Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 19, 2024 13 tweets 6 min read Read on X
A week ago, Russian 🇷🇺 armed forces launched a large counter-offensive to take back the territory they lost in #Kursk oblast.

At the same time, Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces tried to trap these russian forces, launching their own offensive.

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This week has seen many fightings in the western part of ukrainian presence of Kursk oblast. Russian offensive had initial successes, and broke through the defenses of the 103rd territorial defense brigade south of Korenevo, taking some prisonners.
Two main units were engaged in the counter-offensive : VDV of the 51st Airborne Regiment and Marines of the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade.

In two days, they took back Snagost and small villages near the Seym river. Ukrainian 501st Marine batallion of 36th Marine had to withdraw. Image
The days after, VDV launched new attacks toward Liubimovka, while 155th Marines managed to enter Gordeevka, Veznapnoe, Apanasovka and Obukhovka.

Here is a video of the assault on Liubimovka and a BMD of the VDV getting hit by a FPV drone.

Ukrainian command was unable to keep its positions, which were in fact strategic. The Glushkovo district (on the west) was nearly encircled (only pontoon bridges on the Seym river were allowing supply).

Russian army amassed thousands of men there to avoid losing it.
Ukrainian command decided to mobilize 21st mecanized brigade, 225th Assault Batallion and 95th Air Assault brigade to launch an attack directly on Glushkovo.

Here is a good thread by @Danspiun including all the geolocated footages of this area.
Here is a map of the Ukrainian assault on Veseloe south of Glushkovo. They may be a little more in the north, but I don"t have proofs for now. Image
Today, we spotted this ground drone attacking the western flank of this attack. The use of unmanned systems like this one allows Ukraine to keep its men safe.
During this assault, we saw Swedish CV 9040 and STRV 122 (Leopard 2). Some CV 9040 and STRV 122 were lost during the assault.



Russia tried to counter-attack multiple times there but failed to take back territory lost. The Glushkovo pocket is now at a high risk of being encircled.

I said multiple times russia has to hold there, because if they loose the pocket, it will be very difficult to take it back.



On the other side of Kursk frontline, Russian forces took back Borki. Sudja is still far from Russian forces.

The ukrainian presence in Kursk has decreased recently, however, russian army is still on a difficult position on the western part. Image
Today images from ©Planet show a lot of bombing east of the current russian presence and some recent russia attacks (we can see the scars in the corn fields + the roads used by Ukraine on the border.
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I'm now going to update Pokrovsk fortifications since today sentinel-2 does not have any cloud.

You can follow @atummundi (where i also write) and follow me on my LinkedIn () linkedin.com/in/cl%C3%A9men…
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More from @clement_molin

Mar 22
Le mois de mars 2026 pourrait être le pire mois de progression russe 🇷🇺 en Ukraine 🇺🇦 depuis le printemps 2024.

L'accélération promise par beaucoup d'analystes depuis 3 ans n'a toujours pas eu lieu et l'armée ukrainienne tient sans l'aide américaine.

🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️ Image
Alors que le lancement des offensives de printemps de l'armée russe se fait attendre (Ocheretyne au printemps 2024 et la route Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka en 2025), l'armée russe ne montre aucun signe d'une accélération de sa progression.

Source des données : @Pouletvolant3 ⬇️
La Russie 🇷🇺 occupe :

🔹19.5% du territoire ukrainien (contre 18.12% en janvier 2023)
🔸100% de la Crimée
🔸99.67% de l’oblast de Louhansk (98.39%)
🔸79.48% de l’oblast de Donetsk (57.16%)
🔸75.45% de l'oblast de Zaporijjia (72.52%)
🔸72.11% de l’oblast de Kherson (72.08%) Image
Read 22 tweets
Mar 21
3 weeks have now passed following the start of the US 🇺🇸-Israeli 🇮🇱 operation to topple the regime in Iran 🇮🇷

🔸The Islamic regime is still holding
🔸The Hormuz Strait is closed
🔸Iran continues to retaliate
🔸No new protest in Iran
🔸US/ISR operations continue

🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️Image
Here are the main objectives of the operation:

🔸Create the conditions for regime change in Tehran
🔸Destroy Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs
🔸End attacks against the United States and Israel in the region (Iran and its proxies) Image
Here are Iran's main objectives in its retaliation:

🔸To ensure the regime's survival and elevate the dead to the status of martyrs
🔸To prevent regime change
🔸To create chaos throughout the region, thereby triggering an economic crisis that will ultimately end the war. Image
Read 21 tweets
Mar 19
Since the US 🇺🇸 - Israeli 🇮🇱 operations in Iran 🇮🇷 started, more than 15 000 aistrikes happened, half by the IDF, half by the USAF

Since the first day, I made around 10 different maps and gathered multiple others. Here, you can see two zones of strikes :

🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️Image
My very first map was made with preliminary informations, showing US/ISR strikes and Iranian retaliation on the first day. Image
Then, I started gathering the first informations from the first few days of war. You can see which areas are the most targeted in Iran at the time, mainly the big cities as well as the western part of the country. Image
Read 20 tweets
Mar 19
I put on a map a video showing 60 russian 🇷🇺 bodies on a 700 meter road along the Kazanny Torets river near the village of Boikivka.

This road is only 1 500 meters from the infamous Novotoretske village with the hundreds dead russian soldiers.

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Novotoretske is usually famous for this path between a barbed wire and dragon teeths.

There is only one hole in the barbed wire so the russian soldiers have been crossing in this only place, amouting nearly 60 dead here.

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Here is the video of the road (geoloc from @giK1893) and a video from the barbed wire (showing russian soldiers walking there), geoloc from @moklasen.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 18
En cartes, les 19 jours d'opérations israélo 🇮🇱 -américaines 🇺🇸 en Iran 🇮🇷

J'ai cartographié 250 villes/villages différents frappés en Iran, 235 au Liban et 170 au Moyen-Orient :

🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️Image
En tout, les Etats-Unis et Israël auraient réalisé plus de 15 000 frappes sur l'Iran, un chiffre qui reste à vérifier.

En tout, j'ai pu confirmer 1 450 frappes (min), avec une différence entre les villes ayant les données géolocalisées et celles avec le nombre de bombardements. Image
Au Liban, j'ai pu confirmer plus de 1 200 impacts de frappes israéliennes, en particulier dans le sud et à Beyrouth.

Au Moyen-Orient, j'ai pu compter plus de 650 impacts/frappes iraniennes, même si la réalité se trouve entre 3 000 et 3 700 frappes de ripostes. Image
Read 23 tweets
Mar 17
Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues its advance in the south, strikes on Russian rear lines, while the Russian offensive on Dobropilla begins: an update on the war in Ukraine:

The Ukrainian army's tactical successes should not hide the difficulty of the overall situation.

🧵THREAD🧵1/21 ⬇️ Image
Ukrainian forces continued their local counter-attacks south of Pokrovsk'e, reaching Novohryhorivka and probably Novoivanivka on the Velika Novosilka - Hulialpole road.

This does not mean they control the area. At the same time, russian forces continue to push westwards. Image
Ukrainian forces have a significant advantage in the area with the control of 3 tactical heights behind rivers, especially around Prossiana, Mezhova and Ternuvate.

Russian forces are in a difficult terrain without any town or road, which is making any movement difficult. Image
Read 21 tweets

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