Artur Rehi Profile picture
Sep 14 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
For the second day in a row, there is a lot of good news. Although, any news related to the war can hardly be considered "good". The second prisoner exchange took place. Another 103 people returned to Ukraine. Among those released are defenders of the 36th Marine Brigade,
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the National Guard, in particular the 12th Special Purpose Brigade "Azov", border guards, representatives of the special forces unit "Kraken". There are also representatives of the National Police and territorial defense, the State Emergency Service, units of the Armed
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Forces of Ukraine. Most of those released were held in Russian captivity from the first days of the war. Details of the exchange are reported by Dmytro Karpenko. The day before, 49 defenders returned from captivity. These are soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the
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National Guard, the National Police, the State Border Service, as well as civilians. In particular, Leniye Umerova - a girl whom the Russians took hostage when she came to take care of her sick father. They also managed to free some more defenders of "Azovstal".
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Hero of Ukraine, military medic Viktor Ivchuk is also at home. The increased prisoner exchanges, which Russia has not conducted for almost a year in 2023, are good for two reasons. Firstly, and this is the main thing, the defenders of Ukraine and other people are returning
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home. Secondly, this indicates a shortage of manpower in Russia, which, after a long pause, has resumed exchanges and is conducting them more and more often. Unlike the Ukrainians, who require long months of rehabilitation after Russian captivity, Russian prisoners return
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home cured and in good shape. The usual path of Russian soldiers after release goes through the FSB office, where they tell on camera under threats how they were tortured in Ukrainian captivity, then most often to the hospital for several weeks, and then back to the front.
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Now this path is increasingly shorter and bypasses the hospital stage. Many Z-channels in Telegram also talk about the developing crisis with manpower in the army. There was a loud story where pilots of long-range reconnaissance drones were sent into a meat assault.
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Before the assault, they recorded a farewell video where they talked about the real state of affairs, about the commander protecting drug trafficking, taking valuable equipment and money from the military, and constantly lying in denunciations to the leadership. Their entire
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UAV detachment was specially sent to the assault so that it would be destroyed. They transmitted truthful information about the situation at the front to the top, bypassing the commander. And this is happening along the entire front line. This does not mean that things are
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getting easier for Ukraine. Things are still very difficult in the Pokrovsk direction. Ukraine also suffers losses every day. Russia continues to attack. It is just a vicious circle for Russia. It does not have enough reserves to break through and take a large city in the
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Pokrovsk direction or liberate the Kursk region, but it still has enough reserves to make constant attacks in small groups, trying to identify weak points and wait for reinforcements in order to concentrate the attack there. This leads to losses of these insufficient
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forces and requires even more reserves. The fact is that those people who make decisions in Russia at the top of the chain have no real idea of ​​the actual number of their troops. The lies in the reports start from the very bottom. The commander, like the one who sent the
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UAV pilots to die, reports to the top that the city has been taken. He does not have the resources to actually take it, but he will try to do so by constantly sending small groups to storm, in an attempt to capture what he has already reported.
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Things are also not going well for Russia in the Kursk region. Ukraine has broken through the border in another place in the Glushkovsky district and is moving into the rear of Russia's counterattacking forces. Russian conscripts is in danger of being surrounded.
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It is clear that Ukraine's operation was well prepared and is unlikely to be driven out of the Kursk region in the near future.
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More from @ArturRehi

Sep 13
Putin's Special Military Operation is going according to plan. According to the Ukrainian plan. This was stated by Volodymyr Zelensky, who described the offensive with the phrase "everything is going according to our plan." In the Kursk region, after the destruction of
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bridges while trying to cross the Seim River, Russian troops are coming under HiMars missile strikes. This is what the Ukrainians wanted. So that Russia would start sending groups to liberate the region, and Ukraine would destroy them while crossing and cutting them off
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from the flanks. Again, this does not mean that it is easy. There are difficult battles, but Russia is suffering greater losses. There are also battles near Vuhledar, where over the past week Russia began to attack with mechanized brigades and this section of the front is
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Read 9 tweets
Sep 12
After the loud announcement of the Russian counteroffensive in the Kursk region, the news from the Russian side has died down. The Russian Defense Ministry reports "the destruction of 12,000 Ukrainian soldiers," but there is no video, no photos, no statements about regaining
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control over major settlements. Putin gave the order to recapture the Kursk region by October 1, but the counteroffensive is stalling. Ukrainian soldiers write in Telegram that heavy fighting is underway, not without losses, but the counterattack was expected and
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the Russians were expected. Russia has now switched from bombing to frontal attacks, which allows for greater resource losses. Ukraine expected and prepared for this step and to inflict serious damage on the advancing troops. Apparently, Syrskyi plan has begun to work and
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Read 11 tweets
Sep 10
The Ukrainian drone strikes on Moscow once again demonstrate the futility of weapons restrictions and the Kremlin's lack of red lines. This is the largest drone attack on Moscow from Ukraine. Drones hit Ramenskoye, Domodedovo, and Zhukovsky. Several drones hit residential
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buildings. This may be due to the work of Russian air defense. Ukraine is aiming at military targets because bombing civilians does not improve the situation at the front. Drones do not cause much destruction since their warhead is about 10 times smaller than that of Russian
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FAB-500 bombs, but they have a psychological effect. Russia is not going to stop. The loss of part of the Kursk region, huge losses of personnel, a declining economy - Russia is not going to withdraw its troops from Ukrainian territory. In this case, the aggressor can only
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Read 11 tweets
Sep 9
Western allies are in no hurry to transfer or give permission to use weapons, but a new trend is emerging. The West agrees to provide technology and invest in the construction of factories in Ukraine itself for the production of various weapons, including missiles.
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Forbes published an article with a link to a video. The article reports that Ukraine has invented its own precision glide bomb. it could become a key weapon for strikes on targets in Russia. A recent video shot by the crew of a Ukrainian air force Sukhoi Su-27 fighter
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depicts an air force Sukhoi Su-24 bomber carrying a prototype gliding munition under its wing. With its wings and tail-mounted rocket booster, the presumably GPS-guided bomb looks a lot like a Hammer. It’s possible the Ukrainians actually copied the French weapon.
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Read 8 tweets
Sep 8
On August 27, the American publication The Wall Street Journal published an article citing the words of a certain, as is usually the case with Western media, unnamed official. He noted that Ukraine does not receive approval for strikes on Russian territory with ATACMS
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missiles, since the Russian Aerospace Forces have withdrawn 90% of their aircraft deep into the territory, beyond the reach of ballistic missiles. Alexander Kovalenko analyzed whether this is true. This is a lie, which was also voiced on September 5 by Deputy Spokesperson
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for the US Department of Defense Sabrina Singh at a briefing in the Pentagon. All supplied missiles are limited by international rules for the export of missile weapons - 300 km. That is why, when talking about the possibility of using long-range missile weapons of Western
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Read 14 tweets
Sep 6
The Russian advance in the Pokrovsk direction has slowed. Ukraine was able to send reserves to this area and Russia is suffering huge losses trying to attack. Russia tried to expand the flanks in the direction of Pokrovsk. Heavy fighting is underway in the Selydove area, but
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Russia is unable to advance. The advance has also slowed in the Toretsk direction. The arriving Azov was even able to push Russian troops back near Niu-York and unblock the encircled Ukrainian units. Azov writes that the Russians are conducting up to 15 assaults a day in
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this direction, but Ukraine is managing to hold back the defense. Russia reported complete control over Niu-York, but as usual this turned out to be a lie. Fighting for the city continues. The Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk region has also predictably slowed down, but
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Read 6 tweets

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