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Joni Askola Profile picture
@joni_askola
Sep 15, 2024 • 11 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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1/11 Day 41: Ukraine was well-prepared for the initial phases of the Kursk operation, and it seems they have also made solid preparations for the ongoing phase. Image
2/11 The fog of war is still dense, but it appears that Ukraine held off until russia's counteroffensive began before launching its own operation south of Glushkovo. Image
3/11 Ukrainian forces maintained their advance in Glushkovsky Raion, Kursk Oblast, and carried out offensive operations in the region on September 14. Geolocated footage released on September 13 depicts Ukrainian forces active in southern Veseloye. Image
4/11 Additionally, russian milbloggers stated that Ukrainian forces made advances west of Medvezhye (located southwest of Glushkovo) and in the fields south of Tetkino (approximately 25 km southwest of Glushkovo) near the border with Sumy Oblast. Image
5/11 A russian milblogger asserted that Ukrainian forces captured Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, located north of Sudzha. Image
6/11 russian sources reported that Ukrainian forces persisted in their attacks southwest of Korenevo near Apanasovka; southeast of Korenevo near Lyubimovka and Obukhovka; east of Korenevo near Maryevka; and southeast of Sudzha near Russkaya Konopelka on September 13 and 14. Image
7/11 russian forces recently reclaimed territory in the Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast and continued their counterattacks on September 14. Geolocated footage released on September 13 shows that russian forces entered western Lyubimovka. Image
8/11 russia is making significant efforts and deploying some elite units as Putin's October 1st deadline to drive Ukrainians out of the Kursk region is just about two weeks away. Image
9/11 It will be intriguing to observe where russia will launch its next attacks and whether Ukraine will be able to advance further north, potentially isolating some of the russian troops stationed south of the Seym River. Image
10/11 Ukraine appears to be well-prepared for the ongoing operations, and the success of the Kursk operation will at least partially be evaluated based on how much russia has to commit to expel Ukrainians from the region. Image
11/11 Sources:



understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…

understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…
Image

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More from @joni_askola

Joni Askola Profile picture
Jun 9
1/7 Trump just dropped National Guard troops into LA, bypassing Newsom. No coordination. Just chaos.

Is MAGA trying to justify martial law—or quietly boost Newsom as their 2028 Dem pick?

Or are they trying to destroy him?

The chaos feels coordinated. The connections are real. Image
2/7 Newsom called it a dangerous overreach. Trump acted unilaterally. This feels less like law enforcement, more like a political theater. Why California? Why now? And why escalate tensions in a state led by a rising Democratic star? Image
3/7 Newsom’s ties to MAGA are real:

- His ex-wife is married to Don Jr.
- He has hosted Bannon and Kirk on his podcast.
- He often speaks in ways that seem tailored to the MAGA base.

Coincidence or strategy? Image
Read 7 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Jun 5
1/7 The fallout everyone was waiting for:

The Trump-Musk bromance is over—masks are off.

Musk used Trump to bulldoze institutions, dodge investigations, and push a far-right agenda.

Now that Trump is a liability, Musk is pretending he was never involved. Don’t fall for it! Image
2/7 The Trump-Musk fallout isn’t just drama—it’s the end of a strategy.

Musk used Trump as a Trojan horse to gut institutions, get access to data, and to dodge investigations. Now that Trump is no longer useful, he is discarding him and pretending it never happened Image
3/7 The Trump-Musk split is a power shift. Musk and Trump are now fighting openly, and while it was always bound to happen, it’s still beautiful to watch. These are two morally bankrupt, corrupt men who deserve each other—but no praise Image
Read 7 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Jun 4
1/5 🇪🇺Europe is sleepwalking through history.

For 3+ years, our leaders have waited for the war in Ukraine to solve itself—or for Trump and Putin to do it for them.

But waiting won’t end this war. Only action will.

Here’s what Europe must do—before it’s too late Image
2/5 Europe holds all the cards—but lacks courage and will. We have applied no real pressure on Putin. The way to speed up the end of the war? Commit to substantial, long-term military aid for Ukraine and impose tougher sanctions on russia. It’s that simple! Image
3/5 We need to impose sanctions on russia to the point where its economy truly feels the impact—more deeply and more quickly than it does now—combined with long-term military aid commitments that show Putin he cannot outlast the West Image
Read 5 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Jun 4
1/11 Trump was never the main threat—just the opening act and Trojan horse.

The technofascist oligarchs who backed him are already planning what comes next—and it’s darker, more authoritarian, more organized, and far more dangerous! Image
2/11 The most dangerous phase of Trumpism is just beginning—and it’s no longer about Trump. The technofascist oligarchs who helped him to power are already planning what comes next. What they want is far worse Image
3/11 The technofascist Yarvin-fan oligarchs are already starting to prepare for the post-Trump era, and that will be even more dangerous and go far beyond the current Trump administration. To them, Trump was just a Trojan horse. Image
Read 11 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Jun 3
1/6 Europe’s security hinges on Ukraine’ victory.

Rearming Europe matters—but arming Ukraine must come first.

If Ukraine wins, russia can’t invade anyone else.

If Ukraine loses, the war spreads.

Here’s why helping Ukraine WIN should be our top priority: Image
2/6 Rearming Europe is important, but arming Ukraine is even more important—and it should be the top priority. A Ukrainian victory guarantees there won’t be a russian invasion of other European countries Image
3/6 If Europe wants to avoid fighting russia beyond Ukraine, we must prioritize helping Ukraine over rearming ourselves. Both are needed—but as long as russia doesn’t win in Ukraine, it can’t fight elsewhere Image
Read 6 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Jun 3
1/5 Europe needs to finally wake up! russia has no interest in peace. Trump won’t hold them accountable. Yet European leaders keep stalling while Ukraine suffers. Waiting won’t bring peace—only decisive action will! Image
2/5 It should be clear by now that russia doesn’t want peace, Trump won’t properly pressure them, and peace in Ukraine isn’t close—yet Europe still isn’t making serious moves. Time to wake up instead of just buying time! Image
3/5 European leaders wasted months discussing post-war peacekeepers in a war that shows no sign of ending—probably just to buy time. But buy time for what? Trump was elected almost seven months ago, and we are still buying time! Image
Read 5 tweets

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