Since midnight RUBY has drifted 7 NMi to northeast while her tug has been driving around very slowly.
Aside from a Turkish warship (greenish track) passing closely last night nothing exciting is found in AIS-replays.
NO coast guard is there since last night, but 30 NMi away.
RUBY is allegedly scheduled for repairs in Klapedia, Lithuania, but she wont dock there with cargo according to LT prime minister.
Hence she is drifting at the entrance of Skagerak.
Sveriges Radio (public service news) further report MSB (emergency authorities) deem RUBY "just as dangerous as any other fertilizer-freighter" and Coast Guard says "RUBY has not requested refuge, is not in any emergency and seem seaworthy"
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Estonian public service news @errnews claims that fertilizer ship RUBY is looking to dump its cargo of ammonium nitrate in the sea, citing NO maritime authority. @Sjofartsdir .
This is incorrect. RUBY is looking to unload. Src: direct contact.
RUBY is still stationary at the entrance of Skagerak. Nothing is going on judging from AIS-replay. RUBY is drifting and assistant tug AMBER II is driving around, very slowly.
@The_Lookout_N , whom I respect greatly, has an opinion slightly differing from mine:
Why do I care about bomb/fertilizer ship RUBY and why should you?
My profession is not shipping nor mil/intel. But my everyday work is doing risk-rewards analysis based on science and often incomplete data with high stakes cases.
Quite similar to RUBY-situation. Mini-thread.
I find the likelyhood of RUBY being a Russian bomb plot very low and other risks (ecological, collision, etc) a bit higher.
But, the consequences if bomb plot is there and it went off in a city would be unfathomable. Including a large war.
Given those two variables the only sane thing is to seek less risky solutions to the problem. I want our governments to do that.
RUBY, cargo ship loaded with 20k tons of potentially highly explosive ammonium nitrate, with a shady Russian backstory, is anchored on Norways northeast coast.
This is some of the surrounding installations around her. Positions appr.
A 4 person Spetsnaz crew leave their cabin next to Ånderdalen national park, owned by a Cyprus LLC since 5 years. There is a convenient old harbour just below.
With a RIB it takes them only 20 min to meet up with "fertilizer ship" Ruby.
While "waiting for a storm" the crew of Ruby last days have been running the pumps to make ANFO, ammonium nitrate mixed with heavy fuel oil.
The detonators are in the RIB and Ruby is steaming north, destination Kiel where German govt has allowed repairs.
A: has no dry dock. Is maybe one of Norways most strategically important places. Also, 2500 inhabitants.
B: what? Was that the best option?
She is on the move since noon with a tug standing by next to her. ~45 nautical miles to go before reaching Andøya.
@The_Lookout_N @selshevneren @RamslandTrond