Ellie likes data Profile picture
Sep 14, 2024 29 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Far-right movements have been using Springfield, Ohio as a propaganda tool since early 2023.

There aren’t 20,000 Haitian immigrants there
in fact, there are barely 5,000 in the entire state.

The level of cognitive dissonance required for this narrative is staggering.

/🧵
The Census Bureau ACS lists the Haitian-born population in Ohio as 5,264 as of July 7, 2023.

This is the most recent and reliable data.

These groups have been claiming that there are 20,000 to 70,000 Haitians in just Springfield since May 2023.



2/data.census.gov/table/ACSDT1Y2…
The Springfield City School District posts their enrollment online.

This week, their head count is 7,415.

Huge increase from last year, right?

Except not... The district is still below pre-pandemic levels. They had 7,716 students in 2020.



3/education.ohio.gov/Topics/Data/Fr…
Annual head count for Springfield City School District on those files -

2024: 7,415
2023: 7,227
2022: 7,107
2021: 7,099
2020: 7,716
2019: 7,551
2018: 7,661
2017: 7,759

Take a look at the data tables yourself.

4/
Again, the ACS lists the July 2023 population of people born in Haiti living in Ohio as 5,264.

Vital statistics show 599 births in 2023 to mothers born in Haiti

472 in 2024.

Birth trends aren’t linear, but even assuming linear increase, that’s a max of ~700 births.

5/
For deaths, CDC Wonder won't let you search by country of origin, but search by race categories:

Through August 2024, there's been 29 deaths among Black Hispanic Ohiohans.

2023: 62

2022: 45

2021: 59

Fact check if you want to, it's public data.


6/ wonder.cdc.gov/natality-expan…
Image
You cannot tell me that a population of immigrants has grown 4x it's size in a year, and their death rate has not increased?

(especially a population that is supposedly sucking up health resources?)

7/
These 15,000-25,000 Hatian immigrants beyond what the Census lists?

They're not dying,
they're not having extra babies,
they're not in the schools?

Where are they? The Haitian population ~doubled in recent years.

1,934 Haitian Immigrants lived in the entire state in 2021.

8/
In 2022, ACS listed 5,442 people born in Haiti in Ohio.

In 2023, ACS listed 5,264 people.

This is fake. And bad journalism.

Especailly since they've been making up this number for a year now - and we have the data for the ACTUAL population when this rumor started.

9/
The media is moving quickly on this and not fact checking. The initial report of "20,000-30,000" is linked to a Heritage-affiliated anti-immigration think-tank that writes a lot about brown immigrants.

(Somehow Ukraine is fine?)

10/
Bottom line:

Folks are choosing to believe and spread any of these lies 🐈🐕🦆 because it fits their racist narrative.

Inventing a massive population surge of immigrants is just to serve this. It isn't about facts for them, it's about targeting communities of color.

11/
Hey @lilialuciano @AliciaHastey - this thread will be worth your time ☝️
@Reuters should really show us where they got this graph:

Because the state medicaid dashboard shows another story about enrollment.



12/

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"Well, the Reuters graph could still be true if people are dying or moving at the same rate as Haitian immigrants are moving in?"

"Maybe 4000 people died or moved out and 4000 Haitian immigrants moved in?"

Nope. Here's all resident deaths for Clark County, Ohio

13/ Image
Hey @JuddLegum @ItsDocumented @RonFilipkowski

I think a FOIA request is in order for what the Clark County, Ohio government said to the press - and who.

What I initially believed just a rumor that accidentally got picked up as offical, looks a lot worse with graphs.
@atrupar you might be interested in this! ☝️
@JuddLegum @ItsDocumented @RonFilipkowski (little apology: sorry Judd and Ron I didn't mean to attach you to this thread.... just tag you.
I guess you'll see it. 😬)
@_damian_bot Yeah, it's the spaces. ✅
@wokemaldus2385 @dwarfmorgante idk if that stops you from aruging with him on here.
but thanks!
@helopait I think it's reasonable to assume a city official is giving you good data, especially if you don't understand how we get demographic data.

But when a story gets this big, you need to take a step back and examine the whole thing.
@DaveYostOH Ohio AG Dave Yost ignores stats provided by Springfield and Clark County officials.
There’s NO basis for "1/4 to 1/3" of Springfield being new immigrants — no data backs this.
He is simply inciting violence against his own constituents. Image
Folks, the numbers from the City of Springfield are clear: 12,000 - 15,000 total immigrants in the entire county.
That's not Haitian immigrants, that's not just the immigrants in Springfield. Media keeps linking to this while claiming 12-15k. Can you see how this happened? Image
Clark County, Ohio has 136,000 people. The city estimates 9-11% of the county is foreign-born.
14.3% of the U.S. population is foreign-born, and 52% are naturalized citizens.
Clark County, Ohio foreign-born population is lower than the national average.

springfieldohio.gov/immigration-fa…
@bconn73 @helopait The SPR is part of a treaty that requires we keep on hand x-days of net oil imports in case of emergency, to control prices and prevent the oil crisis of the 70’s from happening again.

As we are a net exporter, we no longer need it. It’s basically cash sitting in the ground.
@bconn73 @helopait I think selling it is fine. We are selling it to ourselves mostly. Why refill with expensive oil, if the point is to drain it?

But the insane part is that Trump and ALL THE MEDIA keeps claiming Biden drained it, when DT mandated the sales for these years. Image
@bconn73 @helopait Matt Buford will pop up in about 5 minutes to tell you more about this because he responds to every single SPR post on Twitter. 😂

@bconn73 @helopait From 2017: Image
@bconn73 @helopait Trump, 2022:
And every single news site from Fox to PBS said Biden drained it without the context. Image
@Neongaslighting @Saturnineteen68 I don’t think the city is wrong at all, this is directly from them.

I think NYT, other media, misread the statement. NBC even linked it as their source!

12-15k total migrants in the entire county is different than 12-15k Haitian migrants in Springfield. And they’re not all new.

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More from @ellim992

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Holy crap.
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🧵/ Image
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It threatens doctors with imprisonment.
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