The Supreme Court has concluded hearing on the appeal through which the National Assembly, the Office of the Attorney General and the CS Treasury are seeking reinstatement of the Finance Act 2023 following nullification by the Court of Appeal.
· The Supreme Court will deliver its Judgement on notice (meaning the apex court is not binding itself on a timeline within which it will deliver its judgement, we now just wait for a notice).
· If you missed my summary of highlights from day 1, see quoted 🧵 for details.
Key take away points from today below.
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First, my take
This matter seems to be drilling down to a few questions:
· Does the judgement on Petition No.5/2017 British American Tobacco Kenya, PLC vs CS Ministry of Health & 2 others & the prescribed principles of public participation provide adequate framework for public participation in Kenya & if yes, did Finance Act 2023 adhere to this?
· Did the Court of Appeal in nullifying Finance Act 2023 contradict itself when compared to its judgement on Pevans East Africa Limited & Another vs. Chairman, Betting Control & Licensing Board & 7 Others?
Mahat Somane tabled a very interesting argument:
· Each clause of the Finance Bill (& the Appropriations Bill) is subjected to a vote on the floor of the House.
· So the bill should be looked at with each clause standing on its own as a provision of the law
· The application of severability (i.e, if some provisions are deemed unconstitutional, others should still be allowed to be in force) should apply
· The Law Society of Kenya has countered the plea from former Attorney General, Githu Muigai, acting on behalf of the government, challenging the Court of Appeal's determination on the doctrine of mootness regarding the Affordable Housing Levy
· The Society argues the High Court was well within its mandate to throw out the Housing Levy
· The argument by the government of Kenya that the question of public participation & its underlying principles were exhaustively handled in Petition No.5/2017 British American Tobacco Kenya, PLC vs CS Ministry of Health & 2 others was challenged
· Specifically, the view that principle viii providing that "an allegation of lack of public participation does not automatically vitiate the process. The allegations must be considered within the peculiar circumstances of each case: the mode, degree, scope and extent of public participation is to be determined on a case to case basis" were challenged to the extent that they are static on the question of public participation
Still on public participation:
· The question of Petition No.5/2017 British American Tobacco Kenya, PLC vs CS Ministry of Health & 2 others as well as Pevans East Africa Limited & Another vs. Chairman, Betting Control & Licensing Board & 7 Others
· The argument has been levelled that the circumstances differ (when compared to Petition No.5/2017 British American Tobacco Kenya, PLC vs CS Ministry of Health & 2 others) & in no way has the Court of Appeal contradicted itself in nullifying Finance Act 2023 (when compared to Pevans East Africa Limited & Another vs. Chairman, Betting Control & Licensing Board & 7 Others)
Kiragu Kimani asked:
· Suppose we opted for the route that post-Committee stage amendments should then be subjected to public participation, should it then be limited to only those who submitted memoranda? Should it again be open to everyone?
· Is the argument of the respondents a case of elevating direct public participation over indirect public participation & if yes, what does that mean for Article 94(1) of the Constitution?
· The argument that nullification of Finance Act 2023 threatens delivery of government services was challenged
· "Public service outside the provisions of law is not service at all. When legislation is adopted outside the confines of law, it is fit for annulment"
The question of the Appropriations Bill/Act the fact that it should contain revenue estimates per Article 221(1) of the Constitution also stood out
Finally,
The Supreme Court is expected to deliver its judgement on notice.
Ends!
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Kenya's Tax Procedures (Amendment) Bill 2024 is out!
The proposed introduction of the parent Act introducing Sec37F is a huge one with regard to re-introducing the window for tax abandonment.
Some thoughts...
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· Tax Procedures (Amendment) Bill 2024 is an indication that the government has opted to go for piece-meal amendments to tax laws as opposed to the tabling of an omnibus Tax Laws (Amendment) Bill 2024
· Not surprising at all given that the The Kenya Revenue Authority (Amendment) No.2 Bill of 2024 tabled on Aug 5th, 2024 by the Majority Leader already began the process of piece-meal tax laws amendments following the recession of Finance Bill 2024
Here's a big one on tax abandonment:
· The Tax Procedures (Amendment) Bill 2024 is proposing introduction of Sec37F to the parent Act
· The proposed clause will empower the National Treasury CS to approve relief of part or the whole of the tax due from a person or direct the Kenya Revenue Authority in writing to take such action as may be appropriate
The Executive has received the green light to continue collecting taxes as par Finance Act 2023 amendment to tax laws.
This follows the securing of conservatory orders from the Supreme Court staying the Court of Appeal judgement that rendered Finance Act 2023 fundamentally flawed, unconstitutional, null & void (see quoted tweet).
Some pretty important pronouncements from the Supreme bench.
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· I find it very interesting that one of the reasons that the appellants floated in defence of seeking stay orders is that revenue collection is at stake since the measures contained in Finance Bill 2024 cannot be re-introduced again on the floor of the House until the 6 months window lapses
· If this is the case, we shouldn't see any effort to resuscitate proposals contained in Finance Bill 2024 until January 2025
· So this tells us that the talk about amending the tax laws for the re-introduction the tax amnesty, eco-levy & rationalising the first & second schedules of the VAT Act will, at the earliest, in January 2025, no?
· If we see the Tax Laws (Amendment) Bill coming earliest January 2025, will we still expect to see a Finance Bill 2025 per the prescribed budget calendar by April 30th, 2025?
· Total slash on the Executive stands at Kes 145,676,055,790
· There's a Kes 148,081,655,790 slash on recurrent & development spending & a Kes 2,405,600,000 increase in Appropriation in Aid
· The slash on recurrent spending is Kes 40,506,358,312; the slash on development spending is Kes 107,575,297,478
· Parliament's budget has been slashed by Kes 3.7 billion
· Judiciary's budget has been slashed by Kes 2.1 billion
What does this mean for the 2024/25 budget?
· The size of the budget declines to Kes 3.876 trillion
· The fiscal deficit widens to Kes 770.69 billion, 4.3% of GDP
· The fiscal deficit at 4.3% of GDP is quite important. During his vetting, Treasury CS, John Mbadi, said
"They/IMF want us to maintain a budget deficit of not more than 4.4% of GDP, that is what we have agreed"
So Kenya is just marginally below the IMF programme target
Court of Appeal Judges Kathurima M'Inoti, Agnes Kalekye Murgo & John Mativo have ruled that Finance Act 2023 fundamentally flawed and therefore void & consequently unconstitutional.
2 key things:
· With Finance Act 2023 rendered unconstitutional, null & void, we revert to tax laws as last amended by Finance Act 2022
· I think this judgement is extremely consequential in determining how we conduct public participation on bills going forward
Here's what I think you need to know.
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Summary:
· The entire Finance Act 2023 has been deemed unconstitutional, null & void
· Affordable Housing Levy has been salvaged by the Affordable Housing Act 2024. So the levy at 1.5% of gross matched by the employer remains in force
· Court of Appeal has overturned the High Court's decision that the 18 Sections introduced to Finance Bill on the floor of the House were constitutional. In effect, Court of Appeal says they failed to meet the threshold for public participation. This is huge!!
· Finance Act 2023 was subjected to adequate public participation but Parliament failed in the meeting the requirement for furnishing reasons why it accepts or rejects views from the public. This is huge!!
· The Court of Appeal has overturned the High Court decision regarding the inclusion of estimates of revenue & estimates of expenditure in the Appropriation Act. This is huge!!
· The Court of Appeal finds fault in the High Court's determination that it is not within its jurisdiction to intervene in policy matters
· The Court of Appeal declined to pronounce itself as to whether the increased taxes in Finance Act 2023 violated violates the economic, social and consumer rights. The bench argued that given that the Act is unconstitutional, there's no point in pronouncing itself on the matter
· Sec76 & Sec78 amending the Roads Act 1997 & Sec87 amending the Unclaimed Financial Assets Act have been deemed unconstitutional (i.e, Court of Appeal has upheld High Court decision)
What does reverting to tax laws as last amended by Finance Act 2022 mean?
Some important highlights:
· The standard rating of VAT on petroleum products is done away with, we go back to petroleum products with VAT at 8.0%
· Mandatory issuance of eTIMS invoices by businesses & use of the same for claiming deductible expenses is gone
· The new top tax rates at 32.5% (Kes 500,000 - Kes 800,000 per month) & 35.0% for >Kes 800,000 per month is gone
· VAT on export services goes back to exempt status, currently zero-rated status
· Remitting of withholding tax goes back to 20th of every month, the 5 working days requirement is hereby rescinded
After the very long wait, the Public Debt Management Office has finally made public the External Debt Register as at June 30th, 2023.
It's a late release but hey, what are we seeing here?
Some thoughts.
This is how outstanding external debt closed June 2023 (Change is y/y)
· Multilateral: +44.91% to Kes 2.65 trillion
· Commercial banks: +22.34% to Kes 1.29 trillion
· Bilateral: +11.40% to Kes 1.25 trillion
To make sense of this, look at how outstanding external debt closed June 2022 (Change is y/y):
· Multilateral: +16.77% to Kes 1.83 trillion
· Commercial Banks: +0.96% to Kes 1.05 trillion
· Bilateral: +4.99% to Kes 1.12 trillion
Musing?
· Kenya tried hard to lean more towards cheaper multilateral financing in 2022/23 but also ended up accelerating appetite for costly commercial bank financing
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On the multilateral borrowing side (Change is y/y):
· IBRD's outstanding US$ amount shot up 104.2% to US$980.0M
· IMF's outstanding US$ amount shot up 70.2% to US$1.66 billion
· IDA's outstanding € amount shot up 45.66% to €1.08 billion
· IDA's outstanding US$ amount shot 23.32% to US$2.89 billion
· IBRD's outstanding € amount shot up 11.3% to €94.49M
Musing?
· Heavier lifting by IBRD borrowing than IDA (both being arms of the World Bank) tells us Kenya is deemed credit worthy & expected to be able to go to market & raise capital
There's been a lot of talk about Kenya's US$3.6 billion programme with the IMF & the extent to which
it has been a catalyst for the present state of affairs.
Yesterday there was a pretty interesting forum set up by @IEAKenya & @DevEconNetwork taking stock of the programme with the fund which has been running since 2021 & whether as designed it was/is fit for purpose.
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· The 2 think tanks argue that there's no doubt that in 2021 in the wake of the COVID19 wreckage on the economy, there was need for a programme with the fund
· What they argue, however, is that the fund misdiagnosed Kenya's situation & ended up handing the wrong prescription
· @retepelyod & @IEAKwame argue that the anchor of this misspecification was on the primary balance targets in the IMF programme (i.e, the difference between revenue collected & non-interest expenditure)
· So the argument tabled is that the said misdiagnosis by the fund on Kenya's primary balance targets is, to a large extent, what has made successive Finance Bills ever more aggressive in their revenue mobilisation plans