Giulio Mattioli Profile picture
Sep 14 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Aviation emissions are booming. With climate targets looming, you would expect governments to act. And yet they don't - if anything they work to make sure that emissions increase even further. But why?

The answer is in @verahuwe_'s new article (THREAD) doi.org/10.1080/096922…
Image
@verahuwe_ [Disclaimer: there is a lot in this paper, and Vera wrote her own thread here

What I'm doing here is to give my own take on what I found most eye-opening - there is a lot more nuance in the article and you should read it
]
We tend to think of the aviation problem as one where we have this problematic sector, aviation, and then the State sitting outside of it. And we want the State to act as a REGULATOR so that emissions decrease.

What this study shows is that this is a very naive way of thinking.
The State had a huge role in creating & supporting aviation as we know it, for obvious (military) & less obvious reasons

It still plays 3 important roles in it: as OWNER, as SPONSOR and as CUSTOMER, all arguably more important than its regulator role
So while we ask the State (as a regulator) to curb air travel demand with, say, taxes and moratoria on airport expansion, we should keep in mind that the State is part OWNER of aircraft manufacturers, used to own most of the airlines & owns many airports
The State also acts as a SPONSOR of the aviation sector, as we can see from the subsidies to aircraft manufacturers (e.g. R&D funding), airlines (e.g., tax exemptions) & airports

For a long time, the State has acted to make the sector *grow*
Finally, the State also acts as a CUSTOMER of military aircraft. As such, it has a clear interest that the industry thrives. Here geopolitical considerations might easily trump climate ones.
Aviation is challenging to decarbonise also because there are few if any technological alternatives here.

In other sectors, the State can (in theory) side with the emerging green industries (EVs, renewables) vs. fossil incumbents. For aviation it can't
So - I hear you say - everything is lost? Nothing we can do? Well, not really.

The fact that the State is owners, sponsor & customer of aviation also gives it a lot of power & leverage on the sector. In theory, this could be used to decarbonise.
The paper tries to sketch how the State could act in its owner, sponsor and customer role to decarbonise the sector.

Could be interesting for activists and NGOs in this space. [END]
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More from @giulio_mattioli

May 14
To me the most striking thing in this chart is how much the Italian saving rate has *declined* over time: from nearly three times as much as the UK in 2000 to less than the UK today
And if you know the Italian social system, you know how much of it is based on household savings. Middle-class parents save their whole life to buy a dwelling for their children one day. Young people stay home & save for said dwelling rather than renting, etc.
Parents (and sometimes grandparents) use their savings to support children & grandchildren who find themselves unemployed - because no, many/most of them have no right to unemployment benefits or minimum guaranteed income.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 16
So the German government has now officially agreed to ditch sectoral emission reduction goals.

Does this mean that transport is now off the hook?

In the short term, maybe, in the long term I believe the opposite will happen (THREAD)
In Germany as in the rest of Europe, we are reducing emissions in other sectors while not reducing them (and sometimes even increasing them) in the transport sector.

So each year transport accounts for a higher share of total emissions ⬇️
I think this means that the climate debate and the transport debate will progressively become *conflated*. Most of the climate debate will be about cars and planes.

Excuses such as "Let's pick some other low-hanging fruit!" or "Let's do nuclear instead!" won't cut it.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 14
Fascinating from last week

#Dortmund Police tweets that elderly woman died after being ran over twice on pedestrian crossing

Gets asked if they intend to introduce more controls / cameras

The reply is something out of a textbook on car dependence. Or on how not to do PR Image
You can see the exchange for yourselves here
It gets worse: when asked whether they intend to implement measures to prevent such deaths from happening in the future, this is the police's reply. Note that the woman died *on a pedestrian crossing*
Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 8, 2023
The astonishingly rapid rightward & xenophobic lurch of the German political debate over the last few weeks

A THREAD to which I am afraid I will keep adding

1) 20.10.23
2) 22.10.23

The leader of the Conservatives (first in the polls) Image
3) 05.11.23

A Liberal MP proposes to drastically reduce the rights to political participation, right of assembly / freedom of association for non-EU foreign residents
Read 5 tweets
Sep 20, 2023
Every time car fuel prices go up - whether for taxes or wars - everyone seems to know exactly who suffers the most.

But which areas of Germany are most vulnerable to fuel price increases?

THREAD on my contribution to the Agora Verkehrswende & DLR report on transport poverty Image
(the report is available here) agora-verkehrswende.de/veroeffentlich…
We built on an established approach that sees vulnerability to fuel price increases as the product of:

1⃣ (high) exposure = high car use
2⃣ (high) sensitivity = low income
3⃣ (low) adaptive capacity = lack of alternatives to car use, car dependence
Read 14 tweets
Jun 20, 2023
Incredibly ill-informed take on car dependence & inequality by "the leading progressive political and cultural magazine in the United Kingdom"

DEBUNKING THREAD
[disclaimer: the full article is behind paywall so I am commenting on what's in the thread. There's more than enough wrong stuff there already though]
Are low-income and ethnic minority groups more car dependent than others?

This argument would be misguided for most countries, but it's *particularly wrong for the UK*. Let's see why
Read 20 tweets

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