Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 19, 2024 13 tweets 6 min read Read on X
A week ago, Russian 🇷🇺 armed forces launched a large counter-offensive to take back the territory they lost in #Kursk oblast.

At the same time, Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces tried to trap these russian forces, launching their own offensive.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️ Image
This week has seen many fightings in the western part of ukrainian presence of Kursk oblast. Russian offensive had initial successes, and broke through the defenses of the 103rd territorial defense brigade south of Korenevo, taking some prisonners.
Two main units were engaged in the counter-offensive : VDV of the 51st Airborne Regiment and Marines of the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade.

In two days, they took back Snagost and small villages near the Seym river. Ukrainian 501st Marine batallion of 36th Marine had to withdraw. Image
The days after, VDV launched new attacks toward Liubimovka, while 155th Marines managed to enter Gordeevka, Veznapnoe, Apanasovka and Obukhovka.

Here is a video of the assault on Liubimovka and a BMD of the VDV getting hit by a FPV drone.

Ukrainian command was unable to keep its positions, which were in fact strategic. The Glushkovo district (on the west) was nearly encircled (only pontoon bridges on the Seym river were allowing supply).

Russian army amassed thousands of men there to avoid losing it.
Ukrainian command decided to mobilize 21st mecanized brigade, 225th Assault Batallion and 95th Air Assault brigade to launch an attack directly on Glushkovo.

Here is a good thread by @Danspiun including all the geolocated footages of this area.
Here is a map of the Ukrainian assault on Veseloe south of Glushkovo. They may be a little more in the north, but I don"t have proofs for now. Image
Today, we spotted this ground drone attacking the western flank of this attack. The use of unmanned systems like this one allows Ukraine to keep its men safe.
During this assault, we saw Swedish CV 9040 and STRV 122 (Leopard 2). Some CV 9040 and STRV 122 were lost during the assault.



Russia tried to counter-attack multiple times there but failed to take back territory lost. The Glushkovo pocket is now at a high risk of being encircled.

I said multiple times russia has to hold there, because if they loose the pocket, it will be very difficult to take it back.



On the other side of Kursk frontline, Russian forces took back Borki. Sudja is still far from Russian forces.

The ukrainian presence in Kursk has decreased recently, however, russian army is still on a difficult position on the western part. Image
Today images from ©Planet show a lot of bombing east of the current russian presence and some recent russia attacks (we can see the scars in the corn fields + the roads used by Ukraine on the border.
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I'm now going to update Pokrovsk fortifications since today sentinel-2 does not have any cloud.

You can follow @atummundi (where i also write) and follow me on my LinkedIn () linkedin.com/in/cl%C3%A9men…
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More from @clement_molin

Oct 10
A quoi ressemble la guerre en Ukraine en 2025, avec des photos et des vidéos ?

Sur cette vidéo, 4 drones russes 🇷🇺 frappent en 1 minute un blindé ukrainien 🇺🇦 abandonné, deux n'explosent pas.

🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️
J'ai compilé pour vous une vingtaine de vidéos et de photos, les moins sales (la plupart sont absolument horrible, avec des soldats qui agonisent) pour montrer une réalité de la guerre qu'on ne montre plus.

Ici, les drones russes qui attendent leur cible sur le côté de la route.
Un combat constant contre les drones kamikazes FPV.

Sur la vidéo, ce soldat ukrainien se bat contre plusieurs drones kamikazes russes, en détruisant plusieurs. La priorité désormais, regarder vers le ciel.
Read 23 tweets
Oct 8
L'Asie Centrale 🇰🇿🇺🇿🇹🇯🇹🇲🇰🇬 s'éloigne de Moscou 🇷🇺

Alors que se tient le 12ème sommet de l'organisation des Etats Turciques 🇹🇷 en Azerbaïdjan, les pays centrasiatiques prouvent une fois de plus leur éloignement avec la Russie.

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ Image
Depuis 2022, l’Asie centrale amorce un tournant géopolitique majeur.

Longtemps dans le giron russe, la région s’émancipe progressivement de Moscou. Cet éloignement n’est ni brutal ni uniforme, mais il est désormais irréversible. Image
La guerre en Ukraine a agi comme un catalyseur.

Pour les dirigeants centrasiatiques de l'ex URSS, la Russie n’est plus un garant de stabilité, mais un facteur d’incertitude.

Dès lors, la priorité devient l’autonomie stratégique et la diversification des partenariats. Image
Read 21 tweets
Oct 6
*123 000 russian 🇷🇺 soldiers got killed in 2025 in Ukraine 🇺🇦, more than the french 🇫🇷 ground forces.

In total, 281 550 russian soldiers were lost in 2025 as per leaked report. It includes 123 000 killed and missing and 158 529 wounded.

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
These leaked documents were initially shared by this account @hochuzhit_com which provided these two pictures.

*I don't know about the source which seems controversial but the data seems veracious since it is close to other data collected by Mediazona, the Ukrainian General Staff and independent analysts.

There is high possibility this can be a propaganda operation, but the data can still be used.Image
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The document is giving few interesting insights on the state of russian forces. With 83 000 killed, it's close to the Mediazona count (54 000 in August with verified data).

It is also giving data on particular units and different sectors.
Read 25 tweets
Oct 5
Depuis le mois de mai 2025, la Russie 🇷🇺 a lâché 19 752 bombes guidées, dont 30% à Pokrovsk et 19% à Soumy.

Depuis le début de l'année, 35 148 bombes ont été lâchées ainsi que 1 488 990 frappes d'artilleries et 923 047 frappes de drones FPV.

Statistiques :

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Depuis que je cartographie les frappes aériennes russes, j'ai pu en localiser environ 65% (principalement à Pokrovsk, Soumy et Pokrovsk'e).

Le reste non cartographié est probablement à Kherson, Zaporizhia, Kramatorsk, Koupiansk ou Kharkiv. Image
Hier, j'ai publié cette carte des plus de 6 000 frappes aériennes russes entre Pokrovsk et Kostiantynivka sur les 5 derniers mois, avec différents codes couleurs. Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 4
Will Russia 🇷🇺 break the frontline again ?

Since few weeks, russian forces started again to push for Drujkivka, while hundreds of russians are still isolated.

I mapped all airstrikes there and at the same time, Ukraine 🇺🇦 is preparing the 3rd Donbass line🧑‍🔧.

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
Since two months, there have been a massive split between analysts. Pro-ukrainian or pro-russian sources are divided to understand how much km2 fell this month to Russia.

Many fail to understand the new logics of war. Image
Image
For example :

-Some will map an area as russian because a ukrainian drone striked russian soldiers there or a russian was seen with a flag.
-Some will map a large grey zone

I would myself map the grey zone for one main reason :
Read 25 tweets
Oct 3
En #Birmanie🇲🇲, la guerre dure depuis 4 ans et demi

Après le coup d'état des militaires de 2021, le pays a plongé dans la guerre civile.

Celle-ci oppose rébellions ethniques et pro-démocratie à la junte militaire soutenue par la Russie 🇷🇺 et la Chine 🇨🇳.

🧵THREAD🧵1/19 ⬇️Carte de @ThomasVLinge que j'ai modifié
Depuis plusieurs mois, la contre-offensive de la Tatmadaw -nom de l'armée birmane- dans l'Etat Shan progresse lentement.

Progressivement, la junte a renversé les gains de l'opération 1024 débuté en 2023 d'après @MyanmarWarMap

Image
D'un autre côté, @Nrg8000 a fait un bon travail avec la carte de Thomas Van Linge.

On voit en rouge les gains de la junte sur l'année passée et en bleu les gains de la coalition rebelle. Image
Read 19 tweets

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