The Glushkovo Salient which is predominantly held by the 155th Naval Infantry had a few options with dwindling supplies and no clear way out 1. They could abandon the equipment and swim across the Seym River north and cede the salient and equipment to Ukraine. 2. They could stay and fight in a siege and will eventually lose both the men and equipment the salient by force. 3. Attempt to breakout by pushing east in a counter attack supported by units north of the Seym River reestablishing GLOC into the salient.
They chose the third option and it is backfiring in their face.
The nice part, once the Russians are kicked out of the salient, all of the dragon's teeth that the Russians placed on the Ukrainian border can be picked up and moved elsewhere as part of new defensive fortifications in Kursk they also have all these pre-made defensive fortifications in case things go south for Ukrainian forces in Kursk and they now have pre-made defensive positions and fall back points.
The other important part which I talked about at the start of Ukraine's Kursk offensive is the need to secure the rail yard at Korenevo and that has not happened yet. Glushkovo Salient once cleared of Russian forces will go a long way securing the rail line south of Korenevo and the Ukrainian border allowing trains in Ukraine to creep closer to the border due to pushing Russian! Artillery and drones away from the Ukrainian border, allowing those supplies by rail to get closer.
Rail lines in black
If you haven't check out @MalcontentmentT daily update and his maps which I tend to use as an overlay on my maps
Love to hear it the so-called Russian Kursk counter offensive is according to the Russians now on the brink of being operationally encircled by the Ukrainians
"Now he has already consolidated his position there and tomorrow, he will definitely try to deliver his decisive blow to us. I think, to the Glushkovo railway station. And if he simultaneously manages to create a strike group (and there is such information that he is creating one) in the Olgovka area and manages to cut off our communications south of Korenevo, then our entire attack group may find itself in operational encirclement."
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After once again falsely stating that the US has provided more than Europe Vance gets into the meat and potatoes of the Trump/Vance policy for Ukraine and that is to "Find an appeasable settlement with Russia likely on the current frontline and create a demilitarized zone and make guaranteed assurances with Russia on "Ukrainian neutrality" and deny Ukraine entry to all "allied institutions”
What does this actually mean?
Minsk agreement 3.
Which will inevitably fail and see resumption of hostilities making the entire endeavor by a hypothetical Trump Administration fruitless because it's not actually going to stop anything, it will just give Russia time to regroup re-equip and rearm its forces
A Trump/Vance Administration would seek to create Minsk accords 3 freezing the conflict on the current front lines. So interestingly, Ukraine gets to keep Kursk while isolating Ukraine from future weapons and aid and seeing sanctions on Russia lifted, which again will give Russia the breathing room to re-equip and rearm its forces and invade again with renewed vigor and who is going to oversee the demilitarized zone to actually ensure neither side is violating the agreements. No one.
Trump calls himself a deal maker. This is a really shitty deal that will only result in more war, more escalation and more suffering for all and more expensive for the American taxpayer having to foot the bill for cold war 2.
Russians claim to have retaken Gordeevka,
Viktorovka,
Byakhovo,
Apanasovka,
Snagost,
Reported Ukrainian fighting in
Volfino,
Novy Put,
Khomutovka,
Kalinovka
The reported attacks at Khomutovka are something keeping an eye on this is the intersection for the primary Russian GLOC to Rylsk and if Ukrainian forces reach
Dmitriyev then the final 2 rail lines to Lgov will be severed and cutting major road GLOC to Lgov
What's that mean for a country that moves 86% of its freight on electrified rail. 😈
Russia next time probably shouldn't centralize your nationwide rail network with the hub centered on Moscow like wheel spokes with virtually no redundancies so if their is issues on one line it cascades out rapidly.
Thank you every Russian leader since Lenin for pursuing a 100% electrified rail infrastructure project and thank you Tzarist Russia for making an overly centralized rail network centered completely from Moscow because you were so afraid of the Russian Far East, becoming a little too independent and you wanted to make them wholly reliant on the Kremlin to keep them in line.
Also, do none of the pro-russians commenting have reading comprehension skills? Nowhere in this post? Does it say the ukrainians knocked out Russian electricity it says if there is no electricity then there is no trains. Also. I love how you guys completely ignore the commentary about the Russian Railroad and are exclusively focused on who, but the lights are still currently on at Moscow and not the actual point of the post, which is what happens when the lights go out.
Zheleznogorsk and surrounding towns have a lot of high value targets
1. Direct Rail line from Lgov to Oryol 2. Paserkovo 110 kV rail traction station 3. Zheleznogorskaya Transformer station 330/220/110kV 4. Locomotive maintenance depot and general railway equipment servicing 5. Train Repair factory 6. Construction and industrial center
Any one of these targets says is stuff I have been screaming about for over a year. Any one of these targets Phenomenal, particularly if it is the traction station which shuts off electric rail service hindering Russian military supplies to Lgov and putting further strain on the Moscow Rail District. If it is combined with targeting the rail maintenance facility and locomotive depot that would be even better.
#Kursk
Should the traction stations on the rail line from Oryol to Lgov be disrupted such as the traction stations being destroyed then this effectively makes the entire region unable to utilize electric trains which is difficult for Russia because the overwhelming majority of their active locomotive are electric which will put further strain on Regional Freight rail in the Moscow Rail District.
Red Lines are railroads that have been closed
Orange lines are moderately degraded
Yellow line at extreme risk of being attacked.
Another add-on should the rail line from Oryol to Kursk be disrupted again such as the traction station being destroyed then that means the only rail line that will be able to sustain electric Freight and passenger trains coming from Bryansk making this the only Rail line that electric trains will be able to utilize in the entire region for both civilian and military rail traffic.
If the rail maintenance and the locomotive depots are destroyed, this will put strain on not just electrical locomotives which won't really be useful anymore, But more importantly the diesel locomotives that will be the only option to run rail through Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts adding moderate logistical strain to Russian forces in Kharkiv under Task Group North and for the Russian Forces under Kursk Group.
This is shaping the battlefield to isolate Russian forces under Kursk Group and rain the effects will be felt fairly quickly, particularly for Russian forces operating West and South of Lgov.
With the rail network moderately degraded Russia will be forced to utilize trucks to fill the logistical void that will now have to travel from Bryansk and Oryol to Kursk, Lgov
and Belgorod extremely ineffective and more importantly time consuming with limited daily resupply and will moderately impact Russia's ability to move horses in a timely manner to respond to Ukrainian attacks in the region.
Read my older thread below on Russian GLOCS in Kursk
Total area: 1,379 sq km
Breach: 85.6 km
Depth: up to 36 km
Change since last update: +116 sq km
🟨Ukraine control: 989 sq km
🟦Russian claimed/gray area: 390 sq km
My additions to the map
Red Lines: 🇷🇺 Defensive lines
Black Line and Icons: Railroads and rail bridges
Purple Icons: Road Bridges
Yellow Light Icon: Electrical substations and Rail Traction stations
2 Nuclear Icons: KNPP and Belgorod-22
Based on reporting from Belarusian Railroad Workers Community and Moscow Commuter Trains Overhead this is a rail map of Russia that I'm comfortable with putting out at this time of impacted rail lines over the last few days.
Rail traffic from Belarus into Russia to Smolensk is closed.
Rail traffic from Kursk to Lgov is closed
Rail traffic from Kursk to Oryol is closed.
Rail Traffic from Belgorod to Kursk is impacted and likely will be announced closed.
Rail traffic from Smolensk to Oryol is likely impacted
Rail traffic from Lgov to Bryansk unknown status
Rail traffic from Lgov to Oryol is open.
Rail traffic from Belarus to Bryansk unknown status.
So Evacuation of Civilians just got way more difficult they're now going to have to bus everyone towards Lgov and train will pick them up and go to Oryol Right now it seems everything north of Oryol is fine.