Artur Rehi Profile picture
Sep 12, 2024 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
After the loud announcement of the Russian counteroffensive in the Kursk region, the news from the Russian side has died down. The Russian Defense Ministry reports "the destruction of 12,000 Ukrainian soldiers," but there is no video, no photos, no statements about regaining
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control over major settlements. Putin gave the order to recapture the Kursk region by October 1, but the counteroffensive is stalling. Ukrainian soldiers write in Telegram that heavy fighting is underway, not without losses, but the counterattack was expected and
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the Russians were expected. Russia has now switched from bombing to frontal attacks, which allows for greater resource losses. Ukraine expected and prepared for this step and to inflict serious damage on the advancing troops. Apparently, Syrskyi plan has begun to work and
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Russia has transferred resources to the Kursk region and will transfer more to fulfill Putin's decree. If this becomes a priority for the Russian army, then we can expect a decrease in the intensity of Russia's offensive in the Donetsk region. The offensive on Pokrovsk has
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already started to stall, but this is compared to August. Russia is still storming there every day and there are very difficult battles. Autumn has come and soon it will be more difficult to conduct military operations. Especially to conduct an offensive. If Russia does
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not recapture the Kursk region before the rains start, it will be more difficult for it to do so. It will be even more difficult to do so if Ukraine starts to strike deep into Russia. Apparently, Great Britain is lifting restrictions on the use of Storm Shadow deep into
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Russian territory and there is talk of the United States making the same decision. Most likely, the missiles supplied will have a range of about 250 kilometers, because this is an export version, but within this radius there are many juicy targets for Ukrainian missiles.
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Logistics, airfields in Rostov-on-Don, Voronezh, Kursk, Belgorod, Bryansk, troop columns - this is only a small list of targets that Ukraine can hit first. If talk of lifting restrictions turns out to be true, it will be another problem added to the huge list of difficulties
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in Russia. The red lines are over, the nuclear scarecrow does not work, the economy is at the limit and is about to collapse, resources are depleted. The equipment is running out, but there are still people. But in 2 years there is no longer a professional army and the army
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consists of cripples, alcoholics, criminals and old men with conscripts. But this army also causes colossal damage. It is precisely because of this composition that it has no morality and leaves behind a trail of war crimes and scorched earth. Although the "professional
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army" in Russia is not much different from this. But the crisis in the Russian army and management is growing. This is a downward spiral that cannot be stopped and sooner or later Russia will fall into a free fall to the bottom.
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More from @ArturRehi

Jun 6
Ukraine does not strike at random or hit arbitrary targets. Every operation is a well-planned step. Last year’s series of strikes on oil depots, the drone attacks on military electronics factories in recent months, and now—carriers of long-range missiles. The list doesn’t end
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with the destruction of over 20 bombers. A fuel storage facility for those bombers was also hit in Engels, and for the first time, Ukraine successfully targets Russian Iskanders before launch. They are almost impossible to intercept and extremely deadly. The principle is
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simple: kill the archer, not the arrows—because that archer continues to terrorize Ukraine’s civilian population. On the night of June 6, Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine using missiles and drones. According to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russia launched
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Read 7 tweets
Jun 5
Putin responded decisively to the destruction of his air force’s aircraft—he called Trump and every possible politician in the EU. No red button—just whining that Ukraine is escalating the conflict and refusing negotiations. He also released a video accusing Ukraine of
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terrorism, but notably did not mention the airfields; instead, he commented on the collapse of bridges, a story mostly overshadowed by the far more significant events. He claimed it was Ukraine that has no intention of pursuing peace talks. This narrative has been ongoing
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for several months and is aimed entirely at the West, because it works—especially with Trump’s administration, which continues to delay the implementation of new sanctions. This entire propaganda show will continue as long as it remains effective. One of the most recent
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Read 12 tweets
Jun 4
Anyone claiming that Russia will now deliver a powerful retaliatory strike is likely on the Kremlin's payroll. It's been three days since Ukraine's brilliant operation, and Russia's only response has been a long-range rocket attack on Sumy. I mentioned this in my previous
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article, but I’ll repeat it—Russia has nothing left with which to respond. It has already thrown everything it has into the war against Ukraine. According to different sources, destroyed Russian bombers had been preparing for a new massive missile strike on civilian
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cities, which was supposed to be the largest of the war. Ukraine is not escalating—it is defending itself. And there's nowhere left to escalate to. Russia has no hidden secret power, as its propaganda constantly claims. Nuclear weapons? Those too are mostly a product of
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Read 20 tweets
Jun 2
With its strike on Russia’s strategic aviation, Ukraine has shown the world that Russia’s nuclear forces—so feared in the West—can and should be destroyed. Pro-Russian commentators rushed to write about an inevitable retaliatory strike, even a nuclear one, but do you know
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how Russia will really respond? It won’t. It will swallow its shame and send yet another wave of drones and missiles at peaceful Ukrainian cities. But it was doing that even before Operation “Spider Web.” Russia is already using everything it has against Ukraine and has no
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secret stockpiles. It was already launching massive strikes whenever it managed to accumulate enough missiles in storage. Only now it will be even harder to carry out such attacks, because the Tu-95 bombers were the main carriers of long-range missiles like the Kh-101.
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Read 8 tweets
May 30
The uproar over a Ukrainian drone striking a sitting Russian soldier once again highlights how active the Kremlin’s influence network is—and how powerful its reach remains online. In the face of Russia’s ongoing daily war crimes, it's strange that this is even being debated.
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Yet Kremlin agents are working tirelessly, and the rest of the sane internet is forced to explain why this wasn't a war crime. Everything happening on Ukrainian territory has one root cause: Russia’s invasion. Russia could pull out its troops and it would all stop. This
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information campaign has a clear purpose: to create noise, distract from Russia’s domestic problems, and most importantly—to once again influence Trump and his administration, trying to convince them that Ukraine is the true aggressor while Russia “wants peace” and is only
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Read 14 tweets
May 28
Russia is not limiting itself to cyberattacks and acts of sabotage on EU territory—it is preparing a "Crimea scenario" in Europe. Aivo Peterson and Dmitry Rootsi, both accused of treason, began forming a civil defense unit in 2022 with the support of the Koos movement.
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In the event of a crisis, this unit was intended to assume the functions of the armed forces. The organization and recruitment efforts were overseen by Russian military intelligence (GRU). In communications with associates presented by the prosecution in court, Peterson
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emphasized that the group's goal was to “ensure security and perform the functions of the army” in the event of a “power vacuum.” Despite Peterson’s public claims about the humanitarian nature of the project, the prosecution views his actions as an attempt to create an
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Read 7 tweets

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