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Sep 12 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Lucid's CEO Peter Rawlinson tries to smear Tesla's technology in this clip. @LucidMotors @elonmusk @larsmoravy @Tesla @PIF_en

Peter, if it was true that your tech was so capable at low cost (which of course it isn't) how on earth is it possible that your company:
1. Has the worst gross margin: negative 134%
2. You spend $196,000 per vehicle (costs of goods sold, not operating loss) which you sell on average for just $84,000
3. Your company ranks globally as the least profitable automaker with a negative profit before tax margin of shocking 321%.

Beyond all of this, how/why should anyone believe you now Peter after you missed your 2023 deliveries goal by 88%. Lucid told investors to deliver 49,000 vehicles in 2023 but delivered only 6,001.

Dear PIF leadership, Peter is just fooling you. He creates technology and products which are not cost competitive. Please take a minute and look through the attached materials.

Lucid's gross margin is negative 134%!!! Image
Lucid's average production cost per vehicle is $196,000 Image
Lucid's global average selling price is a lousy $84,000. This ain't no high end luxury. Image
Lucid is globally the LEAST profitable automaker with a negative profit margin of 321%!!! Image
This slide is from Lucid's investor presentation as of May 13, 2021 in which Lucid promised investors 49,000 vehicle sales in 2023 and 90,000 in 2024.

Lucid delivered exactly 6,001 vehicles in 2023 which is an 88% target miss! This was not a 10 year forecast. This forecast was only 2.5yrs out.

Lucid sold 4,361 vehicles in the first 6 months of 2024. A large share went to Lucid's controlling shareholder.Image
Image
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Only Rivian has burned more cash than Lucid but Rivian has also reached a greater maturity state with LTM revenue of $5.0B vs $668M!!! Image

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More from @alojoh

Sep 9
This is a deep dive into latest trends observable in the Chinese passenger vehicle market including Tesla's market share. I'll share with subscribers additional deep dives on specific automakers in the next days.

1. China Vehicle Sales Declined For The 5th Consecutive Months In August (YoY)Image
2. Despite Overall Weakening Vehicle Sales, BEVSales In China Increased 19% YoY In August Image
2a. China BEV Sales Exceed For The First Time 30% Of Total Vehicle Sales In August Image
Read 12 tweets
Sep 3
EV maker Xpeng delivered 14.0K units in August, implying a 2.5% yoy growth rate. This is too slow given the small scale of Xpeng.

Xpeng's trailing 12-months sales rate increased only 0.2% month-on-month (MoM) in August after increasing only 0.1% MoM in July. This too points to a significant slowdown in Xpeng sales growth. The problem is that at an annual sales rate of just over 150K units Xpeng remains too small to become a viable automaker in its segment (mass market).Image
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In 2Q 2024, Xpeng's business provided only $157M in gross profits. This is not nearly enough to cover Xpeng's ongoing R&D and admin expenses. Image
For this reason, Xpeng lost over $200M in 2Q 2024. Image
Read 5 tweets
Aug 29
This is an updated deep dive into Toyota's global vehicle sales trends.
Anyone invested in the automotive industry should read this thread since Toyota is the largest automaker and understanding this key player's sales trends can provide valuable context and key insights.

Key findings include:
1) Toyota has been shrinking for several months.
2) Toyota’s BEV adoption is decreasing.
3) Toyota’s current BEV growth is so slow that it would take at least 5 years to catch up even with an assumed constant VW Group in BEVs (let alone Tesla).
4) Toyota tries to sell more hybrids as ICE sells recorded the 14th month of consecutive declines.
5) It appears Toyota is winding down Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle sales.
6) Sales in China, one of Toyota's main markets, dropped to a multiyear low.

There is a lot more.

Please don't forget to like for the algo. Thanks.

1. Deliveries Remained LargelyUnchanged YoY In JulyImage
2. Toyota Has Been Shrinking For ~6 Months Although At A Slow Rate Image
2a. Toyota Reached An All-Time High Sales Rate Of 10.382M Vehicles In January 2024 Image
Read 16 tweets
Aug 29
This is my 3Q Nvidia forecast. I highly recommend to any Nvidia investor to read this thread in full.

Please don't forget to like/comment for the algo. If there is a lack of interest in this type of research, there is no point in me continuing to share it. Thanks Image
1. 3Q Revenue Estimated To Grow +16% QoQ To $34.7B Image
2. 3Q Gross Profit Estimated To Grow +17% QoQ To $26.4B Image
Read 17 tweets
Aug 28
This is a deep dive into BYD's 2Q 2024 financials (published today).

I highy recommend anyone invested in the automotive sector to read this thread since it provides important context for assessing competitors' relative performance.

1. Revenue Increased +26% YoY To $24.3 BillionImage
2. Gross Profit Increased +26% YoY To $4.5 Billion

3. Selling Expenses Near All-Time Record HighImage
Image
4. Admin Expenses Reach A New All-Time High

5. R&D Expenses Decreased To The Lowest Level In 4 QuartersImage
Image
Read 19 tweets
Aug 25
This thread covers BYD's sales trend and how BYD turns into a mostly PHEV seller. @BYDCompany

1a. BYD Reached A New All-Time High Quarterly Deliveries Record Image
1b. BEV Sales Grew 21% YoY In 2Q But Started To Decline In July Image
1c. BYD Has Become One Of The Biggest PHEV Makers Globally Image
Read 7 tweets

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