Franz-Stefan Gady Profile picture
Sep 23 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
‘China accounts for 90% of Russia’s microelectronics imports and 70% of its machine tools. These inputs have enabled Russia to churn out cruise missiles and drones. China’s support has had surprising effects elsewhere on the battlefield: a jump in Chinese excavator imports in 2022 helped Russia build formidable defence..’
from @TheEconomisteconomist.com/international/…
‘Just as important, and less well known, is the booming exchange of technology. Wars in Ukraine and the Middle East have created abundant opportunities to swap technical know-how.…[Iran] gains real-time insight into the effectiveness of its weapons against Western defences, while Russia learns from Iranian advisers how to conduct air attacks that mix drones and missiles. Russia is sharing information about its jamming of drone-control and gps signals with Iran…It is also sending the Islamic Republic captured Western kit, which will probably be stripped for technical examination.’
‘China’s strategists have been studying the performance of himars, landmines and drones—capabilities it expects to encounter in a war over Taiwan—in the Ukraine war…’
‘Russia is willing to help China build missile-warning and defence systems...It reckons there is now significant co-operation in space, too. This is not confined to China. Russia is helping Iran’s space programme, which is widely considered a front for developing intercontinental ballistic missiles (icbms). North Korea has also been promised unspecified technological assistance by Mr Putin…his could include helping North Korea develop re-entry vehicles for its ICBMs.’

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More from @HoansSolo

Sep 22
The Soviet Union played a critical role in fueling Nazi Germany's war machine during its European military campaigns from 1939 to 1941, providing essential resources that significantly bolstered German military power. I am mentioning a few examples below.
Prior to the German invasion in June 1941, the Soviet Union under Stalin supplied Nazi Germany with vast quantities of crucial resources: 1.75 million tons of wheat, 23,000 tons of chrome, 214,000 tons of phosphate, and 440,000 tons of various strategic materials including rubber, wolfram, copper, tin, soybeans, and whale oil.
The German Luftwaffe's bombing campaign during the Battle of Britain was partially fueled by Soviet petrol. In the period between September 1939 and June 1941, the Soviet Union supplied Nazi Germany with one million tons of petroleum products, significantly contributing to German air operations.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 17
Interesting & informative piece. wsj.com/world/behind-u…
„At around 3 a.m. on Aug. 6, they unleashed an intense barrage from six M777 howitzers, supplied by Ukraine’s Western backers, which were set up along a stretch of the border aiming into Russia.“
„Ukrainian electronic-warfare units went into Russian territory ahead of the main mechanized assault forces to jam Russian equipment to stop Russian forces from pinpointing Ukrainian positions or intercepting their communications.“
Read 9 tweets
Jul 22
It looks like that some politicians in Germany only now seem to grasp that there are specific escalatory risks involved when relying on warfighting concepts built around conventional long-range strike capabilities to deter future Russian aggression.
Escalatory risks that can be managed I should add with with fine-tuning concepts & doctrine among other things. Deterrence does require some calculated risk taking. De-facto silence in Germany by both civilian & military leaders on this subject was quite unhelpful.
Side note: Any vertical escalatory risks do not exclusively have to do with payload & range of new 🇺🇸 strike systems in 🇩🇪 but rather with the need to create optimal battlespace conditions for their successful employment which can involve blinding/paralyzing enemy C4ISR systems.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 15
The public debate on the stationing of new ground-based US long-range strike capabilities in Germany as part of a US Army Multi-Domain Task Force (MTDF) is interesting as it neatly illustrates the vertical escalatory potential of emerging conventional US warfighting concepts.
These US warfighting concepts, in part based on conventional long-range precision fires (& information advantage/superiority), can blur the line of conventional & nuclear deterrence, especially when used against the military forces of a nuclear-armed state.
The knee-jerk reaction in Germany (& 🇷🇺) that the deployment is primarily to counter nuclear-capable Iskander's & other Russian strike capabilities in Kaliningrad is a good case in point in this regard. One can come to that conclusion easily, but that's not the purpose of MTDFs.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 12
“There are other serious challenges in the current efforts to train Ukrainian soldiers. The most consistent among those EUMAM trainers cite are language and culture issues.” mwi.westpoint.edu/what-does-euro…
“Some of the older German officers mention that their knowledge of East German military institutions helps them understand most of the organizational and doctrinal issues the Ukrainians face due to their shared Soviet legacies.”
“The other common problem is a lack of Ukrainian transparency. Western trainers and apparently Ukrainian military leaders do not have adequate mechanisms to assess the effectiveness of specific training efforts… inside Ukraine.”
Read 7 tweets
May 13
“In the past six months, Ukraine intercepted around 46% of Russian missiles, compared with 73% in the preceding six-month period, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of daily data from the Ukrainian Air Force Command.”
“Last month the interception rate fell to 30% of missiles. The interception rate for long-range Shahed drones, which are easier to shoot down, fell just 1 percentage point to 82% in the past six months.”
“Over the past six months, Russia fired around 45% more drones and missiles than in the proceeding six-month period, according to the data.” wsj.com/world/russias-…
Read 7 tweets

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