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Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
Sep 24 • 7 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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Ukrainian forces recently advanced in Kursk Oblast. Russian forces recently advanced near Hlyboke, Kupyansk, and Pokrovsk. 🧵(1/7)

1/ Kursk: Ukrainian forces recently advanced in Glushkovsky Raion west of Ukraine's salient. Geolocated footage published on September 23 indicates that Ukrainian forces recently advanced to the southern outskirts of Veseloye (southwest of Glushkovo).

Ukrainian and Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Ukrainian salient on September 23 but did not make any confirmed advances.Image
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2/ Kharkiv: Russian forces are reportedly switching to defensive operations north of Kharkiv City, possibly as a result of Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk Oblast.Image
3/ Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line: Geolocated footage published on September 21 and 23 shows that Russian forces advanced in fields east of Kolisnykivka (southeast of Kupyansk) and to the east of Kruhlyakivka (south of Kupyansk), respectively.Image
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4/ Russian forces continued assaults southeast of Siversk near Vyimka on Sept. 22 and 23, but there were no confirmed changes to the frontline.

Russian forces continued offensive operations near Chasiv Yar on Sept. 23, but there were no confirmed changes to the frontline.Image
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5/ Russian forces continued offensive operations near Toretsk on September 23, but there were no confirmed changes to the frontline. A Russian milblogger claimed on September 23 that Russian forces occupied a waste heap in eastern Toretsk.Image
6/ Russian forces advanced east of Pokrovsk amid continued offensive operations on September 23. Geolocated footage published on September 23 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced north of Tsukuryne and east of Mykolaivka (both southeast of Pokrovsk).Image
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7/ The Russian military is intensifying offensive operations near Vuhledar and is reportedly attempting to reinforce local tactical successes to collapse the flanks of a Ukrainian salient in Vuhledar.Image
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More from @TheStudyofWar

Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 25
Recent Ukrainian strikes against Russian rear ammunition depots demonstrate the extent to which Russian military logistics still benefit from the Western-provided sanctuary that secures Russia’s rear. 🧵(1/5)

📸: @Maxar



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2/ @Maxar collected satellite imagery demonstrating dramatic damage to three large Russian ammunition depots in western and southwestern Russia following Ukrainian strikes in September 2024.
3/ The imagery depicts the destruction of dozens of ammunition storage buildings, rail cars that Russian forces likely used to transport ammunition to the depots, & masses of probable rocket canisters & other material that RU forces had haphazardly left in the open. 📸: @Maxar


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Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 25
NEW: Russian forces have reached the outskirts of Vuhledar amid what appears to be an intensified offensive push near the settlement, but the capture of Vuhledar is unlikely to afford Russian forces any particular operational edge for further offensive operations in western Donetsk Oblast. 🧵(1/5)Image
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2/ Geolocated footage published on September 24 shows that Russian forces advanced into eastern Vuhledar up to 12 Desantnykiv Street, confirming reports from Russian and Ukrainian sources that Russian troops broke into eastern Vuhledar between September 23 and 24. Image
3/ Russian forces are additionally trying to advance on Vuhledar's northeast flank via Vodyane and southwestern flank via Prechystivka, likely in an effort to encircle the Ukrainian grouping in Vuhledar and force it to withdraw. Image
Read 5 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 23
MORE w/ @criticalthreats: The IDF announced on September 21 that it targeted over 400 rocket launchers, thousands of rocket barrels, and other military infrastructure in at least two waves of airstrikes across southern Lebanon. 🧵(1/7)This map illustrates the locations of Israeli air and artillery strikes based on local Lebanese reporting. This map depicts strikes reported from 12:00pm ET on September 21 to 12:00pm ET on September 22. This map is not exhaustive. CTP-ISW cannot independently verify the locations of Israeli strikes.
2/ An Israeli military correspondent reported that the strikes targeted short- and medium- range rocket launchers within firing range of Haifa and other northern Israeli towns. The IDF stated that it was responding to indications that Hezbollah was preparing to launch rockets into northern Israel.
3/ The IDF announced new security protocols for some of the northern communities around the same time in response to the indications of an imminent Hezbollah attack.
Read 7 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 22
Russian officials have designated 47 countries as having opposing and dangerous moral attitudes to Russia, highlighting that the Kremlin is reviving a Soviet-era tactic and mindset that defines a clear ideological division in the world.⬇️
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2/ This move underscores a pattern in which Russian officials accuse the West and the US of creating ideological divides supposedly aimed at isolating Russia, while engaging in this Cold War-style behavior, promoting global ideological camps and separation themselves.
3/ Russia has recently enhanced efforts at establishing Eurasian security forums and mechanisms such as the Russian-proposed ”Eurasian security architecture” that aim to exclude the West and enhance divides based on these alleged ideological lines.
Read 4 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 22
NEW: The Kremlin appears to be reorganizing Russia's decentralized, regional volunteer recruitment campaigns into a federal effort, indicating that Russia is struggling to meet the manpower demands of its war in Ukraine... 🧵(1/4)Image
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2/ ...despite previous claims that the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast caused a spike in Russia's volunteer recruitment. Image
3/ The Kremlin has likely assessed that it can better control and improve Russia's volunteer recruitment rates by centralizing and consolidating control over recruitment efforts and can no longer rely on underperforming regional recruitment campaigns to meet Russia's manpower needs.Image
Read 4 tweets
Institute for the Study of War Profile picture
Sep 21
Russian authorities were reportedly aware of the threat of a future Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast in the months leading up to August 2024 but failed to take adequate steps to address such a threat. (🧵1/9)

2/ The Guardian, citing Russian government and military documents that Ukrainian forces seized in Kursk Oblast, reported on September 20 that Russian forces stationed in Kursk Oblast repeatedly warned the Russian military command about the possibility of a Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast beginning in late 2023.
3/ The documents, which The Guardian reviewed but could not independently verify, show that local military commanders repeatedly ordered additional training exercises for Russian military personnel serving in Kursk Oblast, the construction of additional fortifications, and the preparation of decoy trenches and military equipment in preparation for a future Ukrainian incursion.
Read 9 tweets

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