Joni Askola Profile picture
Sep 25, 2024 26 tweets 10 min read Read on X
1/25 In a world where Realism has been compromised by the deceitful and treacherous views of scholars like John Mearsheimer, there is an urgent need for more Neo-idealism. Image
2/25 Realism today has been largely co-opted by figures like Mearsheimer. Although a respected scholar, Mearsheimer has made increasingly questionable statements that contradict his own theory to defend russia. He also aligns more with neorealism than classical realism. Image
3/25 Neorealism has surpassed classical realism in prominence. It suggests that countries—particularly great powers—operate as black boxes, each seeking to increase their strength relative to others in an anarchic world devoid of a higher authority to resolve conflicts. Image
4/25 In this context, great powers are the key actors seeking to become the strongest in the system, aiming for regional hegemony without nearby threats. Once achieved, they will do everything possible to prevent the rise of another regional hegemon globally. Image
5/25 The common arguments used by people like Mearsheimer contain significant logical flaws, not only ideologically but—more importantly—within the very theory these individuals use to support their claims. Image
6/25 One of Mearsheimer's most astonishing statements is that, according to him, "there is no evidence" that russia has imperial ambitions or desires to conquer Ukrainian territory. Image
7/25 Claiming that russia has no imperial or expansionist ambitions during the ongoing war is similar to saying that Germany had none in the fall of 1939 or 1940. It is clear that russia aims to keep Ukraine within its 'sphere of influence' and exert control over it. Image
8/25 Realism does not grant great powers the right to expand their sphere of influence at will. A common misconception is that russia's interests and demands should all be respected, meaning its effective veto over Ukraine's NATO membership should be considered. Image
9/25 The US and the West as a whole have been, in fact, acting in accordance with this theory in many ways, even if Mearsheimer does not acknowledge it due to being either a useful idiot or a russian asset. Image
10/25 Claiming the war is the West's "fault" due to NATO expansion ironically contradicts realism. From this perspective, the West is not to blame for following the theory's predictions—strengthening its influence over a minor power while weakening russia. Image
11/25 From the perspective of great power competition, the US and NATO's decision to strengthen ties with Ukraine and open NATO's doors was entirely logical. Image
12/25 russia initiated the conflict, not NATO or Ukraine, which were merely seeking security. Mearsheimer's argument is like blaming someone for wanting to set an alarm system to protect their jewelry; while the jewelry may attract burglars, the blame truly lies with the burglar Image
13/25 russia's perception of NATO as a threat doesn't obligate others to comply with its demands. The true threat for Putin lies in former Warsaw Pact countries thriving economically and securely, which endangers the russian regime, not the russian nation. Image
14/25 Mearsheimer also wrongly assumes russia would join the US against china, bolstering US power. Conversely, a US withdrawal from Europe would, per the theory, enhance russia's relative power, incentivizing more aggressive actions in Europe. Image
15/25 The paradox and irony of the narrative lie in the fact that, from a realistic standpoint, the US and the West as a whole are acting as they should by seizing the chance to weaken russia without resorting to military action or deploying American soldiers. Image
16/25 Mearsheimer fell victim to his theory, twisting it to fit his pro-russian narrative. According to realism, the US and the West are acting as predicted by seeking to weaken russia and curb its rise as a regional power in Europe. Image
17/25 When evidence is lacking, societal benefits are low, and the outcomes are grave—such as legitimizing a criminal invasion—academics like Mearsheimer should rethink the topics they choose for their global lectures. Image
18/25 While neorealist figures like Mearsheimer have distorted realism to defend russia's actions, alternative approaches like neo-idealism are gaining prominence. The approach was introduced by @bctallis. Image
19/25 Neo-Idealism is a fresh approach to (geo)politics that is inspired by the strong reactions to russian aggression from leaders like @Zelenskyy_Uaa, @kajakallas, @MarinSanna, @GLandsbergis, @JanLipavsky, and others. Image
20/25 Neo-idealism is a morally grounded approach to geopolitical interests that emphasizes the rights of all democratic states, including smaller nations, to self-determination—such as their ability to join integration spheres and reject spheres of influence. Image
21/25 In contrast to classical realism's focus on power and national interest, neo-idealism argues that moral values and ethical principles should guide international relations, encouraging states to promote global justice and peace alongside their self-interest. Image
22/25 This approach entails costs, yet neo-idealists are resolute in recognizing the price of freedom and are willing to pay it. Even if liberal values have been imperfectly upheld in their nations, they see these values as worth defending and renewing. Image
23/25 Neo-idealists recognize that a liberal order cannot survive without the means to defend itself, including military capabilities. However, without a strong moral foundation or the promise of progress, it cannot truly thrive. Image
24/25 Neo-idealism signals a shift toward an ethically grounded view of international relations, emphasizing cooperation, human rights, and moral considerations to promote a just and peaceful world through state collaboration and international institutions. Image
@Zelenskyy_Uaa @kajakallas @MarinSanna @GLandsbergis @JanLipavsky I tagged the wrong account for @ZelenskyyUa 😅

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More from @joni_askola

Mar 19
1/5 As Hungary approaches the April 2026 elections, Orbán faces a severe political test.

His failed rule has actively aligned Budapest with Moscow, obstructed European support for Ukraine, and prioritized Russian energy over Western unity, thereby ruining Hungary's potential Image
2/5 The economic reality of this geopolitical positioning is stark.

Hungary's GDP growth stagnated at just 0.4% in 2025.

It has completely decoupled from regional growth trends, falling drastically behind the expanding economies of neighboring Poland and Romania Image
3/5 This economic stagnation is tied directly to structural state capture.

Transparency International recently ranked Hungary at 40 out of 100 on its Corruption Perceptions Index.

It remains the lowest-scoring and most corrupt member state in the European Union. Pathetic! Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 17
1/5 Peter Thiel holding secret lectures in Rome about the Antichrist is pure dystopian fiction.

He is no theologian, just a dangerous, yet pathetic, Bond villain trying to sound profound.

Yet no one fits the description of the Antichrist he fears so much better than he does Image
2/5 Look at his daily life.

He is an oligarch who builds military AI and global mass surveillance networks, yet he sits in Rome and tells his audience that the people trying to regulate his tech and stop his unaccountable power are the actual Antichrist Image
3/5 His hypocrisy is staggering.

He is a gay immigrant who built a massive fortune thanks to the tolerance of liberal, democratic California, and now he uses that very wealth to fund an ultra-conservative movement designed to strip those freedoms away from everyone else Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 16
1/5 The underrated threat:

We need to get serious about preparing for terrorists using FPV drones.

Recent wars have shown that even the world’s best armies struggle against them.

If modern militaries cannot easily stop them, local police forces are completely exposed Image
2/5 We are incredibly lucky that this has not yet become a common issue in our cities.

But make no mistake, it unfortunately will.

FPV drones are brutally efficient, incredibly cheap, and easy to use.

The barrier to entry for terrorists is terrifyingly low right now Image
3/5 There is no perfect solution, especially with fiber-optic drones that are completely immune to electronic jamming.

We need to stop guessing and start asking for help directly from combat veterans who have real-world experience fighting these threats Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 14
1/5 The Russian Paradox:

Most people both underestimate and overestimate Russia.

The country is weaker and has far less potential than before the full-scale war began, yet it has become a far greater threat to Europe Image
2/5 The economy is in bad shape.

Reserves are nearly gone, and growth has stalled under high interest rates.

High oil prices help for now, but once the war in Iran ends, structural problems will remain.

Add a bad demographic situation, and Russia has eaten its future Image
3/5 But here is the terrifying flip side:

On a total war footing with a dedicated war economy, it is incredibly lethal.

This is a society that has taken war and death as its religion and is all in on its insane propaganda.

Russia has nothing to lose Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 13
1/8 Russian intelligence always finds a way to completely screw up.

They recently tried to build an untraceable new hit squad, but got caught because their top operatives literally typed their secret assassination plans into Google Translate Image
2/8 A new investigation by Insider and Der Spiegel reveals that Russia created a top-secret hit squad called Center 795, after earlier assassination units were exposed.

They embedded it inside the Kalashnikov arms company, hoping it would be untraceable Image
3/8 This was not just a small team.

Center 795 functioned as a private shadow army funded by billionaire oligarchs.

They had cyber teams, sniper units, drones, and even their own heavy equipment to conduct sabotage and massive military operations Image
Read 8 tweets
Mar 10
1/7 Remember when the 2024 Trump campaign was sold as the ultimate pro-peace ticket?

Tech oligarchs and political opportunists swore they would end America's wars.

Now they are the architects of a new war in Iran.

The hypocrisy is staggering 🧵 Image
2/7 Look at the political roster.

JD Vance, Tulsi Gabbard, and Pete Hegseth spent years railing against regime change and foreign interventions.

Today, they are all sitting in the administration overseeing a devastating, open-ended conflict in the Middle East Image
3/7 Then there is Stephen Miller.

Before the election, he warned that Democrats and neocons would start WWIII.

Now, as Deputy Chief of Staff, he is actively celebrating the bombing of Iran, praising the military for finally fighting a "politically incorrect" war Image
Read 7 tweets

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