Congress (esp. a MINORITY of one party---not even the whole party) can do.

2) They cannot defund. Defunding comes through the BUDGET PROCESS. We have not had a budget process in at least five years.
3) The only way you can defund any agency is to do so in a line item in the budget. But we have had CONTINUING RESOLUTIONS for years, namely automatically re-up what's already there.

4) Why no budget? Because to demand a budget would require a GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN.
5) There are only a handful of Rs, certainly not even a majority of the caucus, who would stand for a government shutdown. It would never get a vote of a majority. Not even close.

6) "Well, dammit, replace them." Good luck. When was the last time you heard ANY candidate . . .
Read 10 tweets
Larry Schweikart Profile picture
Aug 28
1) The latest hokum is from this questionable goofball group TargetSmart that claims to have voting data.

2) It is reporting that black female registration is up 173% after Cackles.

3) Maybe in Guyana or Cameroon. Not in America.
4) We have excellent registration data in FL, NC, AZ, ME, OH, NV, NH, IA, and even CA.

5) GOP registrations, net, over DemoKKKrats are growing EVERYWHERE, even in Kollyfornia.

6) But @RealSKeshel dug into some of this data in North Carolina---a heavily black state.
@RealSKeshel 7) If black women are registering at a 173% level higher than under Rutabaga, it sure ain't showin' up in the voter reg stats. Keshel found that there were 3k TOTAL black registrations since Cackles but there were 12k total WHITE registrations.
Read 6 tweets

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