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Joni Askola Profile picture
@joni_askola
Sep 15, 2024 • 11 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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1/11 Day 41: Ukraine was well-prepared for the initial phases of the Kursk operation, and it seems they have also made solid preparations for the ongoing phase. Image
2/11 The fog of war is still dense, but it appears that Ukraine held off until russia's counteroffensive began before launching its own operation south of Glushkovo. Image
3/11 Ukrainian forces maintained their advance in Glushkovsky Raion, Kursk Oblast, and carried out offensive operations in the region on September 14. Geolocated footage released on September 13 depicts Ukrainian forces active in southern Veseloye. Image
4/11 Additionally, russian milbloggers stated that Ukrainian forces made advances west of Medvezhye (located southwest of Glushkovo) and in the fields south of Tetkino (approximately 25 km southwest of Glushkovo) near the border with Sumy Oblast. Image
5/11 A russian milblogger asserted that Ukrainian forces captured Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, located north of Sudzha. Image
6/11 russian sources reported that Ukrainian forces persisted in their attacks southwest of Korenevo near Apanasovka; southeast of Korenevo near Lyubimovka and Obukhovka; east of Korenevo near Maryevka; and southeast of Sudzha near Russkaya Konopelka on September 13 and 14. Image
7/11 russian forces recently reclaimed territory in the Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast and continued their counterattacks on September 14. Geolocated footage released on September 13 shows that russian forces entered western Lyubimovka. Image
8/11 russia is making significant efforts and deploying some elite units as Putin's October 1st deadline to drive Ukrainians out of the Kursk region is just about two weeks away. Image
9/11 It will be intriguing to observe where russia will launch its next attacks and whether Ukraine will be able to advance further north, potentially isolating some of the russian troops stationed south of the Seym River. Image
10/11 Ukraine appears to be well-prepared for the ongoing operations, and the success of the Kursk operation will at least partially be evaluated based on how much russia has to commit to expel Ukrainians from the region. Image
11/11 Sources:



understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…

understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…
Image

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More from @joni_askola

Joni Askola Profile picture
Oct 24
1/5 I keep repeating myself and will until Europe understands.

The faster Ukraine scales up drone and missile production, the faster this war ends.

Europe is doing a lot, but not nearly enough. It is time to go all in Image
2/5 Ukraine needs volume.

Drones and missiles in numbers that overwhelm Russia’s air defense and choke its economy.

That is how you shorten this war Image
3/5 Europe must step up:

✅ Fund Ukraine’s missiles and drones
✅ Help scale up production
✅ Seize Russia’s frozen assets

Acting small is suicidal for Europe Image
Read 5 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Oct 23
1/6 Better late than never!

Credit where it's due: Donald Trump has finally imposed sanctions on Russia.

This is the first time he has done so since returning to the White House.

Let’s hope he doesn’t lift them after Putin’s next call Image
2/6 Trump's record on Ukraine has been appalling.

Throughout 2025, he refused to pressure Russia and instead blamed Ukraine, the only side that accepted his demands and the victim of the war Image
3/6 Putin has repeatedly manipulated him, including last week's phone call that ended in another diplomatic embarrassment.

Still, Trump has now sanctioned Rosneft and Lukoil Image
Read 6 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Oct 21
1/9 Putin cannot afford to end the war in Ukraine. Stopping now would mean accepting a strategic defeat.

Ukraine’s allies have not pressured him enough to give a real incentive to stop.

Europe must act by seizing Russia’s frozen assets and stepping up aid. It’s our duty Image
2/9 Trump keeps falling for Putin’s games to buy time, likely on purpose. We may never know why.

The war isn’t ending because Russia refuses any ceasefire or compromise, and the West has failed to pressure Putin.

Ukraine isn’t the problem. Russia is Image
3/9 Ukraine has agreed to Trump’s ceasefire proposals and is ready to make unfair compromises.

Russia has rejected every offer. Putin plays Trump, and Trump lets him.

It’s pathetic and sad to watch Image
Read 9 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Oct 20
1/5 The only way to get lasting peace in Europe is to properly defeat Russia in Ukraine.

That means destroying Putin’s regime.

Nothing short of that will lead to long-term peace Image
2/5 Russia is by far the biggest threat to Europe.

Most other threats are linked to it, financed by it, or backed by it and its allies.

Russia is one of the last imperialist regimes that sees genocide and land conquest as legitimate tools of statecraft Image
3/5 Putin wants to mark history.

Genocidal rhetoric, forced deportations, mass killings, and failure to reach strategic goals define his legacy.

If Europe does not stop him properly and make Russians remember for decades, it will be a historic failure Image
Read 5 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Oct 20
1/7 Trump continues to buy time for Putin.

Every time he blames Ukraine and refuses to pressure Russia, he buys Putin a few more months to bleed out.

Ironically, he’s not saving Russia by doing so but signing its downfall Image
2/7 Trump sides with Putin. Always has.

He pressures Ukraine, never Russia.

Maybe it’s blackmail. Maybe it’s ideology. Maybe it's because Putin is his idol.

Either way, Europe must expect nothing from him Image
3/7 We must work to keep the status quo.

Work Trump, extract what we can, and block him from helping Russia more than he already does.

He won’t save Ukraine, but he might just doom Russia Image
Read 7 tweets
Joni Askola Profile picture
Oct 20
1/10 Underrated but urgent:

Europe needs its own social media platforms and better regulation of existing ones.

This is not just a tech issue. It is strategic and existential.

We cannot talk about strategic autonomy without including social media Image
2/10 If we talk about strategic autonomy, we must include social media.

Europe’s enemies and their allies use these platforms to divide and weaken us.

They have a near monopoly over what we use, and we barely respond Image
3/10 We try to regulate traditional media.

But we allow almost anything on social media. That makes no sense.

The threat is just as real, and often even bigger Image
Read 10 tweets

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