Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 15, 2024 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1/11 Day 41: Ukraine was well-prepared for the initial phases of the Kursk operation, and it seems they have also made solid preparations for the ongoing phase. Image
2/11 The fog of war is still dense, but it appears that Ukraine held off until russia's counteroffensive began before launching its own operation south of Glushkovo. Image
3/11 Ukrainian forces maintained their advance in Glushkovsky Raion, Kursk Oblast, and carried out offensive operations in the region on September 14. Geolocated footage released on September 13 depicts Ukrainian forces active in southern Veseloye. Image
4/11 Additionally, russian milbloggers stated that Ukrainian forces made advances west of Medvezhye (located southwest of Glushkovo) and in the fields south of Tetkino (approximately 25 km southwest of Glushkovo) near the border with Sumy Oblast. Image
5/11 A russian milblogger asserted that Ukrainian forces captured Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, located north of Sudzha. Image
6/11 russian sources reported that Ukrainian forces persisted in their attacks southwest of Korenevo near Apanasovka; southeast of Korenevo near Lyubimovka and Obukhovka; east of Korenevo near Maryevka; and southeast of Sudzha near Russkaya Konopelka on September 13 and 14. Image
7/11 russian forces recently reclaimed territory in the Ukrainian salient in Kursk Oblast and continued their counterattacks on September 14. Geolocated footage released on September 13 shows that russian forces entered western Lyubimovka. Image
8/11 russia is making significant efforts and deploying some elite units as Putin's October 1st deadline to drive Ukrainians out of the Kursk region is just about two weeks away. Image
9/11 It will be intriguing to observe where russia will launch its next attacks and whether Ukraine will be able to advance further north, potentially isolating some of the russian troops stationed south of the Seym River. Image
10/11 Ukraine appears to be well-prepared for the ongoing operations, and the success of the Kursk operation will at least partially be evaluated based on how much russia has to commit to expel Ukrainians from the region. Image

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More from @joni_askola

Apr 18
1/7 Failure Unlimited: russia has suffered 900,000 total casualties, expanded NATO, militarized Ukraine, and ruined its own economy, while reducing its control from about 30% of Ukraine in March 2022 to roughly 19% now. Look at the maps and witness the catastrophe! Image
2/7 russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has marked its most significant failure during Putin’s reign. Not only has russia failed in its invasion, but it has also paid a huge price on many levels Image
3/7 In March 2022, russia occupied approximately 30% of Ukraine, but over three years later, it now occupies only 19%. This reduction has come at the expense of 900,000 russian casualties, ruined demographics, and a devastated economy. Pathetic! Image
Read 7 tweets
Apr 15
1/6 Trump’s negotiation strategy on Ukraine is failing: Being soft on russia has never worked and never will. Putin keeps humiliating him, yet Trump keeps asking for more Image
2/6 Trump vowed to bring peace to Ukraine within 24 hours. However, after nearly 3 months in the White House, he has yet to secure even a partial ceasefire. It is important to hold him accountable for this unfulfilled promise because it comes at the cost of Ukrainian lives Image
3/6 Trump’s strategy has consistently been misguided. Despite Ukraine agreeing to an unconditional ceasefire, he continues to pressure and threaten them. Meanwhile, he exerts no pressure on russia and even makes excuses for their actions. He keeps projecting weakness Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 9
1/9 russia is actually losing the war it started in Ukraine. Here’s why: Image
2/9 russia is unable to reach its stratetic goals of demilitarization and ’denazification,’ which require a forced ’regime change’ in Ukraine. Ukraine is more sovereign and more militarized than before the war Image
3/9 russia occupied around 30% of Ukraine at the end of March 2022. Three years and approximately 900k total casualties later, it occupies 19% of Ukraine. russia has achieved nothing, but this nothing has come at a huge cost! Image
Read 9 tweets
Feb 26
1/6 russia is losing the war it started in Ukraine. Only the cowardice of the West can save it from a strategic defeat Image
2/6 Had anyone been told in March 2022 that the situation would be the current one three years later, we would have all seen it as a massive Ukrainian victory and russian defeat. Image
3/6 russia won't reach its initial strategic goals, and it was closer to achieving them in March 2022 than it is now. As the initiator of the war, russia faces the pressure of reaching its goals if it wants to win the war. Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 11
1/6 If Xi and Putin dispatched agents to seize control and weaken the US from within, what would they do that differs from the current administration? I can't think of much Image
2/6 One might genuinely question whether the US administration is serving the interests of china and russia. Its actions over the past few weeks appear aimed at undermining the US and its global influence. Image
3/6 The US can't be a world leader without its allies. Trump's administration and Musk's criticisms of USAID appear to undermine US alliances and soft power, leading to perceptions of the US as unreliable and unstable. Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 10
1/7 Why are Elon Musk, Peter Thiel, David Sacks, and other far-right billionaires willing to sacrifice Ukraine and Taiwan? Image
2/7 Elon Musk, Peter Thiel, and David Sacks are far-right billionaires who indirectly gained power in the 2024 presidential election. They significantly influence Trump's policies and want him to abandon Ukraine and Taiwan. Image
3/7 These billionaires consistently prioritize their business interests over American interests. They rely on china for its market, labor, and natural resources, which leads them to avoid confronting china, regardless of its actions. Image
Read 7 tweets

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