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Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
Sep 20 • 2 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Donetsk Axis: Ukrainian forces recently recaptured territory and Russian forces recently marginally advanced in the Pokrovsk direction amid continued fighting on September 19.

Russian forces also recently marginally advanced north of Chasiv Yar. (1/2)Image
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2/ Russian forces recently advanced southeast of Siversk amid continued assaults in the area on September 19.

Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Toretsk direction, west of Donetsk City, and SW of Donetsk City but did not make any confirmed advances.
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More from @TheStudyofWar

Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 22
Russian officials have designated 47 countries as having opposing and dangerous moral attitudes to Russia, highlighting that the Kremlin is reviving a Soviet-era tactic and mindset that defines a clear ideological division in the world.⬇️
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2/ This move underscores a pattern in which Russian officials accuse the West and the US of creating ideological divides supposedly aimed at isolating Russia, while engaging in this Cold War-style behavior, promoting global ideological camps and separation themselves.
3/ Russia has recently enhanced efforts at establishing Eurasian security forums and mechanisms such as the Russian-proposed ”Eurasian security architecture” that aim to exclude the West and enhance divides based on these alleged ideological lines.
Read 4 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 21
Russian authorities were reportedly aware of the threat of a future Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast in the months leading up to August 2024 but failed to take adequate steps to address such a threat. (🧵1/9)

2/ The Guardian, citing Russian government and military documents that Ukrainian forces seized in Kursk Oblast, reported on September 20 that Russian forces stationed in Kursk Oblast repeatedly warned the Russian military command about the possibility of a Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast beginning in late 2023.
3/ The documents, which The Guardian reviewed but could not independently verify, show that local military commanders repeatedly ordered additional training exercises for Russian military personnel serving in Kursk Oblast, the construction of additional fortifications, and the preparation of decoy trenches and military equipment in preparation for a future Ukrainian incursion.
Read 9 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 19
NEW: Israel has likely defeated Hamas in Khan Younis and is in the process of doing so in Rafah, but translating the defeat of Hamas’ brigades into the destruction of the organization will require additional Israeli or international measures to prevent Hamas from recovering.🧵1/9Image
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2/ Hamas remnants in Khan Younis and Rafah could rebuild under the right circumstances, despite the brigades’ defeat. Hamas’ other three brigades in central and northern Gaza are probably facing varying levels of degradation, but CTP-ISW is not prepared to assess their defeat.
3/ Hamas’ defeat in Khan Younis or other areas in the Gaza Strip does not mean that Hamas’ allied Palestinian militias are also defeated, however. Smaller militias allied w/ Hamas are frequently shelling IDF positions and conducting isolated small arms attacks targeting the IDF.
Read 9 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 19
NEW: Israel cont'd to destroy Lebanese Hezbollah tactical communications devices on Sept. 18. The multi-stage attack on Hezbollah communications will force Hezbollah to urgently reestablish reliable tactical communications in case of an Israeli offensive campaign into Lebanon.🧵Image
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2/ The detonated devices killed at least 20 people and injured over 450. Israel simultaneously detonated thousands of pagers in a previous attack wave on September 17, injuring over 2,800 people, including Iranian Ambassador to Lebanon Mojtaba Amani.
3/ Social media videos of the most recent attack showed that some of the radios detonated at the funerals of Hezbollah members killed in the September 17 pager detonations.
Read 8 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 18
NEW: Russian forces recently advanced near Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and SW of Donetsk City. Neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces made confirmed advances in Kursk Oblast.

Ukraine opened an investigation into another case of apparent Russian abuse & execution of a Ukrainian POW. 🧵1/5Image
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2/ Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu arrived in Iran for an unannounced visit following recent visits to Syria and North Korea amid ongoing Russian efforts to secure military cooperation and support from non-Western allies.
3/ Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met with North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son-hui in Moscow.
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 17
Russia continues to build out its long-term military capacity by gradually increasing the size of its armed forces.

Russian efforts to increase the size of the armed forces are part of a longer-term Russian objective that extends beyond the war in Ukraine.🧵(1/7)
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2/ Russian efforts to increase the size of the armed forces are part of a longer-term Russian objective that extends beyond the war in Ukraine and aims to increase the size and overall capacity of the Russian military via long-term, large-scale force reforms.
3/ ISW has reported at length on these reforms, which have been ongoing since early 2023 and include the re-establishment of the Moscow & Leningrad military districts and the formation of new army corps, combined arms armies, and mechanized and airborne divisions.
Read 7 tweets

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