auonsson Profile picture
Sep 21 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
SE authorities are doing an inventory of which SE ports are able to unload fertilizer/bomb-ship RUBY.

Landskrona port of south Sweden have offered a ship to ship solution, ie away from populations.

Atm RUBY has no way to unload her 20k tons of NH4NO3, hence she is stationary. Image
Pure guess work, but a ship to ship transfer would likely take place somewhere in Kattegatt, where it can happen in relatively calmer waters.

All info above is from direct contact with Landskrona port and article linked here.
sverigesradio.se/artikel/skadad…
Since midnight RUBY has drifted 7 NMi to northeast while her tug has been driving around very slowly.

Aside from a Turkish warship (greenish track) passing closely last night nothing exciting is found in AIS-replays.
NO coast guard is there since last night, but 30 NMi away. Image
RUBY is allegedly scheduled for repairs in Klapedia, Lithuania, but she wont dock there with cargo according to LT prime minister.

Hence she is drifting at the entrance of Skagerak.
Sveriges Radio (public service news) further report MSB (emergency authorities) deem RUBY "just as dangerous as any other fertilizer-freighter" and Coast Guard says "RUBY has not requested refuge, is not in any emergency and seem seaworthy"

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More from @auonsson

Sep 23
Estonian public service news @errnews claims that fertilizer ship RUBY is looking to dump its cargo of ammonium nitrate in the sea, citing NO maritime authority. @Sjofartsdir .

This is incorrect. RUBY is looking to unload. Src: direct contact.

err.ee/1609467730/nor…
RUBY is still stationary at the entrance of Skagerak. Nothing is going on judging from AIS-replay. RUBY is drifting and assistant tug AMBER II is driving around, very slowly. Image
@The_Lookout_N , whom I respect greatly, has an opinion slightly differing from mine:
Read 4 tweets
Sep 20
Why do I care about bomb/fertilizer ship RUBY and why should you?

My profession is not shipping nor mil/intel. But my everyday work is doing risk-rewards analysis based on science and often incomplete data with high stakes cases.

Quite similar to RUBY-situation. Mini-thread. Image
I find the likelyhood of RUBY being a Russian bomb plot very low and other risks (ecological, collision, etc) a bit higher.

But, the consequences if bomb plot is there and it went off in a city would be unfathomable. Including a large war. Image
Given those two variables the only sane thing is to seek less risky solutions to the problem. I want our governments to do that.
Read 7 tweets
Sep 18
Bomb/fertilizer ship RUBY look like she has lost propulsion. She broadcasts "Not under command" on AIS.

She is right outside Bergen, home to important naval base Haakonsvern and a large part of Norway's oil/marine/fishing industry. Very convenient.

Weather is super calm. Image
Next to her is support tug AMBER II and a coast guard vessel KV BERGEN.

If engine is toast it is an excellent excuse to seek emergency shelter in another strategic hotspot. Image
Big brother is interested. NO frigate ROALD ADMUNSEN is heading for the area where RUBY is drifting.

Thanks @BrianK_PSM Image
Read 10 tweets
Sep 13
RUBY, cargo ship loaded with 20k tons of potentially highly explosive ammonium nitrate, with a shady Russian backstory, is anchored on Norways northeast coast.

This is some of the surrounding installations around her. Positions appr.

Thought I'd illustrate list by @InaHPKvam
Image
@InaHPKvam Damn, for being a gal making a few maps a day I really suck on east and west....
Read 5 tweets
Sep 12
Fiction:

Things have gone south.

A 4 person Spetsnaz crew leave their cabin next to Ånderdalen national park, owned by a Cyprus LLC since 5 years. There is a convenient old harbour just below.

With a RIB it takes them only 20 min to meet up with "fertilizer ship" Ruby.

Image
Image
Image
While "waiting for a storm" the crew of Ruby last days have been running the pumps to make ANFO, ammonium nitrate mixed with heavy fuel oil.

The detonators are in the RIB and Ruby is steaming north, destination Kiel where German govt has allowed repairs.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ANFO
Norwegian frigate Roald Admundsen watches from a few miles east. Ruby is slowing down and looks to be readying her anchor again?

NO sailors call out again and again but no reply.

Fiction. Image
Read 7 tweets
Sep 11
Damaged fertilizer ship / floating bomb (depending on intentions) Ruby that got run out of Tromsø a week ago is:

A) Heading for Andöya military air/space base. ETA 5h

B) Have asked permission to go to Klaipėda, Lithuania for repairs.

From Russia with love.
WTH
Image
A: has no dry dock. Is maybe one of Norways most strategically important places. Also, 2500 inhabitants.

B: what? Was that the best option? Image
She is on the move since noon with a tug standing by next to her. ~45 nautical miles to go before reaching Andøya.
@The_Lookout_N @selshevneren @RamslandTrond Image
Read 10 tweets

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