Tonight Ukrainian OWA-UAV's successfully struck and have severely damaged the Toropets Northeast Ammunition Depot which has seen significant expansion since the declassified June 1965 report by the National Photographic Interpretation Center now known as the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency.
The data right now indicates that there is significant damage to the newer expansions of the depot, primarily among the reinforced ammunition bunkers on the eastern side of the facility along with several of the original 150' x 40' storage buildings and among the barracks and administrative buildings by the depot entrance on the Northern side of the depot.
Today this former Soviet Era Munitions Depot is operated by the 107th GRAU Arsenal which expanded with the depot with an addition of 42 reinforced bunkers and 23 non reinforced storage and maintenance buildings likely housing several tens of thousands of tons of munitions such as Air Defense Missiles and Surface to Surface Missiles.
This is not including the original depot which had about 50 storage buildings plus several maintenance buildings excluding the administrative area with barracks, motor pool and vehicle maintenance
Dawn has arrived and the entire facility is ablaze. Russian Ministry of Defense stated in 2022 that "The arsenal allows us to protect stockpiles of missiles and ammunition from external influences and ensure their safety and explosion and fire safety. The full load of each arsenal storage facility is up to 240 tons."
With around 92 such buildings across the old and new portions of the depot that's 22,080 tons of munitions fully stocked and excluding the maintenance facilities.
Portion of the depot also had rockets and 7.62 Munitions
If I was at Toropets South Ammunition Depot at Oktyabrskii I would be shitting my pants knowing I'm next. This depot is located IVO
56.359093,31.649825
Toropets South Ammunition Depot has a total of 71 buildings
57 proteced
14 unprotected
This depot if fully stocked likely has 17,000~ tons of munitions and sits 14 miles south of Toropets Northeast Ammunition Depot.
The importance of Ukraine taking out this Depot will be felt immediately, particularly in Task Group North.
The 107th GRAU Arsenal like most Soviet and Russian Military Depots is directly connected to the Russian rail network.
The 107th GRAU Arsenal has munitions shipped by RZD West to
Velikiye Luki then to Nevel then south into Belarus passing the Belarus Ammunition depot at 55.511101,29.937067 then continues to Vitebsk Belarus then crosses the border back into Russia going to Smolensk where it continues down to Bryansk then Lgov or Oryol then to Kursk then to Belgorod to Task Group North. Other munitions continue from Kursk to Start Oskol then to Valuyki into Occupied Ukraine or to Voronezh continuing South towards Rostov then back into occupied Ukraine.
This depot also highlights the complicity and involvement of the Belarus government in Russia's aggression in Ukraine by continuing to allow Russian Railways freedom to ship military goods through their country before going to Russian Forces in Ukraine.
To further highlight the importance of Toropets and the Rail line to Smolensk and Task Group North recall August 12th 2024 thread on "Collapse of Russian Railway" with Russian Railways prohibiting Belarus Railway from operating trains from Orsha-Smolensk and Vitebsk-Smolensk and to include prohibition of Belarus trains from operating to Oryol and Kursk branchs of the Moscow Railway (MRZhD RR) effective immediately from 12.08.2024 no end date given.
To grasp how much munitions just went up in smoke about 18 days worth of munitions for Task Group North blown up overnight.
Using the math from @Mattl8241 in his Russian Logistics Thread this single depot if at full capacity with 22,080 tons of munitions could supply Task Group North if I'm reading his math correctly of tonnage of munitions every 3 days. Feel free to correct me if I read the math wrong.
Read his thread of threads and his spreadsheet below. 👇
Some locals on Russian Social media have reported the nearby towns are destroyed and Tsikarevo is completely cut off due to the fires only way out is by boat across the lake.
In a not surprising series of events, it wasn't just the previous deputy defense minister that made grand statements about the alleged safety of Toropets Northeast Ammunition Depot but his predecessor in 2018 stated that Toropets ammunition depot modernization was designed to protect the munitions from missile strikes and withstand a nuclear blast.
After once again falsely stating that the US has provided more than Europe Vance gets into the meat and potatoes of the Trump/Vance policy for Ukraine and that is to "Find an appeasable settlement with Russia likely on the current frontline and create a demilitarized zone and make guaranteed assurances with Russia on "Ukrainian neutrality" and deny Ukraine entry to all "allied institutions”
What does this actually mean?
Minsk agreement 3.
Which will inevitably fail and see resumption of hostilities making the entire endeavor by a hypothetical Trump Administration fruitless because it's not actually going to stop anything, it will just give Russia time to regroup re-equip and rearm its forces
A Trump/Vance Administration would seek to create Minsk accords 3 freezing the conflict on the current front lines. So interestingly, Ukraine gets to keep Kursk while isolating Ukraine from future weapons and aid and seeing sanctions on Russia lifted, which again will give Russia the breathing room to re-equip and rearm its forces and invade again with renewed vigor and who is going to oversee the demilitarized zone to actually ensure neither side is violating the agreements. No one.
Trump calls himself a deal maker. This is a really shitty deal that will only result in more war, more escalation and more suffering for all and more expensive for the American taxpayer having to foot the bill for cold war 2.
Russians claim to have retaken Gordeevka,
Viktorovka,
Byakhovo,
Apanasovka,
Snagost,
Reported Ukrainian fighting in
Volfino,
Novy Put,
Khomutovka,
Kalinovka
The reported attacks at Khomutovka are something keeping an eye on this is the intersection for the primary Russian GLOC to Rylsk and if Ukrainian forces reach
Dmitriyev then the final 2 rail lines to Lgov will be severed and cutting major road GLOC to Lgov
What's that mean for a country that moves 86% of its freight on electrified rail. 😈
Russia next time probably shouldn't centralize your nationwide rail network with the hub centered on Moscow like wheel spokes with virtually no redundancies so if their is issues on one line it cascades out rapidly.
Thank you every Russian leader since Lenin for pursuing a 100% electrified rail infrastructure project and thank you Tzarist Russia for making an overly centralized rail network centered completely from Moscow because you were so afraid of the Russian Far East, becoming a little too independent and you wanted to make them wholly reliant on the Kremlin to keep them in line.
Also, do none of the pro-russians commenting have reading comprehension skills? Nowhere in this post? Does it say the ukrainians knocked out Russian electricity it says if there is no electricity then there is no trains. Also. I love how you guys completely ignore the commentary about the Russian Railroad and are exclusively focused on who, but the lights are still currently on at Moscow and not the actual point of the post, which is what happens when the lights go out.
Zheleznogorsk and surrounding towns have a lot of high value targets
1. Direct Rail line from Lgov to Oryol 2. Paserkovo 110 kV rail traction station 3. Zheleznogorskaya Transformer station 330/220/110kV 4. Locomotive maintenance depot and general railway equipment servicing 5. Train Repair factory 6. Construction and industrial center
Any one of these targets says is stuff I have been screaming about for over a year. Any one of these targets Phenomenal, particularly if it is the traction station which shuts off electric rail service hindering Russian military supplies to Lgov and putting further strain on the Moscow Rail District. If it is combined with targeting the rail maintenance facility and locomotive depot that would be even better.
#Kursk
Should the traction stations on the rail line from Oryol to Lgov be disrupted such as the traction stations being destroyed then this effectively makes the entire region unable to utilize electric trains which is difficult for Russia because the overwhelming majority of their active locomotive are electric which will put further strain on Regional Freight rail in the Moscow Rail District.
Red Lines are railroads that have been closed
Orange lines are moderately degraded
Yellow line at extreme risk of being attacked.
Another add-on should the rail line from Oryol to Kursk be disrupted again such as the traction station being destroyed then that means the only rail line that will be able to sustain electric Freight and passenger trains coming from Bryansk making this the only Rail line that electric trains will be able to utilize in the entire region for both civilian and military rail traffic.
If the rail maintenance and the locomotive depots are destroyed, this will put strain on not just electrical locomotives which won't really be useful anymore, But more importantly the diesel locomotives that will be the only option to run rail through Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts adding moderate logistical strain to Russian forces in Kharkiv under Task Group North and for the Russian Forces under Kursk Group.
This is shaping the battlefield to isolate Russian forces under Kursk Group and rain the effects will be felt fairly quickly, particularly for Russian forces operating West and South of Lgov.
With the rail network moderately degraded Russia will be forced to utilize trucks to fill the logistical void that will now have to travel from Bryansk and Oryol to Kursk, Lgov
and Belgorod extremely ineffective and more importantly time consuming with limited daily resupply and will moderately impact Russia's ability to move horses in a timely manner to respond to Ukrainian attacks in the region.
Read my older thread below on Russian GLOCS in Kursk
Total area: 1,379 sq km
Breach: 85.6 km
Depth: up to 36 km
Change since last update: +116 sq km
🟨Ukraine control: 989 sq km
🟦Russian claimed/gray area: 390 sq km
My additions to the map
Red Lines: 🇷🇺 Defensive lines
Black Line and Icons: Railroads and rail bridges
Purple Icons: Road Bridges
Yellow Light Icon: Electrical substations and Rail Traction stations
2 Nuclear Icons: KNPP and Belgorod-22