Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 19, 2024 13 tweets 6 min read Read on X
A week ago, Russian 🇷🇺 armed forces launched a large counter-offensive to take back the territory they lost in #Kursk oblast.

At the same time, Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces tried to trap these russian forces, launching their own offensive.

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This week has seen many fightings in the western part of ukrainian presence of Kursk oblast. Russian offensive had initial successes, and broke through the defenses of the 103rd territorial defense brigade south of Korenevo, taking some prisonners.
Two main units were engaged in the counter-offensive : VDV of the 51st Airborne Regiment and Marines of the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade.

In two days, they took back Snagost and small villages near the Seym river. Ukrainian 501st Marine batallion of 36th Marine had to withdraw. Image
The days after, VDV launched new attacks toward Liubimovka, while 155th Marines managed to enter Gordeevka, Veznapnoe, Apanasovka and Obukhovka.

Here is a video of the assault on Liubimovka and a BMD of the VDV getting hit by a FPV drone.

Ukrainian command was unable to keep its positions, which were in fact strategic. The Glushkovo district (on the west) was nearly encircled (only pontoon bridges on the Seym river were allowing supply).

Russian army amassed thousands of men there to avoid losing it.
Ukrainian command decided to mobilize 21st mecanized brigade, 225th Assault Batallion and 95th Air Assault brigade to launch an attack directly on Glushkovo.

Here is a good thread by @Danspiun including all the geolocated footages of this area.
Here is a map of the Ukrainian assault on Veseloe south of Glushkovo. They may be a little more in the north, but I don"t have proofs for now. Image
Today, we spotted this ground drone attacking the western flank of this attack. The use of unmanned systems like this one allows Ukraine to keep its men safe.
During this assault, we saw Swedish CV 9040 and STRV 122 (Leopard 2). Some CV 9040 and STRV 122 were lost during the assault.



Russia tried to counter-attack multiple times there but failed to take back territory lost. The Glushkovo pocket is now at a high risk of being encircled.

I said multiple times russia has to hold there, because if they loose the pocket, it will be very difficult to take it back.



On the other side of Kursk frontline, Russian forces took back Borki. Sudja is still far from Russian forces.

The ukrainian presence in Kursk has decreased recently, however, russian army is still on a difficult position on the western part. Image
Today images from ©Planet show a lot of bombing east of the current russian presence and some recent russia attacks (we can see the scars in the corn fields + the roads used by Ukraine on the border.
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I'm now going to update Pokrovsk fortifications since today sentinel-2 does not have any cloud.

You can follow @atummundi (where i also write) and follow me on my LinkedIn () linkedin.com/in/cl%C3%A9men…
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More from @clement_molin

May 17
Si l'armée ukrainienne frappe de plus en plus le territoire russe 🇷🇺, l'armée russe poursuit et intensifie sa campagne de frappes sur l'Ukraine.

Cette carte présente une bonne partie des frappes de drones longue portée et quelques missiles depuis janvier 2026.

🧵THREAD🧵1/11 ⬇️ Image
Chaque jour, l'armée russe frappe le territoire ukrainien avec des centaines de drones kamikazes Shahed iranien (fabriqués en Russie sous le nom de Geran), mais aussi des leurres, comme les Gerbera ou les Parody.

On constate une augmentation progressive des frappes. Image
Après deux mois records, nous nous dirigeons progressivement vers un nouveau record avec probablement plus de 7 000 frappes de drones stratégiques en mai 2026.

Attention, il faut bien garder à l'esprit qu'environ 30 à 40% de ces drones sont en réalités des leurres. Image
Read 11 tweets
May 16
On Ukraine's 🇺🇦 southern front, Russian 🇷🇺 forces are pushing near Orikhiv, while ukrainian forces continue to launch cleaning operations.

The Russian army has intensified its attempts to push the front, while the ukrainians reinforced their fortifications.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️ Image
The southern/south-esatern front of Ukraine is the one that saw the biggest change since 2024 started.

This front is currently the second most important for Russia (1st is Donbas, 3rd is the Oskil).

Maps in the thread are from @M0nstas's online map. Image
Image
In the Novopavlivka-Ivanivka area west of Pokrovsk, Russia is trying to capture ukrainian strongholds in the region.

They have a lot of difficulties due to the number of ditches, fortified lines and rivers. In Novopavlivka, infiltration attempts continue without much success.

On the first (unfinished) fortified line, russian forces are trying to cross under fire the ditches (more than 100 bodies are lying there) and constantly manage to advance to Ivanivka before getting destroyed.Image
Read 13 tweets
May 14
Behind the Oskil River, the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 army is still holding out in three pockets: Kupiansk, Borova, and Lyman.

The Russian 🇷🇺 army has intensified its infiltrations in Lyman and Kupiansk in recent weeks, using the cover of trees.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
In four years, the Oskil front (named after the river crossed in October 2022) has barely moved.

Russian forces have mainly succeeded in advancing in three directions: toward Senkove, cutting the front in two; then toward Lyman, cutting it in three; and finally toward Dvorichna. Image
Image
Near Lyman, russian forces are launching important infiltrations, using the tree cover in the region.

They are mainly pushing south and north of the city, some soldiers even crossed the Siverski Donets river. The main objective is to cut the city from the rear. Image
Read 10 tweets
May 13
In the remaining Ukrainian 🇺🇦-controlled Donbas, Russia is currently pushing 3 offensives, on 3 key cities : Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, and Dobropilla.

The Russian army has recently made some progress towards several key positions in the region.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ Image
The first direction is the Sloviansk one. After the fall of Siversk 6 months ago, russian forces have been slowly crawling towards Rai Oleksandrivka, a strategic height overlooking Sloviansk/Kramatorsk agglomeration.

They are slowly nearing Mykolaivka and Sloviansk itself. Image
Here are the suspectied russian offensive routes in black, with geolocated videos of ukrainian strikes in the last 31 days in red.

Blue circles are ukrainian strongholds. The grey zone is expanding and the situation is slowly worsening, this is the main russian success of 2026. Image
Read 14 tweets
May 11
Le drone terrestre peut-il remplacer le soldat ?

Dans le Donbass, ce sont 22 000 robots terrestres qui ont remplacé des soldats ukrainiens 🇺🇦 sur la ligne de front durant les premiers mois de 2026.

(English 🇬🇧 below for the slides)

🧵THREAD🧵1/10⬇️ Image
Le chiffre est du Président Zelensky lui-même, sur le seul premier trimestre 2026.

Il montre à quel point cette nouvelle technologie est sur le point de devenir indispensable sur le front. Image
➤ Le marché ukrainien est passé de 500 drones terrestres produits en 2024 à environ 20 000 au seul premier trimestre 2026. Plus de 280 entreprises, près de 310 modèles distincts. Une bascule de l'artisanat à la production de série en dix-huit mois. Image
Read 10 tweets
May 11
In the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 occupied territories, Russia 🇷🇺 has developed significant military linked infrastructure projects.

New highways, water pipes, railways, power lines, military bases, building reconstruction can be seen in multiple places in Ukraine.

🧵THREAD🧵1/18 ⬇️ Image
West of Taganrog, the Rostov-Mariupol road has been slightly expanded, for both civilian and military purpose.

This snapshot is inside Russia.
After the border with Ukraine, the same road is again much larger. There is even a new parking lot.

This road is in fact the new Russia-Crimea northern road (the southern road is going through Kerch bridge).
Read 18 tweets

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