Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 25, 2024 26 tweets 10 min read Read on X
1/25 In a world where Realism has been compromised by the deceitful and treacherous views of scholars like John Mearsheimer, there is an urgent need for more Neo-idealism. Image
2/25 Realism today has been largely co-opted by figures like Mearsheimer. Although a respected scholar, Mearsheimer has made increasingly questionable statements that contradict his own theory to defend russia. He also aligns more with neorealism than classical realism. Image
3/25 Neorealism has surpassed classical realism in prominence. It suggests that countries—particularly great powers—operate as black boxes, each seeking to increase their strength relative to others in an anarchic world devoid of a higher authority to resolve conflicts. Image
4/25 In this context, great powers are the key actors seeking to become the strongest in the system, aiming for regional hegemony without nearby threats. Once achieved, they will do everything possible to prevent the rise of another regional hegemon globally. Image
5/25 The common arguments used by people like Mearsheimer contain significant logical flaws, not only ideologically but—more importantly—within the very theory these individuals use to support their claims. Image
6/25 One of Mearsheimer's most astonishing statements is that, according to him, "there is no evidence" that russia has imperial ambitions or desires to conquer Ukrainian territory. Image
7/25 Claiming that russia has no imperial or expansionist ambitions during the ongoing war is similar to saying that Germany had none in the fall of 1939 or 1940. It is clear that russia aims to keep Ukraine within its 'sphere of influence' and exert control over it. Image
8/25 Realism does not grant great powers the right to expand their sphere of influence at will. A common misconception is that russia's interests and demands should all be respected, meaning its effective veto over Ukraine's NATO membership should be considered. Image
9/25 The US and the West as a whole have been, in fact, acting in accordance with this theory in many ways, even if Mearsheimer does not acknowledge it due to being either a useful idiot or a russian asset. Image
10/25 Claiming the war is the West's "fault" due to NATO expansion ironically contradicts realism. From this perspective, the West is not to blame for following the theory's predictions—strengthening its influence over a minor power while weakening russia. Image
11/25 From the perspective of great power competition, the US and NATO's decision to strengthen ties with Ukraine and open NATO's doors was entirely logical. Image
12/25 russia initiated the conflict, not NATO or Ukraine, which were merely seeking security. Mearsheimer's argument is like blaming someone for wanting to set an alarm system to protect their jewelry; while the jewelry may attract burglars, the blame truly lies with the burglar Image
13/25 russia's perception of NATO as a threat doesn't obligate others to comply with its demands. The true threat for Putin lies in former Warsaw Pact countries thriving economically and securely, which endangers the russian regime, not the russian nation. Image
14/25 Mearsheimer also wrongly assumes russia would join the US against china, bolstering US power. Conversely, a US withdrawal from Europe would, per the theory, enhance russia's relative power, incentivizing more aggressive actions in Europe. Image
15/25 The paradox and irony of the narrative lie in the fact that, from a realistic standpoint, the US and the West as a whole are acting as they should by seizing the chance to weaken russia without resorting to military action or deploying American soldiers. Image
16/25 Mearsheimer fell victim to his theory, twisting it to fit his pro-russian narrative. According to realism, the US and the West are acting as predicted by seeking to weaken russia and curb its rise as a regional power in Europe. Image
17/25 When evidence is lacking, societal benefits are low, and the outcomes are grave—such as legitimizing a criminal invasion—academics like Mearsheimer should rethink the topics they choose for their global lectures. Image
18/25 While neorealist figures like Mearsheimer have distorted realism to defend russia's actions, alternative approaches like neo-idealism are gaining prominence. The approach was introduced by @bctallis. Image
19/25 Neo-Idealism is a fresh approach to (geo)politics that is inspired by the strong reactions to russian aggression from leaders like @Zelenskyy_Uaa, @kajakallas, @MarinSanna, @GLandsbergis, @JanLipavsky, and others. Image
20/25 Neo-idealism is a morally grounded approach to geopolitical interests that emphasizes the rights of all democratic states, including smaller nations, to self-determination—such as their ability to join integration spheres and reject spheres of influence. Image
21/25 In contrast to classical realism's focus on power and national interest, neo-idealism argues that moral values and ethical principles should guide international relations, encouraging states to promote global justice and peace alongside their self-interest. Image
22/25 This approach entails costs, yet neo-idealists are resolute in recognizing the price of freedom and are willing to pay it. Even if liberal values have been imperfectly upheld in their nations, they see these values as worth defending and renewing. Image
23/25 Neo-idealists recognize that a liberal order cannot survive without the means to defend itself, including military capabilities. However, without a strong moral foundation or the promise of progress, it cannot truly thrive. Image
24/25 Neo-idealism signals a shift toward an ethically grounded view of international relations, emphasizing cooperation, human rights, and moral considerations to promote a just and peaceful world through state collaboration and international institutions. Image
@Zelenskyy_Uaa @kajakallas @MarinSanna @GLandsbergis @JanLipavsky I tagged the wrong account for @ZelenskyyUa 😅

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More from @joni_askola

Dec 2
1/9 Ukraine cannot win this war by only playing fair when Russia never does.

Russia has more men, more money, and zero limits.

To end the war faster, Ukraine must go more asymmetric and bring the fight deeper into Russia Image
2/9 Why is this needed?

Just defending gives Russia no reason to stop.

Trading land for time is smart, but not enough. Ukraine needs to hit Russia where it hurts.

It already does with strikes, but it must do even more to show the world it still has cards to play Image
3/9 Ukraine’s current two-part strategy is to trade land for time and crush Russia’s economy with deep strikes.

It is good, but it needs acceleration.

The war must become even more costly, even faster, for Russia Image
Read 9 tweets
Dec 1
1/6 Belgium is helping Russia in its war against Ukraine.

How? It is the final obstacle preventing Ukraine from accessing Russia’s frozen assets.

Does Belgium want to be remembered as Russia’s helper? Image
2/6 Belgium is still blocking Russia’s frozen assets from being transferred to Ukraine, constantly finding new excuses to help Russia.

Does Belgium want to be remembered as the country that made Ukraine and Europe lose to Russia? Image
3/6 Belgium has been blocking this for months. It is the only country left doing so.

First, it used legal fears as an excuse. Europe worked to address those concerns, even with help from Norway. After that, Belgium's PM De Wever found new excuses, and Trump provided them to him Image
Read 6 tweets
Nov 27
1/6 How should the world look according to Curtis Yarvin, the ideological father of JD Vance, Peter Thiel, and other powerful figures in the US?

And why should we be worried? 🧵 Image
2/6 Thiel, Musk, and their circle have gained enormous influence in the US. They helped pick Trump’s VP and installed JD Vance in that role.

These far-right oligarchs are isolationist, pro-Russia, pro-China, and hostile to democracy.

Their guiding thinker is Curtis Yarvin Image
3/6 Yarvin’s core belief: democracy is a mistake.

He argues freedom creates chaos and inefficiency.

His solution? Replace democratic governments with authoritarian “CEO style” rule, where one leader runs a country like a corporation Image
Read 6 tweets
Nov 27
1/5 Do Belgium and the rest of the EU want even more Ukrainian blood on their hands?

If not, release Russia’s frozen assets now.

Repost this thread if you agree!

@Bart_DeWever @JanJambon @EuroclearGroup @vonderleyen @kajakallas @EmmanuelMacron @_FriedrichMerz @ZelenskyyUa Image
2/5 Russia’s full-scale war on Ukraine has lasted almost 4 years.

Europe is still hesitating to release frozen Russian assets.

Why? Because profit opportunities and legal fears outweigh the survival of Ukraine and Europe itself Image
3/5 This is existential.

If Belgium’s legal concerns are legitimate, then find a solution fast. Much faster than what we are doing now.

Delay means more destruction, more escalation, and more Ukrainian blood.

We are not doing enough. Let’s at least get this right Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 27
1/10 The Russian narrative is starting to collapse.

For years, Moscow pushed the idea that Ukraine was doomed and Russia unstoppable. That narrative is collapsing under the weight of reality.

Here’s why Russia is failing strategically despite tactical gains👇 Image
2/10 Russia’s goals were clear: overthrow Ukraine’s government, install a puppet regime, rewrite its constitution, and embed permanent Russian military control.

Nearly four years later, none of this has happened. And it’s far from happening Image
3/10 Instead, Russia is still fighting for Donbas and is further from its strategic objectives than in March 2022.

That is not a tactical setback. It is a strategic failure.

The Kremlin started this war with goals it cannot reach Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 26
1/5 Why do we still allow Trump to negotiate on the war in Ukraine?

The US does not fund Ukraine. Trump and his team are compromised by Russia.

Europe pays the bills, yet Trump sits at the table.

There is zero reason for him and his team of traitors to be involved Image
2/5 Ukraine and Europe keep letting Trump negotiate with Russia. It makes no sense.

Europe funds Ukraine. Trump’s United States doesn’t. If we pay and they don’t, why are they the ones negotiating?

Their negotiators are far worse than ours, and they are compromised too Image
3/5 Epstein emails show Russia has leverage over Trump thanks to Epstein’s past help.

Bloomberg leaks prove Witkoff is helping Moscow influence him.

When the leaks broke, Trump backed Witkoff, the man he chose.

This is a deeply compromised administration Image
Read 5 tweets

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