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Joni Askola Profile picture
@joni_askola
Sep 15, 2024 • 11 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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1/11 Day 41: Ukraine was well-prepared for the initial phases of the Kursk operation, and it seems they have also made solid preparations for the ongoing phase. Image
2/11 The fog of war is still dense, but it appears that Ukraine held off until russia's counteroffensive began before launching its own operation south of Glushkovo. Image
3/11 Ukrainian forces maintained their advance in Glushkovsky Raion, Kursk Oblast, and carried out offensive operations in the region on September 14. Geolocated footage released on September 13 depicts Ukrainian forces active in southern Veseloye. Image
4/11 Additionally, russian milbloggers stated that Ukrainian forces made advances west of Medvezhye (located southwest of Glushkovo) and in the fields south of Tetkino (approximately 25 km southwest of Glushkovo) near the border with Sumy Oblast. Image
5/11 A russian milblogger asserted that Ukrainian forces captured Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, located north of Sudzha. Image
6/11 russian sources reported that Ukrainian forces persisted in their attacks southwest of Korenevo near Apanasovka; southeast of Korenevo near Lyubimovka and Obukhovka; east of Korenevo near Maryevka; and southeast of Sudzha near Russkaya Konopelka on September 13 and 14. Image
7/11 russian forces recently reclaimed territory in the Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast and continued their counterattacks on September 14. Geolocated footage released on September 13 shows that russian forces entered western Lyubimovka. Image
8/11 russia is making significant efforts and deploying some elite units as Putin's October 1st deadline to drive Ukrainians out of the Kursk region is just about two weeks away. Image
9/11 It will be intriguing to observe where russia will launch its next attacks and whether Ukraine will be able to advance further north, potentially isolating some of the russian troops stationed south of the Seym River. Image
10/11 Ukraine appears to be well-prepared for the ongoing operations, and the success of the Kursk operation will at least partially be evaluated based on how much russia has to commit to expel Ukrainians from the region. Image
11/11 Sources:



understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…

understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…
Image

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More from @joni_askola

Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 7
1/7 Trump is attacking US allies and helping russia — again.

By cutting security assistance to European countries bordering russia, he’s handing Putin another gift.

The message is clear: loyalty to the US means nothing under Trump Image
2/7 The Baltic states — Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania — are among America’s most loyal allies.

They spend more on defense (% of GDP) than most NATO countries.

They buy US weapons.

They support Ukraine more than almost anyone.

Now Trump is punishing them Image
3/7 These countries received modest but vital US security aid — hundreds of millions over years.

They used it wisely: strengthening defenses, buying American equipment, deterring russia.

Now Trump wants to cut it — to “save money.”

It’s strategic sabotage Image
Read 7 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 5
1/7 Trump has shown us — again and again — that he won’t pressure russia.

Putin has rejected every ask: ceasefires, diplomacy, meeting Zelensky.

And Trump still acts like there’s a reason to hold back.

It’s pathetic Image
2/7 Let’s be clear: Trump is the weakest president in US history.

But weakness is just the start.

He’s also the most corrupt, dishonest, unqualified, and openly traitorous.

He’s not defending America — he’s sabotaging it Image
3/7 Trump isn’t going to pressure Putin.

Putin is his idol.

Instead of confronting russia, Trump is copying it — authoritarian style, propaganda, attacks on institutions.

He’s importing Kremlin politics into the US Image
Read 7 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 4
1/5 russia will remain an existential threat to Europe until it is decisively defeated.

Not contained. Not negotiated with.

Defeated.

And Ukraine is the battlefield where that must happen Image
2/5 Why? Because russia didn’t just invade Ukraine.

It invaded the idea that borders matter.

It invaded the idea that nations have the right to exist.

It invaded us all.

And it did so with genocidal intent — openly Image
3/5 This isn’t hyperbole.

russia says Ukraine “doesn’t exist.”

It erases its language, bombs its culture, kidnaps its children.

That’s genocide by the UN definition.

And if russia isn’t punished for it, it will do it again — in Ukraine or elsewhere Image
Read 5 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 4
1/5 Ukraine is building an arsenal that could cripple russia’s economy.

New drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles are being developed simultaneously.

Once scaled, Ukraine won’t just defend—it will strike deep. The question is: Will the West try to stop it again? Image
2/5 Fire Point’s FP5, FP7, and FP9 missiles just hit the media with aggressive marketing.

Why now?
•Push for government orders
•Distract from corruption probes?

Regardless, these missiles look serious. Other Ukrainian firms are racing to match them Image
3/5 Ukraine’s long-range strike ecosystem is booming.

From drones to cruise and ballistic missiles, the innovation is real.

But scaling requires money.

Without it, Ukraine’s strike potential stays limited. With it? russia’s refineries, logistics, and economy are in danger Image
Read 5 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 4
1/8 russia’s summer offensive failed—but the next one is already in the works.

It will be bigger, bloodier, and focused on Donetsk Oblast.

Around 100,000 russian troops are now massed near Pokrovsk, many redeployed from other fronts.

The next push is coming Image
2/8 Despite massive losses and no major gains this summer, russia is not slowing down.

It is preparing another large-scale offensive, focused on capturing the rest of Donbas.

It will also continue pushing in pressure points like Kupiansk, where Ukraine remains stretched thin Image
3/8 russia is ready to sacrifice tens of thousands more soldiers.

It shows no interest in peace.
No negotiations. No pause.

Just more war, more blood, more destruction Image
Read 8 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 3
1/7 Silicon Valley’s technofascists and their allies—Musk, Thiel, Ackman, Sacks, Vance, Andreessen—aren’t just rich and powerful.

They have a vision: an authoritarian society run by far-right billionaires.

It’s elitist, authoritarian, traitorous, and dangerously under-discussed Image
2/7 Their intellectual hero is Curtis Yarvin, who wants to replace democracy with corporate monarchy.

Thiel, Vance, and Sacks openly echo this.

Project 2025 is their roadmap: dismantle institutions, centralize power, and erase checks and balances Image
3/7 They preach “freedom” but push control.

Thiel backs anti-LGBT politicians while profiting from LGBT rights as a gay man.

Musk bans critics while claiming to defend speech.

Andreessen wants to gut regulation but control platforms.

It’s hypocrisy at scale Image
Read 7 tweets

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