Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 19, 2024 13 tweets 6 min read Read on X
A week ago, Russian 🇷🇺 armed forces launched a large counter-offensive to take back the territory they lost in #Kursk oblast.

At the same time, Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces tried to trap these russian forces, launching their own offensive.

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This week has seen many fightings in the western part of ukrainian presence of Kursk oblast. Russian offensive had initial successes, and broke through the defenses of the 103rd territorial defense brigade south of Korenevo, taking some prisonners.
Two main units were engaged in the counter-offensive : VDV of the 51st Airborne Regiment and Marines of the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade.

In two days, they took back Snagost and small villages near the Seym river. Ukrainian 501st Marine batallion of 36th Marine had to withdraw. Image
The days after, VDV launched new attacks toward Liubimovka, while 155th Marines managed to enter Gordeevka, Veznapnoe, Apanasovka and Obukhovka.

Here is a video of the assault on Liubimovka and a BMD of the VDV getting hit by a FPV drone.

Ukrainian command was unable to keep its positions, which were in fact strategic. The Glushkovo district (on the west) was nearly encircled (only pontoon bridges on the Seym river were allowing supply).

Russian army amassed thousands of men there to avoid losing it.
Ukrainian command decided to mobilize 21st mecanized brigade, 225th Assault Batallion and 95th Air Assault brigade to launch an attack directly on Glushkovo.

Here is a good thread by @Danspiun including all the geolocated footages of this area.
Here is a map of the Ukrainian assault on Veseloe south of Glushkovo. They may be a little more in the north, but I don"t have proofs for now. Image
Today, we spotted this ground drone attacking the western flank of this attack. The use of unmanned systems like this one allows Ukraine to keep its men safe.
During this assault, we saw Swedish CV 9040 and STRV 122 (Leopard 2). Some CV 9040 and STRV 122 were lost during the assault.



Russia tried to counter-attack multiple times there but failed to take back territory lost. The Glushkovo pocket is now at a high risk of being encircled.

I said multiple times russia has to hold there, because if they loose the pocket, it will be very difficult to take it back.



On the other side of Kursk frontline, Russian forces took back Borki. Sudja is still far from Russian forces.

The ukrainian presence in Kursk has decreased recently, however, russian army is still on a difficult position on the western part. Image
Today images from ©Planet show a lot of bombing east of the current russian presence and some recent russia attacks (we can see the scars in the corn fields + the roads used by Ukraine on the border.
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I'm now going to update Pokrovsk fortifications since today sentinel-2 does not have any cloud.

You can follow @atummundi (where i also write) and follow me on my LinkedIn () linkedin.com/in/cl%C3%A9men…
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More from @clement_molin

Dec 6
Analysis of Russian 🇷🇺 airstrikes north of Sumy in 2025

This year, I've closely followed russian airstrike campaign.

In Sumy, I mapped around 4 000 strikes. With recent satellite images of a small 153 km2, I found 1641 airstrikes impact !

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I found very recent sattelite images from May or June 2025.

What they are showing is really crazy. Multiple airstrikes impacts and wiped out villages, it helps to understand russian strategy. Image
Thus, I have decided to cover this small area of 153km2 with airstrikes visible on the high resolution images of june in white and the ones on mid resolution from october and november in pink.

1641, it's 10.7 per km2 ! Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 6
Pourquoi la RD Congo 🇨🇩, le Rwanda 🇷🇼, le Burundi 🇧🇮 et l'Ouganda 🇺🇬 sont ils tous en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

Depuis 1994, les trois Etats organisent ensemble le pillage des ressources minières congolaise, changeant régulièrement d'alliance, CARTE :

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
Le principal Etat impliqué est le Rwanda. Mais pourquoi est-il en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

Lors de la guerre entre le FPR (tutsis) et l'Etat Rwandais (Hutu) entre 1990-1994, le FPR est soutenu et armé par l'Ouganda 🇺🇬, la Grande Bretagne 🇬🇧 et les Etats-Unis 🇺🇸 Image
Battant les forces armées rwandaises (hutus) pendant le génocide, le FPR prend le pouvoir, avec à sa tête Paul Kagame.

Il devient dès lors la vitrine anglo-saxone en Afrique, recevant armes et financements. Les USA organisent via le Rwanda la chute du dictateur Mobutu au Zaïre. Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 28
The use of unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs): the new revolution in the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 war.

Replacing infantry, UGVs fulfill several roles: combat support, troop evacuation, mine-laying, or logistics...

The revolution of ground drones in Ukraine 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 :

🧵THREAD🧵1/17⬇️Image
Like images from the future, ground drones are becoming increasingly visible on the ground in Ukraine.

While the arrival of aerial drones and their variants, as well as naval drones, has been well covered, the arrival of ground drones has been almost forgotten.
Multiple videos from the last few weeks are showing a wider use of ground drones for various missions.

Even if they are often targeter by aerial drones, they are still being very useful.
Read 17 tweets
Nov 27
« La Russie n'est pas mon ennemie… 🇫🇷🇷🇺 »

📸Tchasiv Yar, Ukraine 🇺🇦

🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
📸Vovchansk Image
📸Marioupol Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 26
Les fortifications peuvent-elles changer le cours de la guerre en faveur de l'Ukraine 🇺🇦 ?

Malgré un manque cruel d'infanterie pour les occuper, les obstacles ukrainiens sont de plus en plus nombreux et conséquents, ralentissant la progression russe 🇷🇺

🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️Image
Cela fait plus de 3 ans que j'analyse régulièrement la question des lignes de défense en Ukraine.

J'ai cartographié la quasi-totalité de ces défenses, analysé leurs résultats, leurs échecs et les récentes évolutions. Image
D'abord avec cette carte, vous pouvez voir en rouge les fortifications creusées en 2025 et en vert le territoire pris par l'armée russe la même année.

Pour la première fois, nous allons le voir, ces fortifications sont continues, bien préparées et nombreuses. Image
Read 24 tweets
Nov 25
We often talk about russian 🇷🇺 losses but little about ukrainian 🇺🇦 ones

Holding into Myrnohrad and continuing to send troops inside Pokrovsk has proven to be very costly.

A small update on Pokrovsk, the strategic front and "peace talks" :

🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️
Russian soldiers have been seen throughout the city of Pokrovsk for 1 month and half.

According to my research, they still control the majority of the city and are continuing their consolidation. The area south of the railway is +/- under Russian control. (old map) Image
The main area of ​​interest is further east. As the video in the first tweet shows, dozens of Ukrainian armored vehicles and pickup trucks were destroyed on the Rodynske-Myrnohrad road. In Myrnohrad, the Ukrainians still control most of the city. Image
Read 12 tweets

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