1/ Corruption may have contributed to Ukraine's ability to destroy Russia's 107th GRAU arsenal at Toropets. The site's construction was overseen by former Deputy Minister of Defence General Dmitry Bulgakov, who was arrested for fraud in July 2024. ⬇️
2/ NASA FIRMS data shows fires across the entirety of the arsenal, which is estimated to have stored as much as 19,000 tons of explosives. The scale of the inferno suggests major failures in fire safety at the site.
3/ The most likely contributing factors are that the the bunkers and warehouses were either built cheaply, without enough protection against fires and explosions, or were built too close together, enabling the spread of fire from one building to another. (Both are possible.)
4/ When the facility was opened in 2018, Bulgakov hailed it as providing "reliable and safe storage, protects against air and missile strikes and even against the damaging effects of a nuclear explosion."
5/ He said that "the arsenal in Toropets allows us to protect stockpiles of missiles and ammunition from external influences and ensure their safety and explosion and fire safety. The full load of each arsenal storage facility is up to 240 tons."
6/ Bulgakov claimed that compared to old Soviet-era arsenals, the modernised site represented the difference between wearing "a bulletproof vest that protects against bullets and shrapnel" or not wearing any body armour at all.
7/ In practice, ammunition safety seems to have been neglected at the site. As one Russian pro-war blogger notes, on Yandex satellite images it can be seen that "there are endless stacks of ammunition all over the facility. In the open air."
8/ Russian blogger Roman Alekhin comments with dismay: "I wouldn't be surprised if only the sauna and cafe survived the explosion. But what kind of world-class storage facility is this if it was penetrated by a UAV, or rather even its debris?"
9/ "Not a "Kinzhal" [missile], but a UAV... What is it protected against - an air rifle? ...
The main protection we need is protection from corrupt officials, thieves and fools in the Ministry of Defence. And then world-class arsenals will be truly protected."
10/ Bulgakov was fired from his job in September 2022. He was known as a protegé of the notoriously corrupt defence minister Sergei Shoigu. After Shoigu himself was dismissed, Bulgakov was one of a number of Shoigu's cronies to be arrested on fraud charges, in July 2024.
11/ The then commander of the Western Military District, Colonel General Andrei Kartapolov, was also involved in the arsenal's construction. He is now a State Duma deputy and regularly appears on TV as a commentator on the war in Ukraine. He may now have some questions to answer.
1/ The rifle regiments of Russia's 51st and 3rd armies (formerly the 1st and 2nd Army Corps of the LPR and DPR) are facing a "catastrophic shortage of people and material support", due to losses and disorganisation, according to a source in one of the regiments. ⬇️
2/ The Russian 'Ghost of Novorossia' Telegram channel reports the account of a signalman from one of the regiments, with whom it says "we have been working for a very long time". The man's identity is not being disclosed in order to protect him from retaliation by his superiors.
3/ "If you have the opportunity, help raise the following SYSTEMIC PROBLEM of the former regiments of the mobilisation reserve of the people's republics, and now separate rifle regiments. They have a neutered STAFFING table, both in terms of people and material resources.
1/ Corrupt Russian HQ troops are reported to be selling drones and other equipment donated by volunteers at a market in Donetsk city. Drone operators often have to buy drones with their own money, and fear being sent into suicidal assaults as punishment if they complain. ⬇️
2/ The Russian Telegram channel 'Interbrigade 2022' says that Mavic drones and other items of military equipment are being sold openly at the Mayak market in Donetsk city. Representatives of the 'DPR Ministry of Internal Affairs' are said to exact 'tributes' from sellers there.
3/ The drones appear to be donated ones being resold for corrupt personal gain. DPR drone operators complain that "birds handed over by volunteers centrally through the headquarters of regiments and brigades disappear somewhere, and are given out clearly less than they receive."
1/ Russian regions are spending hundreds of millions of rubles to equip schools with life-size mock weapons and 'combat wound simulators'. Children will be taught battlefield medicine and basic military drills, as part of a plan to create Russia's next generation of soldiers. ⬇️
2/ 'We can explain' reports that from the start of the current new school year in Russia, children are being taught a new 'Fundamentals of Security and Defense of the Motherland' (OZBR) course. At least 177 million rubles ($2 million) has been spent on equipment for the course.
3/ This includes combat wound simulators and life-size realistic models of automatic rifles, pistols, grenades, anti-personnel land mines, and even light machine guns, intended for children at grades 5 to 11. The procurement is being funded by Russia's individual regions.
1/ France is reportedly putting pressure on Pavel Durov's older brother Nikolai and Telegram vice-president Ilya Perekopsky to come to Paris and testify. This could speed up the resolution of the legal case against Pavel, but it also has risks for Nikolai and Perekopsky. ⬇️
2/ The Russian Telegram channel SHOT has interviewed "a representative of Pavel Durov's inner circle" about the pros and cons of Durov's agreement to cooperate with the investigation, such as a relaxation of Durov's judicial control that would allow him to travel within the EU.
3/ While the ongoing investigation could take at least a year, it could be resolved more speedily if Perekopsky and Nikolai, who has also reportedly been charged with storing and distributing child pornography, come to Paris to give testimony.
1/ Badly injured Russian soldiers are being denied recuperation and are sent into frontline assaults on canes and crutches. Outraged Russian milbloggers blame field commanders for refusing to allow medical leave, but the blame likely goes much higher. ⬇️
2/ As the video above shows, wounded soldiers who have to rely on crutches and sticks to walk are being used for frontline duty. Ukrainian drone footage shows a Russian stormtrooper who appears to have been killed while attempting to assault Ukrainian positions with a white cane.
3/ Previously, wounded soldiers have made video appeals to Vladimir Putin asking that they be allowed to recover from their wounds. The men in the video below had their crutches taken away after recording this and the speaker was sent to a torture camp.
1/ At least 100,000 tons of Russian fuel is estimated to have been destroyed in Ukrainian drone attacks. The attacked fuel depots were built underground for protection but were moved to the surface to save money. Now they may have to be buried again. ⬇️
2/ In August 2024, Ukrainian drones attacked two fuel storage facilities in Russia's Rostov region – "Base No. 7" (also known as "Atlas") in Kamensky district and "Flagman" (formerly "Kavkaz") in Proletarsk. The attacks caused massive damage.
3/ Satellite photos published by @MT_Anderson show the extent of the damage to Flagman – 15 fuel tanks destroyed, 3 partially damaged, and the status of another 33 unknown. At least 3 tanks were destroyed at Atlas.