Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 18 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
This Foreign Policy article did not age well:

The False Promise of Ukraine’s Deep Strikes Into Russia By Stephen Biddle, Foreign Affairs:
“Hitting Faraway Targets Will Not Tip the Balance of the War”

1/
The combination of technological/logistical incompetence, economic ignorance, and military-historical illiteracy as Stephen Biddle dropped in that article makes me despair about the competence of the US national security experts versus drone airpower.


2/
NASA FIRMS data shows anything up to 22,080 tons of Russian munitions were just lost to a cheap OWA-drone swarm that had 50(+) distinct desired mean points of impact (DMPI).
3/
This deep strategic strike by a cheap drone swarm just cut off Russian Task Group North from up to 18 days of munitions, deeply affecting the Kursk land campaign

So much for "experts" claiming drone strategic bombing doesn't affect the land battle🤣
4/
Reality doesn't live here:

"For starters, deep strike systems are expensive. Cheap drones cannot fly hundreds of miles to reach distant targets. This capability instead demands larger, more sophisticated, and more costly weapons."

5/5
foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/false-…
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More from @TrentTelenko

Sep 18
This is no surprise.

People saying Ukrainians could not maintain F-16's were and remain utter fools and tools for people who want Ukraine to lose.🤢🤮

1/
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I've been saying this about the maintenance capabilities of the PSU for years.

They have an economy that is deeply penetrated by computers because of their egalitarian wealth distribution.

This makes US F-16 style two level maintenance easy peasy.
2/
The "Western Military Experts" that Politico talked to in early 2023 were made fools of by the information on Ukrainian maintainer performance in the @ralee85 post above.

3/

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Read 9 tweets
Sep 15
This is the visual representation of "Meaconing" style jamming. ⬇️

Per Wikipedia:

"Meaconing is the interception and rebroadcast of navigation signals. These signals are rebroadcast on the received frequency,

1/
...typically with power higher than the original signal, to confuse enemy navigation. Consequently, aircraft or ground stations are given inaccurate bearings."

A more technical explanation of Meaconing is at the link below⬇️

2/
wasyresearch.com/meaconing-the-…
The multichannel Controlled Reception Pattern Antenna (CRPA) technology in most US GPS guided munitions were designed to render avionics systems immune to direct electronic attack from GPS jammers or other methods of interference.

3/

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Read 13 tweets
Sep 14
Russian military manpower stupidity like this⬇️

1/
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...and like this...⬇️



2/ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/390…
...makes Frederick W. Lanchester Smile.


3/3 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lancheste…
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Read 4 tweets
Sep 14
The Biden-Sullivan Administration has nine Congressional work days left to process it's remaining billions of Presidential Drawdown Authority.

I expect it to fail to do anything because the DC "De-Escalation" crowd wants Ukraine to lose.

1/
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The DC escalation manager arse-wipes are happy to backstab their own party to self-promote.

If I weren't a 33 & 1/3 year DoD quality bureaucrat, it would boggle my mind.

But I've seen careerist stuff like this far too often⬇️

2/
This extreme careerist narcissism is what motivates DC elites.

@JakeSullivan46 and his NSC faction will be a dysfunctional leadership case study for future textbooks, like Robert Strange McNamara was for Vietnam, for the same reasons.


3/3 nytimes.com/2009/07/07/us/…
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Read 4 tweets
Sep 14
If ever there was an example of self destructive groupthink...

...it is is Biden-Sullivan Administration National Security Council effort to trash Ukraine that damages the Democrats at a multiplicity of levels.

1/
@JakeSullivan46, Kirby etc. are digging their heels in.

They are so deep into carteerist cover your assets (CYA) they are happy to burn Harris/Walz campaign buy creating Russian sanctuaries from which to launch genocidal strikes on Ukrainian civilians
2/
reuters.com/world/no-chang…
Likely there is also an element of Biden and Sullivan trying to sabotage V.P. Harris for arguing more support for Ukraine to win Pennsylvania & Michigan Ukrainian-American voters.

This is spite over Kamala pushing Biden aside for the nomination.



3/3 politico.com/newsletters/na…
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Read 4 tweets
Sep 13
Biden-Sullivan Administration statements like this will not help VP Harris with Ukrainian-American voters in Pennsylvania and Michigan.🤢🤮⬇️

1/
You have to wonder at this point if Pres. Biden wants Trump to win, given how the Pentagon media flack is stomping all over VP Harris's political advertising.

2/2
politico.com/newsletters/na…
"We are focusing on enabling Russia to defend its sovereignty" is something JD Vance would say.😲

If there is no difference between Democrats and the GOP on Ukraine.

Ukrainian-Americans will vote on the economy, inflation, and immigration.

3/3
pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/…
Read 4 tweets

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