Artur Rehi Profile picture
Sep 12 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
After the loud announcement of the Russian counteroffensive in the Kursk region, the news from the Russian side has died down. The Russian Defense Ministry reports "the destruction of 12,000 Ukrainian soldiers," but there is no video, no photos, no statements about regaining
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control over major settlements. Putin gave the order to recapture the Kursk region by October 1, but the counteroffensive is stalling. Ukrainian soldiers write in Telegram that heavy fighting is underway, not without losses, but the counterattack was expected and
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the Russians were expected. Russia has now switched from bombing to frontal attacks, which allows for greater resource losses. Ukraine expected and prepared for this step and to inflict serious damage on the advancing troops. Apparently, Syrskyi plan has begun to work and
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Russia has transferred resources to the Kursk region and will transfer more to fulfill Putin's decree. If this becomes a priority for the Russian army, then we can expect a decrease in the intensity of Russia's offensive in the Donetsk region. The offensive on Pokrovsk has
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already started to stall, but this is compared to August. Russia is still storming there every day and there are very difficult battles. Autumn has come and soon it will be more difficult to conduct military operations. Especially to conduct an offensive. If Russia does
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not recapture the Kursk region before the rains start, it will be more difficult for it to do so. It will be even more difficult to do so if Ukraine starts to strike deep into Russia. Apparently, Great Britain is lifting restrictions on the use of Storm Shadow deep into
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Russian territory and there is talk of the United States making the same decision. Most likely, the missiles supplied will have a range of about 250 kilometers, because this is an export version, but within this radius there are many juicy targets for Ukrainian missiles.
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Logistics, airfields in Rostov-on-Don, Voronezh, Kursk, Belgorod, Bryansk, troop columns - this is only a small list of targets that Ukraine can hit first. If talk of lifting restrictions turns out to be true, it will be another problem added to the huge list of difficulties
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in Russia. The red lines are over, the nuclear scarecrow does not work, the economy is at the limit and is about to collapse, resources are depleted. The equipment is running out, but there are still people. But in 2 years there is no longer a professional army and the army
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consists of cripples, alcoholics, criminals and old men with conscripts. But this army also causes colossal damage. It is precisely because of this composition that it has no morality and leaves behind a trail of war crimes and scorched earth. Although the "professional
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army" in Russia is not much different from this. But the crisis in the Russian army and management is growing. This is a downward spiral that cannot be stopped and sooner or later Russia will fall into a free fall to the bottom.
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More from @ArturRehi

Dec 2
The attempt to ignite a conflict in the Middle East and draw Israel into it and distract the West from Ukraine turned out to be a shot in the foot for Putin. After several crushing blows to Hezbollah, Israel has greatly weakened the group, and Bashar Assad relied on it,
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among other things. The weakening of forces was used by the rebels fighting against Assad. Government troops are retreating and Aleppo has already come under the control of the rebels. A lot of weapons have been captured, including Russian equipment. Syria was an important
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stronghold for Russia in the region, from where operations in the Middle East and Africa were coordinated. Syria was an important logistical hub, from where Russian weapons and Russian military specialists were delivered, mainly arriving by sea through the Mediterranean Sea
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Read 8 tweets
Nov 28
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky believes that Russian leader Vladimir Putin is now "waving his 'Oreshnik'" only to thwart Donald Trump's efforts to stop the war. Direct speech: "And today in Kazakhstan, Putin again advertised his missiles - his readiness
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to kill and destroy. Putin obviously wants to add thousands more to the thousands of missiles that have already hit Ukraine. He does not need this war to end. In addition, Putin does not want to let others end this war. He can wave his 'Oreshnik' now only to thwart
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President Trump's efforts, which will definitely happen after the inauguration. Putin wants to escalate the situation now so that President Trump will not succeed, so that he will not be able to end the war. Putin is the only culprit
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Read 5 tweets
Nov 27
The average life expectancy of a Russian assault trooper after signing a contract is from two weeks to a month. The Russian offensive continues and it has made advances in several areas at once. Russian troops have advanced to the areas of Kurakhove, Rozdolne,
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Velyka Novosilka. These advances are causing record losses. Daily losses of about 1,600 people - twice as many as exactly a year ago. Russia has turned into a huge conveyor belt of death, destroying Ukraine and devouring itself from the inside. Confirmation of another
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execution of 5 Ukrainian soldiers who surrendered in the Pokrovsk direction has appeared on the Internet. Unfortunately, there are many more such cases, and we can guess what is happening in the occupied territories, but the full scale of Russian crimes will appear before us
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Read 11 tweets
Nov 25
The declassified British intelligence memo about Russia's involvement in the poisonings in the EU has caused a lot of noise in the media, but even when it was happening, there were many people who pointed to Russia's involvement. Back then, everyone wanted to be friends with
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Russia and it didn't cause any response. It hardly does now. Today's plane crash in Vilnius happened 20 days after the WSJ wrote about Russia's plans to sabotage airlines. The investigation has just begun, but if it is established that the fire on board was caused by
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deliberate actions, Russia is the main suspect. After Trump's victory, Russia has stepped up its attacks on the European Union and continues to test how far it can go. So far, EU countries, especially its largest members, such as Germany and France, have never responded to
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Read 15 tweets
Nov 22
After many years of heavy fighting, Ukraine is experiencing a shortage of soldiers, and most importantly, experienced commanders. In some areas, Ukraine is 6 times inferior in numbers to Russia. There is also a severe shortage of ammunition, and when it is necessary to hold
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a position, ammunition often runs out and its delivery is complicated due to Russia's superiority in artillery and aviation. Support vehicles come under fire and are destroyed. Ukrainian brigades are exhausted. First of all, there is a shortage of medium- and long-range
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weapons. Ukraine is quite effective in hitting Russia's logistics, but due to Russia's huge numerical superiority, this is not enough. In addition, Russia is also not standing still, but learning and adapting. Due to the shortage of weapons, drones have become Ukraine's main
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Read 10 tweets
Nov 21
The strike on the Dnipro by an intercontinental ballistic missile damaged an industrial enterprise, a rehabilitation center, residential buildings and garages. As a result of the strike, 2 people were injured. The 57-year-old man received medical assistance on the spot,
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the 42-year-old woman was hospitalized. "Ukrainian Truth" writes that it was an RS-26 "Rubezh" medium-range missile. This is the entire escalation that Russia threatened, but Russia is already hitting Ukrainian cities with everything it can - drones, missiles, artillery.
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This strike did not bring any serious tactical benefit and serves only one purpose - intimidation. There will be talk that the next time the missile will have a nuclear warhead and all that. However, this is how bluff works. Putin is always "one step away" from using
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Read 12 tweets

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