After the loud announcement of the Russian counteroffensive in the Kursk region, the news from the Russian side has died down. The Russian Defense Ministry reports "the destruction of 12,000 Ukrainian soldiers," but there is no video, no photos, no statements about regaining
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control over major settlements. Putin gave the order to recapture the Kursk region by October 1, but the counteroffensive is stalling. Ukrainian soldiers write in Telegram that heavy fighting is underway, not without losses, but the counterattack was expected and
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the Russians were expected. Russia has now switched from bombing to frontal attacks, which allows for greater resource losses. Ukraine expected and prepared for this step and to inflict serious damage on the advancing troops. Apparently, Syrskyi plan has begun to work and
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Russia has transferred resources to the Kursk region and will transfer more to fulfill Putin's decree. If this becomes a priority for the Russian army, then we can expect a decrease in the intensity of Russia's offensive in the Donetsk region. The offensive on Pokrovsk has
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already started to stall, but this is compared to August. Russia is still storming there every day and there are very difficult battles. Autumn has come and soon it will be more difficult to conduct military operations. Especially to conduct an offensive. If Russia does
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not recapture the Kursk region before the rains start, it will be more difficult for it to do so. It will be even more difficult to do so if Ukraine starts to strike deep into Russia. Apparently, Great Britain is lifting restrictions on the use of Storm Shadow deep into
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Russian territory and there is talk of the United States making the same decision. Most likely, the missiles supplied will have a range of about 250 kilometers, because this is an export version, but within this radius there are many juicy targets for Ukrainian missiles.
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Logistics, airfields in Rostov-on-Don, Voronezh, Kursk, Belgorod, Bryansk, troop columns - this is only a small list of targets that Ukraine can hit first. If talk of lifting restrictions turns out to be true, it will be another problem added to the huge list of difficulties
8/11
in Russia. The red lines are over, the nuclear scarecrow does not work, the economy is at the limit and is about to collapse, resources are depleted. The equipment is running out, but there are still people. But in 2 years there is no longer a professional army and the army
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consists of cripples, alcoholics, criminals and old men with conscripts. But this army also causes colossal damage. It is precisely because of this composition that it has no morality and leaves behind a trail of war crimes and scorched earth. Although the "professional
10/11
army" in Russia is not much different from this. But the crisis in the Russian army and management is growing. This is a downward spiral that cannot be stopped and sooner or later Russia will fall into a free fall to the bottom.
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Putin’s main air defense system arrived in Moscow for the parade — Xi Jinping — along with other guests such as Aleksandar Vučić, Robert Fico, and various African dictators, including President of the Republic of Congo Denis Sassou Nguesso, President of Zimbabwe Emmerson
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Mnangagwa, and others. Ukraine has always tried to avoid collateral damage. The foreign guests are nothing more than a human shield for Putin and an attempt to convince himself and the world that he still has any political relevance. Robert Fico was particularly offended
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by Estonia’s decision to close its airspace to Moscow’s guests. All Baltic countries and Poland did the same, yet for some reason, he singled out Estonia. If EU politicians enjoy visiting the club of dictators on the day when the USSR began its occupation of the Baltic
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Ukraine continues to carry out drone strikes on Moscow and other parts of Russia. In two days, a parade will be held in the capital to mark the 80th anniversary of the victory. In Russia, this event has long since turned into a propaganda celebration and has nothing to do
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with the end of World War II or honoring the memory of the victims of that horrific conflict. The so-called veterans who sit around Putin during the celebration did not take part in that war; more often, they are retired KGB employees or veterans of other Soviet military
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aggressions, of which there were many. Washington insiders say that the U.S. does not support the idea of a strike on Red Square during the parade, even though there will be many legitimate targets there that day. However, in reality, Ukraine is inflicting far more damage
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Putin’s declaration of a ceasefire during the Victory Day celebrations in Moscow is nothing but another manipulation. He’s simply afraid of Ukrainian drones that could ruin the parade and steal the show. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated: “We value human lives, 1/9
not parades. That’s why we believe — the world believes — that there is no reason to wait until May 8,” and proposed a 30-day ceasefire instead. In response, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov called Ukraine’s lack of direct response to Putin’s proposal a “manipulation.” 2/9
“Manipulation is not giving a direct answer to President Putin’s initiative. It’s more than just manipulation. Still, we hope that the peaceful initiative of the Russian president will be acknowledged. Because we haven’t heard any reaction from European capitals, nor a 3/9
The outgoing Biden administration will be remembered in history as an example of failed U.S. security assistance policy. Enormous sums allocated by the United States for aid to Ukraine have remained uncontracted. Of the many billions of dollars provided through the USAI 1/5
program, only $13 million were committed to contracts. Approximately $10 billion remains unused, and its allocation will be handled by the new administration. For comparison, $4.6 billion in replacement funds were obligated during the same period. While the United States 2/5
continues to declare itself Ukraine’s strongest ally, its delays lead to significant losses among Ukrainians. Ukraine depends on international aid, and without the support of its allies, it would not have been able to hold back Russia’s advance for so long. However, 3/5
Russia exploits the energy crisis in Transnistria to escalate tensions in the region and shift blame onto Ukraine. Moldova offered assistance with fuel and gas supplies, but the government of the unrecognized republic refused the help. Playing the victim and portraying
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Ukraine in a negative light now serves their interests much better. The same tactics are employed by other allies of Putin and Moldova's neighbors - Hungary and Slovakia. The Kremlin uses these situations as part of a massive information campaign against Ukraine, aiming
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to influence public opinion across Europe. Propagandists are on the ground, producing videos showing freezing, impoverished residents left without gas. Although Hungary and Slovakia secured gas supplies through the TurkStream pipeline, costs have risen significantly.
3/12
Happy New Year! So many events have unfolded during the break that it’s hard to choose a topic for an article. Perhaps the most pressing issue today is the new offensive in the Kursk region. Since the operation has just begun, and naturally, the Armed Forces of Ukraine
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keep their plans secret, reports on Telegram suggest the offensive is progressing successfully. Ukrainian forces are actively using electronic warfare systems. Regarding the Donetsk region, Russia continues its advance, though the pace has noticeably slowed, which does not
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make the AFU’s job any easier. In Pokrovsk, Russian drones are operating intensively. Multiple sources have noted that the main issue on the Pokrovsk front is internal problems within the Ukrainian army, as reported by numerous military insiders. There are shortages of
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