2/ These mini videos consumed over and over throughout the day, day after day alters the impact and value analysis of events particularly video based events like a debate.
In the past snap polls had more significance because it was likely the only time the majority of people would consume the debate video content.
3/ As a result, asking people their view of who “won” the debate immediately following the airing of the debate made some sense.
But now, the live airing of the debate actually makes up a small percentage of the saturation of the content into the public consciousness.
4/ In short 20 second clips the public will re-consume the key exchanges.
IF…
That content becomes viral.
If it’s easily adaptable to a reel.
If it’s funny. Or cringy. Or based. Or savage.
Like “eating cats and dogs” or “I’m talking.”
5/ If not?
Well, then you are forced to pay for ads to air in markets where you hope they have effect.
Except that the public has already decided your clips won’t have effect.
6/ The true assessment of who won the debate can’t be made yet.
The public is still in the re-consumption phase.
How long will it last?
No one knows.
The algorithm will keep observing how long people hang on a reel.
Do they quickly swipe?
If so, it will start to end.
7/ In the meantime, the viewing of these video clips with audio tracks overlayed and snippets of pets reacting in fear are getting further and further engrained into the public’s consciousness.
That dynamic has never existed in the past.
8/ How much does this new reality change the real affect of a debate on the public and the assessment of who won?
We don’t quite know yet but my view is that it is significant.
We exist inside of an evolving consciousness network.
It’s something we need to keep analyzing. /end
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It is possible that a tape exists that makes clear that Biden was fully aware of what Hunter was doing and reveals that at a minimum Joe was aligned with him.
In that scenario, it is possible that the powers behind the scenes are effectively already conceding the Presidency.
If that tape truly exists, it is my speculation that Trump knew it existed way back in 2020. But at that time, after the impeachment and in the middle of Covid, there wasn’t any real way to effectively prosecute the case. At that time, it would have been perceived as Trump abusing his power to hurt Joe. Now it’s not a story about Trump abusing power because Trump isn’t at the helm. Instead it is properly received and understood as a story about Biden’s corruption.
If you go back over the last six months this feels like a slow and purposeful role out. So many things link to other things and you either have to believe Republicans keep getting lucky with one thing after another or this was all known in advance.
Does anyone believe that as you tear down the administrative state and reform the FBI/DOJ with the media pitching a daily fit that the 50% of the country that supports Democrats are going to seek to unite with you?
We need to fight.
We need a fighter.
Ron keeps promoting his accomplishments in Florida but any honest description of those accomplishments has to acknowledge that in Florida you have all of the political and legislative forces aligned with him, not against him.
And he has a mostly compliant media infrastructure.
Since Bill Barr has been in the media so much lately, I think this is a good time for me to write my wrap up on my Spygate speculation.
I’ll say this right up front, I stand by everything I wrote.
Not just the predictions but also the analysis.
Let’s go through it. /1
Early on, after Trump fired Comey and when everyone was screaming how Mueller would destroy Trump, I speculated that Trump actually was hoping to receive what I termed a “clean bill of health”. Meaning he saw value in a person like Mueller proclaiming there was no collusion. /2
To this day Trump uses “No collusion!” in his narrative around all of the hoaxes. In fact it’s one of the most powerful weapons he has in undermining the current prosecutions by showing how from the start, all of the attacks have been baseless. /3