Sir Pickle Profile picture
Sep 15 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Improve your trade entries using this SIMPLE entry model! 🎯

In this thread, I’ll break down my personal approach and show you how you can apply it to your trades.

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If you’ve been following me, you know that I always look for HTF context in every trade.

As I’ve said countless times before, price only does 2 things:

-Seek Liquidity
-Offer fair value

Understanding this will give you a simple and accurate view of market direction.

Want to learn more? Check out my video on IRL / ERL: Image
For now, we will focus on LTF entries.

For LTF entries, we want to use the timeframe alignment that I’ve given in my IRL / ERL video (link above)

Timeframe alignment allows us to trade with the HTF trend giving us that high-probability intraday trades. Image
Okay, but what do we want to see in the LTF? More specifically, the hourly?

We want to see a shift in order flow done by a displacement towards the context target.

It looks like a fair value gap going into the HTF Context and a fair value gap going out of it. Image
Remember what I’ve told you in the order flow thread.

A high probability order flow leg contains a fair value gap.

If that fair value gap fails, then it is most likely that price is going to seek the liquidity that formed the fair value gap.

If you haven’t read the order flow thread, here’s the link: Image
We can also use two high-probability legs to confirm the reversal lower.

Keep in mind that a price leg contains a swing high, a fair value gap, and a swing low.

The lower the timeframe, the more confirmation you want to see.

So you’ll want to demand two high-probability price legs instead of just one going away from the daily context.

(Credits to @Arjoio for this timeframe alignment)Image
In my system, I also require the day to have red folder news for intraday trades.

It gives the price the volatility it needs to have those energetic price moves.

For swing trades this differs, I just look for news on the week itself.

If you don’t know where to check for red folder news here’s the link: forexfactory.com/calendar/Image
For my intraday trades, I also require my trades to be within a killzone.

I use 8-12 AM EST as my killzone as it covers both 8:30 and 9:30 open, both of which are highly volatile. Image
That’s all for intraday trades!

For swing trades, check out my previous thread down below!

Hope you found this insightful!

Liked the new thread design? If so, like, comment, retweet, and share this thread with your friends!

Appreciate you reading this💚

Have a great trading week! Image
And again, If you want more content like this as well as detailed breakdown of my trades,

JOIN my free discord server by clicking this link:

See you in the Jar ;) discord.gg/picklejar/
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More from @SirPickle_

Sep 7
All my high-probability trades have this in common:

They are aligned with HTF Order Flow.

Apply this to your trading and watch your win rate rise✅

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First, let’s define Order Flow 📝

Specifically, bullish and bearish order flow.

On a bullish order flow, discount arrays hold while premium arrays fail.

On a bearish order flow, discount arrays fail while premium arrays hold. Image
Let’s zoom in further and define what makes up a high-probability order flow leg 🧐

It consists of a
-Swing high
-FVG
-Swing low.

Recall what I’ve said in my last video, a lack of a fair value gap in a price leg results in a low-probability leg to hold.

Live by the FVG, die by the FVG.

Check the video out here: Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 25
This is how I CONSISTENTLY find High Probability Swing Trades! 🔎💎

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All swing trades have a common theme.

They all look similar to each other.

But what are those similarities? That’s what you’ll read about today⬇️ Image
1 - All of my swing trades have a narrative.💬

Always ask yourself, if we’re going higher, where are we going higher from?

or if we are going lower, where are we going lower from? Image
Read 14 tweets
Aug 11
You lose money because you don’t understand low-probability conditions🎲

Here are 5 low-probability conditions you should know and avoid:

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The thing that holds many traders back is their inability to spot conditions that they shouldn’t be trading in.

They trade a pattern for the sake of trading a pattern and don’t factor in market conditions.

You ABSOLUTELY need to know how to spot low-probability conditions if you want to be a consistent trader.Image
1 - Lack of Fair Value Gaps

Fair Value Gaps are the way of the market shows you that it wants to go higher or lower.

Without it, it will most likely lead to consolidation.Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 13
This is right here is what I believe will SKYROCKET your win rate🚀

Here’s exactly how I use currency futures to measure relative strength.

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1) Let's start by listing the futures tickers we’ll be using.

Most currency futures follow a simple format: 6E1!

Where the letter between 6 and 1 is the first letter of the currency name.

Here’s a cheat sheet of major currency futures you’ll need to know👇 Image
2) You can use currency futures to identify which pairs are most likely to move📈

By finding the weaker and stronger currencies, you can pair them for high-probability trades.

Pairing a strong currency with a weak currency increases your chances of trading a one-sided pair⬇️Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 6
Feeling like you’re not your best self when trading?🤔

That’s your trading mental B-game acting up

Here is some personal advice to fix it👇

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In this thread, we'll discuss 7 common problems traders face.

Trading is as much a mental game as it is a strategic one.

Avoiding your B-game can significantly improve your trading journey.

So let’s tackle them⬇️

(graphic credit:@SteveOSupreme0)Image
1 - Going Against Intuition🚫

Ignoring your trading instincts? That’s a big mistake.

You’ll lose a lot if you don’t stop doing that.

Your intuition is based on your experience, so use it to your advantage.

With experience, you will immediately know upon looking at a chart if there is a A+ setup waiting to be traded.

If you look at a chart for more than 20 seconds and cant come up to a clear conclusion, move onto the next pair. Dont force it.

Sharpen your intuition by keeping a journal of your decisions. Write down your thought process. And of course, over time, learn to trust your instincts when they align with your analysis.
Read 11 tweets
Jul 2
How to KNOW which currency pair is STRONGER? 💪

Here's how you can find high-probability trades on your favorite currency pairs.

Everything you need to know about EG/AZ:

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EG & AZ stands for EURGBP and AUDNZD.

These pairs are what are known as “Cross Pairs”

These two pairs have two parts, base currency and quote currency.

This means that it is EUR’s price action vs GBP’s price action Image
Great, now how can we use this?

First, we must know which currencies it affects.

We can use EG or AZ to gauge the relative strength between all EUR, GBP, AUD, and NZD pairs. Image
Read 11 tweets

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