Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 19, 2024 13 tweets 6 min read Read on X
A week ago, Russian 🇷🇺 armed forces launched a large counter-offensive to take back the territory they lost in #Kursk oblast.

At the same time, Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces tried to trap these russian forces, launching their own offensive.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️ Image
This week has seen many fightings in the western part of ukrainian presence of Kursk oblast. Russian offensive had initial successes, and broke through the defenses of the 103rd territorial defense brigade south of Korenevo, taking some prisonners.
Two main units were engaged in the counter-offensive : VDV of the 51st Airborne Regiment and Marines of the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade.

In two days, they took back Snagost and small villages near the Seym river. Ukrainian 501st Marine batallion of 36th Marine had to withdraw. Image
The days after, VDV launched new attacks toward Liubimovka, while 155th Marines managed to enter Gordeevka, Veznapnoe, Apanasovka and Obukhovka.

Here is a video of the assault on Liubimovka and a BMD of the VDV getting hit by a FPV drone.

Ukrainian command was unable to keep its positions, which were in fact strategic. The Glushkovo district (on the west) was nearly encircled (only pontoon bridges on the Seym river were allowing supply).

Russian army amassed thousands of men there to avoid losing it.
Ukrainian command decided to mobilize 21st mecanized brigade, 225th Assault Batallion and 95th Air Assault brigade to launch an attack directly on Glushkovo.

Here is a good thread by @Danspiun including all the geolocated footages of this area.
Here is a map of the Ukrainian assault on Veseloe south of Glushkovo. They may be a little more in the north, but I don"t have proofs for now. Image
Today, we spotted this ground drone attacking the western flank of this attack. The use of unmanned systems like this one allows Ukraine to keep its men safe.
During this assault, we saw Swedish CV 9040 and STRV 122 (Leopard 2). Some CV 9040 and STRV 122 were lost during the assault.



Russia tried to counter-attack multiple times there but failed to take back territory lost. The Glushkovo pocket is now at a high risk of being encircled.

I said multiple times russia has to hold there, because if they loose the pocket, it will be very difficult to take it back.



On the other side of Kursk frontline, Russian forces took back Borki. Sudja is still far from Russian forces.

The ukrainian presence in Kursk has decreased recently, however, russian army is still on a difficult position on the western part. Image
Today images from ©Planet show a lot of bombing east of the current russian presence and some recent russia attacks (we can see the scars in the corn fields + the roads used by Ukraine on the border.
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I'm now going to update Pokrovsk fortifications since today sentinel-2 does not have any cloud.

You can follow @atummundi (where i also write) and follow me on my LinkedIn () linkedin.com/in/cl%C3%A9men…
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More from @clement_molin

Jul 20
After few hours of work, I geolocated around 450 new russian 🇷🇺 airstrikes since july 11th, north and north-east of Pokrovsk 🇺🇦.

Those new airstrikes (in blue) are showing that russian forces intend a strong push north of Pokrovsk.

🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️Image
Here is a very small portion of the frontline. We are in Nykanorivka, 6km from the current frontline.

In July 11th, 2 airstrikes impact were visible, now, we can see 18, meaning 16 more in a week for this village !
Closer to the frontline, near Zatyshok, numerous new airstrikes can be seen in a single treeline.

To be more precise, those happenend the last few hours, between july 16th and july 19th !
Read 20 tweets
Jul 19
En #Syrie 🇸🇾, des combats malgré un accord de cessez le feu entre les factions druzes qui ont pris les armes et le gouvernement.

Les forces tribales venues de tout le pays se lancent à l'offensive de la région de #Soueida en dépit de l'accord.

🧵THREAD-OSINT🧵1/19 ⬇️ Carte réalisée à l'aide des informations publiées sur plusieurs chaines Telegram et plusieurs comptes twitter locaux. La base de la carte est celle de @Suriyakmaps
J'ai rédigé un résumé très général de la situation et du contexte hier pour @atummundi.

Ce résumé permet de se donner une idée générale et sans détails de la situation.

Ainsi, nous pouvons résumer le contexte en quelques tweets :

Des forces druzes (minorité du sud de la Syrie qui disposent d'une forte autonomie) ont attaqué des positions de l'armée après qu'un druze ait été enlevé par des bédouins alliés à Damas le 13 juillet.
Read 19 tweets
Jul 18
De Soumy à Pokrovsk, l'Ukraine🇺🇦 peut-elle tenir face à un déluge de feu inédit ?

Sur les derniers mois j'ai cartographié plus de 5 000 impacts de bombes guidées russes🇷🇺. Face à la multiplication des frappes et l'accélération de la progression, comment tenir ?

🧵THREAD🧵1/24⬇️ Image
L'offensive russe en cours dans le sud de l'oblast de Donetsk, qui déborde désormais vers les oblast de Zaporizhia et Dnipropetrovsk a débuté en octobre 2023.

Les forces ukrainiennes ont été repoussées loin de Donetsk, l'armée russe a pris Avdiivka, Marinka, Vouhledar, Kourakhove, Selydove ou encore Ocheretyne.
Depuis le 1er janvier 2025, Moscou poursuit son offensive au sud-ouest et à l'est de Pokrovsk, dont l'agglomération est de plus de 100 000 habitants.

Les forces russes s'approchent de Kostiantynivka 67 000 habitants, porte vers l'agglomération de Kramatorsk (~300 000 habitants).
Read 24 tweets
Jul 17
Sous nos yeux, la destruction complète de la bande de #Gaza 🇵🇸 vue depuis le ciel

Les bombardements et l'offensive terrestre israélienne 🇮🇱 sur le territoire palestinien de Gaza ont fait des milliers de morts et détruit Gaza.

Tout est visible du ciel :

🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️ Image
Dans ce thread, vous allez voir des images satellites de décembre 2024 pour "Gaza ville" et le nord du territoire, de juin 2024 pour le reste du territoire et une petite portion de novembre 2024 au sud.

La frontière côté israélien a été volontairement flouté par Google. Image
1- Vue générale de Gaza avant/après Image
Read 22 tweets
Jul 16
The situation around Pokrovsk is becoming more critical everyday.

Russian 🇷🇺 forces climbed northeast of Pokrovsk and are threatening the ukrainian 🇺🇦 supply roads.

A new episode of Pokrovsk Battle has started.

🧵Thread I will keep updated🧵 1/12 ⬇ Image
Since weeks and even month, this situation is predictable.

Here is the map of my 2025 prediction made in January. Russian strategy remains the same, encircle big cities, Pokrovsk remain objective number one for this year. Image
I did this map a little bit more than a week ago, it shows what I expect will happen in the next few weeks and months.

As I said months ago, Putin wants both Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka this year. Image
Read 13 tweets
Jul 10
700 new russian airstrikes since june 11 between Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka showing that Russia 🇷🇺 is willing to push to the west.

In Sumy, I even mapped 1 700 russian airstrikes on ukrainian 🇺🇦 held towns, treelines and forests.

🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️Image
If you follow me, you may remember my previous thread on russian airstrikes campaign.

Visible from space, I mapped on june 11th around 1 000 russian airstrikes in the road between Pokrovsk and Kostinaytnivka. Image
Now that we have again clear satellite images, I did it again. It shows more than 700 new airstrikes in a month in this small perimeter of the frontline.

New airstrikes are showing that Russia is willing to push to the northwest and west directions, to encircle Pokrovsk. Image
Read 12 tweets

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